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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 12:00 PM
NAVY (3-2) AT TOLEDO (3-3) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
331: NAVY
332: TOLEDO
55.0
-9.0
26.8 / 21.2
28.5 / 25.2
3-2
3-3
3-2-0
4-2-0
1-4-0
1-5-0
281.2
208.8
105.4
205.0
386.6
413.8
171.8
142.7
224.6
254.7
396.4
397.3
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
NAVY  
TOLEDO-8 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
NAVY - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points0-12-225-150-10-410-150-12-213-27
in all games3-213-17130-1021-410-1860-643-216-14126-129
in all lined games3-213-17130-1021-410-1860-643-216-14109-125
as an underdog1-17-782-521-16-831-311-15-937-98
as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points0-02-08-30-00-21-50-02-05-6
in road games1-28-666-331-25-923-251-26-843-58
in road lined games1-28-666-331-25-923-251-26-843-57
in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 560-03-014-50-01-26-130-02-114-5
in a road game where the total is between 52.5 and 560-03-09-40-01-24-90-02-110-3
against MAC opponents0-01-07-110-00-16-50-01-012-6
when playing on a Saturday3-212-17121-941-410-1754-543-215-14117-120
when playing with 6 or less days rest2-111-985-580-36-1332-372-111-985-76
in games played on turf3-17-631-171-33-99-173-110-326-24
in October games1-15-641-330-25-618-171-15-636-48
in non-conference games3-213-13103-861-48-1648-503-214-12109-103
in weeks 5 through 91-25-848-380-35-819-221-25-841-55

TOLEDO - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points1-01-425-110-11-411-121-03-228-8
in all games4-218-1495-831-511-1961-623-321-11162-93
in all lined games4-218-1495-831-511-1961-623-321-11107-75
as a favorite3-010-960-401-29-829-253-017-281-21
as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points0-00-15-30-01-04-10-00-16-2
in home games2-08-651-321-16-634-172-011-394-29
in home lined games2-08-651-321-16-634-172-011-361-22
in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 560-02-013-100-02-016-60-02-014-9
in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 560-01-09-50-01-010-40-01-09-5
when playing on a Saturday4-214-872-571-57-1440-373-315-7133-67
when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest0-00-29-60-01-15-40-01-115-8
after playing a conference game1-18-1062-541-19-840-371-113-5111-57
after a bye week0-00-412-140-02-28-90-01-319-17
in games played on turf3-213-1268-521-49-1451-413-217-888-45
in October games1-06-329-301-05-418-171-09-058-26
in non-conference games2-17-626-300-33-819-231-26-743-39
off a win against a conference rival0-16-840-370-17-625-230-110-454-27
when playing against a team with a winning record0-15-725-310-16-621-250-16-631-41
in weeks 5 through 91-17-432-371-15-620-221-110-164-33
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
NAVY - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games3-2+2.43-21-426.813.6386.6(5.9)1.221.29.6396.4(5.5)1.8
Road Games1-2+0.41-21-218.312.7339.0(5.4)1.729.710.3444.3(6.1)1.0
Last 3 Games1-2-1.81-20-314.07.0276.3(4.7)1.721.39.0388.3(5.2)1.7
Turf Games3-1+3.43-11-331.715.2403.5(6.1)0.717.78.5386.7(5.5)2.2
NAVY - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)26.813.620.828:5053-281(5.3)6-1252.5%105(8.6)65-387(5.9)(14.4)
Opponents Defensive Avg.34.417.82432:3247-230(4.9)17-2763.1%225(8.2)74-454(6.1)(13.2)
Offense Road Games18.312.718.327:0851-260(5.1)5-1241.7%79(6.6)63-339(5.4)(18.5)
Defense (All Games)21.29.621.830:2439-172(4.4)23-3270.8%225(7)72-396(5.5)(18.7)
Opponents Offensive Avg.27.81621.528:2041-197(4.8)19-3062.7%230(7.6)71-427(6)(15.4)
Defense Road Games29.710.324.031:3435-157(4.4)29-3877.9%287(7.6)73-444(6.1)(15)

TOLEDO - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games3-3-0.14-21-528.513.7413.8(6.1)1.225.214.3397.3(5.7)2.5
Home Games2-0+12-01-140.019.5529.0(7.1)0.020.510.5376.0(5.6)3.0
Last 3 Games2-1-0.12-11-236.318.0453.7(6.4)1.022.712.7402.7(5.7)3.7
Turf Games3-2-0.13-21-433.015.8455.6(6.5)1.225.413.8393.8(5.7)2.8
TOLEDO - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)28.513.721.028:0033-209(6.2)20-3459.7%205(6)68-414(6.1)(14.5)
Opponents Defensive Avg.28.314.321.930:1338-181(4.7)20-3362.1%229(7)71-410(5.8)(14.5)
Offense Home Games40.019.525.531:1045-342(7.6)15-2951.7%186(6.4)74-529(7.1)(13.2)
Defense (All Games)25.214.322.231:2439-143(3.7)19-3062.3%255(8.3)69-397(5.7)(15.8)
Opponents Offensive Avg.28.915.821.930:4236-151(4.2)20-3459.0%265(7.8)70-416(6)(14.4)
Defense Home Games20.510.518.027:0631-69(2.2)20-3654.8%307(8.4)67-376(5.6)(18.3)
Average power rating of opponents played: NAVY 22.8,  TOLEDO 27.7
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
NAVY - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/7/2013@ INDIANA41-35W11W66.5O70-4442-5-71026-11831-43-3631
9/14/2013DELAWARE51-7W-16.5W61.5U62-35211-15-237134-15719-32-1793
9/28/2013@ W KENTUCKY7-19L-4L59U33-1077-17-76243-21925-31-1982
10/5/2013AIR FORCE28-10W-13.5W56U51-2736-10-54057-2317-16-823
10/12/2013@ DUKE7-35L4L57U50-2306-14-89337-13432-39-3010
10/19/2013@ TOLEDO            
10/26/2013PITTSBURGH            
11/2/2013@ NOTRE DAME            
11/9/2013HAWAII            
11/16/2013S ALABAMA            

TOLEDO - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
8/31/2013@ FLORIDA6-24L23W55.5U16-5017-38-155148-26217-22-1531
9/7/2013@ MISSOURI23-38L14L65.5U23-12526-41-262347-17216-25-2121
9/14/2013E WASHINGTON33-21W-7W74U51-32516-26-205022-5121-41-3262
9/21/2013@ C MICHIGAN38-17W-13W57.5U43-25216-23-166141-15614-24-2144
9/28/2013@ BALL ST24-31L1L67.5U29-14134-46-274236-12827-39-3353
10/5/2013W MICHIGAN47-20W-23.5W58.5O39-36014-32-168040-8719-32-2884
10/19/2013NAVY            
10/26/2013@ BOWLING GREEN            
11/2/2013E MICHIGAN            
11/12/2013BUFFALO            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
TOLEDO is 1-1 against the spread versus NAVY since 1992
TOLEDO is 2-0 straight up against NAVY since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

All games played at TOLEDO since 1992
NAVY is 1-0 against the spread versus TOLEDO since 1992
TOLEDO is 1-0 straight up against NAVY since 1992
Games played at TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring TOLEDO in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NAVY games 47.8% of the time since 1992. (98-107)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NAVY games 53.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-12)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 52.5% of the time since 1992. (83-75)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 55.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-12)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NAVY games 46.4% of the time since 1992. (52-60)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NAVY games 40% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (10-15)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TOLEDO games 43.9% of the time since 1992. (50-64)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TOLEDO games 31% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (9-20)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
NAVY
[WR] 10/19/2013 - Geoffrey Whiteside is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Toledo ( Ankle )
[DB] 10/19/2013 - Kwazel Bertrand probable Saturday vs. Toledo ( Knee )
[DB] 10/17/2013 - Chris Ferguson doubtful Saturday vs. Toledo ( Ankle )
[QB] 10/17/2013 - Keenan Reynolds probable Saturday vs. Toledo ( Illness )
[DB] 10/17/2013 - Myer Krah "?" Saturday vs. Toledo ( Shoulder )
[2ndQB] 10/11/2013 - John Hendrick out for season ( Knee )
[OL] 10/04/2013 - Graham Vickers out for season ( Concussion )
[OL] 10/04/2013 - Thomas Stone out indefinitely ( Knee )
TOLEDO
[DL] 10/19/2013 - Elijah Jones out for season ( Blood Clot )
[DB] 10/19/2013 - Ethan Kagy "?" Saturday vs. Navy ( Undisclosed )
[DB] 10/19/2013 - Jordan Haden doubtful Saturday vs. Navy ( Collarbone )
[WR] 10/19/2013 - Justin Olack "?" Saturday vs. Navy ( Ankle )
[WR] 10/19/2013 - Rodney Adams "?" Saturday vs. Navy ( Ankle )
[LB] 10/14/2013 - Jaylen Coleman "?" Saturday vs. Navy ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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