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The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points | 1-0 | 4-1 | 14-13 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 4-8 | 1-0 | 5-0 | 22-5 | in all games | 4-3 | 17-15 | 119-118 | 4-2 | 15-15 | 74-81 | 5-2 | 20-13 | 138-112 | against conference opponents | 1-2 | 8-11 | 80-82 | 2-1 | 10-9 | 47-56 | 2-1 | 9-10 | 81-82 | when playing on a Saturday | 4-3 | 15-14 | 108-108 | 4-2 | 13-14 | 65-72 | 5-2 | 19-11 | 126-103 | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 3-3 | 11-13 | 86-88 | 4-2 | 10-14 | 53-57 | 4-2 | 16-9 | 100-81 | after playing a conference game | 0-2 | 7-10 | 80-72 | 1-1 | 8-9 | 46-55 | 1-1 | 9-9 | 91-69 | in games played on a grass field | 4-1 | 16-12 | 108-111 | 2-2 | 11-15 | 64-75 | 5-0 | 20-9 | 128-103 | in October games | 1-1 | 6-5 | 40-38 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 25-27 | 2-0 | 9-3 | 47-35 | off a win against a conference rival | 0-1 | 2-6 | 38-38 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 23-24 | 1-0 | 3-5 | 43-35 | after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins | 1-1 | 4-5 | 31-38 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 19-24 | 2-0 | 5-4 | 40-30 | when playing against a team with a winning record | 2-1 | 6-7 | 54-48 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 39-45 | 3-0 | 6-7 | 45-58 | in weeks 5 through 9 | 2-1 | 7-5 | 47-39 | 2-1 | 6-6 | 27-29 | 3-0 | 10-3 | 51-40 | in all lined games | 4-3 | 17-15 | 119-118 | 4-2 | 15-15 | 74-81 | 5-2 | 19-13 | 128-111 | as a favorite | 4-2 | 13-9 | 59-67 | 3-2 | 8-12 | 29-43 | 5-1 | 17-5 | 94-34 | as a road favorite | 0-2 | 3-4 | 21-21 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 8-15 | 1-1 | 5-2 | 32-10 | as a road favorite of 10.5 to 14 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-0 | in road games | 0-3 | 5-8 | 55-52 | 2-1 | 6-7 | 35-35 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 49-58 | in road lined games | 0-3 | 5-8 | 55-52 | 2-1 | 6-7 | 35-35 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 49-58 | in a road game where the total is between 63.5 and 70 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
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as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points | 0-1 | 3-5 | 33-33 | 1-0 | 4-4 | 10-16 | 0-1 | 1-7 | 9-58 | in all games | 5-2 | 16-13 | 111-111 | 5-1 | 14-14 | 43-46 | 5-2 | 11-20 | 55-181 | against conference opponents | 2-1 | 10-8 | 80-79 | 3-0 | 8-11 | 27-37 | 2-1 | 4-15 | 24-139 | when playing on a Saturday | 5-2 | 16-13 | 110-109 | 5-1 | 14-14 | 42-46 | 5-2 | 11-20 | 55-178 | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 4-2 | 14-11 | 97-87 | 4-1 | 13-12 | 39-37 | 4-2 | 9-17 | 45-146 | after playing a conference game | 1-1 | 8-7 | 71-75 | 2-0 | 8-8 | 27-30 | 1-1 | 3-13 | 31-125 | in games played on a grass field | 4-2 | 13-13 | 101-105 | 4-1 | 13-12 | 40-43 | 4-2 | 8-20 | 49-171 | in October games | 1-1 | 7-3 | 42-35 | 2-0 | 3-7 | 15-17 | 1-1 | 3-7 | 18-63 | off a loss against a conference rival | 0-0 | 6-5 | 62-61 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 23-24 | 0-0 | 1-11 | 24-108 | when playing against a team with a winning record | 1-0 | 10-4 | 55-43 | 1-0 | 6-8 | 21-20 | 1-0 | 4-10 | 14-85 | in weeks 5 through 9 | 2-1 | 8-3 | 48-40 | 3-0 | 4-7 | 16-20 | 2-1 | 4-7 | 22-70 | in all lined games | 5-2 | 16-13 | 111-111 | 5-1 | 14-14 | 43-46 | 5-2 | 10-20 | 48-179 | as an underdog | 2-2 | 12-11 | 97-90 | 4-0 | 11-13 | 38-40 | 2-2 | 6-18 | 29-162 | as a home underdog of 10.5 to 14 points | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4-8 | in home games | 4-0 | 11-6 | 52-58 | 2-1 | 7-8 | 26-18 | 4-0 | 7-11 | 35-86 | in home lined games | 4-0 | 11-6 | 52-58 | 2-1 | 7-8 | 26-18 | 4-0 | 6-11 | 28-84 | in a home game where the total is between 63.5 and 70 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
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Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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All Games | 5-2 | -2 | 4-3 | 4-2 | 40.3 | 22.9 | 486.6 | (6.5) | 1.4 | 17.3 | 12.9 | 327.0 | (4.6) | 2.3 | Road Games | 1-2 | -4 | 0-3 | 2-1 | 26.3 | 12.0 | 441.3 | (5.9) | 1.7 | 27.0 | 21.3 | 434.3 | (5.7) | 1.3 | Last 3 Games | 3-0 | +2 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 44.0 | 29.3 | 531.3 | (6.7) | 1.3 | 16.0 | 9.0 | 332.7 | (4.5) | 3.0 | Grass Games | 5-0 | +3 | 4-1 | 2-2 | 44.2 | 27.8 | 513.6 | (6.7) | 1.2 | 10.8 | 6.6 | 280.2 | (3.9) | 2.8 | Conference Games | 2-1 | -2 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 31.0 | 19.0 | 482.3 | (6) | 1.3 | 25.3 | 16.0 | 411.7 | (5.3) | 1.7 |
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Offense (All Games) | 40.3 | 22.9 | 24.4 | 27:28 | 39-211 | (5.3) | 22-35 | 62.5% | 276 | (7.8) | 75-487 | (6.5) | (12.1) | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 32.9 | 18.4 | 21.7 | 30:11 | 41-186 | (4.6) | 19-31 | 60.8% | 245 | (7.9) | 72-431 | (6) | (13.1) | Offense Road Games | 26.3 | 12.0 | 24.0 | 26:07 | 34-159 | (4.6) | 25-40 | 61.2% | 283 | (7) | 75-441 | (5.9) | (16.8) | Defense (All Games) | 17.3 | 12.9 | 18.9 | 32:32 | 35-100 | (2.9) | 22-36 | 59.2% | 227 | (6.2) | 71-327 | (4.6) | (18.9) | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 21.8 | 11.2 | 17.9 | 30:06 | 34-116 | (3.4) | 20-35 | 58.7% | 229 | (6.6) | 68-345 | (5) | (15.8) | Defense Road Games | 27.0 | 21.3 | 25.7 | 33:53 | 41-142 | (3.5) | 24-35 | 67.9% | 292 | (8.3) | 76-434 | (5.7) | (16.1) |
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All Games | 5-2 | +1.2 | 5-2 | 5-1 | 35.3 | 18.7 | 402.4 | (5.5) | 2.1 | 27.4 | 15.0 | 394.0 | (5.7) | 1.9 | Home Games | 4-0 | +2 | 4-0 | 2-1 | 45.0 | 23.7 | 430.5 | (6.1) | 1.5 | 18.5 | 13.7 | 365.7 | (5) | 1.7 | Last 3 Games | 2-1 | +1.2 | 2-1 | 3-0 | 32.0 | 15.7 | 368.0 | (5.1) | 1.7 | 28.3 | 14.7 | 461.0 | (6.4) | 2.3 | Grass Games | 4-2 | 0 | 4-2 | 4-1 | 35.5 | 19.7 | 406.0 | (5.6) | 2.3 | 27.5 | 15.8 | 393.5 | (5.7) | 1.5 | Conference Games | 2-1 | +1.2 | 2-1 | 3-0 | 32.0 | 15.7 | 368.0 | (5.1) | 1.7 | 28.3 | 14.7 | 461.0 | (6.4) | 2.3 |
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Offense (All Games) | 35.3 | 18.7 | 20.7 | 31:18 | 32-111 | (3.4) | 27-41 | 66.8% | 291 | (7.1) | 73-402 | (5.5) | (11.4) | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 32.9 | 16.6 | 20.7 | 30:23 | 37-155 | (4.2) | 21-35 | 60.6% | 247 | (7.1) | 72-402 | (5.6) | (12.2) | Offense Home Games | 45.0 | 23.7 | 21.2 | 30:32 | 35-151 | (4.4) | 23-35 | 66.7% | 279 | (7.9) | 70-430 | (6.1) | (9.6) | Defense (All Games) | 27.4 | 15.0 | 18.3 | 28:42 | 35-150 | (4.2) | 19-34 | 55.4% | 244 | (7.1) | 70-394 | (5.7) | (14.4) | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 23.7 | 11.5 | 17.4 | 31:39 | 37-135 | (3.7) | 18-32 | 56.7% | 227 | (7.1) | 69-362 | (5.3) | (15.2) | Defense Home Games | 18.5 | 13.7 | 18.5 | 29:28 | 37-130 | (3.5) | 20-36 | 56.2% | 236 | (6.5) | 73-366 | (5) | (19.8) |
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Average power rating of opponents played: N CAROLINA 26.7, DUKE 26 |
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Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed. |
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9/1/2012 | ELON | 62-0 | W | -32 | W | | - | 46-243 | 20-28-281 | 2 | 36-42 | 17-34-128 | 4 | 9/8/2012 | @ WAKE FOREST | 27-28 | L | -10 | L | 53.5 | O | 42-157 | 23-40-271 | 2 | 34-64 | 28-39-362 | 1 | 9/15/2012 | @ LOUISVILLE | 34-39 | L | 3 | L | 56 | O | 17-47 | 26-41-363 | 2 | 43-183 | 23-28-279 | 1 | 9/22/2012 | E CAROLINA | 27-6 | W | -14.5 | W | 63.5 | U | 29-129 | 27-43-321 | 0 | 33-109 | 17-30-124 | 1 | 9/29/2012 | IDAHO | 66-0 | W | -27 | W | 60 | O | 53-287 | 17-26-288 | 2 | 28-80 | 19-36-109 | 5 | 10/6/2012 | VIRGINIA TECH | 48-34 | W | -6 | W | 52 | O | 45-339 | 17-30-194 | 1 | 25-40 | 26-49-354 | 2 | 10/13/2012 | @ MIAMI | 18-14 | W | -7.5 | L | 71 | U | 44-272 | 25-40-214 | 1 | 45-180 | 21-39-235 | 2 | 10/20/2012 | @ DUKE | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10/27/2012 | NC STATE | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/10/2012 | GEORGIA TECH | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/15/2012 | @ VIRGINIA | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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DUKE is 10-10 against the spread versus N CAROLINA since 1992 | N CAROLINA is 19-1 straight up against DUKE since 1992 | 5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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DUKE is 1-1 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons | N CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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DUKE is 5-5 against the spread versus N CAROLINA since 1992 | N CAROLINA is 10-0 straight up against DUKE since 1992 | 3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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DUKE is 1-0 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons | N CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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11/26/2011 | DUKE | 21 | 56 | Over | 14 | 15 | 23:31 | 21-46 | 26-41 | 285 | 2 | 2 | 9-79 | | N CAROLINA | 37 | -14 | SU ATS | 20 | 25 | 36:29 | 40-187 | 22-35 | 321 | 0 | 1 | 9-75 | 11/27/2010 | N CAROLINA | 24 | -8.5 | SU Under | 10 | 25 | 39:33 | 46-255 | 28-35 | 264 | 0 | 0 | 10-74 | | DUKE | 19 | 59 | ATS | 7 | 11 | 20:27 | 16-12 | 25-40 | 263 | 0 | 2 | 2-10 |
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Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 56% of the time since 1992. (116-91) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 51.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-14) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DUKE games 50.5% of the time since 1992. (98-96) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DUKE games 55.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-12) | |
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The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 57.8% of the time since 1992. (78-57) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 57.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-12) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in DUKE games 46.2% of the time since 1992. (37-43) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in DUKE games 40.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (11-16) | |
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[WR] 07/24/2012 - Todd Harrelson dismissed from team ( Suspension ) | [WR] 08/09/2012 - T.J. Thorpe out indefinitely ( Foot ) | [T] 10/19/2012 - T.J. Leifheit is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. Duke ( Ankle ) | [LB] 10/19/2012 - Darius Lipford is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. Duke ( Knee ) | [LB] 09/13/2012 - Keeon Virgile out indefinitely ( Undisclosed ) | [RB] 10/05/2012 - Travis Riley out for season ( Knee ) | [FB] 10/19/2012 - Conner Gonet is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. Duke ( Undisclosed ) | [PK] 10/19/2012 - Miller Snyder is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. Duke ( Undisclosed ) | |
[TE] 08/28/2012 - Braxton Deaver out for season ( Knee ) | [WR] 08/07/2012 - Blair Holliday out for season ( Head ) | [S] 08/23/2012 - Taylor Sowell out for season ( Achilles ) | [S] 08/24/2012 - Jeremy Cash out for season ( Eligibility ) | [CB] 08/30/2012 - Jared Boyd out indefinitely ( Knee ) | [TE] 09/28/2012 - Jack Farrell out for season ( Leg ) | [WR] 08/30/2012 - Tyree Watkins out for season ( Disciplinary ) | [DE] 09/07/2012 - Allen Jackson out for season ( Shoulder ) | [S] 09/19/2012 - Corbin McCarthy out for season ( Shoulder ) | [S] 10/01/2012 - August Campbell has left team ( Personal ) | [DE] 10/13/2012 - Jamal Wallace "?" Saturday vs. North Carolina ( Lower Body ) | [DE] 10/13/2012 - Dezmond Johnson "?" Saturday vs. North Carolina ( Lower Body ) | [TE] 10/14/2012 - Brandon Connette injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. North Carolina ( Shoulder ) | [CB] 10/17/2012 - Tim Burton out for season ( Dismissed ) | [LB] 10/19/2012 - Kelby Brown expected to miss Saturday vs. North Carolina ( Leg ) | [NT] 10/19/2012 - Jamal Bruce probable Saturday vs. North Carolina ( Foot ) | [T] 10/19/2012 - Takoby Cofield "?" Saturday vs. North Carolina ( Lower Body ) | [DE] 10/19/2012 - Justin Foxx probable Saturday vs. North Carolina ( Hand ) | [S] 10/19/2012 - Chris Tavarez probable Saturday vs. North Carolina ( Leg ) |
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