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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 7:00 PM
N CAROLINA (5-2) AT DUKE (5-2) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
327: N CAROLINA
328: DUKE
63.5
+11.0
40.3 / 17.3
35.3 / 27.4
5-2
5-2
4-3-0
5-2-0
4-2-0
5-1-0
210.6
111.1
276.0
291.3
486.6
402.4
99.7
149.7
227.3
244.3
327.0
394.0
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
N CAROLINA-11 
DUKE  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
N CAROLINA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points1-04-114-130-11-34-81-05-022-5
in all games4-317-15119-1184-215-1574-815-220-13138-112
against conference opponents1-28-1180-822-110-947-562-19-1081-82
when playing on a Saturday4-315-14108-1084-213-1465-725-219-11126-103
when playing with 6 or less days rest3-311-1386-884-210-1453-574-216-9100-81
after playing a conference game0-27-1080-721-18-946-551-19-991-69
in games played on a grass field4-116-12108-1112-211-1564-755-020-9128-103
in October games1-16-540-381-15-625-272-09-347-35
off a win against a conference rival0-12-638-380-14-423-241-03-543-35
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins1-14-531-381-14-519-242-05-440-30
when playing against a team with a winning record2-16-754-481-26-739-453-06-745-58
in weeks 5 through 92-17-547-392-16-627-293-010-351-40
in all lined games4-317-15119-1184-215-1574-815-219-13128-111
as a favorite4-213-959-673-28-1229-435-117-594-34
as a road favorite0-23-421-211-12-58-151-15-232-10
as a road favorite of 10.5 to 14 points0-00-03-00-00-00-10-00-03-0
in road games0-35-855-522-16-735-351-26-749-58
in road lined games0-35-855-522-16-735-351-26-749-58
in a road game where the total is between 63.5 and 700-00-01-00-00-00-10-00-00-1

DUKE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points0-13-533-331-04-410-160-11-79-58
in all games5-216-13111-1115-114-1443-465-211-2055-181
against conference opponents2-110-880-793-08-1127-372-14-1524-139
when playing on a Saturday5-216-13110-1095-114-1442-465-211-2055-178
when playing with 6 or less days rest4-214-1197-874-113-1239-374-29-1745-146
after playing a conference game1-18-771-752-08-827-301-13-1331-125
in games played on a grass field4-213-13101-1054-113-1240-434-28-2049-171
in October games1-17-342-352-03-715-171-13-718-63
off a loss against a conference rival0-06-562-610-05-723-240-01-1124-108
when playing against a team with a winning record1-010-455-431-06-821-201-04-1014-85
in weeks 5 through 92-18-348-403-04-716-202-14-722-70
in all lined games5-216-13111-1115-114-1443-465-210-2048-179
as an underdog2-212-1197-904-011-1338-402-26-1829-162
as a home underdog of 10.5 to 14 points0-00-15-70-00-12-10-00-14-8
in home games4-011-652-582-17-826-184-07-1135-86
in home lined games4-011-652-582-17-826-184-06-1128-84
in a home game where the total is between 63.5 and 700-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-0
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
N CAROLINA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games5-2-24-34-240.322.9486.6(6.5)1.417.312.9327.0(4.6)2.3
Road Games1-2-40-32-126.312.0441.3(5.9)1.727.021.3434.3(5.7)1.3
Last 3 Games3-0+22-12-144.029.3531.3(6.7)1.316.09.0332.7(4.5)3.0
Grass Games5-0+34-12-244.227.8513.6(6.7)1.210.86.6280.2(3.9)2.8
Conference Games2-1-21-22-131.019.0482.3(6)1.325.316.0411.7(5.3)1.7
N CAROLINA - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)40.322.924.427:2839-211(5.3)22-3562.5%276(7.8)75-487(6.5)(12.1)
Opponents Defensive Avg.32.918.421.730:1141-186(4.6)19-3160.8%245(7.9)72-431(6)(13.1)
Offense Road Games26.312.024.026:0734-159(4.6)25-4061.2%283(7)75-441(5.9)(16.8)
Defense (All Games)17.312.918.932:3235-100(2.9)22-3659.2%227(6.2)71-327(4.6)(18.9)
Opponents Offensive Avg.21.811.217.930:0634-116(3.4)20-3558.7%229(6.6)68-345(5)(15.8)
Defense Road Games27.021.325.733:5341-142(3.5)24-3567.9%292(8.3)76-434(5.7)(16.1)

DUKE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games5-2+1.25-25-135.318.7402.4(5.5)2.127.415.0394.0(5.7)1.9
Home Games4-0+24-02-145.023.7430.5(6.1)1.518.513.7365.7(5)1.7
Last 3 Games2-1+1.22-13-032.015.7368.0(5.1)1.728.314.7461.0(6.4)2.3
Grass Games4-204-24-135.519.7406.0(5.6)2.327.515.8393.5(5.7)1.5
Conference Games2-1+1.22-13-032.015.7368.0(5.1)1.728.314.7461.0(6.4)2.3
DUKE - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)35.318.720.731:1832-111(3.4)27-4166.8%291(7.1)73-402(5.5)(11.4)
Opponents Defensive Avg.32.916.620.730:2337-155(4.2)21-3560.6%247(7.1)72-402(5.6)(12.2)
Offense Home Games45.023.721.230:3235-151(4.4)23-3566.7%279(7.9)70-430(6.1)(9.6)
Defense (All Games)27.415.018.328:4235-150(4.2)19-3455.4%244(7.1)70-394(5.7)(14.4)
Opponents Offensive Avg.23.711.517.431:3937-135(3.7)18-3256.7%227(7.1)69-362(5.3)(15.2)
Defense Home Games18.513.718.529:2837-130(3.5)20-3656.2%236(6.5)73-366(5)(19.8)
Average power rating of opponents played: N CAROLINA 26.7,  DUKE 26
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
N CAROLINA - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/1/2012ELON62-0W-32W -46-24320-28-281236-4217-34-1284
9/8/2012@ WAKE FOREST27-28L-10L53.5O42-15723-40-271234-6428-39-3621
9/15/2012@ LOUISVILLE34-39L3L56O17-4726-41-363243-18323-28-2791
9/22/2012E CAROLINA27-6W-14.5W63.5U29-12927-43-321033-10917-30-1241
9/29/2012IDAHO66-0W-27W60O53-28717-26-288228-8019-36-1095
10/6/2012VIRGINIA TECH48-34W-6W52O45-33917-30-194125-4026-49-3542
10/13/2012@ MIAMI18-14W-7.5L71U44-27225-40-214145-18021-39-2352
10/20/2012@ DUKE            
10/27/2012NC STATE            
11/10/2012GEORGIA TECH            
11/15/2012@ VIRGINIA            

DUKE - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/1/2012FLA INTERNATIONAL46-26W-2.5W53.5O30-11923-34-301245-16527-46-3482
9/8/2012@ STANFORD13-50L16L55O23-2742-63-358426-9218-33-2811
9/15/2012NC CENTRAL54-17W-35W -29-12825-35-280039-9819-31-2393
9/22/2012MEMPHIS38-14W-21.5W61U44-17727-40-323428-7113-22-810
9/29/2012@ WAKE FOREST34-27W2.5W57O36-12330-40-258135-16719-38-2304
10/6/2012VIRGINIA42-17W0W55O36-18219-32-212035-18623-47-2752
10/13/2012@ VIRGINIA TECH20-41L9.5L55O29-2225-42-307439-26914-23-2561
10/20/2012N CAROLINA            
10/27/2012@ FLORIDA ST            
11/3/2012CLEMSON            
11/17/2012@ GEORGIA TECH            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
DUKE is 10-10 against the spread versus N CAROLINA since 1992
N CAROLINA is 19-1 straight up against DUKE since 1992
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 1-1 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at DUKE since 1992
DUKE is 5-5 against the spread versus N CAROLINA since 1992
N CAROLINA is 10-0 straight up against DUKE since 1992
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at DUKE over the last 3 seasons.
DUKE is 1-0 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
11/26/2011DUKE2156 Over141523:3121-4626-41285229-79
 N CAROLINA37-14SU ATS202536:2940-18722-35321019-75
11/27/2010N CAROLINA24-8.5SU Under102539:3346-25528-352640010-74
 DUKE1959 ATS71120:2716-1225-40263022-10
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 56% of the time since 1992. (116-91)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 51.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-14)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DUKE games 50.5% of the time since 1992. (98-96)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DUKE games 55.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-12)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 57.8% of the time since 1992. (78-57)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 57.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-12)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DUKE games 46.2% of the time since 1992. (37-43)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DUKE games 40.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (11-16)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
N CAROLINA
[WR] 07/24/2012 - Todd Harrelson dismissed from team ( Suspension )
[WR] 08/09/2012 - T.J. Thorpe out indefinitely ( Foot )
[T] 10/19/2012 - T.J. Leifheit is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. Duke ( Ankle )
[LB] 10/19/2012 - Darius Lipford is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. Duke ( Knee )
[LB] 09/13/2012 - Keeon Virgile out indefinitely ( Undisclosed )
[RB] 10/05/2012 - Travis Riley out for season ( Knee )
[FB] 10/19/2012 - Conner Gonet is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. Duke ( Undisclosed )
[PK] 10/19/2012 - Miller Snyder is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. Duke ( Undisclosed )
DUKE
[TE] 08/28/2012 - Braxton Deaver out for season ( Knee )
[WR] 08/07/2012 - Blair Holliday out for season ( Head )
[S] 08/23/2012 - Taylor Sowell out for season ( Achilles )
[S] 08/24/2012 - Jeremy Cash out for season ( Eligibility )
[CB] 08/30/2012 - Jared Boyd out indefinitely ( Knee )
[TE] 09/28/2012 - Jack Farrell out for season ( Leg )
[WR] 08/30/2012 - Tyree Watkins out for season ( Disciplinary )
[DE] 09/07/2012 - Allen Jackson out for season ( Shoulder )
[S] 09/19/2012 - Corbin McCarthy out for season ( Shoulder )
[S] 10/01/2012 - August Campbell has left team ( Personal )
[DE] 10/13/2012 - Jamal Wallace "?" Saturday vs. North Carolina ( Lower Body )
[DE] 10/13/2012 - Dezmond Johnson "?" Saturday vs. North Carolina ( Lower Body )
[TE] 10/14/2012 - Brandon Connette injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. North Carolina ( Shoulder )
[CB] 10/17/2012 - Tim Burton out for season ( Dismissed )
[LB] 10/19/2012 - Kelby Brown expected to miss Saturday vs. North Carolina ( Leg )
[NT] 10/19/2012 - Jamal Bruce probable Saturday vs. North Carolina ( Foot )
[T] 10/19/2012 - Takoby Cofield "?" Saturday vs. North Carolina ( Lower Body )
[DE] 10/19/2012 - Justin Foxx probable Saturday vs. North Carolina ( Hand )
[S] 10/19/2012 - Chris Tavarez probable Saturday vs. North Carolina ( Leg )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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