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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 7:30 PM
N CAROLINA (6-4) AT VIRGINIA (4-6) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
307: N CAROLINA
308: VIRGINIA
62.0
+3.0
40.5 / 25.7
24.6 / 29.3
6-4
4-6
5-5-0
1-9-0
7-2-0
5-4-0
201.0
136.7
287.7
282.4
488.7
419.1
137.9
144.7
254.2
204.4
392.1
349.1
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
N CAROLINA-8 
VIRGINIA  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
N CAROLINA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
when the line is +3 to -30-13-521-281-04-419-200-13-521-28
in all games5-518-17120-1207-218-1577-816-421-15139-114
in all lined games5-518-17120-1207-218-1577-816-420-15129-113
as a favorite5-414-1160-696-211-1232-436-318-795-36
as a road favorite0-33-521-222-13-59-151-25-332-11
as a road favorite of 3 points or less0-01-02-50-00-11-40-01-03-4
in road games0-45-955-533-17-736-351-36-849-59
in road lined games0-45-955-533-17-736-351-36-849-59
in a road game where the total is between 56.5 and 630-11-33-61-02-25-40-12-23-6
against conference opponents2-49-1381-845-113-950-563-310-1282-84
when playing on a Thursday0-02-07-50-01-16-60-01-17-5
when playing with 6 or less days rest4-412-1487-896-212-1455-575-317-10101-82
after playing a conference game1-48-1281-744-111-949-552-310-1192-71
in games played on a grass field5-317-14109-1135-214-1567-756-221-11129-105
in November games0-13-534-371-03-518-250-13-540-31
off a loss against a conference rival1-16-443-342-05-524-311-17-449-34
when playing against a team with a losing record1-14-323-292-05-212-91-15-243-11
in weeks 10 through 130-13-533-381-03-517-260-13-540-31

VIRGINIA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
when the line is +3 to -30-41-919-293-16-420-211-32-821-27
in all games1-912-22111-1295-413-1873-894-616-19143-111
in all lined games1-912-22111-1295-413-1873-894-615-19133-110
as an underdog1-47-1353-563-29-1141-531-45-1536-74
as a home underdog of 3 points or less0-00-14-40-01-03-40-00-13-5
in home games0-66-1358-623-26-1032-453-311-989-42
in home lined games0-66-1358-623-26-1032-453-310-979-41
in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 630-10-12-21-01-03-10-10-13-1
against conference opponents1-58-1476-884-29-1339-672-48-1491-75
when playing on a Thursday0-01-06-50-01-04-70-01-06-6
when playing with 6 or less days rest0-87-2077-925-312-1549-612-69-1899-78
after playing a conference game1-47-1375-812-39-1149-552-37-1387-74
in games played on a grass field1-911-2197-1105-412-1763-854-616-17124-97
in November games1-15-532-401-13-724-282-05-534-38
off a win against a conference rival0-13-439-491-02-530-271-04-348-42
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins0-12-531-431-02-522-270-12-542-34
when playing against a team with a winning record1-45-1252-694-19-848-512-36-1151-72
in weeks 10 through 131-15-529-381-13-722-252-05-532-35
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
N CAROLINA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games6-4-8.85-57-240.522.0488.7(6.5)1.625.716.6392.1(5.2)2.2
Road Games1-3-8.20-43-127.210.5434.5(5.9)1.728.521.0453.2(5.7)1.2
Last 3 Games1-2-6.81-23-041.020.0493.7(6.6)2.045.325.3544.0(6.5)2.0
Grass Games6-2-3.85-35-243.024.9506.1(6.6)1.523.713.6379.1(5)2.5
Conference Games3-3-8.82-45-136.019.5488.0(6.3)1.735.320.7477.8(5.9)1.8
N CAROLINA - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)40.522.024.027:0239-201(5.2)23-3663.1%288(7.9)75-489(6.5)(12.1)
Opponents Defensive Avg.32.818.221.530:3840-176(4.5)19-3260.2%254(7.8)72-430(6)(13.1)
Offense Road Games27.210.523.526:1135-163(4.6)23-3861.0%271(7)74-434(5.9)(15.9)
Defense (All Games)25.716.621.232:5839-138(3.5)21-3559.2%254(7.2)75-392(5.2)(15.3)
Opponents Offensive Avg.24.813.618.930:3036-136(3.8)20-3458.9%233(6.8)71-369(5.2)(14.9)
Defense Road Games28.521.026.233:4944-165(3.8)24-3566.9%288(8.1)79-453(5.7)(15.9)

VIRGINIA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games4-6-1.81-95-424.612.7419.1(5.5)2.229.314.7349.1(5.2)1.0
Home Games3-3-1.80-63-228.214.5439.0(5.7)2.227.014.0308.2(4.6)0.3
Last 3 Games2-1+2.61-21-228.017.0409.7(5.1)1.720.711.3283.0(4.4)2.0
Grass Games4-6-1.81-95-424.612.7419.1(5.5)2.229.314.7349.1(5.2)1.0
Conference Games2-4-0.81-54-223.513.0395.5(5.1)1.831.216.7345.3(5.5)1.3
VIRGINIA - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)24.612.720.432:5635-137(3.9)24-4059.3%282(7)76-419(5.5)(17)
Opponents Defensive Avg.29.114.821.130:2239-156(4)21-3559.7%263(7.5)74-419(5.7)(14.4)
Offense Home Games28.214.521.333:2235-112(3.2)26-4263.2%327(7.9)77-439(5.7)(15.6)
Defense (All Games)29.314.717.527:0435-145(4.2)18-3256.0%204(6.4)66-349(5.2)(11.9)
Opponents Offensive Avg.29.515.420.630:3638-147(3.9)21-3559.6%245(7)73-393(5.4)(13.3)
Defense Home Games27.014.016.326:3834-109(3.2)18-3255.4%199(6.1)67-308(4.6)(11.4)
Average power rating of opponents played: N CAROLINA 29.4,  VIRGINIA 33.9
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
N CAROLINA - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/22/2012E CAROLINA27-6W-14.5W63.5U29-12927-43-321033-10917-30-1241
9/29/2012IDAHO66-0W-27W60O53-28717-26-288228-8019-36-1095
10/6/2012VIRGINIA TECH48-34W-6W52O45-33917-30-194125-4026-49-3542
10/13/2012@ MIAMI18-14W-7.5L71U44-27225-40-214145-18021-39-2352
10/20/2012@ DUKE30-33L-10.5L62.5O38-17720-33-237253-23423-36-2761
10/27/2012NC STATE43-35W-7.5W55O39-21230-47-358231-6729-52-4674
11/10/2012GEORGIA TECH50-68L-8.5L65O34-14724-35-350267-3807-12-2081
11/15/2012@ VIRGINIA            
11/24/2012MARYLAND            

VIRGINIA - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/22/2012@ TCU7-27L18L53U31-16418-40-189431-13321-33-3052
9/29/2012LOUISIANA TECH38-44L3.5L60O39-14525-41-480340-16723-36-2180
10/6/2012@ DUKE17-42L0L55O35-18623-47-275236-18219-32-2120
10/13/2012MARYLAND20-27L-2L44O42-16818-39-218229--214-26-2371
10/20/2012WAKE FOREST10-16L-3L51U32-4822-39-253341-1058-21-1080
11/3/2012@ NC STATE33-6W10.5W52.5U48-24820-35-198124-1923-46-1975
11/10/2012MIAMI41-40W-2L54O33-9440-52-388133-23318-26-1871
11/15/2012N CAROLINA            
11/24/2012@ VIRGINIA TECH            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
VIRGINIA is 14-6 against the spread versus N CAROLINA since 1992
VIRGINIA is 13-7 straight up against N CAROLINA since 1992
11 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at VIRGINIA since 1992
VIRGINIA is 9-1 against the spread versus N CAROLINA since 1992
VIRGINIA is 9-1 straight up against N CAROLINA since 1992
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
9/17/2011VIRGINIA1748 Under32330:5934-17023-41298126-58
 N CAROLINA28-10SU ATS142229:0141-22216-23179103-40
10/16/2010N CAROLINA44-6SU ATS271928:2235-14018-23339109-84
 VIRGINIA1046 Over101931:3842-15118-34184058-63
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring VIRGINIA in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 56.5% of the time since 1992. (118-91)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 54.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-14)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VIRGINIA games 48.3% of the time since 1992. (101-108)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VIRGINIA games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-15)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 57.2% of the time since 1992. (79-59)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 54.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-14)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in VIRGINIA games 44.2% of the time since 1992. (68-86)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in VIRGINIA games 32.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (9-19)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
N CAROLINA
[WR] 07/24/2012 - Todd Harrelson dismissed from team ( Suspension )
[WR] 08/09/2012 - T.J. Thorpe out indefinitely ( Foot )
[T] 11/11/2012 - T.J. Leifheit "?" Thursday vs. Virginia ( Ankle )
[LB] 11/11/2012 - Darius Lipford "?" Thursday vs. Virginia ( Knee )
[LB] 09/13/2012 - Keeon Virgile out indefinitely ( Undisclosed )
[RB] 10/05/2012 - Travis Riley out for season ( Knee )
[FB] 11/11/2012 - Conner Gonet "?" Thursday vs. Virginia ( Undisclosed )
[PK] 11/11/2012 - Miller Snyder "?" Thursday vs. Virginia ( Undisclosed )
[DT] 10/22/2012 - Tim Jackson out 2-3 weeks ( Leg )
[LB] 11/11/2012 - Shakeel Rashad "?" Thursday vs. Virginia ( Suspension )
[T] 11/11/2012 - Brennan Williams "?" Thursday vs. Virginia ( Undisclosed )
[TE] 11/11/2012 - Sean Fitzpatrick "?" Thursday vs. Virginia ( Undisclosed )
[PK] 11/13/2012 - Casey Barth out for season ( Leg )
[TE] 11/15/2012 - Eric Ebron expected to miss Thursday vs. Virginia ( Undisclosed )
[S] 11/15/2012 - Gene Robinson expected to miss Thursday vs. Virginia ( Undisclosed )
VIRGINIA
[LB] 08/31/2012 - Adam Caplinger out for season ( Knee )
[OT] 08/31/2012 - Tim Cwalina out for season ( Heart )
[DE] 08/31/2012 - Marco Jones out for season ( Knee )
[FS] 08/31/2012 - David Marrs out for season ( Knee )
[S] 10/12/2012 - Pablo Alvarez out for season ( Undisclosed )
[WR] 10/12/2012 - Mario Nixon out for season ( Undisclosed )
[TE] 11/11/2012 - Jeremiah Mathis "?" Thursday vs. North Carolina ( Disciplinary )
[WR] 11/11/2012 - Brian Pomper "?" Thursday vs. North Carolina ( Lower Body )
[DE] 11/11/2012 - Diamonte Bailey "?" Thursday vs. North Carolina ( Illness )
[T] 11/11/2012 - Nick Koutris "?" Thursday vs. North Carolina ( Lower Body )
[FB] 11/11/2012 - Sammy MacFarlane "?" Thursday vs. North Carolina ( Lower Body )
[PK] 11/11/2012 - Ian Frye "?" Thursday vs. North Carolina ( Lower Body )
[DB] 11/14/2012 - Maurice Canady doubtful Thursday vs. North Carolina ( Illness )
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