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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 3:30 PM
NORTHWESTERN (4-7) AT ILLINOIS (4-7) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
357: NORTHWESTERN
358: ILLINOIS
59.0
+3.5
25.2 / 26.5
29.3 / 35.3
4-7
4-7
3-8-0
5-6-0
3-8-0
6-5-0
174.6
134.8
208.7
285.9
383.4
420.7
165.9
247.0
248.7
227.4
414.6
474.4
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
NORTHWESTERN-6 
ILLINOIS  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
NORTHWESTERN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points1-04-120-171-02-312-111-04-130-7
in all games3-820-17133-1223-814-2277-914-720-17126-137
in all lined games3-820-17133-1223-814-2277-914-720-17121-135
as a favorite2-411-741-462-46-1123-314-215-368-19
as a road favorite1-03-118-121-02-27-91-03-122-8
as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points1-01-18-61-01-14-61-01-111-3
in road games2-210-567-491-37-832-401-37-853-65
in road lined games2-210-567-491-37-832-401-37-852-65
in a road game where the total is between 56.5 and 632-14-19-81-22-38-91-23-28-9
against conference opponents1-611-1289-841-610-1353-650-78-1573-102
when playing on a Saturday3-819-17121-1183-814-2169-844-719-17120-127
when playing with 6 or less days rest2-614-14102-1021-79-1858-733-516-12103-104
after playing a conference game1-511-1188-820-67-1550-630-68-1473-99
in games played on turf2-28-349-311-34-721-241-35-640-42
in November games1-26-438-340-32-815-310-35-533-39
off a loss against a conference rival1-55-954-450-64-1023-350-64-1040-60
after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses1-42-736-310-54-513-170-51-823-44
when playing against a team with a losing record0-03-127-260-02-210-210-04-034-19

ILLINOIS - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points1-33-420-292-23-420-171-31-610-41
in all games5-614-22106-1376-515-2080-864-713-23101-155
in all lined games5-614-22106-1376-515-2080-864-713-2391-155
as an underdog4-47-1166-814-48-1051-481-71-1727-121
as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points1-02-05-61-01-13-51-01-12-10
in home games3-39-1251-765-19-1142-393-310-1164-75
in home lined games3-39-1251-765-19-1142-393-310-1154-75
in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 631-01-25-91-02-16-71-01-26-8
against conference opponents2-56-1775-983-49-1456-591-63-2056-118
when playing on a Saturday5-614-22103-1306-515-2076-814-713-2398-148
when playing with 6 or less days rest4-411-1784-1073-512-1561-672-68-2078-121
after playing a conference game2-47-1475-923-37-1452-611-53-1860-110
in games played on turf3-59-1866-1056-212-1458-513-510-1773-110
in November games2-24-735-372-24-723-251-31-1025-45
off a win against a conference rival0-01-127-280-01-119-180-01-123-30
when playing against a team with a losing record1-24-421-332-13-513-172-14-426-29
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
NORTHWESTERN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games4-7-9.83-83-825.214.1383.4(5.3)1.826.59.9414.6(5.3)2.0
Road Games1-3-22-21-321.011.0351.0(5.2)1.727.213.7463.0(5.5)2.7
Last 3 Games0-3-3.61-20-316.311.0316.3(4.3)1.728.010.3424.3(5.2)1.3
Turf Games1-3-22-21-321.011.0351.0(5.2)1.727.213.7463.0(5.5)2.7
Conference Games0-7-11.81-61-616.09.4326.3(4.6)1.928.011.7407.9(5.4)1.6
NORTHWESTERN - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)25.214.120.228:3741-175(4.2)19-3062.0%209(6.9)72-383(5.3)(15.2)
Opponents Defensive Avg.24.412.618.728:1036-139(3.9)18-3356.0%214(6.5)69-353(5.2)(14.5)
Offense Road Games21.011.016.727:2941-181(4.4)14-2652.9%170(6.5)67-351(5.2)(16.7)
Defense (All Games)26.59.923.431:2341-166(4)22-3758.9%249(6.8)78-415(5.3)(15.7)
Opponents Offensive Avg.29.314.821.232:4841-196(4.8)19-3159.0%215(6.8)73-411(5.7)(14)
Defense Road Games27.213.725.232:3144-177(4)24-4060.2%285(7.1)84-463(5.5)(17)

ILLINOIS - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games4-7-1.85-66-529.314.1420.7(5.9)1.835.315.7474.4(6.8)1.0
Home Games3-3+1.23-35-134.519.3421.0(6.1)1.737.215.2443.2(6.5)0.7
Last 3 Games1-201-22-130.014.0470.7(5.7)2.342.723.3508.0(7.6)1.3
Turf Games3-5-0.83-56-232.616.9438.7(6)1.639.216.9478.7(7)0.9
Conference Games1-6-42-53-423.010.0387.7(5.3)2.141.321.3498.6(7.1)1.0
ILLINOIS - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)29.314.123.529:3834-135(3.9)25-3766.1%286(7.7)72-421(5.9)(14.4)
Opponents Defensive Avg.26.513.92030:4337-142(3.9)20-3459.6%239(7.1)70-381(5.4)(14.4)
Offense Home Games34.519.323.229:0733-129(3.9)25-3570.8%291(8.2)69-421(6.1)(12.2)
Defense (All Games)35.315.723.030:2242-247(5.9)18-2864.7%227(8.1)70-474(6.8)(13.4)
Opponents Offensive Avg.31.21521.230:1440-185(4.7)19-3260.4%237(7.4)72-422(5.9)(13.5)
Defense Home Games37.215.222.330:5340-228(5.7)17-2760.6%215(7.8)68-443(6.5)(11.9)
Average power rating of opponents played: NORTHWESTERN 36.9,  ILLINOIS 36.3
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
NORTHWESTERN - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
10/5/2013OHIO ST30-40L6.5L61O43-9425-31-343248-24815-26-2033
10/12/2013@ WISCONSIN6-35L11L57.5U25-4417-39-197151-28617-28-2413
10/19/2013MINNESOTA17-20L-12.5L51.5U26-9425-46-234349-1769-14-1230
10/26/2013@ IOWA10-17L4L53U52-22511-14-104241-13619-27-1691
11/2/2013@ NEBRASKA24-27L3.5W58.5U47-2458-21-81150-19522-42-2774
11/16/2013MICHIGAN19-27L-3L49U48-14120-31-163145-13727-46-2000
11/23/2013MICHIGAN ST6-30L6L41.5U26-8027-46-239340-17116-24-2930
11/30/2013@ ILLINOIS            

ILLINOIS - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
10/5/2013@ NEBRASKA19-39L8.5L62.5U48-19516-31-177250-33511-20-1861
10/19/2013WISCONSIN32-56L14.5L55.5O29-7226-34-319246-28916-21-1890
10/26/2013MICHIGAN ST3-42L8L48U21-2513-21-103255-26915-16-2081
11/2/2013@ PENN ST17-24L13W57.5U24-9033-52-321248-25020-32-2401
11/9/2013@ INDIANA35-52L10L81O34-16238-58-450143-37121-28-2792
11/16/2013OHIO ST35-60L33.5W68O38-13233-50-288242-44113-30-1501
11/23/2013@ PURDUE20-16W-6.5L55.5U37-12324-31-257429-12020-29-1631
11/30/2013NORTHWESTERN            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
NORTHWESTERN is 14-7 against the spread versus ILLINOIS since 1992
NORTHWESTERN is 12-9 straight up against ILLINOIS since 1992
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN is 2-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
ILLINOIS is 1-1 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at ILLINOIS since 1992
NORTHWESTERN is 9-2 against the spread versus ILLINOIS since 1992
NORTHWESTERN is 6-5 straight up against ILLINOIS since 1992
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 1-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
ILLINOIS is 1-0 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
11/24/2012ILLINOIS1450 Over141222:5727-12612-18116138-88
 NORTHWESTERN50-18.5SU ATS272937:0367-33811-16112112-20
10/1/2011NORTHWESTERN3554.5 ATS142030:2951-16912-16160104-48
 ILLINOIS38-9.5SU Over102329:3138-8221-32391218-70
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring ILLINOIS in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 46.8% of the time since 1992. (103-117)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 42.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-19)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 49.3% of the time since 1992. (100-103)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 48.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-15)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 44.9% of the time since 1992. (66-81)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-16)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 53.4% of the time since 1992. (79-69)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 74.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (23-8)
Edge=Under
Key Player Injuries
NORTHWESTERN
[QB] 11/25/2013 - Kain Colter is downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs. Illinois ( Upper Body )
[OL] 11/24/2013 - Geoff Mogus "?" Saturday vs. Illinois ( Upper Body )
[RB] 11/20/2013 - Malin Jones out for season ( Suspension )
[DL] 11/19/2013 - Sean McEvilly out for season ( Foot )
[RB] 11/10/2013 - Stephen Buckley out indefinitely ( Knee )
[RB] 11/10/2013 - Venric Mark out for season ( Ankle )
[DB] 09/02/2013 - Daniel Jones out for season ( Knee )
ILLINOIS
[DL] 11/24/2013 - Vontrell Williams "?" Saturday vs. Northwestern ( Foot )
[WR] 10/29/2013 - Ryan Lankford out for season ( Shoulder )
[LB] 10/03/2013 - Henry Dickinson out for season ( Leg )
[RB] 09/04/2013 - Dami Ayoola has left the team ( Dismissed )
[OL] 08/30/2013 - Tony Durkin out for season ( Undisclosed )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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