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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 12:00 PM
NORTHWESTERN (7-3) AT MICHIGAN ST (5-5) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
337: NORTHWESTERN
338: MICHIGAN ST
47.0
-7.0
30.5 / 23.9
19.7 / 16.3
7-3
5-5
9-1-0
3-7-0
4-5-0
2-7-1
237.6
141.9
164.4
218.5
402.0
360.4
123.7
113.4
272.6
174.6
396.3
288.0
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
NORTHWESTERN  
MICHIGAN ST-11 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
NORTHWESTERN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points2-06-839-221-19-526-220-22-1226-35
in all games9-118-18127-1144-518-1673-817-320-16119-130
in weeks 10 through 131-04-535-321-04-514-270-14-531-36
in all lined games9-118-18127-1144-518-1673-817-320-16114-128
as an underdog4-19-1090-723-212-753-552-35-1452-111
as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points0-01-211-60-02-19-40-01-29-8
in road games3-18-864-473-110-631-362-29-751-62
in road lined games3-18-864-473-110-631-362-29-750-62
in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 490-11-112-101-01-18-130-11-110-12
in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 490-10-18-51-01-06-70-10-16-7
against conference opponents5-19-1386-783-313-951-583-39-1371-95
when playing on a Saturday9-118-18116-1104-518-1665-757-320-16114-120
when playing with 6 or less days rest7-113-1598-962-512-1456-656-217-1198-99
after playing a conference game4-19-1284-772-311-1049-552-37-1470-93
in games played on a grass field6-111-1580-852-413-1153-605-214-1280-91
in November games1-04-535-321-04-514-270-14-531-36
off a loss against a conference rival2-05-752-400-27-523-282-05-739-54

MICHIGAN ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points0-33-426-270-32-521-171-25-238-15
in all games3-720-17117-1272-715-20103-865-527-10139-112
off a loss against a conference rival2-13-328-511-23-333-292-15-139-40
when playing against a team with a winning record2-314-659-591-48-1255-471-412-849-70
in weeks 10 through 130-14-432-331-05-329-180-17-133-33
in all lined games3-720-17117-1272-715-20103-865-527-10134-111
as a favorite1-712-1361-722-510-1345-494-421-498-36
as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points0-11-29-110-11-26-90-12-114-6
in home games0-69-1163-661-59-1049-542-416-492-44
in home lined games0-69-1163-661-59-1049-542-416-487-43
in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 490-43-517-171-33-517-162-26-225-9
in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 490-23-312-120-22-411-122-06-019-5
against conference opponents2-414-981-842-410-1371-532-416-785-81
when playing on a Saturday3-619-15114-1172-614-1899-774-524-10134-104
when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest0-02-213-210-03-116-110-03-112-22
after playing a conference game2-313-975-902-311-1170-522-315-781-84
after a bye week0-02-213-200-03-116-100-03-112-21
in games played on a grass field0-615-1445-511-513-1549-352-422-746-51
in November games0-14-433-331-05-330-180-17-134-33
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
NORTHWESTERN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games7-3+3.49-14-530.516.1402.0(5.5)1.023.98.0396.3(5.3)1.7
Road Games2-2+0.13-13-130.517.5322.5(4.9)0.732.711.7446.2(5.4)2.2
Last 3 Games1-2-13-01-229.014.0388.3(5.5)1.028.09.0432.7(5.8)1.7
Grass Games5-2+2.46-12-430.115.0425.3(5.6)1.121.06.1374.4(5.1)1.3
Conference Games3-305-13-330.016.2398.5(5.7)1.227.57.8415.5(5.4)1.7
NORTHWESTERN - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)30.516.122.429:4046-238(5.2)17-2763.1%164(6)73-402(5.5)(13.2)
Opponents Defensive Avg.2513.619.931:4841-184(4.5)17-2958.9%190(6.5)71-374(5.3)(14.9)
Offense Road Games30.517.518.727:0839-173(4.4)17-2664.2%149(5.6)66-322(4.9)(10.6)
Defense (All Games)23.98.022.230:2034-124(3.6)24-4060.2%273(6.8)74-396(5.3)(16.6)
Opponents Offensive Avg.25.212.720.229:1936-149(4.1)19-3358.4%234(7.1)69-383(5.5)(15.2)
Defense Road Games32.711.726.232:5138-144(3.8)28-4463.1%302(6.9)82-446(5.4)(13.6)

MICHIGAN ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games5-5-4.23-72-719.78.4360.4(4.9)1.216.39.8288.0(4.5)1.4
Home Games2-4-7.10-61-516.57.2353.0(4.8)1.517.39.7300.3(4.6)1.7
Last 3 Games1-2-0.32-11-216.75.7314.0(4.7)1.317.79.0329.7(5)1.3
Grass Games2-4-7.10-61-516.57.2353.0(4.8)1.517.39.7300.3(4.6)1.7
Conference Games2-4-4.22-42-418.87.3330.5(4.7)0.819.310.7324.3(4.9)1.3
MICHIGAN ST - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)19.78.419.232:5337-142(3.9)20-3654.7%218(6)73-360(4.9)(18.3)
Opponents Defensive Avg.23.811.519.530:0738-168(4.4)18-3158.1%201(6.4)70-369(5.3)(15.5)
Offense Home Games16.57.218.532:2237-159(4.2)17-3549.1%194(5.5)73-353(4.8)(21.4)
Defense (All Games)16.39.815.327:0631-113(3.6)17-3252.9%175(5.4)64-288(4.5)(17.7)
Opponents Offensive Avg.29.414.820.430:5239-186(4.8)17-2958.6%211(7.2)68-397(5.8)(13.5)
Defense Home Games17.39.715.727:3734-141(4.1)15-3150.3%159(5.2)65-300(4.6)(17.3)
Average power rating of opponents played: NORTHWESTERN 34.4,  MICHIGAN ST 39.6
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
NORTHWESTERN - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/22/2012S DAKOTA38-7W-28.5W -53-27712-15-131023-5117-33-1891
9/29/2012INDIANA44-29W-11.5W60.5O58-39423-35-310328-15922-39-2661
10/6/2012@ PENN ST28-39L3L49O25-11221-36-135148-16135-51-2821
10/13/2012@ MINNESOTA21-13W-3W54U34-20811-17-67042-15816-30-1693
10/20/2012NEBRASKA28-29L7W62.5U38-18016-37-121044-20127-39-3423
10/27/2012IOWA28-17W-4W47U49-3497-10-84240-12224-38-2140
11/10/2012@ MICHIGAN31-38L8.5W51O58-24814-21-183132-13316-30-2862
11/17/2012@ MICHIGAN ST            
11/24/2012ILLINOIS            

MICHIGAN ST - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/22/2012E MICHIGAN23-7W-31.5L47U44-26916-29-159129-4613-26-1371
9/29/2012OHIO ST16-17L-3L41.5U22-3422-42-269044-20416-23-1793
10/6/2012@ INDIANA31-27W-15L49O42-12024-40-290019-3533-48-2820
10/13/2012IOWA16-19L-8L39U39-14912-31-179134-12319-36-1341
10/20/2012@ MICHIGAN10-12L8W43.5U31-11221-34-192132-16314-30-1631
10/27/2012@ WISCONSIN16-13W5.5W41U28-6124-39-216137-1914-22-1710
11/3/2012NEBRASKA24-28L-1L44.5O43-2389-27-123240-31316-36-1603
11/17/2012NORTHWESTERN            
11/24/2012@ MINNESOTA            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
NORTHWESTERN is 9-7 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST since 1992
MICHIGAN ST is 11-5 straight up against NORTHWESTERN since 1992
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at MICHIGAN ST since 1992
NORTHWESTERN is 6-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST since 1992
MICHIGAN ST is 4-3 straight up against NORTHWESTERN since 1992
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
11/26/2011MICHIGAN ST31-5.5SU ATS172029:1036-16614-20214018-66
 NORTHWESTERN1753 Under32130:1841-11724-34253106-70
10/23/2010MICHIGAN ST35-4.5SU ATS72430:4426-10530-44352104-30
 NORTHWESTERN2751 Over172229:1647-17019-30215116-66
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring MICHIGAN ST in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 45.5% of the time since 1992. (95-114)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 35.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (12-22)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 51.4% of the time since 1992. (108-102)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 37.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (12-20)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 44.1% of the time since 1992. (60-76)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 53.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-14)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 54.8% of the time since 1992. (91-75)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 57.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-12)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
NORTHWESTERN
[DE] 10/01/2012 - Ifaedi Odenigbo out for season ( Undisclosed )
[LB] 10/01/2012 - Roderick Goodlow out for season ( Undisclosed )
[CB] 11/16/2012 - Nick VanHoose is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. Michigan State ( Shoulder )
[QB] 11/11/2012 - Kain Colter injured last game, probable Saturday vs. Michigan State ( Ankle )
[RB] 11/12/2012 - Venric Mark is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Michigan State ( Shoulder )
[LB] 11/16/2012 - Collin Ellis expected to miss Saturday vs. Michigan State ( Undisclosed )
MICHIGAN ST
[DE] 08/30/2012 - Taylor Calero has left team ( Personal )
[NT] 08/31/2012 - Brandon Clemons out for season ( Foot )
[OT] 09/16/2012 - Fou Fonoti out for season ( Foot )
[C] 10/01/2012 - Travis Jackson out for season ( Leg )
[S] 11/11/2012 - Jairus Jones "?" Saturday vs. Northwestern ( Leg )
[T] 11/11/2012 - Michael Dennis "?" Saturday vs. Northwestern ( Knee )
[S] 11/14/2012 - RJ Williamson is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Northwestern ( Ankle )
[FB] 11/17/2012 - Niko Palazeti expected to miss Saturday vs. Northwestern ( Undisclosed )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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