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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 3:30 PM
PURDUE (4-6) AT ILLINOIS (2-8) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
327: PURDUE
328: ILLINOIS
49.5
+6.5
28.3 / 29.6
16.9 / 31.5
4-6
2-8
5-5-0
2-8-0
6-3-0
5-4-0
158.8
123.5
232.4
175.0
391.2
298.5
181.5
178.2
222.2
202.1
403.7
380.3
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
PURDUE-4 
ILLINOIS  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
PURDUE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points0-01-218-240-02-112-240-02-129-16
in all games5-515-19114-1146-319-1278-904-615-20123-125
off a win against a conference rival0-03-338-280-03-222-320-02-431-38
when playing against a team with a losing record1-03-231-221-04-114-181-04-139-15
in weeks 10 through 131-14-638-281-17-321-261-13-732-37
in all lined games5-515-19114-1146-319-1278-904-615-20114-123
as a favorite2-26-960-593-010-339-483-111-493-31
as a road favorite0-10-317-161-02-114-120-11-228-8
as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points0-00-04-30-00-04-30-00-07-2
in road games3-16-748-522-27-639-351-33-1136-69
in road lined games3-16-748-522-27-639-351-33-1136-68
in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 520-11-17-71-02-09-60-10-26-9
in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 561-12-313-211-12-417-190-20-611-25
against conference opponents2-410-1280-784-213-852-641-57-1574-91
when playing on a Saturday5-514-19108-1076-318-1272-834-614-20115-119
when playing with 6 or less days rest4-412-1696-915-316-1063-752-610-1894-107
after playing a conference game2-39-1179-753-212-752-631-46-1471-91
in games played on turf2-13-426-232-15-225-111-22-524-27
in November games1-14-638-281-17-321-261-13-732-37

ILLINOIS - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points0-12-218-261-02-218-140-11-39-37
in all games2-817-19100-1305-415-1973-802-816-2097-146
after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses0-54-731-482-33-818-330-52-923-61
when playing against a team with a losing record0-12-319-310-12-311-150-12-324-27
in weeks 10 through 130-23-532-341-14-420-220-21-724-40
in all lined games2-817-19100-1305-415-1973-802-816-2087-146
as an underdog0-56-761-763-25-846-430-51-1226-112
as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points0-00-03-60-00-02-40-00-01-9
in home games2-49-1147-732-38-1037-372-411-961-71
in home lined games2-49-1147-732-38-1037-372-411-951-71
in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 521-03-17-80-11-38-71-03-17-8
in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 561-05-414-160-14-515-151-07-216-14
against conference opponents0-69-1372-923-311-1152-540-66-1655-110
when playing on a Saturday2-816-1897-1235-415-1769-752-815-1994-139
when playing with 6 or less days rest1-712-1579-1025-215-1057-611-712-1576-113
after playing a conference game0-59-1272-872-39-1248-570-56-1559-103
in games played on turf2-710-1562-1004-410-1352-482-711-1470-104
in November games0-23-532-341-14-420-220-21-724-40
off a loss against a conference rival0-56-944-592-36-929-380-54-1135-72
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
PURDUE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games4-6-2.55-56-328.317.0391.2(5.2)2.129.614.9403.7(5.7)1.8
Road Games1-3-1.53-12-223.510.2376.5(5.2)1.729.213.7360.0(5.3)1.2
Last 3 Games1-2-0.51-22-121.38.0415.3(5.1)1.734.020.3409.3(6)0.0
Turf Games1-2-0.52-12-125.711.3406.0(5.4)1.732.316.0354.7(5.4)1.3
Conference Games1-5-3.52-44-218.89.0343.0(4.8)1.835.518.8437.3(6.2)1.0
PURDUE - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)28.317.020.629:5636-159(4.4)23-3960.6%232(6)75-391(5.2)(13.8)
Opponents Defensive Avg.261320.630:2137-160(4.3)21-3461.3%222(6.5)71-382(5.4)(14.7)
Offense Road Games23.510.219.230:5237-150(4.1)21-3658.6%226(6.2)73-376(5.2)(16)
Defense (All Games)29.614.920.030:0438-181(4.7)18-3256.5%222(6.9)71-404(5.7)(13.6)
Opponents Offensive Avg.26.412.919.530:4539-172(4.4)17-2957.2%202(6.9)68-374(5.5)(14.2)
Defense Road Games29.213.717.529:0836-122(3.4)18-3256.6%237(7.4)68-360(5.3)(12.3)

ILLINOIS - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games2-8-6.52-85-416.99.1298.5(4.4)2.331.514.9380.3(5.8)1.6
Home Games2-4-4.52-42-319.811.8344.2(4.9)2.523.711.0295.3(4.6)1.5
Last 3 Games0-3-2.40-31-214.07.7272.7(3.9)1.733.318.3389.3(5.6)1.0
Turf Games2-7-5.52-74-417.29.3294.8(4.4)2.230.013.4365.9(5.6)1.6
Conference Games0-6-4.90-63-310.55.0267.0(4.1)2.035.216.7417.7(6.1)1.0
ILLINOIS - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)16.99.116.130:5438-123(3.3)19-3063.4%175(5.9)67-298(4.4)(17.7)
Opponents Defensive Avg.26.712.819.630:1537-152(4.1)20-3460.2%231(6.9)71-383(5.4)(14.4)
Offense Home Games19.811.817.531:1737-120(3.2)22-3267.5%224(6.9)70-344(4.9)(17.4)
Defense (All Games)31.514.918.829:0641-178(4.3)15-2461.5%202(8.3)65-380(5.8)(12.1)
Opponents Offensive Avg.3015.720.930:5240-178(4.5)18-3159.3%220(7.1)71-399(5.6)(13.3)
Defense Home Games23.711.015.228:4338-122(3.2)15-2558.2%173(6.8)64-295(4.6)(12.5)
Average power rating of opponents played: PURDUE 35.5,  ILLINOIS 36.6
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
PURDUE - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/29/2012MARSHALL51-41W-17L61.5O53-14927-37-294123-9545-68-4394
10/6/2012MICHIGAN13-44L3L55O26-5623-35-157454-3048-16-1051
10/13/2012WISCONSIN14-38L1.5L49.5O28-12811-31-124157-46712-21-1781
10/20/2012@ OHIO ST22-29L17W58U39-11719-30-230136-15215-32-1904
10/27/2012@ MINNESOTA28-44L-2L50O34-18321-43-198141-21215-22-2460
11/3/2012PENN ST9-34L3.5L49.5U26-8733-62-288138-18522-37-3210
11/10/2012@ IOWA27-24W5W48.5O44-21126-35-279331-7419-36-1900
11/17/2012@ ILLINOIS            
11/24/2012INDIANA            

ILLINOIS - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/22/2012LOUISIANA TECH24-52L-3L57O41-11927-37-205637-11915-22-2843
9/29/2012PENN ST7-35L-3L41.5O22-7429-47-292352-17318-30-2110
10/6/2012@ WISCONSIN14-31L14.5L44.5O34-10618-30-178233-17316-25-2542
10/13/2012@ MICHIGAN0-45L24L48U37-1057-16-29251-3539-15-1741
10/27/2012INDIANA17-31L-2.5L58.5U55-19617-27-176242-12114-22-1711
11/3/2012@ OHIO ST22-52L24.5L50.5O32-7419-34-96157-33013-22-2372
11/10/2012MINNESOTA3-17L2.5L45.5U35-10115-25-175250-2319-15-780
11/17/2012PURDUE            
11/24/2012@ NORTHWESTERN            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
PURDUE is 7-6 against the spread versus ILLINOIS since 1992
PURDUE is 9-5 straight up against ILLINOIS since 1992
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
ILLINOIS is 1-1 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
ILLINOIS is 1-1 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at ILLINOIS since 1992
ILLINOIS is 4-3 against the spread versus PURDUE since 1992
PURDUE is 4-3 straight up against ILLINOIS since 1992
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 1-0 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
ILLINOIS is 1-0 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
10/22/2011ILLINOIS14-3 Under02131:4733-12126-41245018-50
 PURDUE2149SU ATS211528:1342-12616-25178106-30
10/30/2010PURDUE1042 Over0921:4334-1537-2052204-40
 ILLINOIS44-16.5SU ATS172438:1748-18718-24204005-38
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring ILLINOIS in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PURDUE games 49.5% of the time since 1992. (94-96)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PURDUE games 63.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (19-11)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 49.2% of the time since 1992. (95-98)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 46.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-17)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PURDUE games 46.1% of the time since 1992. (70-82)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PURDUE games 46.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-16)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 50.4% of the time since 1992. (68-67)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 63.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (19-11)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
PURDUE
[LB] 08/30/2012 - Dwayne Beckford has been dismissed ( Suspension )
[WR] 10/16/2012 - Raheem Mostert is upgraded to "?" Saturday vs. Illinois ( Knee )
[DT] 11/14/2012 - Brandon Taylor is downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs. Illinois ( Ankle )
ILLINOIS
[LB] 08/24/2012 - Henry Dickinson out for season ( Leg )
[DB] 09/25/2012 - Ta'Jarvis Fuller has left the team ( Disciplinary )
[DL] 10/01/2012 - Jake Howe out for season ( Leg )
[LB] 11/14/2012 - Jonathan Brown is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. Purdue ( Shoulder )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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