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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points | 0-1 | 1-3 | 30-32 | 1-0 | 2-2 | 17-27 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 21-42 | | in all games | 4-3 | 16-14 | 107-114 | 3-3 | 13-16 | 65-81 | 4-3 | 21-12 | 107-135 | | against conference opponents | 2-1 | 8-9 | 74-78 | 2-1 | 8-9 | 44-57 | 2-1 | 11-7 | 75-82 | | when playing on a Saturday | 4-3 | 14-14 | 97-107 | 3-3 | 12-15 | 59-74 | 4-3 | 19-12 | 98-126 | | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 3-3 | 13-10 | 79-89 | 3-2 | 12-12 | 50-60 | 4-2 | 18-7 | 78-102 | | after playing a conference game | 2-0 | 9-6 | 65-74 | 1-1 | 8-8 | 40-50 | 2-0 | 13-4 | 72-79 | | in games played on turf | 1-1 | 2-3 | 13-14 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 6-8 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 11-18 | | in October games | 2-0 | 4-4 | 35-40 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 16-31 | 2-0 | 6-3 | 41-40 | | off a win against a conference rival | 1-0 | 4-4 | 23-39 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 17-21 | 1-0 | 7-3 | 33-37 | | after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins | 0-1 | 4-4 | 10-25 | 1-0 | 6-3 | 14-10 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 14-26 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 0-1 | 5-6 | 35-40 | 1-0 | 6-4 | 23-31 | 0-1 | 3-8 | 21-55 | | in weeks 5 through 9 | 2-1 | 4-5 | 37-46 | 2-1 | 4-5 | 21-35 | 2-1 | 6-4 | 43-48 | | in all lined games | 4-3 | 16-14 | 107-114 | 3-3 | 13-16 | 65-81 | 4-3 | 20-12 | 94-132 | | as an underdog | 1-1 | 6-4 | 65-68 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 43-54 | 0-2 | 2-8 | 33-102 | | as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points | 0-0 | 1-0 | 11-13 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 9-15 | | in road games | 1-1 | 6-6 | 56-55 | 1-1 | 5-8 | 23-48 | 0-2 | 7-6 | 40-76 | | in road lined games | 1-1 | 6-6 | 56-55 | 1-1 | 5-8 | 23-48 | 0-2 | 7-6 | 40-75 | | in a road game where the total is between 63.5 and 70 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-3 |
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| as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points | 1-0 | 3-5 | 19-18 | 1-0 | 2-6 | 15-16 | 1-0 | 6-2 | 29-8 | | in all games | 2-5 | 14-18 | 87-85 | 3-3 | 14-18 | 62-60 | 6-1 | 26-8 | 100-101 | | against conference opponents | 1-2 | 6-11 | 55-52 | 2-1 | 9-9 | 43-36 | 3-0 | 15-3 | 67-46 | | when playing on a Saturday | 2-5 | 12-16 | 75-77 | 3-3 | 13-16 | 52-51 | 6-1 | 22-8 | 90-89 | | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 1-5 | 10-14 | 62-61 | 3-2 | 11-12 | 45-38 | 5-1 | 18-6 | 67-63 | | after playing a conference game | 0-2 | 6-9 | 49-53 | 1-1 | 8-9 | 41-35 | 2-0 | 12-5 | 60-51 | | in games played on turf | 2-5 | 12-13 | 65-51 | 3-3 | 12-13 | 44-42 | 6-1 | 20-7 | 70-58 | | in October games | 0-2 | 3-8 | 31-29 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 23-19 | 2-0 | 9-2 | 36-27 | | off a win against a conference rival | 0-2 | 5-7 | 28-31 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 27-21 | 2-0 | 10-4 | 36-26 | | after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins | 0-3 | 5-11 | 24-27 | 1-2 | 7-10 | 22-22 | 3-0 | 15-2 | 34-22 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 0-1 | 2-5 | 24-26 | 0-1 | 2-7 | 19-20 | 1-0 | 5-4 | 23-34 | | in weeks 5 through 9 | 0-3 | 3-9 | 35-32 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 25-22 | 3-0 | 10-2 | 42-31 | | in all lined games | 2-5 | 14-18 | 87-85 | 3-3 | 14-18 | 62-60 | 6-1 | 26-8 | 89-85 | | as a favorite | 1-4 | 9-16 | 46-42 | 2-2 | 10-14 | 33-37 | 5-0 | 23-3 | 71-18 | | as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9-2 | | in home games | 0-3 | 7-8 | 46-33 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 25-31 | 2-1 | 14-2 | 57-34 | | in home lined games | 0-3 | 7-8 | 46-33 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 25-31 | 2-1 | 14-2 | 50-30 | | in a home game where the total is between 63.5 and 70 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 7-7 | 1-0 | 5-0 | 11-3 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 4-3 | -1.3 | 4-3 | 3-3 | 38.1 | 22.6 | 419.6 | (6.2) | 1.6 | 26.7 | 14.4 | 382.7 | (5.5) | 2.4 | | Road Games | 0-2 | -2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 26.0 | 16.5 | 333.0 | (5.5) | 4.0 | 36.5 | 25.0 | 491.5 | (6.5) | 2.5 | | Last 3 Games | 2-1 | 0 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 43.3 | 26.3 | 383.3 | (5.6) | 2.0 | 26.7 | 16.7 | 387.7 | (5.3) | 3.3 | | Turf Games | 0-2 | -2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 26.0 | 16.5 | 333.0 | (5.5) | 4.0 | 36.5 | 25.0 | 491.5 | (6.5) | 2.5 | | Conference Games | 2-1 | 0 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 43.3 | 26.3 | 383.3 | (5.6) | 2.0 | 26.7 | 16.7 | 387.7 | (5.3) | 3.3 |
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| Offense (All Games) | 38.1 | 22.6 | 22.4 | 30:53 | 44-226 | (5.1) | 14-24 | 59.0% | 194 | (8.2) | 68-420 | (6.2) | (11) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 32.9 | 20.3 | 21 | 29:03 | 41-209 | (5.1) | 15-25 | 59.4% | 199 | (7.8) | 66-409 | (6.2) | (12.4) | | Offense Road Games | 26.0 | 16.5 | 15.0 | 28:16 | 40-189 | (4.7) | 11-21 | 54.8% | 144 | (6.9) | 61-333 | (5.5) | (12.8) | | Defense (All Games) | 26.7 | 14.4 | 21.3 | 29:07 | 35-117 | (3.4) | 22-35 | 64.1% | 265 | (7.6) | 70-383 | (5.5) | (14.3) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 26.7 | 13.6 | 21.5 | 31:57 | 39-149 | (3.9) | 20-34 | 60.6% | 247 | (7.3) | 72-396 | (5.5) | (14.8) | | Defense Road Games | 36.5 | 25.0 | 27.0 | 31:44 | 30-112 | (3.7) | 33-45 | 73.6% | 379 | (8.3) | 76-491 | (6.5) | (13.5) |
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| All Games | 6-1 | +6.5 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 41.0 | 20.1 | 549.9 | (6.5) | 1.6 | 28.6 | 16.6 | 420.0 | (5.6) | 1.6 | | Home Games | 2-1 | -0.1 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 37.0 | 19.7 | 589.7 | (6.9) | 2.3 | 31.3 | 13.3 | 502.3 | (6) | 1.7 | | Last 3 Games | 3-0 | +3 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 37.0 | 18.3 | 540.0 | (6.5) | 2.0 | 28.7 | 22.0 | 346.7 | (4.8) | 1.3 | | Turf Games | 6-1 | +6.5 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 41.0 | 20.1 | 549.9 | (6.5) | 1.6 | 28.6 | 16.6 | 420.0 | (5.6) | 1.6 | | Conference Games | 3-0 | +3 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 48.7 | 23.0 | 545.3 | (6.8) | 1.7 | 29.7 | 20.7 | 388.0 | (5.1) | 1.7 |
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| Offense (All Games) | 41.0 | 20.1 | 30.7 | 30:46 | 52-286 | (5.4) | 22-32 | 68.8% | 264 | (8.4) | 84-550 | (6.5) | (13.4) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 34.3 | 17.8 | 25.5 | 31:59 | 43-213 | (4.9) | 21-34 | 63.0% | 244 | (7.2) | 77-457 | (5.9) | (13.3) | | Offense Home Games | 37.0 | 19.7 | 31.3 | 29:22 | 47-274 | (5.9) | 26-39 | 67.2% | 315 | (8.2) | 85-590 | (6.9) | (15.9) | | Defense (All Games) | 28.6 | 16.6 | 23.7 | 29:03 | 35-156 | (4.5) | 22-40 | 53.7% | 264 | (6.6) | 75-420 | (5.6) | (14.7) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 25 | 12.7 | 19.9 | 30:39 | 36-148 | (4.1) | 19-33 | 57.1% | 226 | (6.8) | 69-374 | (5.4) | (15) | | Defense Home Games | 31.3 | 13.3 | 26.3 | 30:38 | 39-193 | (4.9) | 24-44 | 54.1% | 309 | (7) | 84-502 | (6) | (16) |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: SAN DIEGO ST 23.1, NEVADA 22.3 |
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| Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed. |
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| 9/1/2012 | @ WASHINGTON | 12-21 | L | 15.5 | W | 55.5 | U | 40-199 | 10-19-128 | 3 | 31-106 | 25-35-222 | 1 | | 9/8/2012 | ARMY | 42-7 | W | -5.5 | W | 50 | U | 42-228 | 14-21-215 | 0 | 62-282 | 3-9-50 | 3 | | 9/15/2012 | N DAKOTA | 49-41 | W | -24 | L | | - | 42-292 | 11-19-241 | 0 | 27-55 | 27-50-434 | 1 | | 9/22/2012 | SAN JOSE ST | 34-38 | L | -2 | L | 54 | O | 55-271 | 17-29-213 | 2 | 23-77 | 22-32-290 | 2 | | 9/29/2012 | @ FRESNO ST | 40-52 | L | 8 | L | 61 | O | 40-179 | 13-23-160 | 5 | 30-119 | 42-56-536 | 4 | | 10/6/2012 | HAWAII | 52-14 | W | -19.5 | W | 59 | O | 51-194 | 17-33-218 | 0 | 30-61 | 14-28-112 | 3 | | 10/13/2012 | COLORADO ST | 38-14 | W | -22.5 | W | 54 | U | 38-218 | 16-22-181 | 1 | 40-121 | 24-35-214 | 3 | | 10/20/2012 | @ NEVADA | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10/27/2012 | UNLV | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/3/2012 | @ BOISE ST | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/10/2012 | AIR FORCE | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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| 9/1/2012 | @ CALIFORNIA | 31-24 | W | 12.5 | W | 56 | U | 57-220 | 25-32-230 | 1 | 29-110 | 18-38-255 | 2 | | 9/8/2012 | S FLORIDA | 31-32 | L | 0 | L | 58 | O | 53-278 | 27-38-271 | 3 | 35-209 | 22-40-363 | 1 | | 9/15/2012 | NORTHWESTERN ST | 45-34 | W | -34 | L | | - | 50-418 | 21-33-237 | 1 | 36-228 | 28-53-357 | 2 | | 9/22/2012 | @ HAWAII | 69-24 | W | -7 | W | 61 | O | 56-355 | 14-20-220 | 0 | 34-144 | 22-40-234 | 2 | | 9/29/2012 | @ TEXAS ST | 34-21 | W | -17.5 | L | 63 | U | 50-273 | 21-34-286 | 1 | 29-68 | 18-34-186 | 1 | | 10/6/2012 | WYOMING | 35-28 | W | -20 | L | 68.5 | U | 37-127 | 30-45-438 | 3 | 47-143 | 22-40-207 | 2 | | 10/13/2012 | @ UNLV | 42-37 | W | -11.5 | L | 63 | O | 64-329 | 14-19-167 | 2 | 32-193 | 21-36-243 | 1 | | 10/20/2012 | SAN DIEGO ST | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10/26/2012 | @ AIR FORCE | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/10/2012 | FRESNO ST | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/17/2012 | @ NEW MEXICO | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| SAN DIEGO ST is 1-0 against the spread versus NEVADA since 1992 | | SAN DIEGO ST is 2-0 straight up against NEVADA since 1992 |
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| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
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| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
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| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SAN DIEGO ST games 57.9% of the time since 1992. (113-82) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SAN DIEGO ST games 53.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-13) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NEVADA games 53% of the time since 1992. (79-70) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NEVADA games 55.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-13) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in SAN DIEGO ST games 50% of the time since 1992. (60-60) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in SAN DIEGO ST games 55.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-12) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in NEVADA games 57.1% of the time since 1992. (64-48) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in NEVADA games 48.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-15) | |
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| [WR] 08/09/2012 - Paul Pitts out for season ( Knee ) | | [OG] 08/31/2012 - Garrett Corbett out indefinitely ( Ankle ) | | [DB] 09/21/2012 - J.J. Whittaker out for season ( Shoulder ) | | [WR] 08/31/2012 - Osmond Nicholas out indefinitely ( Leg ) | | [RB] 09/28/2012 - De'Saan Hardwick out indefinitely ( Hernia ) | | [DL] 10/18/2012 - Dontrell Onuoha expected to miss 3 weeks ( Personal ) | | [OG] 10/18/2012 - Japheth Gordon doubtful Saturday vs. Nevada ( Foot ) | | [DB] 10/17/2012 - Nat Berhe probable Saturday vs. Nevada ( Illness ) | | [DB] 10/17/2012 - Gabe Lemon expected to miss Saturday vs. Nevada ( Knee ) | |
| [WR] 08/07/2012 - Nigel Westbrooks out for season ( ACL ) | | [K] 09/07/2012 - Anthony Martinez out for season ( Hip ) | | [DT] 10/14/2012 - Jack Reynoso probable Saturday vs. San Diego State ( Ankle ) | | [S] 10/14/2012 - Ty Thompson "?" Saturday vs. San Diego State ( Hand ) | | [QB] 10/14/2012 - Cody Fajardo missed last game, probable Saturday vs. San Diego State ( Back ) | | [OL] 10/14/2012 - Alex Pinto injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. San Diego State ( Leg ) |
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