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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 3:30 PM
S FLORIDA (2-4) AT LOUISVILLE (6-0) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
383: S FLORIDA
384: LOUISVILLE
55.0
-5.5
25.2 / 27.5
33.3 / 21.3
2-4
6-0
2-4-0
3-3-0
3-2-0
3-2-0
147.5
167.0
260.5
242.2
408.0
409.2
173.7
114.0
217.2
217.2
390.8
331.2
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
S FLORIDA  
LOUISVILLE-9 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
S FLORIDA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points0-02-19-90-02-17-100-02-16-13
in all games2-411-1961-623-213-1642-572-415-16109-72
against conference opponents0-23-1329-401-17-925-320-24-1255-49
when playing on a Saturday2-38-1351-463-17-1329-452-311-1198-55
when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest0-01-310-90-01-36-100-02-214-10
after playing a conference game0-15-928-351-06-823-330-16-835-32
after a bye week0-01-412-110-02-39-110-03-222-13
in games played on turf1-13-215-92-04-18-111-13-214-11
in October games0-12-514-221-03-416-130-12-529-26
off a loss against a conference rival0-14-617-181-05-515-170-14-619-17
after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses1-13-412-91-14-311-80-22-513-12
when playing against a team with a winning record1-14-1125-331-16-921-320-25-1023-37
in weeks 5 through 91-13-620-221-14-519-130-22-730-29
in all lined games2-411-1961-623-213-1642-572-414-1668-56
as an underdog2-07-528-241-14-817-261-16-620-33
as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points0-00-03-20-00-03-20-00-01-4
in road games1-26-731-303-07-622-261-26-735-44
in road lined games1-26-731-303-07-622-261-26-730-32
in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 560-01-24-70-03-04-60-01-26-5
in a road game where the total is between 52.5 and 560-01-02-20-01-01-30-01-03-1

LOUISVILLE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points0-01-018-210-00-15-120-01-026-13
in all games3-318-14118-1153-213-1570-696-020-12150-97
against conference opponents1-010-563-611-07-838-341-09-678-48
when playing on a Saturday2-313-1089-812-27-1333-455-014-9114-69
when playing with 6 or less days rest1-311-972-711-29-937-374-012-891-62
after playing a conference game0-09-558-590-07-742-340-09-573-49
in games played on turf2-37-339-412-26-319-165-08-248-34
in October games1-08-339-381-03-818-221-06-552-28
off a win against a conference rival0-04-439-320-04-428-200-04-447-29
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins2-23-537-432-25-326-244-05-350-33
when playing against a team with a losing record1-25-531-371-25-514-153-07-352-18
in weeks 5 through 91-18-443-441-13-918-262-07-559-31
in all lined games3-318-14118-1153-213-1570-696-020-12140-97
as a favorite3-310-976-753-26-1040-486-015-4115-38
as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points0-00-05-80-00-00-30-00-07-6
in home games2-16-1053-602-04-927-353-09-786-38
in home lined games2-16-1053-602-04-927-353-09-777-38
in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 561-03-114-81-03-17-151-03-115-7
in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 561-02-19-71-02-16-101-02-110-6
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
S FLORIDA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games2-4-8.72-43-225.29.8408.0(5.9)2.527.511.0390.8(5.2)0.7
Road Games1-2-4.41-23-029.09.7491.3(6.6)2.033.013.3448.3(5.8)1.0
Last 3 Games0-3-6.41-22-124.06.3390.0(5.4)2.732.710.7407.0(5.9)0.0
Turf Games1-1-2.41-12-029.511.0545.0(7.3)1.531.015.5481.0(5.9)1.5
Conference Games0-2-5.30-21-120.56.5360.5(5.3)3.530.06.0403.5(5.2)0.5
S FLORIDA - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)25.29.821.026:0436-147(4.1)18-3355.5%260(7.8)69-408(5.9)(16.2)
Opponents Defensive Avg.23.913.82028:0134-122(3.5)19-3555.9%245(7)69-367(5.3)(15.3)
Offense Road Games29.09.725.327:4841-193(4.7)20-3458.4%298(8.9)75-491(6.6)(16.9)
Defense (All Games)27.511.021.833:5644-174(3.9)20-3067.4%217(7.2)74-391(5.2)(14.2)
Opponents Offensive Avg.30.915.121.331:2242-180(4.2)19-2965.0%216(7.5)71-396(5.5)(12.8)
Defense Road Games33.013.326.332:1246-221(4.8)22-3171.3%227(7.3)78-448(5.8)(13.6)

LOUISVILLE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games6-0+53-33-233.319.8409.2(6)1.021.312.2331.2(5.3)1.3
Home Games3-0+22-12-035.325.3467.7(6.4)0.718.37.0344.0(5.5)2.0
Last 3 Games3-0+31-21-231.314.3350.7(5.6)1.324.317.3318.3(5.1)0.7
Turf Games5-0+42-32-231.020.4399.0(5.7)1.218.610.4321.4(5.3)1.6
Conference Games1-0+11-01-045.017.0460.0(7.9)0.035.021.0380.0(5.4)0.0
LOUISVILLE - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)33.319.822.533:2540-167(4.2)20-2870.8%242(8.5)68-409(6)(12.3)
Opponents Defensive Avg.31.61620.832:3338-168(4.4)20-3263.7%234(7.4)70-402(5.8)(12.7)
Offense Home Games35.325.326.036:1042-178(4.2)25-3179.8%290(9.3)73-468(6.4)(13.2)
Defense (All Games)21.312.218.526:2530-114(3.7)21-3265.6%217(6.8)62-331(5.3)(15.5)
Opponents Offensive Avg.23.112.219.928:1836-147(4)19-3358.8%231(7)69-379(5.5)(16.4)
Defense Home Games18.37.019.723:5022-80(3.6)26-4064.2%264(6.6)62-344(5.5)(18.8)
Average power rating of opponents played: S FLORIDA 33,  LOUISVILLE 27.3
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
S FLORIDA - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/1/2012CHATTANOOGA34-13W-29.5L -31-8520-33-284245-4913-18-1020
9/8/2012@ NEVADA32-31W0W58O35-20922-40-363153-27827-38-2713
9/13/2012RUTGERS13-23L-7.5L44.5U29-9515-33-242442-14723-43-2771
9/22/2012@ BALL ST27-31L-8L57.5O45-20619-30-312235-16924-36-2440
9/29/2012FLORIDA ST17-30L17W53U32-12517-33-143340-18319-26-2420
10/6/2012@ TEMPLE28-37L-4.5L47O44-16518-31-219351-21616-20-1670
10/20/2012@ LOUISVILLE            
10/27/2012SYRACUSE            
11/3/2012CONNECTICUT            
11/17/2012@ MIAMI            

LOUISVILLE - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/2/2012KENTUCKY32-14W-14W43O46-21922-26-247019-9335-51-2802
9/8/2012MISSOURI ST35-7W-35L -37-13130-40-344131-9916-28-1502
9/15/2012N CAROLINA39-34W-3W56O43-18323-28-279117-4726-41-3632
9/22/2012@ FLA INTERNATIONAL28-21W-10.5L52.5U31-12919-36-194234-12819-26-1981
9/29/2012@ SOUTHERN MISS21-17W-10.5L48.5U50-18410-14-85248-2242-9-251
10/13/2012@ PITTSBURGH45-35W-2W50O31-15617-27-304034-9328-37-2870
10/20/2012S FLORIDA            
10/26/2012CINCINNATI            
11/3/2012TEMPLE            
11/10/2012@ SYRACUSE            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
LOUISVILLE is 5-4 against the spread versus S FLORIDA since 1992
S FLORIDA is 5-4 straight up against LOUISVILLE since 1992
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
LOUISVILLE is 1-1 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
LOUISVILLE is 1-1 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at LOUISVILLE since 1992
LOUISVILLE is 3-1 against the spread versus S FLORIDA since 1992
LOUISVILLE is 3-1 straight up against S FLORIDA since 1992
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 1-0 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
S FLORIDA is 1-0 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
11/25/2011LOUISVILLE3444.5SU ATS101635:4041-13219-28241103-25
 S FLORIDA24-5.5 Over171624:2031-6421-36247213-18
11/13/2010S FLORIDA2446.5SU ATS101027:4539-17211-1987105-55
 LOUISVILLE21-2 Under142132:1549-18216-31146028-63
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring S FLORIDA in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in S FLORIDA games 45.1% of the time since 1992. (51-62)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in S FLORIDA games 23.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (6-20)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LOUISVILLE games 49.5% of the time since 1992. (98-100)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LOUISVILLE games 40% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (10-15)
Edge=LOUISVILLE
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in S FLORIDA games 40% of the time since 1992. (34-51)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in S FLORIDA games 48.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-14)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in LOUISVILLE games 51.7% of the time since 1992. (61-57)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in LOUISVILLE games 57.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-12)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
S FLORIDA
[WR] 09/10/2012 - Sterling Griffin out for season ( Knee )
[LB] 10/15/2012 - Reshard Cliett probable Saturday vs. Louisville ( Hamstring )
[WR] 10/01/2012 - Chris Dunkley out indefinitely ( Suspension )
[LB] 10/15/2012 - Tashon Whitehurst probable Saturday vs. Louisville ( Knee )
LOUISVILLE
[WR] 08/10/2012 - Michaelee Harris out for season ( Knee )
[OL] 10/14/2012 - John Miller "?" Saturday vs. South Florida ( Ankle )
[LB] 10/14/2012 - James Burgess "?" Saturday vs. South Florida ( Undisclosed )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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