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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 12:00 PM
TOLEDO (1-2) AT C MICHIGAN (1-2) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
377: TOLEDO
378: C MICHIGAN
57.5
+13.0
20.7 / 27.7
18.0 / 37.0
1-2
1-2
2-1-0
0-3-0
0-3-0
1-0-1
166.7
94.3
207.3
247.3
374.0
341.7
161.7
174.0
230.3
245.7
392.0
419.7
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
TOLEDO-9 
C MICHIGAN  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
TOLEDO - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points0-06-321-140-06-29-60-09-030-6
in all games2-116-1393-820-310-1760-601-219-10160-92
in all lined games2-116-1393-820-310-1760-601-219-10105-74
as a favorite1-08-958-400-18-728-241-015-279-21
as a road favorite0-02-317-160-02-35-110-05-025-10
as a road favorite of 10.5 to 14 points0-02-04-40-01-11-40-02-06-3
in road games1-19-540-450-24-1024-370-28-663-57
in road lined games1-19-540-450-24-1024-370-28-641-47
in a road game where the total is between 56.5 and 630-02-25-110-01-37-100-04-08-9
against conference opponents0-09-767-520-07-941-370-013-3117-53
when playing on a Saturday2-112-770-560-36-1239-351-213-6131-66
when playing with 6 or less days rest1-110-860-530-27-1040-331-116-2117-53
in games played on turf1-111-1166-510-28-1250-391-115-786-44
in September games1-17-431-250-22-720-181-16-553-31
when playing against a team with a losing record0-02-337-270-02-320-130-05-070-19

C MICHIGAN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points0-01-415-180-03-18-50-01-44-29
in all games0-37-2180-901-016-753-441-211-17115-136
in all lined games0-37-2180-901-016-753-441-211-1775-100
as an underdog0-23-1541-581-013-332-150-23-1518-84
as a home underdog of 10.5 to 14 points0-00-11-20-00-11-10-00-10-3
in home games0-13-1034-320-05-416-191-06-764-44
in home lined games0-13-1034-320-05-416-191-06-737-33
in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 630-02-35-60-03-24-70-02-36-5
against conference opponents0-05-1160-580-012-434-310-06-1086-86
when playing on a Saturday0-35-1565-751-013-438-291-27-1391-121
when playing with 6 or less days rest0-25-1458-670-013-433-331-17-1285-98
in games played on turf0-37-1652-571-012-635-331-211-1263-62
in September games0-21-824-260-04-115-121-13-637-46
when playing against a team with a losing record0-04-532-360-05-419-170-05-451-37
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
TOLEDO - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games1-202-10-320.79.3374.0(5.8)1.327.716.0392.0(5.7)1.3
Road Games0-2-11-10-214.56.0296.0(5)2.031.017.0399.5(5.6)1.0
Last 3 Games1-202-10-320.79.3374.0(5.8)1.327.716.0392.0(5.7)1.3
Turf Games1-101-10-228.012.5458.5(6.5)1.529.515.5380.5(5.6)1.5
TOLEDO - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)20.79.318.028:0830-167(5.6)20-3556.2%207(5.9)65-374(5.8)(18.1)
Opponents Defensive Avg.23.812.218.328:0530-130(4.4)22-3661.5%230(6.5)65-360(5.5)(15.1)
Offense Road Games14.56.014.523:4719-87(4.5)21-3954.4%208(5.3)59-296(5)(20.4)
Defense (All Games)27.716.021.031:5039-162(4.1)18-2961.4%230(7.9)68-392(5.7)(14.2)
Opponents Offensive Avg.34.318.824.832:5440-190(4.7)22-3366.0%294(9)73-485(6.6)(14.1)
Defense Road Games31.017.022.536:0947-217(4.6)16-2370.2%182(7.8)71-399(5.6)(12.9)

C MICHIGAN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games1-200-31-118.09.0341.7(5.1)1.737.018.3419.7(6)2.0
Home Games1-0+10-10-124.00.0437.0(6.7)1.021.013.0385.0(5.5)2.0
Last 3 Games1-200-31-118.09.0341.7(5.1)1.737.018.3419.7(6)2.0
Turf Games1-200-31-118.09.0341.7(5.1)1.737.018.3419.7(6)2.0
C MICHIGAN - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)18.09.016.729:0530-94(3.2)19-3751.4%247(6.7)67-342(5.1)(19)
Opponents Defensive Avg.29.411.618.930:5233-146(4.4)19-3751.7%246(6.7)70-392(5.6)(13.3)
Offense Home Games24.00.017.029:1928-104(3.7)21-3756.8%333(9)65-437(6.7)(18.2)
Defense (All Games)37.018.321.730:5544-174(4)19-2671.8%246(9.4)70-420(6)(11.3)
Opponents Offensive Avg.28.714.919.830:4940-170(4.3)19-3062.8%232(7.6)70-402(5.7)(14)
Defense Home Games21.013.019.030:4143-158(3.7)17-2763.0%227(8.4)70-385(5.5)(18.3)
Average power rating of opponents played: TOLEDO 29,  C MICHIGAN 20.3
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
TOLEDO - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
8/31/2013@ FLORIDA6-24L23W55.5U16-5017-38-155148-26217-22-1531
9/7/2013@ MISSOURI23-38L14L65.5U23-12526-41-262347-17216-25-2121
9/14/2013E WASHINGTON33-21W-7W74U51-32516-26-205022-5121-41-3262
9/21/2013@ C MICHIGAN            
9/28/2013@ BALL ST            
10/5/2013W MICHIGAN            
10/19/2013NAVY            

C MICHIGAN - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
8/31/2013@ MICHIGAN9-59L32.5L52O29-6613-28-144247-24214-21-2213
9/7/2013NEW HAMPSHIRE24-21W-3.5L -28-10421-37-333143-15817-27-2272
9/14/2013@ UNLV21-31L7.5L52P32-11323-46-265241-12225-30-2891
9/21/2013TOLEDO            
9/28/2013@ NC STATE            
10/5/2013@ MIAMI OHIO            
10/12/2013@ OHIO U            
10/19/2013N ILLINOIS            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
TOLEDO is 8-6 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN since 1992
TOLEDO is 13-8 straight up against C MICHIGAN since 1992
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 2-0 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 2-0 straight up against C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at C MICHIGAN since 1992
C MICHIGAN is 3-3 against the spread versus TOLEDO since 1992
TOLEDO is 6-5 straight up against C MICHIGAN since 1992
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons.
TOLEDO is 1-0 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 1-0 straight up against C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
10/6/2012C MICHIGAN3564 Over212231:1024-4628-44327023-35
 TOLEDO50-11.5SU ATS172328:5036-18326-40250215-46
11/18/2011TOLEDO44-14SU ATS202434:5741-23624-33275006-65
 C MICHIGAN1774 Under102025:0324-11320-37233015-53
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring C MICHIGAN in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 52.6% of the time since 1992. (82-74)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 56% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-11)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in C MICHIGAN games 45.7% of the time since 1992. (69-82)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in C MICHIGAN games 37.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (9-15)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TOLEDO games 45% of the time since 1992. (50-61)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TOLEDO games 34.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (9-17)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in C MICHIGAN games 37.1% of the time since 1992. (33-56)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in C MICHIGAN games 19% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (4-17)
Edge=Under
Key Player Injuries
TOLEDO
[DB] 09/21/2013 - Jordan Haden "?" Saturday vs. Central Michigan ( Collarbone )
[QB] 09/21/2013 - Terrance Owens is upgraded to probable, but may not start Saturday vs. Central Michigan ( Knee )
[LB] 09/21/2013 - Chase Murdock probable Saturday vs. Central Michigan ( Undisclosed )
[RB] 09/17/2013 - David Fluellen probable Saturday vs. Central Michigan ( Ankle )
[DL] 09/15/2013 - Elijah Jones "?" Saturday vs. Central Michigan ( Blood Clot )
[LB] 08/30/2013 - Jaylen Coleman out indefinitely ( Knee )
C MICHIGAN
[WR] 09/15/2013 - Andrew Flory "?" Saturday vs. Toledo ( Shoulder )
[RB] 09/01/2013 - Zurlon Tipton out for season ( Leg )
[QB] 09/01/2013 - Cody Kater out indefinitely ( Shoulder )
[DE] 08/15/2013 - Matt Russo has left team ( Concussion )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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