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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 1:00 PM
TOLEDO (5-1) AT E MICHIGAN (0-5) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
123: TOLEDO
124: E MICHIGAN
57.5
+14.5
33.8 / 25.0
15.4 / 37.2
5-1
0-5
5-1-0
1-4-0
2-3-0
3-1-0
178.0
121.0
267.0
141.0
445.0
262.0
141.8
305.4
310.0
182.2
451.8
487.6
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
TOLEDO-20 
E MICHIGAN  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
TOLEDO - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points1-07-221-121-06-28-51-09-028-6
in all games5-119-1289-762-317-1359-515-122-10155-87
against conference opponents3-014-566-481-211-840-333-017-2114-51
when playing on a Saturday5-114-667-522-310-938-295-115-5127-63
when playing with 6 or less days rest4-112-758-492-211-739-285-016-3112-52
after playing a conference game1-110-759-491-013-438-312-015-3107-53
in games played on turf4-113-1063-452-213-949-315-016-881-40
in October games1-06-427-281-06-416-151-08-254-26
off a win against a conference rival1-19-639-331-012-324-192-013-352-24
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins2-16-626-301-18-417-153-09-461-32
when playing against a team with a losing record0-06-237-240-04-419-110-07-167-19
in weeks 5 through 92-07-430-341-16-518-192-09-260-32
in all lined games5-119-1289-762-317-1359-515-122-10100-69
as a favorite2-111-757-361-110-627-203-016-275-20
as a road favorite0-03-117-140-01-34-100-04-023-10
in road games3-011-438-421-27-823-332-110-561-54
in road lined games3-011-438-421-27-823-332-110-539-44
in a road game where the total is between 56.5 and 632-02-25-101-12-27-92-03-17-9

E MICHIGAN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points0-06-227-170-04-49-170-03-512-32
in all games1-412-1567-863-116-1141-440-58-2164-169
against conference opponents0-28-955-542-011-728-300-26-1252-111
when playing on a Saturday1-310-1360-772-114-1033-380-47-1858-155
when playing with 6 or less days rest1-19-1154-661-111-1132-350-27-1550-132
after playing a conference game0-16-943-550-010-426-230-14-1145-111
in games played on turf0-36-1139-542-010-626-310-36-1229-82
in October games0-13-624-281-07-313-170-14-624-57
off a loss against a conference rival0-15-433-360-05-319-180-13-622-53
after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses1-24-636-422-18-323-230-33-828-84
when playing against a team with a winning record1-13-518-221-14-513-130-21-86-51
in weeks 5 through 90-13-626-321-07-314-190-14-626-63
in all lined games1-412-1567-863-116-1141-440-58-2136-121
as an underdog1-310-1259-723-114-937-380-44-1922-111
as a home underdog of 14.5 to 17 points0-00-02-20-00-01-00-00-01-3
in home games0-24-826-371-06-514-190-25-840-66
in home lined games0-24-826-371-06-514-190-25-823-42
in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 630-00-11-30-01-02-20-00-11-3
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
TOLEDO - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games5-1+3.65-12-333.817.0445.0(5.8)1.025.012.5451.8(6.1)2.2
Road Games2-1+1.63-01-229.317.0461.0(5.6)0.324.012.3518.3(6.7)3.3
Last 3 Games3-0+22-11-141.718.0452.0(6.4)1.326.714.0403.3(5.4)2.0
Turf Games5-0+4.64-12-237.217.6462.4(6.3)1.025.213.0417.4(5.8)2.0
Conference Games3-0+33-01-238.018.0468.7(6.6)1.322.310.3376.3(5.4)2.3
TOLEDO - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)33.817.023.731:3739-178(4.6)24-3862.8%267(7.1)77-445(5.8)(13.2)
Opponents Defensive Avg.31.415.920.831:0639-171(4.4)21-3463.2%245(7.3)73-417(5.7)(13.3)
Offense Road Games29.317.026.333:2943-214(5)23-4056.2%247(6.1)83-461(5.6)(15.7)
Defense (All Games)25.012.523.228:2332-142(4.4)27-4263.5%310(7.4)74-452(6.1)(18.1)
Opponents Offensive Avg.2813.822.630:1334-136(4)25-4160.9%288(7.1)75-424(5.7)(15.2)
Defense Road Games24.012.326.026:3136-198(5.6)26-4262.4%320(7.7)77-518(6.7)(21.6)

E MICHIGAN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games0-5-3.61-43-115.410.0262.0(4.6)2.437.215.2487.6(6.1)1.4
Home Games0-2-2.60-21-014.010.5224.0(4.7)3.536.013.5419.0(5.4)1.5
Last 3 Games0-3-11-22-112.37.7232.0(4.3)2.039.317.7490.3(6.5)1.3
Turf Games0-3-3.60-32-018.011.3271.3(5)2.736.313.3478.0(5.7)1.3
Conference Games0-2-20-22-020.010.0283.0(5.4)1.539.015.0531.5(6)1.0
E MICHIGAN - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)15.410.012.223:5431-121(4)12-2647.3%141(5.4)57-262(4.6)(17)
Opponents Defensive Avg.23.713.917.826:0634-130(3.9)18-3256.9%220(6.8)66-350(5.3)(14.8)
Offense Home Games14.010.59.019:3226-105(4)10-2147.6%119(5.7)47-224(4.7)(16)
Defense (All Games)37.215.225.635:4850-305(6.1)18-2960.5%182(6.2)80-488(6.1)(13.1)
Opponents Offensive Avg.31.215.122.834:3543-187(4.4)21-3461.5%227(6.6)77-413(5.4)(13.3)
Defense Home Games36.013.524.039:4355-268(4.9)14-2360.9%150(6.5)78-419(5.4)(11.6)
Average power rating of opponents played: TOLEDO 24,  E MICHIGAN 25.6
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
TOLEDO - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/1/2012@ ARIZONA17-24L10.5W64U47-16121-47-197141-23730-47-3873
9/8/2012@ WYOMING34-31W3.5W58.5O44-20425-41-300036-18422-32-3423
9/15/2012BOWLING GREEN27-15W-3W61U39-13021-29-322129-13524-36-2161
9/22/2012COASTAL CAROLINA38-28W-29L -31-11227-36-290134-7630-47-3560
9/29/2012@ W MICHIGAN37-17W1W57U37-27822-33-243030-17326-46-2324
10/6/2012C MICHIGAN50-35W-11.5W64O36-18326-40-250324-4628-44-3272
10/13/2012@ E MICHIGAN            
10/20/2012CINCINNATI            
10/27/2012@ BUFFALO            
11/6/2012BALL ST            

E MICHIGAN - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
8/30/2012@ BALL ST26-37L3L55.5O33-18015-34-186155-32926-41-2671
9/8/2012ILLINOIS ST14-31L-3L -32-10311-25-145553-21614-22-1552
9/15/2012@ PURDUE16-54L23.5L49.5O38-16914-29-144342-39219-31-1842
9/22/2012@ MICHIGAN ST7-23L31.5W47U29-4613-26-137144-26916-29-1591
10/6/2012KENT ST14-41L3L47O21-1079-17-93257-32114-24-1461
10/13/2012TOLEDO            
10/20/2012ARMY            
10/27/2012@ BOWLING GREEN            
11/1/2012@ OHIO U            
11/10/2012C MICHIGAN            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
TOLEDO is 10-4 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN since 1992
TOLEDO is 16-4 straight up against E MICHIGAN since 1992
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 2-0 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 2-0 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at E MICHIGAN since 1992
TOLEDO is 5-2 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN since 1992
TOLEDO is 6-3 straight up against E MICHIGAN since 1992
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons.
TOLEDO is 1-0 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 1-0 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
10/8/2011E MICHIGAN1652 Over91026:1432-8913-241381212-85
 TOLEDO54-20.5SU ATS232633:4643-24027-31302105-43
10/30/2010TOLEDO42-11.5SU ATS151426:1838-20012-19237104-35
 E MICHIGAN756 Under71733:4233-10021-39226029-86
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring TOLEDO in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 51.4% of the time since 1992. (76-72)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 46.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-15)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in E MICHIGAN games 55.2% of the time since 1992. (74-60)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in E MICHIGAN games 65% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-7)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TOLEDO games 47.5% of the time since 1992. (48-53)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TOLEDO games 58.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-12)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in E MICHIGAN games 52.7% of the time since 1992. (39-35)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in E MICHIGAN games 43.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (10-13)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
TOLEDO
[DT] 10/07/2012 - Danny Farr "?" Saturday vs. Eastern Michigan ( Knee )
[DE] 10/01/2012 - T.J. Fatinikun out for season ( Achilles )
[DE] 10/07/2012 - Christian Smith out indefinitely ( Knee )
[DE] 10/09/2012 - Keenen Gibbs probable Saturday vs. Eastern Michigan ( Knee )
[WR] 10/13/2012 - Justin Olack is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Eastern Michigan ( Shoulder )
E MICHIGAN
[LB] 10/07/2012 - Colin Weingrad "?" Saturday vs. Toledo ( Head )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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