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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 4:30 PM
TOLEDO (9-3) AT UTAH ST (10-2) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
203: TOLEDO
204: UTAH ST
59.0
-10.5
32.9 / 27.3
34.4 / 15.4
9-3
10-2
7-5-0
10-1-1
3-8-0
3-8-0
197.2
192.8
258.9
267.8
456.1
460.7
168.1
111.4
295.2
211.3
463.3
322.7
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
TOLEDO  
UTAH ST-9 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
TOLEDO - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in a bowl game0-00-12-30-02-03-30-01-14-3
off a win against a conference rival2-310-840-352-213-525-214-115-454-25
when playing against a team with a winning record2-16-725-290-39-421-231-27-631-39
as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points1-03-38-80-12-45-90-11-54-12
in all games7-521-1691-803-818-1860-569-326-12159-89
in all lined games7-521-1691-803-818-1860-569-326-12104-71
as an underdog5-010-534-401-47-932-333-27-926-50
as a neutral field underdog of 10.5 to 14 points0-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-0
against WAC opponents0-00-11-20-01-02-10-00-12-3
when playing on a Saturday6-315-868-543-511-1139-318-118-5130-63
when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest0-00-19-50-02-05-30-01-115-7
after playing a conference game3-412-1061-522-414-839-355-218-5110-55
after a bye week0-10-412-130-14-18-80-11-419-16
in games played on a neutral field0-00-13-40-02-03-50-01-14-5
in games played on turf6-515-1465-493-714-1450-369-220-1085-42
in December games0-00-14-40-02-04-50-01-15-6
in non-conference games3-16-724-281-26-619-193-16-842-36

UTAH ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in a bowl game0-00-10-20-00-11-10-00-11-2
off a win against a conference rival4-16-518-152-35-79-135-010-218-18
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins5-16-48-102-43-83-94-27-412-10
when playing against a team with a winning record4-09-325-223-16-518-173-16-612-42
as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points2-04-36-70-13-33-52-06-111-2
in all games10-121-1481-813-813-2143-5610-221-1668-138
in all lined games10-121-1481-813-813-2143-5610-221-1653-114
as a favorite6-19-921-232-58-1010-188-016-432-14
as a neutral field favorite of 10.5 to 14 points0-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-0
against MAC opponents0-00-10-10-00-10-10-00-12-1
when playing on a Saturday7-116-1470-743-613-1738-478-118-1464-119
when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest1-03-311-101-03-27-41-02-415-17
after playing a conference game4-19-942-412-37-1124-335-012-737-61
after a bye week1-03-313-101-03-27-51-02-415-21
in games played on a neutral field0-00-10-20-00-11-10-00-11-2
in games played on turf9-112-225-233-76-814-1410-112-424-40
in December games0-01-21-40-00-21-20-01-22-4
in non-conference games5-011-435-360-54-1016-214-28-824-78
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
TOLEDO - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games9-3+57-53-832.916.5456.1(6.2)1.527.312.7463.2(6.3)2.1
Road Games4-2+2.64-22-431.515.5474.3(6.2)1.528.311.3524.5(7)2.7
Last 3 Games1-2-2.31-20-328.717.3460.3(6.3)2.329.313.7458.0(6)2.3
Turf Games9-2+66-53-734.416.7465.0(6.5)1.527.613.0448.6(6.2)2.0
TOLEDO - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)32.916.523.031:0740-197(4.9)21-3362.9%259(7.7)74-456(6.2)(13.9)
Opponents Defensive Avg.29.514.821.531:5639-176(4.5)20-3360.7%238(7.2)73-414(5.7)(14)
Offense Road Games31.515.524.332:0041-211(5.1)20-3558.3%263(7.5)77-474(6.2)(15.1)
Defense (All Games)27.312.723.828:5334-168(4.9)24-3961.3%295(7.5)74-463(6.3)(16.9)
Opponents Offensive Avg.29.114.622.329:2637-167(4.5)21-3659.5%256(7.1)73-423(5.8)(14.5)
Defense Road Games28.311.325.027:5938-213(5.6)22-3660.6%312(8.6)74-524(7)(18.5)

UTAH ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games10-2+3.410-13-834.420.3460.7(6.7)1.615.44.5322.7(4.3)1.5
Road Games4-2+1.26-03-332.217.7440.7(6.3)1.321.05.8390.7(4.9)1.3
Last 3 Games3-0+12-11-243.724.3496.3(7.1)1.719.03.0332.3(4.2)2.7
Turf Games9-1+4.48-12-736.221.4476.3(6.9)1.516.24.5319.3(4.3)1.5
UTAH ST - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)34.420.320.728:1937-193(5.2)22-3267.6%268(8.3)69-461(6.7)(13.4)
Opponents Defensive Avg.30.616.721.530:3638-175(4.6)20-3261.5%245(7.6)71-420(6)(13.7)
Offense Road Games32.217.720.228:1134-179(5.2)23-3665.6%261(7.3)70-441(6.3)(13.7)
Defense (All Games)15.44.518.531:4138-111(2.9)20-3654.6%211(5.8)74-323(4.3)(20.9)
Opponents Offensive Avg.27.314.52031:3536-146(4.1)20-3460.4%235(7)69-381(5.5)(14)
Defense Road Games21.05.821.231:4940-116(2.9)24-4061.2%275(6.9)80-391(4.9)(18.6)
Average power rating of opponents played: TOLEDO 26.1,  UTAH ST 24.8
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
TOLEDO - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
10/20/2012CINCINNATI29-23W5W64.5U43-22913-24-126135-25115-37-2272
10/27/2012@ BUFFALO25-20W-7L60.5U46-24112-25-171239-17011-28-2022
11/6/2012BALL ST27-34L-5.5L70U51-31114-27-215133-16629-42-2803
11/14/2012@ N ILLINOIS24-31L10W69.5U38-13122-33-265442-18925-36-4073
11/20/2012AKRON35-23W-17.5L62.5U34-13229-35-327230-6730-46-2651
12/15/2012*UTAH ST            

UTAH ST - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
10/20/2012NEW MEXICO ST41-7W-29.5W56.5U36-25617-27-260034-13220-38-1892
10/27/2012@ UTSA48-17W-23.5W52.5O37-12832-42-394228-5121-36-2482
11/3/2012TEXAS ST38-7W-26.5W53U47-26821-28-325331-8210-23-761
11/17/2012@ LOUISIANA TECH48-41W-3W73.5O45-30620-34-340047-23335-61-3963
11/24/2012IDAHO45-9W-37L57U31-13318-26-117247-15812-26-524
12/15/2012*TOLEDO            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
Games over the last 3 seasons
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring UTAH ST in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 52.6% of the time since 1992. (81-73)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 52.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (18-16)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in UTAH ST games 53.1% of the time since 1992. (77-68)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in UTAH ST games 51.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-16)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TOLEDO games 45.8% of the time since 1992. (49-58)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TOLEDO games 51.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (18-17)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in UTAH ST games 59.8% of the time since 1992. (55-37)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in UTAH ST games 43.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-18)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
TOLEDO
[DE] 10/01/2012 - T.J. Fatinikun out for season ( Achilles )
[DE] 10/07/2012 - Christian Smith out for season ( Knee )
[RB] 12/02/2012 - David Fluellen missed last game, probable Saturday vs. Utah State ( Ankle )
[QB] 12/02/2012 - Terrance Owens missed last game, probable Saturday vs. Utah State ( Foot )
[DE] 11/20/2012 - Keenen Gibbs out for season ( Knee )
[QB] 12/15/2012 - Austin Dantin expected to start Saturday vs. Utah State ( None )
UTAH ST
[LB] 08/04/2012 - Parker Hausknecht has left team ( Personal )
[CB] 12/02/2012 - Quinton Byrd out for season ( Knee )
[S] 12/12/2012 - McKade Brady probable Saturday vs. Toledo ( Jaw )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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