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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| when the line is +3 to -3 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 8-6 | 3-2 | 4-2 | 9-4 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 7-7 | | in all games | 6-5 | 14-22 | 68-62 | 7-4 | 20-16 | 53-44 | 5-6 | 16-20 | 134-86 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 2-1 | 4-6 | 9-9 | 2-1 | 5-5 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 3-7 | 8-11 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 1-2 | 3-6 | 19-17 | 3-0 | 7-2 | 19-6 | 1-2 | 2-7 | 11-26 | | in weeks 10 through 13 | 2-1 | 4-7 | 19-20 | 3-0 | 8-3 | 18-11 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 36-26 | | in all lined games | 6-5 | 14-22 | 68-62 | 7-4 | 20-16 | 53-44 | 5-6 | 16-20 | 63-68 | | as an underdog | 4-3 | 8-8 | 37-29 | 4-3 | 10-6 | 28-16 | 2-5 | 3-13 | 14-52 | | as a road underdog of 3 points or less | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | | in road games | 4-1 | 9-10 | 42-36 | 3-2 | 11-8 | 31-23 | 3-2 | 6-13 | 54-65 | | in road lined games | 4-1 | 9-10 | 42-36 | 3-2 | 11-8 | 31-23 | 3-2 | 6-13 | 26-53 | | in a road game where the total is between 63.5 and 70 | 1-0 | 3-0 | 3-1 | 1-0 | 2-1 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1-3 | | against conference opponents | 2-5 | 7-16 | 33-33 | 4-3 | 10-13 | 26-33 | 3-4 | 11-12 | 100-38 | | when playing on a Saturday | 6-4 | 12-21 | 57-56 | 6-4 | 19-14 | 47-33 | 5-5 | 15-18 | 116-78 | | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 5-3 | 9-15 | 44-41 | 4-4 | 13-11 | 35-28 | 3-5 | 10-14 | 90-56 | | after playing a conference game | 3-3 | 8-13 | 32-29 | 4-2 | 10-11 | 30-26 | 2-4 | 9-12 | 35-29 | | in games played on turf | 5-4 | 11-15 | 30-28 | 5-4 | 13-13 | 25-25 | 5-4 | 15-11 | 36-26 | | in November games | 2-1 | 4-7 | 19-19 | 3-0 | 8-3 | 18-10 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 37-26 |
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| when the line is +3 to -3 | 2-0 | 3-4 | 15-15 | 2-0 | 5-2 | 11-8 | 2-0 | 3-4 | 16-14 | | in all games | 7-3 | 14-21 | 79-75 | 5-4 | 17-14 | 45-46 | 7-3 | 15-20 | 81-98 | | off a win against a conference rival | 3-1 | 5-5 | 30-21 | 2-2 | 6-4 | 22-11 | 3-1 | 5-5 | 27-25 | | after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins | 2-1 | 3-2 | 18-14 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 14-7 | 2-1 | 3-2 | 19-15 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 3-0 | 5-8 | 38-33 | 2-1 | 8-3 | 24-15 | 3-0 | 7-6 | 46-26 | | in weeks 10 through 13 | 2-0 | 3-7 | 21-23 | 1-1 | 5-4 | 15-13 | 2-0 | 4-6 | 28-22 | | in all lined games | 7-3 | 14-21 | 79-75 | 5-4 | 17-14 | 45-46 | 7-3 | 15-20 | 70-84 | | as a favorite | 5-1 | 9-11 | 41-36 | 3-2 | 9-7 | 25-19 | 5-1 | 12-8 | 53-24 | | as a home favorite of 3 points or less | 1-0 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 1-0 | 2-0 | 2-2 | 1-0 | 1-1 | 4-4 | | in home games | 2-2 | 4-12 | 29-34 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 16-21 | 2-2 | 6-10 | 45-32 | | in home lined games | 2-2 | 4-12 | 29-34 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 16-21 | 2-2 | 6-10 | 37-26 | | in a home game where the total is between 63.5 and 70 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | | against conference opponents | 5-1 | 11-11 | 47-46 | 3-3 | 11-9 | 30-28 | 5-1 | 11-11 | 58-44 | | when playing on a Saturday | 6-2 | 13-15 | 73-62 | 4-4 | 13-12 | 37-37 | 6-2 | 14-14 | 74-83 | | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 4-2 | 8-13 | 56-48 | 4-2 | 12-8 | 31-26 | 4-2 | 10-11 | 59-62 | | after playing a conference game | 4-1 | 7-13 | 43-42 | 3-2 | 10-8 | 29-25 | 4-1 | 9-11 | 48-50 | | in games played on turf | 6-2 | 10-16 | 45-44 | 4-3 | 14-9 | 30-27 | 6-2 | 12-14 | 55-44 | | in November games | 2-0 | 3-7 | 22-23 | 1-1 | 5-4 | 15-13 | 2-0 | 4-6 | 29-22 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 5-6 | -3 | 6-5 | 7-4 | 31.5 | 17.5 | 501.2 | (6.3) | 1.9 | 31.1 | 17.6 | 454.1 | (6.4) | 1.6 | | Road Games | 3-2 | -1.3 | 4-1 | 3-2 | 31.8 | 19.0 | 486.4 | (6.3) | 1.8 | 27.0 | 14.4 | 454.4 | (6.2) | 2.0 | | Last 3 Games | 1-2 | -0.6 | 2-1 | 3-0 | 41.0 | 25.0 | 612.0 | (7.5) | 1.0 | 42.3 | 24.0 | 600.0 | (7.9) | 1.3 | | Turf Games | 5-4 | +1.2 | 5-4 | 5-4 | 30.1 | 16.1 | 490.1 | (6.2) | 2.2 | 28.1 | 16.2 | 428.4 | (6.2) | 1.8 | | Conference Games | 3-4 | -3.4 | 2-5 | 4-3 | 27.7 | 15.7 | 452.9 | (5.8) | 1.9 | 28.1 | 16.0 | 410.6 | (5.8) | 1.6 |
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| Offense (All Games) | 31.5 | 17.5 | 25.8 | 29:35 | 38-165 | (4.3) | 28-42 | 66.4% | 336 | (8) | 80-501 | (6.3) | (15.9) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 29 | 15.5 | 20.9 | 30:45 | 38-164 | (4.3) | 20-32 | 61.9% | 240 | (7.5) | 70-403 | (5.8) | (13.9) | | Offense Road Games | 31.8 | 19.0 | 23.4 | 29:55 | 40-195 | (4.8) | 23-38 | 61.2% | 292 | (7.8) | 78-486 | (6.3) | (15.3) | | Defense (All Games) | 31.1 | 17.6 | 22.5 | 30:25 | 40-188 | (4.7) | 18-30 | 57.6% | 266 | (8.7) | 71-454 | (6.4) | (14.6) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 27.6 | 13.6 | 21.1 | 30:22 | 39-169 | (4.3) | 19-31 | 60.1% | 235 | (7.5) | 70-403 | (5.7) | (14.6) | | Defense Road Games | 27.0 | 14.4 | 23.6 | 30:05 | 40-172 | (4.3) | 19-34 | 55.3% | 282 | (8.3) | 74-454 | (6.2) | (16.8) |
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| All Games | 7-3 | +2.8 | 7-3 | 5-4 | 29.5 | 12.8 | 418.2 | (6) | 1.4 | 27.0 | 12.2 | 430.6 | (6) | 2.3 | | Home Games | 2-2 | -2 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 26.7 | 10.0 | 404.5 | (6.3) | 2.0 | 24.0 | 7.7 | 434.5 | (6) | 1.7 | | Last 3 Games | 3-0 | +4.8 | 3-0 | 2-1 | 30.7 | 17.0 | 425.0 | (6.2) | 0.0 | 20.7 | 7.7 | 402.7 | (5.9) | 3.3 | | Turf Games | 6-2 | +3.8 | 6-2 | 4-3 | 30.4 | 13.0 | 420.9 | (6.1) | 1.1 | 24.6 | 11.4 | 429.4 | (6) | 2.2 | | Conference Games | 5-1 | +5.8 | 5-1 | 3-3 | 29.0 | 11.8 | 430.8 | (6.3) | 0.8 | 23.3 | 10.0 | 431.0 | (5.9) | 2.3 |
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| Offense (All Games) | 29.5 | 12.8 | 22.0 | 28:56 | 41-188 | (4.6) | 18-28 | 65.5% | 230 | (8.2) | 69-418 | (6) | (14.2) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 28.1 | 13.9 | 20.7 | 29:48 | 36-148 | (4.2) | 21-33 | 61.3% | 240 | (7.2) | 69-388 | (5.6) | (13.8) | | Offense Home Games | 26.7 | 10.0 | 20.2 | 25:48 | 34-153 | (4.4) | 20-30 | 67.2% | 251 | (8.4) | 64-404 | (6.3) | (15.1) | | Defense (All Games) | 27.0 | 12.2 | 23.1 | 31:04 | 40-180 | (4.4) | 20-31 | 66.3% | 251 | (8.1) | 71-431 | (6) | (15.9) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 26.9 | 13.4 | 20.9 | 31:20 | 40-172 | (4.3) | 18-30 | 61.5% | 220 | (7.3) | 70-392 | (5.6) | (14.6) | | Defense Home Games | 24.0 | 7.7 | 23.2 | 34:12 | 43-202 | (4.7) | 20-30 | 68.1% | 232 | (7.8) | 73-434 | (6) | (18.1) |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: TROY 28.3, MIDDLE TENN ST 24.4 |
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| Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed. |
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| 9/29/2012 | @ S ALABAMA | 31-10 | W | -7 | W | 51 | U | 51-214 | 18-27-281 | 5 | 43-193 | 8-20-59 | 4 | | 10/11/2012 | W KENTUCKY | 26-31 | L | 0 | L | 54.5 | O | 40-120 | 16-28-254 | 0 | 35-112 | 21-31-255 | 2 | | 10/20/2012 | FLA INTERNATIONAL | 38-37 | W | -6.5 | L | 57 | O | 42-187 | 29-45-245 | 2 | 38-112 | 18-29-316 | 3 | | 10/27/2012 | @ FLA ATLANTIC | 27-34 | L | -7.5 | L | 51.5 | O | 36-164 | 17-35-217 | 1 | 40-160 | 26-40-261 | 1 | | 11/3/2012 | @ TENNESSEE | 48-55 | L | 18.5 | W | 69 | O | 39-225 | 38-60-496 | 0 | 29-188 | 29-47-530 | 1 | | 11/10/2012 | NAVY | 41-31 | W | 3 | W | 60.5 | O | 36-182 | 34-40-415 | 2 | 54-328 | 8-15-159 | 2 | | 11/17/2012 | ARKANSAS ST | 34-41 | L | 3 | L | 68 | O | 33-71 | 28-38-447 | 1 | 41-226 | 28-42-369 | 1 | | 11/24/2012 | @ MIDDLE TENN ST | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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| 9/29/2012 | @ GEORGIA TECH | 49-28 | W | 24.5 | W | 63.5 | O | 44-264 | 17-23-246 | 2 | 53-238 | 18-26-187 | 4 | | 10/6/2012 | LA MONROE | 17-31 | L | 3.5 | L | 62.5 | U | 19-69 | 23-34-238 | 3 | 51-204 | 27-39-296 | 1 | | 10/13/2012 | @ FLA INTERNATIONAL | 34-30 | W | -1.5 | W | 55.5 | O | 53-256 | 17-30-267 | 0 | 41-142 | 24-40-380 | 1 | | 10/20/2012 | @ MISSISSIPPI ST | 3-45 | L | 18.5 | L | 58 | U | 41-131 | 20-32-174 | 3 | 33-231 | 20-26-215 | 1 | | 10/27/2012 | NORTH TEXAS | 38-21 | W | -3 | W | 57 | O | 37-139 | 20-30-349 | 0 | 43-211 | 17-29-221 | 4 | | 11/1/2012 | @ W KENTUCKY | 34-29 | W | 9 | W | 56 | O | 50-224 | 11-17-118 | 0 | 32-155 | 19-31-283 | 2 | | 11/17/2012 | @ S ALABAMA | 20-12 | W | -7 | W | 56 | U | 41-212 | 16-29-233 | 0 | 40-149 | 17-30-189 | 4 | | 11/24/2012 | TROY | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12/1/2012 | @ ARKANSAS ST | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| TROY is 6-4 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST since 1992 | | TROY is 8-3 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST since 1992 | | 6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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| MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons | | TROY is 2-0 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| TROY is 3-2 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST since 1992 | | TROY is 4-2 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST since 1992 | | 3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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| TROY is 1-0 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons | | TROY is 1-0 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| 9/24/2011 | MIDDLE TENN ST | 35 | 63 | ATS | 21 | 26 | 31:20 | 42-167 | 28-48 | 415 | 1 | 1 | 6-50 | | | TROY | 38 | -12.5 | SU Over | 14 | 23 | 28:40 | 36-132 | 27-42 | 347 | 1 | 1 | 7-51 | | 10/5/2010 | TROY | 42 | 63.5 | SU ATS | 21 | 22 | 34:09 | 40-238 | 29-40 | 281 | 0 | 0 | 12-106 | | | MIDDLE TENN ST | 13 | -4 | Under | 7 | 16 | 25:51 | 28-28 | 24-41 | 179 | 1 | 1 | 8-65 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TROY games 52.8% of the time since 1992. (56-50) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TROY games 46.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-16) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIDDLE TENN ST games 44.8% of the time since 1992. (64-79) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIDDLE TENN ST games 43.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-18) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in TROY games 54.5% of the time since 1992. (48-40) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in TROY games 54.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (18-15) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIDDLE TENN ST games 57.3% of the time since 1992. (47-35) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIDDLE TENN ST games 55.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-13) | |
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| [WR] 08/09/2012 - Jamel Johnson out for season ( Academics ) | | [RB] 08/24/2012 - Chris Anderson out for season ( Academics ) | | [OL] 09/18/2012 - Zach Johnson out for season ( Concussion ) | | [OL] 09/24/2012 - Christopher Hawkins out for season ( Leg ) | | [DB] 11/21/2012 - De'Von Terry expected to miss 1st Half Saturday vs. Middle Tenn St ( Suspension ) | | [DB] 11/21/2012 - Brynden Trawick expected to miss 1st Half Saturday vs. Middle Tenn St ( Suspension ) | |
| No significant injuries. |
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