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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 3:30 PM
TROY (5-6) AT MIDDLE TENN ST (7-3) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
215: TROY
216: MIDDLE TENN ST
69.0
-3.0
31.5 / 31.1
29.5 / 27.0
5-6
7-3
6-5-0
7-3-0
7-4-0
5-4-0
165.1
187.9
336.1
230.3
501.2
418.2
188.2
179.8
265.9
250.8
454.1
430.6
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
TROY  
MIDDLE TENN ST-2 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
TROY - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
when the line is +3 to -32-33-38-63-24-29-42-33-37-7
in all games6-514-2268-627-420-1653-445-616-20134-86
off a loss against a conference rival2-14-69-92-15-56-91-23-78-11
when playing against a team with a winning record1-23-619-173-07-219-61-22-711-26
in weeks 10 through 132-14-719-203-08-318-111-24-736-26
in all lined games6-514-2268-627-420-1653-445-616-2063-68
as an underdog4-38-837-294-310-628-162-53-1314-52
as a road underdog of 3 points or less0-00-03-10-00-02-10-00-02-2
in road games4-19-1042-363-211-831-233-26-1354-65
in road lined games4-19-1042-363-211-831-233-26-1326-53
in a road game where the total is between 63.5 and 701-03-03-11-02-13-10-11-21-3
against conference opponents2-57-1633-334-310-1326-333-411-12100-38
when playing on a Saturday6-412-2157-566-419-1447-335-515-18116-78
when playing with 6 or less days rest5-39-1544-414-413-1135-283-510-1490-56
after playing a conference game3-38-1332-294-210-1130-262-49-1235-29
in games played on turf5-411-1530-285-413-1325-255-415-1136-26
in November games2-14-719-193-08-318-101-24-737-26

MIDDLE TENN ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
when the line is +3 to -32-03-415-152-05-211-82-03-416-14
in all games7-314-2179-755-417-1445-467-315-2081-98
off a win against a conference rival3-15-530-212-26-422-113-15-527-25
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins2-13-218-141-22-314-72-13-219-15
when playing against a team with a losing record3-05-838-332-18-324-153-07-646-26
in weeks 10 through 132-03-721-231-15-415-132-04-628-22
in all lined games7-314-2179-755-417-1445-467-315-2070-84
as a favorite5-19-1141-363-29-725-195-112-853-24
as a home favorite of 3 points or less1-01-13-51-02-02-21-01-14-4
in home games2-24-1229-341-27-716-212-26-1045-32
in home lined games2-24-1229-341-27-716-212-26-1037-26
in a home game where the total is between 63.5 and 700-00-10-10-00-10-10-00-10-1
against conference opponents5-111-1147-463-311-930-285-111-1158-44
when playing on a Saturday6-213-1573-624-413-1237-376-214-1474-83
when playing with 6 or less days rest4-28-1356-484-212-831-264-210-1159-62
after playing a conference game4-17-1343-423-210-829-254-19-1148-50
in games played on turf6-210-1645-444-314-930-276-212-1455-44
in November games2-03-722-231-15-415-132-04-629-22
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
TROY - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games5-6-36-57-431.517.5501.2(6.3)1.931.117.6454.1(6.4)1.6
Road Games3-2-1.34-13-231.819.0486.4(6.3)1.827.014.4454.4(6.2)2.0
Last 3 Games1-2-0.62-13-041.025.0612.0(7.5)1.042.324.0600.0(7.9)1.3
Turf Games5-4+1.25-45-430.116.1490.1(6.2)2.228.116.2428.4(6.2)1.8
Conference Games3-4-3.42-54-327.715.7452.9(5.8)1.928.116.0410.6(5.8)1.6
TROY - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)31.517.525.829:3538-165(4.3)28-4266.4%336(8)80-501(6.3)(15.9)
Opponents Defensive Avg.2915.520.930:4538-164(4.3)20-3261.9%240(7.5)70-403(5.8)(13.9)
Offense Road Games31.819.023.429:5540-195(4.8)23-3861.2%292(7.8)78-486(6.3)(15.3)
Defense (All Games)31.117.622.530:2540-188(4.7)18-3057.6%266(8.7)71-454(6.4)(14.6)
Opponents Offensive Avg.27.613.621.130:2239-169(4.3)19-3160.1%235(7.5)70-403(5.7)(14.6)
Defense Road Games27.014.423.630:0540-172(4.3)19-3455.3%282(8.3)74-454(6.2)(16.8)

MIDDLE TENN ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games7-3+2.87-35-429.512.8418.2(6)1.427.012.2430.6(6)2.3
Home Games2-2-22-21-226.710.0404.5(6.3)2.024.07.7434.5(6)1.7
Last 3 Games3-0+4.83-02-130.717.0425.0(6.2)0.020.77.7402.7(5.9)3.3
Turf Games6-2+3.86-24-330.413.0420.9(6.1)1.124.611.4429.4(6)2.2
Conference Games5-1+5.85-13-329.011.8430.8(6.3)0.823.310.0431.0(5.9)2.3
MIDDLE TENN ST - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)29.512.822.028:5641-188(4.6)18-2865.5%230(8.2)69-418(6)(14.2)
Opponents Defensive Avg.28.113.920.729:4836-148(4.2)21-3361.3%240(7.2)69-388(5.6)(13.8)
Offense Home Games26.710.020.225:4834-153(4.4)20-3067.2%251(8.4)64-404(6.3)(15.1)
Defense (All Games)27.012.223.131:0440-180(4.4)20-3166.3%251(8.1)71-431(6)(15.9)
Opponents Offensive Avg.26.913.420.931:2040-172(4.3)18-3061.5%220(7.3)70-392(5.6)(14.6)
Defense Home Games24.07.723.234:1243-202(4.7)20-3068.1%232(7.8)73-434(6)(18.1)
Average power rating of opponents played: TROY 28.3,  MIDDLE TENN ST 24.4
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
TROY - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/29/2012@ S ALABAMA31-10W-7W51U51-21418-27-281543-1938-20-594
10/11/2012W KENTUCKY26-31L0L54.5O40-12016-28-254035-11221-31-2552
10/20/2012FLA INTERNATIONAL38-37W-6.5L57O42-18729-45-245238-11218-29-3163
10/27/2012@ FLA ATLANTIC27-34L-7.5L51.5O36-16417-35-217140-16026-40-2611
11/3/2012@ TENNESSEE48-55L18.5W69O39-22538-60-496029-18829-47-5301
11/10/2012NAVY41-31W3W60.5O36-18234-40-415254-3288-15-1592
11/17/2012ARKANSAS ST34-41L3L68O33-7128-38-447141-22628-42-3691
11/24/2012@ MIDDLE TENN ST            

MIDDLE TENN ST - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/29/2012@ GEORGIA TECH49-28W24.5W63.5O44-26417-23-246253-23818-26-1874
10/6/2012LA MONROE17-31L3.5L62.5U19-6923-34-238351-20427-39-2961
10/13/2012@ FLA INTERNATIONAL34-30W-1.5W55.5O53-25617-30-267041-14224-40-3801
10/20/2012@ MISSISSIPPI ST3-45L18.5L58U41-13120-32-174333-23120-26-2151
10/27/2012NORTH TEXAS38-21W-3W57O37-13920-30-349043-21117-29-2214
11/1/2012@ W KENTUCKY34-29W9W56O50-22411-17-118032-15519-31-2832
11/17/2012@ S ALABAMA20-12W-7W56U41-21216-29-233040-14917-30-1894
11/24/2012TROY            
12/1/2012@ ARKANSAS ST            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
TROY is 6-4 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST since 1992
TROY is 8-3 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST since 1992
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 2-0 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at MIDDLE TENN ST since 1992
TROY is 3-2 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST since 1992
TROY is 4-2 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST since 1992
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons.
TROY is 1-0 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 1-0 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
9/24/2011MIDDLE TENN ST3563 ATS212631:2042-16728-48415116-50
 TROY38-12.5SU Over142328:4036-13227-42347117-51
10/5/2010TROY4263.5SU ATS212234:0940-23829-402810012-106
 MIDDLE TENN ST13-4 Under71625:5128-2824-41179118-65
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring MIDDLE TENN ST in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TROY games 52.8% of the time since 1992. (56-50)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TROY games 46.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-16)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIDDLE TENN ST games 44.8% of the time since 1992. (64-79)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIDDLE TENN ST games 43.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-18)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TROY games 54.5% of the time since 1992. (48-40)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TROY games 54.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (18-15)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIDDLE TENN ST games 57.3% of the time since 1992. (47-35)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIDDLE TENN ST games 55.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-13)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
TROY
[WR] 08/09/2012 - Jamel Johnson out for season ( Academics )
[RB] 08/24/2012 - Chris Anderson out for season ( Academics )
[OL] 09/18/2012 - Zach Johnson out for season ( Concussion )
[OL] 09/24/2012 - Christopher Hawkins out for season ( Leg )
[DB] 11/21/2012 - De'Von Terry expected to miss 1st Half Saturday vs. Middle Tenn St ( Suspension )
[DB] 11/21/2012 - Brynden Trawick expected to miss 1st Half Saturday vs. Middle Tenn St ( Suspension )
MIDDLE TENN ST
No significant injuries.
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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