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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 7:30 PM
TROY (2-1) AT MISSISSIPPI ST (1-2) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
339: TROY
340: MISSISSIPPI ST
59.0
-13.5
44.7 / 25.0
24.7 / 17.3
2-1
1-2
1-2-0
2-1-0
2-0-0
0-2-0
179.7
196.7
367.7
238.0
547.3
434.7
118.7
144.7
261.0
206.7
379.7
351.3
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
TROY  
MISSISSIPPI ST-12 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
TROY - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points0-02-213-110-03-112-40-00-44-20
in all games1-210-1669-642-015-1155-452-110-17136-88
in all lined games1-210-1669-642-015-1155-452-110-1765-70
as an underdog0-16-837-301-09-629-170-12-1314-54
as a road underdog of 10.5 to 14 points0-00-04-40-00-03-10-00-01-7
in road games0-16-742-371-08-632-240-13-1154-67
in road lined games0-16-742-371-08-632-240-13-1126-55
in a road game where the total is between 56.5 and 630-03-38-80-03-310-60-02-48-8
against SEC opponents0-03-011-50-02-110-10-00-31-15
when playing on a Saturday1-19-1458-571-013-1048-342-010-14118-79
when playing with 8 days rest0-00-11-40-01-03-00-01-07-5
after playing a conference game0-05-832-290-06-830-270-04-1035-30
in games played on a grass field0-02-538-340-05-228-190-00-797-59
in September games1-16-423-211-05-420-131-15-540-32
in non-conference games1-16-436-301-06-328-112-05-536-48
off a loss against a conference rival0-04-49-90-03-66-100-02-78-12
when playing against a team with a losing record0-04-625-270-04-616-260-05-541-17

MISSISSIPPI ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points0-03-39-160-01-54-100-06-022-3
in all games2-114-15112-1250-210-1766-871-216-13118-133
in all lined games2-114-15112-1250-210-1766-871-216-13107-131
as a favorite1-011-749-540-07-922-331-016-274-29
as a home favorite of 10.5 to 14 points0-00-02-60-00-03-00-00-07-1
in home games1-010-455-620-03-930-421-010-473-58
in home lined games1-010-455-620-03-930-421-010-462-56
in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 630-01-22-30-00-31-40-02-12-3
against Sun Belt conference opponents0-01-22-30-00-31-40-03-05-0
when playing on a Saturday2-113-12104-1090-29-1457-721-214-11107-120
when playing with 6 or less days rest2-010-1075-880-17-1246-561-110-1075-97
after playing a conference game0-06-1074-820-07-944-570-010-680-84
in games played on a grass field2-114-13102-1180-29-1660-811-215-12108-126
in September games2-05-535-370-12-620-251-17-342-37
in non-conference games1-15-731-380-12-819-231-110-257-25
off a loss against a conference rival0-03-745-550-04-632-330-05-547-57
when playing against a team with a winning record0-04-554-520-04-539-390-02-733-74
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
TROY - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games2-101-23-044.717.3547.3(6.9)2.025.013.3379.7(5.9)0.7
Road Games0-1-10-11-034.021.0614.0(6.5)4.041.020.0539.0(6.9)0.0
Last 3 Games2-101-23-044.717.3547.3(6.9)2.025.013.3379.7(5.9)0.7
TROY - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)44.717.327.332:3239-180(4.6)31-4176.4%368(9)80-547(6.9)(12.3)
Opponents Defensive Avg.46.219.723.631:4939-186(4.8)24-3176.7%288(9.3)70-473(6.8)(10.2)
Offense Road Games34.021.030.033:2537-110(3)36-5862.1%504(8.7)95-614(6.5)(18.1)
Defense (All Games)25.013.318.327:2833-119(3.6)18-3256.8%261(8.2)64-380(5.9)(15.2)
Opponents Offensive Avg.21.414.617.729:1136-149(4.2)16-2855.5%206(7.3)64-355(5.6)(16.6)
Defense Road Games41.020.026.026:3543-228(5.3)21-3560.0%311(8.9)78-539(6.9)(13.1)

MISSISSIPPI ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games1-2-22-11-224.717.7434.7(5.8)1.017.37.0351.3(5.5)2.0
Home Games1-001-01-051.037.0556.0(6.4)1.07.00.0163.0(3.3)3.0
Last 3 Games1-2-22-11-224.717.7434.7(5.8)1.017.37.0351.3(5.5)2.0
Grass Games1-2-22-11-224.717.7434.7(5.8)1.017.37.0351.3(5.5)2.0
MISSISSIPPI ST - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)24.717.722.035:4844-197(4.5)17-3155.3%238(7.6)75-435(5.8)(17.6)
Opponents Defensive Avg.27.417.924.736:4541-186(4.5)23-4057.6%265(6.7)81-450(5.6)(16.4)
Offense Home Games51.037.030.038:5354-277(5.1)20-3360.6%279(8.5)87-556(6.4)(10.9)
Defense (All Games)17.37.016.724:1234-145(4.3)18-3159.8%207(6.7)64-351(5.5)(20.3)
Opponents Offensive Avg.27.814.817.424:1535-148(4.2)17-2960.0%216(7.5)64-364(5.7)(13.1)
Defense Home Games7.00.06.021:0725-28(1.1)11-2544.0%135(5.4)50-163(3.3)(23.3)
Average power rating of opponents played: TROY 18.7,  MISSISSIPPI ST 31.7
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
TROY - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
8/31/2013UAB34-31W-4.5L62.5O39-17830-33-319231-11421-35-3390
9/7/2013SAVANNAH ST66-3W-49.5W -40-25128-32-280024-1412-25-1332
9/12/2013@ ARKANSAS ST34-41L6L68O37-11036-58-504443-22821-35-3110
9/21/2013@ MISSISSIPPI ST            
9/28/2013@ DUKE            
10/5/2013S ALABAMA            
10/12/2013@ GEORGIA ST            

MISSISSIPPI ST - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
8/31/2013*OKLAHOMA ST3-21L12.5L61.5U37-11117-33-222240-28621-33-1460
9/7/2013ALCORN ST51-7W-42.5W -54-27720-33-279125-2811-25-1353
9/14/2013@ AUBURN20-24L6.5W50.5U40-20215-28-213036-12023-34-3393
9/21/2013TROY            
10/5/2013LSU            
10/12/2013BOWLING GREEN            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
TROY is 3-0 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST since 1992
MISSISSIPPI ST is 2-1 straight up against TROY since 1992
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 1-0 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-0 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at MISSISSIPPI ST since 1992
TROY is 2-0 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST since 1992
MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-1 straight up against TROY since 1992
Games played at MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
9/15/2012MISSISSIPPI ST30-15SU Under231728:5435-21311-26244005-46
 TROY2459 ATS73031:0640-22334-47349227-63
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring MISSISSIPPI ST in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TROY games 53.2% of the time since 1992. (58-51)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TROY games 57.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (12-9)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MISSISSIPPI ST games 45.3% of the time since 1992. (92-111)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MISSISSIPPI ST games 44.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (12-15)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TROY games 54.3% of the time since 1992. (50-42)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TROY games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (12-12)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MISSISSIPPI ST games 45.4% of the time since 1992. (59-71)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MISSISSIPPI ST games 40% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (10-15)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
TROY
[LB] 09/17/2013 - Wayland Coleman-Dancer probable Saturday vs. Mississippi St ( Knee )
[WR] 09/15/2013 - Cameron Peterson "?" Saturday vs. Mississippi St ( Head )
[LB] 09/12/2013 - Sam Lebbie out indefinitely ( Knee )
[DT] 08/20/2013 - Aaron Williams out indefinitely ( Skin Rash )
MISSISSIPPI ST
No significant injuries.
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