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Page last updated on Wed Sep 28 11:07:14 EDT 2016
Matchup Reports

Saturday at 7:00 PM
TENNESSEE (4-7) AT KENTUCKY (2-9) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
363: TENNESSEE
364: KENTUCKY
54.0
+3.5
23.5 / 30.4
21.1 / 31.5
4-7
2-9
4-7-0
4-7-0
5-4-2
5-6-0
185.7
148.7
161.8
187.9
347.5
336.6
213.5
195.5
207.2
232.6
420.7
428.1
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
TENNESSEE-4 
KENTUCKY  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
TENNESSEE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points0-01-226-200-02-122-200-01-236-12
in all games4-712-22128-1315-418-12100-994-714-21183-88
in all lined games4-712-22128-1315-418-12100-994-714-21180-88
as a favorite1-37-992-921-28-664-603-113-4158-31
as a road favorite0-00-130-240-00-123-150-00-146-9
as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points0-00-19-30-00-17-30-00-19-3
in road games1-33-952-453-18-444-380-40-1257-42
in road lined games1-33-952-453-18-444-380-40-1257-42
in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 560-21-512-141-15-116-100-20-611-15
in a road game where the total is between 52.5 and 560-11-33-80-13-18-30-10-43-8
against conference opponents3-47-1686-853-312-965-691-63-20110-68
when playing on a Saturday4-711-22117-1225-417-1287-934-713-21172-79
when playing with 6 or less days rest3-59-1891-945-116-872-652-68-19126-63
after playing a conference game1-56-1485-852-38-1063-632-48-12119-55
in games played on a grass field4-511-19109-1144-316-1090-924-513-18156-77
in November games0-33-844-411-25-626-260-34-768-18
off a loss against a conference rival1-46-1232-331-37-925-292-38-1041-25
after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses0-33-711-161-14-512-131-24-616-11
when playing against a team with a losing record0-03-332-290-02-414-160-04-253-8

KENTUCKY - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points0-01-231-360-00-320-230-01-220-47
in all games4-713-22116-1295-615-1878-772-99-26102-157
in all lined games4-713-22116-1295-615-1878-772-99-2691-156
as an underdog2-67-1879-954-411-1455-570-82-2338-137
as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points0-01-114-110-00-29-60-01-110-15
in home games2-49-1164-672-48-1044-332-48-1270-73
in home lined games2-49-1164-672-48-1044-332-48-1259-72
in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 561-22-413-142-15-120-71-22-410-17
in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 561-11-19-51-11-111-31-11-17-7
against conference opponents2-57-1678-964-310-1356-530-72-2145-130
when playing on a Saturday3-712-20108-1195-514-1670-662-88-2496-144
when playing with 6 or less days rest2-58-1880-1034-312-1363-491-64-2269-124
after playing a conference game3-310-1078-893-38-1152-501-55-1560-112
in games played on a grass field4-613-18111-1165-513-1676-702-89-2297-144
in November games1-35-632-402-23-721-221-34-727-47
off a loss against a conference rival3-310-958-653-37-1130-421-55-1446-82
after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses3-28-838-403-27-818-241-44-1228-54
when playing against a team with a losing record0-02-531-260-03-415-140-02-531-27
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
TENNESSEE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games4-7-14-75-423.514.6347.5(5.2)2.030.418.5420.7(6.1)2.2
Road Games0-4-21-33-111.04.2298.0(4.8)3.041.528.5512.5(6.9)1.0
Last 3 Games0-3-3.60-31-212.010.0308.3(4.6)2.333.321.7422.0(6.3)2.0
Grass Games4-5-0.14-54-326.916.8352.6(5.2)2.027.115.7382.1(5.7)2.7
Conference Games1-6-33-43-316.78.1313.7(4.8)2.333.020.1420.7(6.2)1.7
TENNESSEE - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)23.514.618.328:5038-186(4.9)16-2955.1%162(5.5)67-348(5.2)(14.8)
Opponents Defensive Avg.23.513.219.229:1737-153(4.1)18-3159.2%212(6.8)68-365(5.4)(15.6)
Offense Road Games11.04.213.726:4428-116(4.1)17-3351.1%182(5.5)61-298(4.8)(27.1)
Defense (All Games)30.418.521.131:1040-214(5.3)16-2955.4%207(7.2)69-421(6.1)(13.9)
Opponents Offensive Avg.31.61721.931:4140-200(5)18-2962.6%233(8)69-433(6.3)(13.7)
Defense Road Games41.528.524.733:1547-243(5.2)17-2762.0%269(10)74-512(6.9)(12.3)

KENTUCKY - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games2-9-6.44-75-621.111.4336.6(5.3)1.331.518.8428.1(6.3)1.2
Home Games2-4-22-42-422.212.5364.2(5.6)1.028.016.2401.2(6.1)1.3
Last 3 Games0-3-20-32-113.36.3280.7(4.3)2.743.024.0447.0(6.6)1.3
Grass Games2-8-5.44-65-522.611.9344.1(5.4)1.032.519.8439.6(6.4)1.3
Conference Games0-7-42-54-314.96.1258.7(4.2)1.337.723.1473.0(6.8)1.1
KENTUCKY - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)21.111.417.227:4236-149(4.1)16-2858.7%188(6.8)64-337(5.3)(16)
Opponents Defensive Avg.24.212.618.529:4836-148(4.1)18-3058.8%205(6.7)66-353(5.3)(14.6)
Offense Home Games22.212.518.028:3037-155(4.2)17-2958.4%209(7.2)65-364(5.6)(16.4)
Defense (All Games)31.518.821.232:1840-195(4.9)19-2866.1%233(8.2)68-428(6.3)(13.6)
Opponents Offensive Avg.28.91620.931:0839-174(4.5)18-3061.3%231(7.7)69-405(5.9)(14)
Defense Home Games28.016.219.331:3040-210(5.2)14-2556.6%191(7.6)65-401(6.1)(14.3)
Average power rating of opponents played: TENNESSEE 42.5,  KENTUCKY 39
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
TENNESSEE - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
10/5/2013GEORGIA31-34L13.5W65P41-18917-31-215137-23819-35-1960
10/19/2013S CAROLINA23-21W7.5W54.5U41-14619-36-179042-2188-22-1662
10/26/2013@ ALABAMA10-45L28L50O28-12713-28-195237-20419-28-2751
11/2/2013@ MISSOURI3-31L11L54.5U24-9426-42-240354-33912-25-1630
11/9/2013AUBURN23-55L7.5L57O43-22616-25-128153-4443-7-352
11/23/2013VANDERBILT10-14L-3L48.5U45-18411-20-53331-9024-31-1954
11/30/2013@ KENTUCKY            

KENTUCKY - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
10/5/2013@ S CAROLINA28-35L22W53.5O36-12317-24-178039-17818-23-2751
10/12/2013ALABAMA7-48L26.5L51.5O34-947-18-76044-29922-36-3692
10/24/2013@ MISSISSIPPI ST22-28L12W54.5U40-16019-35-165042-15225-37-2950
11/2/2013ALABAMA ST48-14W-27.5W63U44-23317-29-189038-14912-28-1482
11/9/2013MISSOURI17-48L14.5L55O51-13418-28-235130-22317-28-2032
11/16/2013@ VANDERBILT6-22L11L51.5U40-14214-28-120437-11620-25-1970
11/23/2013@ GEORGIA17-59L27L61.5O30-6210-17-149340-23031-42-3722
11/30/2013TENNESSEE            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
TENNESSEE is 15-6 against the spread versus KENTUCKY since 1992
TENNESSEE is 20-1 straight up against KENTUCKY since 1992
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 1-1 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 1-1 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at KENTUCKY since 1992
TENNESSEE is 6-4 against the spread versus KENTUCKY since 1992
TENNESSEE is 9-1 straight up against KENTUCKY since 1992
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 1-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 1-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
11/24/2012KENTUCKY1761 Under142334:2637-16730-47245003-25
 TENNESSEE37-14SU ATS202325:3432-16420-34293007-59
11/26/2011TENNESSEE7-6 Under01524:0324-6115-38215125-32
 KENTUCKY1042.5SU ATS31035:5756-2024-6150011-85
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring KENTUCKY in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TENNESSEE games 46.7% of the time since 1992. (105-120)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TENNESSEE games 65.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (19-10)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in KENTUCKY games 45.8% of the time since 1992. (99-117)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in KENTUCKY games 44.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-19)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TENNESSEE games 45.9% of the time since 1992. (79-93)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TENNESSEE games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-13)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in KENTUCKY games 51.9% of the time since 1992. (68-63)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in KENTUCKY games 57.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-12)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
TENNESSEE
No significant injuries.
KENTUCKY
[DB] 11/28/2013 - Cody Quinn is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. Tennessee U ( Suspension )
[QB] 11/28/2013 - Jalen Whitlow is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Tennessee U ( Neck )
[DB] 11/28/2013 - Ashley Lowery "?" Saturday vs. Tennessee U ( Shoulder )
[QB] 11/28/2013 - Maxwell Smith probable Saturday vs. Tennessee U ( Shoulder )
[WR] 11/28/2013 - Ryan Timmons expected to miss Saturday vs. Tennessee U ( Ankle )
[CB] 11/26/2013 - Nate Willis is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. Tennessee U ( Knee )
[RB] 11/25/2013 - Raymond Sanders III expected to miss Saturday vs. Tennessee U ( Disciplinary )
[DL] 11/24/2013 - TraVaughn Paschal "?" Saturday vs. Tennessee U ( Abdominal )
[DL] 11/24/2013 - Jason Hatcher "?" Saturday vs. Tennessee U ( Suspension )
[WR] 11/22/2013 - Demarco Robinson out indefinitely ( Suspension )
[WR] 11/04/2013 - Alexander Montgomery out for season ( ACL )
[LS] 09/04/2013 - Kyle Budde out for season ( Knee )
[WR] 08/28/2013 - Lucas Witt has left team ( None )
[DT] 08/25/2013 - Thomas Chapman has left team ( Personal )
[RB] 08/13/2013 - Josh Clemons out for season ( Achilles )
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