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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 3:00 PM
USC (6-3) AT CALIFORNIA (1-8) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
177: USC
178: CALIFORNIA
57.0
+17.0
25.3 / 18.7
23.4 / 42.8
6-3
1-8
4-5-0
2-7-0
3-6-0
2-5-1
178.1
113.9
213.8
348.9
391.9
462.8
103.9
188.9
219.1
340.9
323.0
529.8
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
USC-22 
CALIFORNIA  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
USC - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points1-16-436-411-15-530-351-19-167-11
in all games4-515-18137-1313-614-20112-1276-323-11190-79
in all lined games4-515-18137-1313-614-20112-1276-323-11188-79
as a favorite3-312-13109-1082-49-1688-1025-120-5169-46
as a road favorite0-12-640-440-14-439-361-05-363-20
in road games1-35-960-611-37-754-552-28-676-44
in road lined games1-35-960-611-37-754-552-28-676-44
in a road game where the total is between 56.5 and 630-03-010-80-01-26-120-03-011-7
against conference opponents3-212-1090-852-311-1275-823-215-8120-55
when playing on a Saturday2-411-15122-1172-411-1699-1123-317-10169-71
after playing a conference game3-113-892-802-210-1177-793-116-5122-50
in games played on turf1-12-525-250-23-425-192-06-133-17
in November games1-06-345-310-14-533-371-06-354-21
off a win against a conference rival1-18-561-550-25-850-521-110-383-34
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins0-15-556-581-06-549-520-16-584-32
when playing against a team with a losing record0-03-227-220-02-320-210-04-136-13
in weeks 10 through 131-06-342-310-14-532-351-06-351-21

CALIFORNIA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points1-23-424-141-24-316-120-30-76-32
in all games2-712-22118-1322-512-1989-891-811-23126-136
in all lined games2-712-22118-1322-512-1989-891-811-23117-135
as an underdog2-66-1564-582-59-1144-400-82-1929-93
as a home underdog of 14.5 to 17 points1-01-01-10-10-10-10-10-10-2
in home games1-57-1259-632-26-1045-411-58-1177-55
in home lined games1-57-1259-632-26-1045-411-58-1168-55
in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 630-21-411-142-03-210-150-21-414-11
against conference opponents2-49-1685-900-57-1758-710-67-1874-103
when playing on a Saturday2-711-18111-1202-511-1577-821-810-19117-126
when playing with 6 or less days rest2-510-1690-1011-49-1461-691-69-1788-111
after playing a conference game2-310-1378-920-47-1560-640-57-1672-102
in games played on turf2-65-1629-402-47-1121-291-74-1724-45
in November games1-05-334-370-14-420-250-13-527-45
off a loss against a conference rival2-36-1045-530-45-1033-360-54-1239-61
after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses2-34-830-410-43-821-220-52-1031-41
when playing against a team with a winning record2-45-1357-590-55-1243-510-62-1638-79
in weeks 10 through 131-05-334-370-14-420-250-13-527-45
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
USC - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games6-3-6.24-53-625.316.0391.9(5.9)1.218.78.9323.0(4.9)1.8
Road Games2-2-0.11-31-328.016.2431.2(6.4)2.025.713.2376.7(5.6)2.2
Last 3 Games2-1+1.82-10-320.015.7359.7(5.6)0.710.310.3288.3(4.4)2.7
Turf Games2-0+1.81-10-230.520.5426.5(6.1)1.513.59.5300.0(4.5)3.5
Conference Games3-2-7.23-22-327.217.2406.0(6.1)1.424.010.8382.4(5.7)2.2
USC - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)25.316.019.833:2940-178(4.5)17-2761.3%214(7.9)67-392(5.9)(15.5)
Opponents Defensive Avg.26.614.220.431:3739-155(3.9)20-3358.9%241(7.2)73-397(5.4)(14.9)
Offense Road Games28.016.221.233:3739-202(5.2)18-2863.2%229(8)68-431(6.4)(15.4)
Defense (All Games)18.78.917.126:3130-104(3.5)20-3655.1%219(6.1)66-323(4.9)(17.3)
Opponents Offensive Avg.32.51722.129:2035-152(4.3)23-3860.2%277(7.2)74-429(5.8)(13.2)
Defense Road Games25.713.219.726:2230-126(4.1)20-3654.8%250(6.9)67-377(5.6)(14.6)

CALIFORNIA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games1-8-52-73-523.412.1462.8(5.2)2.842.825.3529.8(6.8)1.2
Home Games1-5-51-53-228.014.8506.2(5.7)2.842.023.2542.8(6.8)1.5
Last 3 Games0-3-22-10-320.78.0422.7(5.1)2.341.023.7553.3(6.9)0.7
Turf Games1-7-52-63-425.112.4480.6(5.4)2.943.525.5535.0(6.8)1.4
Conference Games0-6-32-40-518.38.7416.3(4.9)3.243.226.2516.5(6.5)0.8
CALIFORNIA - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)23.412.124.429:1235-114(3.2)32-5359.3%349(6.6)89-463(5.2)(19.7)
Opponents Defensive Avg.2513.722.131:5640-153(3.9)22-3759.4%259(6.9)77-411(5.3)(16.4)
Offense Home Games28.014.826.328:1633-107(3.2)34-5561.0%399(7.2)89-506(5.7)(18.1)
Defense (All Games)42.825.325.430:4840-189(4.7)24-3863.6%341(8.9)78-530(6.8)(12.4)
Opponents Offensive Avg.36.920.524.429:0139-205(5.2)22-3662.8%284(7.9)75-489(6.5)(13.2)
Defense Home Games42.023.226.031:4439-183(4.7)26-4063.6%360(8.9)79-543(6.8)(12.9)
Average power rating of opponents played: USC 41.2,  CALIFORNIA 42.7
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
USC - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/14/2013BOSTON COLLEGE35-7W-16W41.5O43-25717-19-264026-10111-24-830
9/21/2013UTAH ST17-14W-6.5L50U39-11813-27-164127-10621-40-1790
9/28/2013@ ARIZONA ST41-62L3L48.5O37-24720-30-295435-26124-35-3511
10/10/2013ARIZONA38-31W-5.5W48.5O45-24915-30-297033-14528-44-3630
10/19/2013@ NOTRE DAME10-14L2L51U31-12920-34-201140-12914-25-1661
10/26/2013UTAH19-3W-4.5W51U30-3021-32-230038-7112-31-1304
11/1/2013@ OREGON ST31-14W5.5W51U44-24217-21-247116-9226-45-2773
11/9/2013@ CALIFORNIA            
11/16/2013STANFORD            
11/23/2013@ COLORADO            
11/30/2013UCLA            

CALIFORNIA - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/14/2013OHIO ST34-52L13L62.5O37-13231-53-371255-33221-32-2761
9/28/2013@ OREGON16-55L38.5L81.5U51-14921-44-176548-26412-26-1172
10/5/2013WASHINGTON ST22-44L2.5L66P29-7934-62-506521-4941-67-5211
10/12/2013@ UCLA10-37L26.5L72.5U37-10526-43-215234-7831-41-4100
10/19/2013OREGON ST17-49L11.5L70U30-7532-47-291428-7436-46-4962
10/26/2013@ WASHINGTON17-41L28W66.5U29-13134-59-352144-26221-34-3800
11/2/2013ARIZONA28-33L14.5W67.5U26-13034-56-289251-18724-38-2610
11/9/2013USC            
11/16/2013@ COLORADO            
11/23/2013@ STANFORD            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
USC is 11-10 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA since 1992
USC is 16-5 straight up against CALIFORNIA since 1992
11 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
USC is 2-0 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
USC is 2-0 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at CALIFORNIA since 1992
USC is 7-3 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA since 1992
USC is 8-2 straight up against CALIFORNIA since 1992
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 1-0 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
USC is 1-0 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
9/22/2012CALIFORNIA956.5 Under32128:3236-7718-34173027-54
 USC27-16SU ATS172931:2840-29622-34192128-65
10/13/2011USC30-3SU ATS201832:0337-11819-35195205-30
 CALIFORNIA958 Under01827:5726-3525-43294237-68
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in USC games 49.6% of the time since 1992. (113-115)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in USC games 31% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (9-20)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CALIFORNIA games 47.3% of the time since 1992. (98-109)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CALIFORNIA games 42.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (12-16)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in USC games 51.8% of the time since 1992. (100-93)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in USC games 70% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (21-9)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CALIFORNIA games 50.7% of the time since 1992. (75-73)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CALIFORNIA games 48.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-14)
Edge=Over
Key Player Injuries
USC
[OL] 11/09/2013 - Kevin Graf is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. California ( Ankle )
[DL] 11/08/2013 - Leonard Williams "?" Saturday vs. California ( Shoulder )
[RB] 11/06/2013 - Tre Madden expected to miss Saturday vs. California ( Hamstring )
[DB] 11/06/2013 - Anthony Brown expected to miss Saturday vs. California ( Knee )
[LB] 11/06/2013 - Morgan Breslin out for season ( Hip )
[TE] 11/06/2013 - Randall Telfer expected to miss Saturday vs. California ( Knee )
[TE] 10/28/2013 - Shane Sullivan out for season ( Knee )
[RB] 10/24/2013 - Justin Davis out for season ( Ankle )
[S] 10/24/2013 - Gerald Bowman out for season ( Shoulder )
[LB] 10/24/2013 - Lamar Dawson out for season ( Knee )
[RB] 10/23/2013 - D.J. Morgan out for season ( Knee )
[OL] 10/23/2013 - Jordan Simmons out for season ( Knee )
[DB] 09/27/2013 - Devian Shelton out for season ( Foot )
[DL] 09/27/2013 - Greg Townsend Jr. out for season ( Knee )
[OL] 09/27/2013 - Zach Banner out for season ( Hip )
CALIFORNIA
[DB] 11/09/2013 - Trey Cheek is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. USC ( Head )
[DB] 11/09/2013 - Darius Allensworth expected to miss Saturday vs. USC ( Head )
[RB] 11/06/2013 - Fabiano Hale expected to miss Saturday vs. USC ( Ear )
[OG] 11/03/2013 - Matt Cochran "?" Saturday vs. USC ( Ankle )
[LB] 10/30/2013 - Nick Forbes out for season ( Back )
[DT] 10/25/2013 - Gabe King left the team ( Personal )
[DB] 10/11/2013 - Stefan McClure out for season ( Knee )
[DB] 10/05/2013 - Alex Logan has left the team ( Personal )
[C] 10/05/2013 - Chris Adcock out for season ( Knee )
[LB] 09/30/2013 - Chris McCain has been dismissed ( Disciplinary )
[DL] 09/28/2013 - Sione Sina out for season ( Knee )
[DT] 09/05/2013 - Mustafa Jalil out for season ( Knee )
[LB] 09/05/2013 - Brennan Scarlett out for season ( Hand )
[WR] 09/04/2013 - Spencer Hagan out for season ( Knee )
[S] 09/03/2013 - Avery Sebastian out for season ( Achilles )
[DL] 08/19/2013 - Austin Clark out for season ( Knee )
[LB] 08/19/2013 - David Wilkerson has left team ( Personal )
[TE] 08/19/2013 - Harrison Wilfley out indefinitely ( Shoulder )
[DL] 08/19/2013 - Nathan Broussard out for season ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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