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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 3:30 PM
USC (9-4) AT FRESNO ST (11-1) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
203: USC
204: FRESNO ST
63.0
+6.0
28.5 / 21.3
45.3 / 29.1
9-4
11-1
6-7-0
5-7-0
5-8-0
6-5-0
174.2
160.5
218.1
411.3
392.3
571.8
127.1
147.8
214.1
278.2
341.2
426.0
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
USC-8 
FRESNO ST  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
USC - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in a bowl game0-00-19-60-00-18-70-00-110-5
as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points2-24-639-391-33-734-413-15-551-25
in all games6-717-20139-1335-816-22114-1299-426-12193-80
in all lined games6-717-20139-1335-816-22114-1299-426-12191-80
as a favorite4-513-15110-1104-511-1790-1037-222-6171-47
as a neutral field favorite of 3.5 to 7 points0-00-13-30-00-12-40-00-13-3
against Mountain West conference opponents0-20-32-60-20-31-42-03-07-1
when playing on a Saturday4-613-17124-1194-613-18101-1146-420-11172-72
when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest0-00-127-170-00-119-200-00-131-13
after playing a conference game5-315-1094-824-412-1379-816-219-6125-51
after a bye week1-02-228-191-02-218-231-03-134-13
in games played on a neutral field0-00-210-90-01-19-90-01-113-6
in games played on turf2-13-526-251-24-426-193-07-134-17
in December games0-00-14-100-00-13-110-00-18-6
in non-conference games1-33-847-461-33-837-453-18-370-24
off a loss against a conference rival2-05-331-242-05-326-272-06-238-16
when playing against a team with a winning record4-410-1068-692-68-1363-675-312-989-47

FRESNO ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in a bowl game0-00-16-80-00-19-50-00-15-9
as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points0-02-228-210-02-316-170-01-420-30
in all games5-721-16128-1326-520-1685-8111-124-14163-114
in all lined games5-721-16128-1326-520-1685-8111-124-14148-113
as an underdog0-07-360-500-06-540-340-03-834-78
as a neutral field underdog of 3.5 to 7 points0-00-04-10-00-04-10-00-03-2
against Pac Twelve conference opponents0-02-119-100-02-112-70-01-211-18
when playing on a Saturday5-421-11109-1043-516-1562-579-022-11137-93
when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest1-12-316-241-13-219-122-03-222-18
after playing a conference game5-313-980-844-412-1148-517-114-9108-66
after a bye week1-22-417-272-14-220-153-04-225-19
in games played on a neutral field0-00-16-90-00-19-60-00-15-10
in games played on turf4-718-947-396-413-1239-2510-120-745-42
in December games1-01-111-100-11-212-91-01-210-12
in non-conference games1-26-749-392-08-439-263-06-849-53
off a win against a conference rival4-310-759-474-39-833-376-111-674-36
when playing against a team with a winning record1-14-335-390-24-426-262-04-427-49
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
USC - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games9-4-4.46-75-828.517.8392.3(6)1.221.39.1341.2(5)1.6
Road Games4-2+1.82-43-336.821.5445.5(6.8)1.526.711.2383.7(5.4)1.8
Last 3 Games2-1+0.81-21-227.015.7358.0(5.4)1.327.08.0348.3(5.4)1.7
Turf Games3-0+2.82-11-241.027.3450.7(7.1)1.018.311.0361.0(4.7)2.3
USC - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)28.517.819.532:2638-174(4.6)18-2863.3%218(7.9)65-392(6)(13.7)
Opponents Defensive Avg.28.915.321.430:1939-164(4.1)21-3560.3%251(7.3)74-415(5.6)(14.4)
Offense Road Games36.821.520.832:2838-218(5.8)18-2865.7%227(8.2)65-445(6.8)(12.1)
Defense (All Games)21.39.118.527:3432-127(3.9)20-3557.2%214(6)68-341(5)(16)
Opponents Offensive Avg.30.81621.730:3937-159(4.3)22-3660.3%263(7.2)74-422(5.7)(13.7)
Defense Road Games26.711.221.227:3133-137(4.2)22-3857.6%246(6.4)71-384(5.4)(14.4)

FRESNO ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games11-1+1.85-76-645.326.1571.8(6.7)1.729.110.7426.0(5.6)1.7
Road Games4-1-1.23-23-247.626.0570.2(6.7)1.830.212.4449.0(5.5)2.6
Last 3 Games2-1-3.22-12-148.331.0642.0(8.1)2.035.716.3455.0(6.2)1.3
Turf Games9-1+0.83-75-544.825.9578.7(6.8)1.730.712.2433.0(5.8)1.4
FRESNO ST - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)45.326.129.629:1434-160(4.7)36-5269.6%411(7.9)86-572(6.7)(12.6)
Opponents Defensive Avg.33.918.322.930:0841-191(4.7)22-3462.9%260(7.6)75-451(6)(13.3)
Offense Road Games47.626.029.829:0634-184(5.4)36-5170.4%386(7.6)85-570(6.7)(12)
Defense (All Games)29.110.720.230:1940-148(3.7)21-3659.6%278(7.7)76-426(5.6)(14.6)
Opponents Offensive Avg.2914.521.830:6041-176(4.3)21-3460.2%249(7.3)75-426(5.7)(14.7)
Defense Road Games30.212.422.429:5040-127(3.2)24-4158.3%322(7.9)81-449(5.5)(14.9)
Average power rating of opponents played: USC 40.7,  FRESNO ST 24.8
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
USC - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
10/26/2013UTAH19-3W-4.5W51U30-3021-32-230038-7112-31-1304
11/1/2013@ OREGON ST31-14W5.5W51U44-24217-21-247116-9226-45-2773
11/9/2013@ CALIFORNIA62-28W-19W57O29-25617-22-243044-19536-52-2880
11/16/2013STANFORD20-17W4W44.5U27-2325-37-288135-21014-25-1273
11/23/2013@ COLORADO47-29W-18.5L54O41-24320-30-206131-12417-33-1882
11/30/2013UCLA14-35L-4L52.5U36-14017-28-174243-18818-27-2080
12/21/2013*FRESNO ST            

FRESNO ST - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
10/26/2013@ SAN DIEGO ST35-28W-6.5W65.5U19-4335-57-298048-17021-39-3372
11/2/2013NEVADA41-23W-21.5L74.5U33-16039-55-487142-21814-24-2061
11/9/2013@ WYOMING48-10W-7.5W80.5U42-23434-47-366031-15619-33-1402
11/23/2013NEW MEXICO69-28W-34.5W68.5O43-27729-41-543040-1688-13-1570
11/29/2013@ SAN JOSE ST52-62L-10.5L71.5O16-12738-51-519145-15938-46-5772
12/7/2013UTAH ST24-17W-2.5W61U34-5636-53-404540-5116-35-2532
12/21/2013*USC            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
FRESNO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus USC since 1992
FRESNO ST is 1-1 straight up against USC since 1992
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring USC in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in USC games 49.6% of the time since 1992. (115-117)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in USC games 33.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (11-22)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FRESNO ST games 53.4% of the time since 1992. (118-103)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FRESNO ST games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-16)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in USC games 52.3% of the time since 1992. (103-94)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in USC games 70.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (24-10)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in FRESNO ST games 54.5% of the time since 1992. (79-66)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in FRESNO ST games 61.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (19-12)
Edge=Over
Key Player Injuries
USC
[RB] 12/17/2013 - Silas Redd expected to miss Saturday vs. Fresno State ( Knee )
[C] 12/10/2013 - Marcus Martin is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. Fresno State ( Leg )
[OL] 12/10/2013 - Aundrey Walker is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. Fresno State ( Ankle )
[RB] 11/20/2013 - Taylor Ross out for season ( Knee )
[LB] 11/06/2013 - Morgan Breslin out for season ( Hernia )
[TE] 10/28/2013 - Shane Sullivan out for season ( Knee )
[S] 10/24/2013 - Gerald Bowman out for season ( Shoulder )
[RB] 10/24/2013 - Justin Davis out for season ( Ankle )
[LB] 10/24/2013 - Lamar Dawson out for season ( Knee )
[RB] 10/23/2013 - D.J. Morgan out for season ( Knee )
[OL] 10/23/2013 - Jordan Simmons out for season ( Knee )
[DB] 09/27/2013 - Devian Shelton out for season ( Foot )
[DL] 09/27/2013 - Greg Townsend Jr. out for season ( Knee )
[OL] 09/27/2013 - Zach Banner out for season ( Hip )
FRESNO ST
[WR] 12/08/2013 - Josh Harper "?" Saturday vs. USC ( Groin )
[CB] 12/08/2013 - L.J. Jones "?" Saturday vs. USC ( Knee )
[DB] 11/03/2013 - Rodney Mathews out for season ( Knee )
[RB] 10/18/2013 - Dontel James out for season ( Toe )
[DB] 08/22/2013 - Sean Alston out for season ( Shoulder )
[DB] 08/17/2013 - Donnell Vercher has left team ( Personal )
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