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The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points | 0-1 | 2-6 | 24-30 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 20-29 | 0-1 | 1-7 | 16-38 | in all games | 2-3 | 10-20 | 114-133 | 3-2 | 11-17 | 76-93 | 2-3 | 14-16 | 145-116 | in all lined games | 2-3 | 10-20 | 114-133 | 3-2 | 11-17 | 76-93 | 2-3 | 14-16 | 135-115 | as an underdog | 1-2 | 6-10 | 55-59 | 1-2 | 6-10 | 42-57 | 1-2 | 5-11 | 37-78 | as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points | 0-1 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4-12 | in road games | 0-1 | 5-6 | 49-61 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 31-43 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 49-63 | in road lined games | 0-1 | 5-6 | 49-61 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 31-43 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 49-63 | in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9-13 | in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 19-18 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 16-19 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13-24 | against conference opponents | 0-1 | 7-10 | 77-90 | 0-1 | 5-12 | 39-70 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 91-78 | when playing on a Saturday | 2-3 | 9-19 | 104-121 | 3-2 | 10-16 | 66-81 | 2-3 | 13-15 | 137-100 | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 0-3 | 3-18 | 77-96 | 2-1 | 9-12 | 51-63 | 0-3 | 7-14 | 99-82 | in games played on a grass field | 2-3 | 10-19 | 100-114 | 3-2 | 10-17 | 66-89 | 2-3 | 14-15 | 126-102 | in October games | 0-1 | 2-6 | 34-46 | 1-0 | 4-4 | 19-35 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 44-39 | after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses | 0-0 | 1-5 | 20-18 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 13-18 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 18-21 | when playing against a team with a winning record | 0-2 | 4-10 | 52-72 | 1-1 | 7-7 | 49-53 | 0-2 | 5-9 | 51-75 | in weeks 5 through 9 | 0-2 | 2-8 | 39-52 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 24-38 | 0-2 | 3-7 | 52-43 |
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as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points | 2-0 | 3-3 | 23-13 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 10-15 | 2-0 | 4-2 | 28-9 | in all games | 4-1 | 12-16 | 118-119 | 3-1 | 15-12 | 63-79 | 4-1 | 10-19 | 120-133 | in all lined games | 4-1 | 12-16 | 118-119 | 3-1 | 15-12 | 63-79 | 4-1 | 10-19 | 110-132 | as a favorite | 4-0 | 5-5 | 49-45 | 2-1 | 3-5 | 24-32 | 4-0 | 8-2 | 71-24 | as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 9-4 | in home games | 2-0 | 5-9 | 62-54 | 1-0 | 7-6 | 29-39 | 2-0 | 6-9 | 75-54 | in home lined games | 2-0 | 5-9 | 62-54 | 1-0 | 7-6 | 29-39 | 2-0 | 6-9 | 65-53 | in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 9-8 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9-8 | in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 | 1-0 | 4-3 | 21-17 | 1-0 | 4-3 | 14-24 | 1-0 | 3-4 | 22-16 | against conference opponents | 0-1 | 6-11 | 80-85 | 1-0 | 9-8 | 41-57 | 0-1 | 3-14 | 66-103 | when playing on a Saturday | 4-1 | 11-16 | 105-108 | 3-1 | 14-12 | 56-64 | 4-1 | 9-19 | 108-121 | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 3-0 | 10-12 | 89-86 | 1-1 | 11-11 | 46-54 | 3-0 | 6-17 | 83-101 | after playing a conference game | 0-0 | 4-10 | 76-80 | 0-0 | 9-5 | 42-49 | 0-0 | 1-13 | 70-95 | in games played on a grass field | 4-1 | 11-15 | 104-103 | 3-1 | 15-10 | 56-69 | 4-1 | 10-17 | 109-114 | in October games | 0-1 | 3-7 | 37-43 | 1-0 | 4-6 | 18-26 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 37-45 | off a loss against a conference rival | 0-0 | 2-9 | 48-43 | 0-0 | 7-4 | 23-23 | 0-0 | 0-11 | 39-60 | when playing against a team with a losing record | 0-0 | 1-3 | 33-29 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13-16 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 39-24 | in weeks 5 through 9 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 42-47 | 1-0 | 4-6 | 21-28 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 43-49 |
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Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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All Games | 2-3 | -1.2 | 2-3 | 3-2 | 21.6 | 10.2 | 349.6 | (4.3) | 2.8 | 27.4 | 13.2 | 340.6 | (4.7) | 1.2 | Road Games | 0-1 | -1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 188.0 | (2.7) | 2.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 199.0 | (3) | 3.0 | Last 3 Games | 1-2 | -2.6 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 26.3 | 12.7 | 409.0 | (5) | 2.7 | 20.7 | 10.3 | 261.3 | (3.9) | 1.7 | Grass Games | 2-3 | -1.2 | 2-3 | 3-2 | 21.6 | 10.2 | 349.6 | (4.3) | 2.8 | 27.4 | 13.2 | 340.6 | (4.7) | 1.2 | Conference Games | 0-1 | -1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 188.0 | (2.7) | 2.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 199.0 | (3) | 3.0 |
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Offense (All Games) | 21.6 | 10.2 | 19.0 | 33:34 | 44-178 | (4.1) | 21-38 | 56.4% | 171 | (4.6) | 81-350 | (4.3) | (16.2) | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 26.7 | 13.5 | 21.2 | 33:28 | 45-197 | (4.4) | 20-35 | 58.4% | 215 | (6.1) | 80-412 | (5.2) | (15.4) | Offense Road Games | 3.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 29:45 | 33-65 | (2) | 15-37 | 40.5% | 123 | (3.3) | 70-188 | (2.7) | (62.7) | Defense (All Games) | 27.4 | 13.2 | 18.0 | 26:26 | 39-149 | (3.9) | 15-34 | 42.4% | 191 | (5.6) | 73-341 | (4.7) | (12.4) | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 32.3 | 19.9 | 19.8 | 26:28 | 39-187 | (4.8) | 16-32 | 50.1% | 228 | (7.1) | 71-415 | (5.8) | (12.8) | Defense Road Games | 14.0 | 14.0 | 11.0 | 30:15 | 35-8 | (0.2) | 13-31 | 41.9% | 191 | (6.2) | 66-199 | (3) | (14.2) |
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All Games | 4-1 | +1 | 4-1 | 3-2 | 31.8 | 22.8 | 445.6 | (6.6) | 1.8 | 20.8 | 8.8 | 335.6 | (4.8) | 2.6 | Home Games | 2-0 | 0 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 45.0 | 35.5 | 581.5 | (8.3) | 1.5 | 10.0 | 6.5 | 253.0 | (3.6) | 2.5 | Last 3 Games | 2-1 | +1 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 23.0 | 14.3 | 355.0 | (5.3) | 2.0 | 28.0 | 10.3 | 390.7 | (5.6) | 2.7 | Grass Games | 4-1 | +1 | 4-1 | 3-2 | 31.8 | 22.8 | 445.6 | (6.6) | 1.8 | 20.8 | 8.8 | 335.6 | (4.8) | 2.6 | Conference Games | 0-1 | -1 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 234.0 | (4.1) | 1.0 | 63.0 | 21.0 | 614.0 | (7.5) | 0.0 |
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Offense (All Games) | 31.8 | 22.8 | 20.2 | 31:19 | 41-187 | (4.6) | 17-27 | 62.0% | 259 | (9.5) | 68-446 | (6.6) | (14) | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 29.8 | 17.7 | 19.4 | 31:16 | 42-187 | (4.5) | 16-27 | 60.3% | 209 | (7.8) | 69-396 | (5.8) | (13.3) | Offense Home Games | 45.0 | 35.5 | 27.0 | 32:16 | 44-281 | (6.4) | 19-26 | 75.0% | 300 | (11.5) | 70-581 | (8.3) | (12.9) | Defense (All Games) | 20.8 | 8.8 | 17.4 | 28:41 | 36-117 | (3.3) | 19-34 | 57.7% | 218 | (6.5) | 69-336 | (4.8) | (16.1) | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 30 | 15.9 | 20.2 | 29:39 | 35-133 | (3.8) | 20-33 | 62.5% | 257 | (7.9) | 68-390 | (5.7) | (13) | Defense Home Games | 10.0 | 6.5 | 13.5 | 27:44 | 39-128 | (3.3) | 15-30 | 50.8% | 125 | (4.1) | 69-253 | (3.6) | (25.3) |
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Average power rating of opponents played: VIRGINIA 37.2, MARYLAND 30.4 |
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Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed. |
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8/31/2013 | BYU | 19-16 | W | 3 | W | 48.5 | U | 42-109 | 18-32-114 | 2 | 53-187 | 13-40-175 | 1 | 9/7/2013 | OREGON | 10-59 | L | 26 | L | 59.5 | O | 39-124 | 31-47-174 | 4 | 40-350 | 15-29-207 | 0 | 9/21/2013 | VMI | 49-0 | W | -41 | W | 47.5 | O | 63-357 | 20-30-223 | 2 | 25-41 | 9-31-38 | 2 | 9/28/2013 | @ PITTSBURGH | 3-14 | L | 6 | L | 50 | U | 33-65 | 15-37-123 | 2 | 35-8 | 13-31-191 | 3 | 10/5/2013 | BALL ST | 27-48 | L | -3 | L | 49 | O | 41-236 | 22-42-223 | 4 | 40-160 | 23-41-346 | 0 | 10/12/2013 | @ MARYLAND | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10/19/2013 | DUKE | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10/26/2013 | GEORGIA TECH | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/2/2013 | CLEMSON | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/9/2013 | @ N CAROLINA | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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VIRGINIA is 11-10 against the spread versus MARYLAND since 1992 | VIRGINIA is 15-6 straight up against MARYLAND since 1992 | 6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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MARYLAND is 1-1 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons | MARYLAND is 1-1 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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MARYLAND is 5-5 against the spread versus VIRGINIA since 1992 | VIRGINIA is 7-3 straight up against MARYLAND since 1992 | 4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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VIRGINIA is 1-0 against the spread versus MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons | VIRGINIA is 1-0 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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10/13/2012 | MARYLAND | 27 | 44 | SU ATS | 17 | 10 | 26:28 | 29--2 | 14-26 | 237 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | | VIRGINIA | 20 | -2 | Over | 3 | 20 | 33:32 | 42-168 | 18-39 | 218 | 1 | 1 | 7-70 | 11/5/2011 | VIRGINIA | 31 | -3 | SU ATS | 14 | 24 | 34:10 | 45-220 | 23-36 | 307 | 2 | 1 | 5-40 | | MARYLAND | 13 | 52.5 | Under | 13 | 16 | 25:50 | 22-84 | 20-43 | 269 | 2 | 3 | 4-25 |
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Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VIRGINIA games 48.1% of the time since 1992. (103-111) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VIRGINIA games 54.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-11) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MARYLAND games 50% of the time since 1992. (101-101) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MARYLAND games 73.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (19-7) | |
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The betting public is correct when moving the total in VIRGINIA games 45% of the time since 1992. (72-88) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in VIRGINIA games 40% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (10-15) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MARYLAND games 48.9% of the time since 1992. (65-68) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MARYLAND games 35.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (10-18) | |
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[DB] 10/11/2013 - Demetrious Nicholson expected to miss Saturday vs. Maryland ( Lower Body ) | [RB] 10/11/2013 - Daniel Hamm is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Maryland ( Shoulder ) | [TE] 10/11/2013 - Zachary Swanson is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Maryland ( Knee ) | [OL] 10/11/2013 - Conner Davis is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Maryland ( Hamstring ) | [OL] 10/11/2013 - Jack McDonald is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Maryland ( Leg ) | [K] 10/07/2013 - Ian Frye out indefinitely ( Hip ) | [OL] 10/03/2013 - Sean Cascarano out for season ( Hip ) | [DB] 08/19/2013 - Wilfred Wahee out for season ( ACL ) | |
[LB] 10/11/2013 - Matt Robinson expected to miss Saturday vs. Virginia ( Shoulder ) | [WR] 10/11/2013 - Nigel King probable Saturday vs. Virginia ( Back ) | [OL] 10/11/2013 - Nick Klemm is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. Virginia ( Foot ) | [LS] 10/11/2013 - Christian Carpenter is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Virginia ( Knee ) | [WR] 10/11/2013 - Tyrek Cheeseboro is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. Virginia ( Concussion ) | [RB] 10/11/2013 - Tyler Cierski is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. Virginia ( Calf ) | [K] 10/08/2013 - Adam Greene doubtful Saturday vs. Virginia ( Quad ) | [QB] 10/08/2013 - Caleb Rowe expected to start Saturday vs. Virginia ( None ) | [QB] 10/06/2013 - C.J. Brown doubtful Saturday vs. Virginia ( Head ) | [DL] 10/04/2013 - Mike Minter out for season ( Knee ) | [DB] 09/16/2013 - Dexter McDougle out for season ( Shoulder ) | [DB] 09/10/2013 - Jeremiah Johnson out indefinitely ( Toe ) | [4thQB] 08/30/2013 - Perry Hills out indefinitely ( Knee ) | [OL] 08/20/2013 - JaJuan Dulaney out for season ( Knee ) | [DL] 08/16/2013 - Ty Tucker out for season ( Knee ) | [DB] 08/15/2013 - Milan Collins out for season ( Ankle ) | [RB] 08/13/2013 - Wes Brown out for season ( Suspension ) |
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