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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 12:30 PM
VIRGINIA (2-7) AT N CAROLINA (3-5) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
145: VIRGINIA
146: N CAROLINA
52.5
-12.5
21.2 / 32.6
25.2 / 26.6
2-7
3-5
4-5-0
3-4-1
7-2-0
1-7-0
157.2
108.4
213.6
302.0
370.8
410.4
181.2
204.1
236.6
218.9
417.8
423.0
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
VIRGINIA  
N CAROLINA-17 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
VIRGINIA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points1-14-219-162-03-314-180-23-311-25
in all games4-512-22116-1357-215-1780-932-714-20145-120
in all lined games4-512-22116-1357-215-1780-932-714-20135-119
as an underdog3-38-1157-604-29-1045-571-55-1437-81
as a road underdog of 10.5 to 14 points0-02-07-30-01-13-60-02-05-5
in road games1-16-650-611-15-732-430-25-749-64
in road lined games1-16-650-611-15-732-430-25-749-64
in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 560-12-57-140-13-410-110-13-47-14
in a road game where the total is between 52.5 and 560-02-35-80-02-36-70-03-25-8
against conference opponents2-39-1279-924-19-1243-700-57-1491-82
when playing on a Saturday4-511-21106-1237-214-1670-812-713-19137-104
when playing with 6 or less days rest2-55-2079-986-113-1255-630-77-1899-86
after playing a conference game1-37-1277-854-08-1153-570-46-1387-80
in games played on a grass field4-512-21102-1167-214-1770-892-714-19126-106
in November games0-15-433-421-02-725-300-15-434-41
off a loss against a conference rival1-34-838-354-07-523-290-42-1039-37
after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses2-23-722-204-07-317-180-42-818-25
when playing against a team with a losing record0-03-122-200-00-46-130-03-136-8
in weeks 10 through 130-15-430-401-02-723-270-15-432-38

N CAROLINA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points0-13-314-151-13-36-91-15-223-7
in all games3-415-17124-1251-715-1679-893-518-15144-119
in all lined games3-415-17124-1251-715-1679-893-518-15134-118
as a favorite2-113-1063-711-311-1134-473-118-6100-37
as a home favorite of 10.5 to 14 points0-11-24-91-02-14-50-12-18-5
in home games2-111-658-641-39-735-432-214-485-50
in home lined games2-111-658-641-39-735-432-214-475-49
in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 560-04-39-170-06-113-130-06-112-14
in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 560-03-25-90-05-09-50-04-15-9
against conference opponents3-210-1185-870-511-1051-622-310-1186-87
when playing on a Saturday2-312-15111-1141-514-1270-773-317-11131-108
when playing with 6 or less days rest1-29-1289-911-211-1056-601-212-9103-84
after playing a conference game3-19-1085-761-311-851-592-29-1096-73
in games played on a grass field3-415-14113-1181-712-1669-833-518-12134-110
in November games1-04-336-380-13-419-271-04-343-31
off a win against a conference rival1-01-739-410-15-326-251-03-545-37
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins0-02-431-390-04-220-240-03-340-31
when playing against a team with a losing record1-05-325-300-15-313-111-06-246-11
in weeks 10 through 131-04-335-390-13-418-281-04-343-31
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
VIRGINIA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games2-7-5.64-57-221.211.8370.8(4.4)2.132.615.1417.8(5.7)1.8
Road Games0-2-21-11-114.58.0346.5(4.3)1.020.514.0333.5(5.1)3.0
Last 3 Games0-3-3.41-23-019.013.0361.3(4.3)1.743.018.7529.7(6.8)2.3
Grass Games2-7-5.64-57-221.211.8370.8(4.4)2.132.615.1417.8(5.7)1.8
Conference Games0-5-5.42-34-117.211.0355.4(4.3)1.434.016.8451.2(6.2)2.6
VIRGINIA - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)21.211.821.233:4242-157(3.8)24-4256.9%214(5.1)84-371(4.4)(17.5)
Opponents Defensive Avg.25.11320.632:4541-174(4.2)20-3459.1%223(6.6)75-396(5.3)(15.8)
Offense Road Games14.58.020.033:4541-153(3.7)21-4051.9%193(4.8)81-346(4.3)(23.9)
Defense (All Games)32.615.119.426:1840-181(4.5)17-3350.7%237(7.1)74-418(5.7)(12.8)
Opponents Offensive Avg.31.617.92128:1241-187(4.6)18-3156.5%235(7.5)72-422(5.8)(13.3)
Defense Road Games20.514.015.026:1532-72(2.2)15-3247.7%261(8)65-333(5.1)(16.3)

N CAROLINA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games3-5-6.23-41-725.215.6410.4(5.6)1.426.614.9423.0(5.6)1.6
Home Games2-2-4.22-11-332.017.5467.0(6.1)1.228.012.0455.2(5.6)2.5
Last 3 Games2-1+13-00-328.019.3439.7(5.8)1.018.712.0401.7(5.6)2.3
Grass Games3-5-6.23-41-725.215.6410.4(5.6)1.426.614.9423.0(5.6)1.6
Conference Games2-3-13-20-524.217.0402.8(5.7)1.422.214.2394.8(5.5)1.6
N CAROLINA - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)25.215.621.427:3936-108(3)24-3765.0%302(8.1)74-410(5.6)(16.3)
Opponents Defensive Avg.231219.230:3137-140(3.8)19-3259.9%221(6.9)69-361(5.2)(15.7)
Offense Home Games32.017.524.228:0738-104(2.7)27-3969.7%363(9.4)77-467(6.1)(14.6)
Defense (All Games)26.614.921.932:2146-204(4.4)17-2958.7%219(7.5)76-423(5.6)(15.9)
Opponents Offensive Avg.29.415.520.630:2941-185(4.5)18-3061.0%221(7.4)71-406(5.7)(13.8)
Defense Home Games28.012.024.231:5345-205(4.6)21-3659.3%250(6.9)81-455(5.6)(16.3)
Average power rating of opponents played: VIRGINIA 39.6,  N CAROLINA 39.6
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
VIRGINIA - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/21/2013VMI49-0W-41W47.5O63-35720-30-223225-419-31-382
9/28/2013@ PITTSBURGH3-14L6L50U33-6515-37-123235-813-31-1913
10/5/2013BALL ST27-48L-3L49O41-23622-42-223440-16023-41-3460
10/12/2013@ MARYLAND26-27L6W41O49-24227-44-263030-13618-34-3323
10/19/2013DUKE22-35L-2.5L52.5O39-10020-38-263144-18022-40-2921
10/26/2013GEORGIA TECH25-35L10.5W49O31-6843-62-376152-3945-9-1135
11/2/2013CLEMSON10-59L17.5L55O39-11419-46-163343-17534-45-4351
11/9/2013@ N CAROLINA            
11/23/2013@ MIAMI            
11/30/2013VIRGINIA TECH            

N CAROLINA - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/21/2013@ GEORGIA TECH20-28L6.5L59.5U24-10114-29-218171-3247-12-1041
9/28/2013E CAROLINA31-55L-12.5L60.5O32-6729-47-398154-22732-47-3761
10/5/2013@ VIRGINIA TECH17-27L8L45U38-9923-35-277334-4819-28-2930
10/17/2013MIAMI23-27L8.5W65.5U36-10532-43-395245-23419-35-3224
10/26/2013BOSTON COLLEGE34-10W-5.5W59U44-11022-29-282038-20211-22-591
11/2/2013@ NC STATE27-19W-5W55.5U38-15224-38-275148-21214-29-1762
11/9/2013VIRGINIA            
11/16/2013@ PITTSBURGH            
11/23/2013OLD DOMINION            
11/30/2013DUKE            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
VIRGINIA is 14-7 against the spread versus N CAROLINA since 1992
VIRGINIA is 13-8 straight up against N CAROLINA since 1992
12 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at N CAROLINA since 1992
N CAROLINA is 5-5 against the spread versus VIRGINIA since 1992
N CAROLINA is 6-4 straight up against VIRGINIA since 1992
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
11/15/2012N CAROLINA37-3.5SU ATS202525:4333-12730-38319107-52
 VIRGINIA1362 Under101734:1742-14519-33205116-60
9/17/2011VIRGINIA1748 Under32330:5934-17023-41298126-58
 N CAROLINA28-10SU ATS142229:0141-22216-23179103-40
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring VIRGINIA in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VIRGINIA games 47.5% of the time since 1992. (103-114)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VIRGINIA games 48.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-14)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 56% of the time since 1992. (122-96)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 58.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-12)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in VIRGINIA games 45.7% of the time since 1992. (75-89)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in VIRGINIA games 44.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-16)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 55.1% of the time since 1992. (81-66)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 43.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-17)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
VIRGINIA
[WR] 11/08/2013 - Canaan Severin expected to miss Saturday vs. North Carolina ( Lower Body )
[OL] 11/08/2013 - Cody Wallace expected to miss Saturday vs. North Carolina ( Illness )
[DB] 11/08/2013 - Maurice Canady is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. North Carolina ( Undisclosed )
[DB] 11/05/2013 - Demetrious Nicholson out for season ( Toe )
[DL] 11/03/2013 - Brent Urban "?" Saturday vs. North Carolina ( Leg )
[OL] 10/03/2013 - Sean Cascarano out for season ( Hip )
[DB] 08/19/2013 - Wilfred Wahee out for season ( ACL )
N CAROLINA
[QB] 11/05/2013 - Bryn Renner out for season ( Shoulder )
[QB] 11/04/2013 - Marquise Williams probable Saturday vs. Virginia ( Head )
[OL] 11/03/2013 - Kiaro Holts "?" Saturday vs. Virginia ( Undisclosed )
[DB] 11/03/2013 - T.J. Jiles "?" Saturday vs. Virginia ( Undisclosed )
[WR] 08/15/2013 - Dalton Stogner out for season ( Knee )
[LB] 08/15/2013 - Nathan Staub out indefinitely ( Knee )
[DB] 08/15/2013 - Sam Smiley out for season ( Toe )
[LB] 08/15/2013 - Shakeel Rashad out for season ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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