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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 3:30 PM
WISCONSIN (7-4) AT PENN ST (7-4) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
161: WISCONSIN
162: PENN ST
45.0
-2.0
28.1 / 17.5
29.5 / 18.9
7-4
7-4
5-6-0
8-2-1
6-4-0
6-5-0
217.6
142.2
165.6
280.3
383.3
422.5
106.6
126.6
196.3
229.0
302.9
355.6
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
WISCONSIN-2 
PENN ST  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
WISCONSIN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
when the line is +3 to -31-11-224-221-12-118-231-11-224-21
in all games5-620-18133-1146-424-12104-907-429-9177-81
off a loss against a conference rival2-03-233-302-05-025-242-04-135-28
when playing against a team with a winning record3-110-764-503-114-353-522-210-760-55
in weeks 10 through 131-17-335-301-16-428-201-19-140-24
in all lined games5-620-18133-1146-424-12104-907-429-9165-81
as an underdog1-04-143-291-04-127-380-12-327-46
as a road underdog of 3 points or less0-00-04-70-00-04-50-00-04-7
in road games3-16-751-523-19-442-382-28-559-45
in road lined games3-16-751-523-19-442-382-28-558-45
in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 450-00-04-50-00-03-60-00-04-5
in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 490-12-212-140-12-211-140-12-210-16
against conference opponents5-215-990-755-219-579-554-318-6101-65
when playing on a Saturday5-620-16126-1046-422-12100-797-428-8165-76
when playing with 6 or less days rest4-515-1498-905-419-982-645-422-7130-65
after playing a conference game4-214-987-754-217-673-554-217-6103-62
in games played on a grass field1-06-340-361-06-328-371-05-444-33
in November games1-17-336-301-16-428-201-19-141-24

PENN ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
when the line is +3 to -33-14-221-204-05-223-213-14-322-22
in all games8-216-17124-1216-515-1984-1127-423-14177-81
off a win against a conference rival2-16-651-444-09-441-412-28-671-29
when playing against a team with a winning record2-16-1055-694-09-954-592-210-971-58
in weeks 10 through 132-05-334-322-16-432-262-15-545-24
in all lined games8-216-17124-1216-515-1984-1127-422-14171-81
as a favorite5-111-897-872-47-1160-725-118-2153-34
as a home favorite of 3 points or less1-01-05-51-01-06-41-01-05-5
in home games4-28-967-633-36-1141-584-214-6107-32
in home lined games4-28-967-633-36-1141-584-213-6101-32
in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 451-13-210-110-20-66-161-14-215-7
in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 493-15-226-181-31-819-273-17-234-12
against conference opponents5-112-974-796-114-864-665-215-8101-58
when playing on a Saturday8-216-16115-1146-515-1879-1017-423-13167-75
when playing with 6 or less days rest7-114-1396-915-412-1667-846-319-10134-63
after playing a conference game4-111-981-705-114-762-704-213-9107-51
in games played on a grass field6-212-1699-983-510-1865-965-319-12145-64
in November games2-05-334-332-16-433-262-15-545-25
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
WISCONSIN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games7-4-0.85-66-428.112.3383.3(5.7)0.917.57.3302.9(4.6)1.1
Road Games2-2-1.43-13-133.515.2438.0(6.3)1.017.06.7335.0(4.8)1.5
Last 3 Games1-2-2.41-21-229.712.7385.0(5.4)0.317.08.0269.0(4.1)1.3
Grass Games1-0+11-01-038.017.0645.0(8.3)1.014.07.0252.0(4.3)1.0
Conference Games4-3-0.45-25-231.913.7423.6(6.1)0.717.47.7289.7(4.5)1.6
WISCONSIN - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)28.112.319.132:5845-218(4.8)13-2258.6%166(7.6)67-383(5.7)(13.6)
Opponents Defensive Avg.24.512.219.730:2838-158(4.2)19-3257.9%212(6.6)70-371(5.3)(15.2)
Offense Road Games33.515.220.732:5346-280(6.1)13-2354.3%157(6.7)70-438(6.3)(13.1)
Defense (All Games)17.57.315.826:5732-107(3.4)19-3455.0%196(5.8)66-303(4.6)(17.3)
Opponents Offensive Avg.26.613.62030:3837-159(4.3)20-3359.5%233(7.1)70-392(5.6)(14.7)
Defense Road Games17.06.717.027:0632-131(4.1)20-3853.2%203(5.3)70-335(4.8)(19.7)

PENN ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games7-4+1.98-26-529.516.8422.5(5.5)1.218.94.7355.6(4.9)1.9
Home Games4-2+0.64-23-329.815.5422.0(5.7)1.321.56.7371.5(5)1.3
Last 3 Games2-1+12-02-134.022.7481.0(6.5)1.721.07.3430.3(5.2)1.7
Grass Games5-3+0.66-23-528.615.0421.0(5.6)1.019.45.7362.4(4.9)1.6
Conference Games5-2+3.35-16-133.918.6447.6(5.5)1.321.06.1355.7(4.9)1.9
PENN ST - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)29.516.822.731:2039-142(3.6)23-3860.4%280(7.4)77-422(5.5)(14.3)
Opponents Defensive Avg.26.813.520.230:5238-167(4.3)19-3259.0%222(6.9)70-389(5.5)(14.5)
Offense Home Games29.815.522.831:0435-120(3.4)25-3963.2%302(7.7)74-422(5.7)(14.1)
Defense (All Games)18.94.718.528:3036-127(3.6)21-3757.3%229(6.2)72-356(4.9)(18.8)
Opponents Offensive Avg.27.414.120.630:0642-190(4.6)18-3060.1%200(6.7)71-390(5.5)(14.2)
Defense Home Games21.56.719.328:3740-152(3.8)20-3457.8%219(6.5)74-371(5)(17.3)
Average power rating of opponents played: WISCONSIN 33.5,  PENN ST 33.4
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
WISCONSIN - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/29/2012@ NEBRASKA27-30L11W52O41-5615-28-239146-25917-29-1812
10/6/2012ILLINOIS31-14W-14.5W44.5O33-17316-25-254234-10618-30-1782
10/13/2012@ PURDUE38-14W-1.5W49.5O57-46712-21-178128-12811-31-1241
10/20/2012MINNESOTA38-13W-17W46.5O54-3377-15-106030-9613-24-1492
10/27/2012MICHIGAN ST13-16L-5.5L41U37-1914-22-171028-6124-39-2161
11/10/2012@ INDIANA62-14W-7.5W55.5O64-5644-7-41023-6125-47-2333
11/17/2012OHIO ST14-21L-1L51.5U56-20614-27-154141-13910-18-970
11/24/2012@ PENN ST            

PENN ST - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/29/2012@ ILLINOIS35-7W3W41.5O52-17318-30-211022-7429-47-2923
10/6/2012NORTHWESTERN39-28W-3W49O48-16135-51-282125-11221-36-1351
10/20/2012@ IOWA38-14W1.5W42O52-21526-38-289223-2017-36-1893
10/27/2012OHIO ST23-35L1L51.5O28-3227-46-327153-2347-19-1431
11/3/2012@ PURDUE34-9W-3.5W49.5U38-18522-37-321026-8733-62-2881
11/10/2012@ NEBRASKA23-32L9T51O34-15118-37-240357-26712-20-1712
11/17/2012INDIANA45-22W-16.5W56O44-15122-32-395226-2433-59-4542
11/24/2012WISCONSIN            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
WISCONSIN is 8-5 against the spread versus PENN ST since 1992
WISCONSIN is 7-6 straight up against PENN ST since 1992
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 1-0 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 1-0 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at PENN ST since 1992
PENN ST is 3-3 against the spread versus WISCONSIN since 1992
PENN ST is 3-3 straight up against WISCONSIN since 1992
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at PENN ST over the last 3 seasons.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
11/26/2011PENN ST749 Over71221:4327-11411-25119317-58
 WISCONSIN45-17SU ATS282738:1749-26419-29186104-35
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring WISCONSIN in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WISCONSIN games 51.4% of the time since 1992. (110-104)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WISCONSIN games 43.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-18)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PENN ST games 54.1% of the time since 1992. (113-96)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PENN ST games 59.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-11)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in WISCONSIN games 59.4% of the time since 1992. (101-69)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in WISCONSIN games 62.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (22-13)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PENN ST games 53.2% of the time since 1992. (92-81)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PENN ST games 66.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (20-10)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
WISCONSIN
[WR] 08/07/2012 - Fred Willis has left team ( Personal )
[RB] 08/28/2012 - Vonte Jackson expected to redshirt ( Knee )
[LB] 09/07/2012 - Cody Byers out for season ( Concussion )
[WR] 09/11/2012 - Isaiah Williams out indefinitely ( Groin )
[DL] 10/19/2012 - Jesse Hayes out for season ( Leg )
[QB] 11/04/2012 - Joel Stave out for season ( Shoulder )
[LB] 11/24/2012 - Chris Borland is downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs. Penn State ( Hamstring )
[OT] 11/24/2012 - Rob Havenstein is downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs. Penn State ( Knee )
PENN ST
[LB] 08/09/2012 - Dakota Royer left the team ( Personal )
[WR] 09/12/2012 - Shawney Kersey left the team ( Personal )
[K] 09/13/2012 - Matt Marcincin has left team ( Personal )
[LB] 09/19/2012 - Nyeem Wartman out indefinitely ( Knee )
[3rdQB] 09/26/2012 - Paul Jones left the team ( Personal )
[OG] 11/18/2012 - Mark Arcidiacono "?" Saturday vs. Wisconsin ( Foot )
[Backup RB] 11/18/2012 - Curtis Dukes "?" Saturday vs. Wisconsin ( Concussion )
[FS] 11/18/2012 - Malcolm Willis "?" Saturday vs. Wisconsin ( Knee )
[TE] 11/13/2012 - Kyle Carter out for season ( Hand )
[DT] 11/18/2012 - James Terry "?" Saturday vs. Wisconsin ( Foot )
[LB] 11/18/2012 - Michael Mauti out for season ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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