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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| WISCONSIN | -10 |  | | PURDUE | | |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| when the line is +3 to -3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 23-21 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 17-22 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 23-20 | | in all games | 2-4 | 17-16 | 130-112 | 3-2 | 21-10 | 101-88 | 4-2 | 26-7 | 174-79 | | against conference opponents | 2-0 | 12-7 | 87-73 | 2-0 | 16-3 | 76-53 | 1-1 | 15-4 | 98-63 | | when playing on a Saturday | 2-4 | 17-14 | 123-102 | 3-2 | 19-10 | 97-77 | 4-2 | 25-6 | 162-74 | | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 2-3 | 13-12 | 96-88 | 3-2 | 17-7 | 80-62 | 3-2 | 20-5 | 128-63 | | after playing a conference game | 1-0 | 11-7 | 84-73 | 1-0 | 14-4 | 70-53 | 1-0 | 14-4 | 100-60 | | in games played on a grass field | 0-0 | 5-3 | 39-36 | 0-0 | 5-3 | 27-37 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 43-33 | | in October games | 1-0 | 5-4 | 42-39 | 1-0 | 9-0 | 37-29 | 1-0 | 6-3 | 49-33 | | off a win against a conference rival | 0-0 | 9-5 | 50-42 | 0-0 | 10-4 | 46-29 | 0-0 | 11-3 | 63-31 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 1-0 | 8-6 | 62-49 | 1-0 | 12-2 | 51-51 | 0-1 | 8-6 | 58-54 | | in weeks 5 through 9 | 2-0 | 6-4 | 48-42 | 2-0 | 10-0 | 43-31 | 1-1 | 6-4 | 55-37 | | in all lined games | 2-4 | 17-16 | 130-112 | 3-2 | 21-10 | 101-88 | 4-2 | 26-7 | 162-79 | | as an underdog | 1-0 | 4-1 | 43-29 | 1-0 | 4-1 | 27-38 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 27-46 | | as a road underdog of 3 points or less | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-7 | | in road games | 1-1 | 4-7 | 49-52 | 1-1 | 7-4 | 40-38 | 0-2 | 6-5 | 57-45 | | in road lined games | 1-1 | 4-7 | 49-52 | 1-1 | 7-4 | 40-38 | 0-2 | 6-5 | 56-45 | | in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 52 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 7-6 | 1-0 | 2-1 | 7-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8-4 | | in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 | 1-0 | 1-4 | 12-13 | 1-0 | 4-1 | 12-12 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 15-9 |
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| when the line is +3 to -3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 22-20 | 1-0 | 3-2 | 23-15 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 24-22 | | in all games | 3-2 | 13-16 | 112-111 | 3-1 | 16-10 | 75-88 | 3-2 | 14-16 | 122-121 | | against conference opponents | 0-1 | 8-9 | 78-75 | 1-0 | 10-6 | 49-62 | 0-1 | 6-11 | 73-87 | | when playing on a Saturday | 3-2 | 12-16 | 106-104 | 3-1 | 15-10 | 69-81 | 3-2 | 13-16 | 114-115 | | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 2-1 | 10-13 | 94-88 | 2-1 | 13-8 | 60-73 | 1-2 | 9-14 | 93-103 | | after playing a conference game | 0-0 | 7-8 | 77-72 | 0-0 | 9-5 | 49-61 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 70-87 | | in games played on a grass field | 3-2 | 12-13 | 88-89 | 3-1 | 13-9 | 52-78 | 3-2 | 13-13 | 99-96 | | in October games | 0-1 | 5-5 | 38-44 | 1-0 | 4-4 | 26-33 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 34-50 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 0-0 | 4-5 | 37-42 | 0-0 | 6-3 | 26-28 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 36-47 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 0-0 | 7-7 | 51-56 | 0-0 | 8-5 | 41-50 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 37-75 | | in weeks 5 through 9 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 44-48 | 2-0 | 5-4 | 29-39 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 42-53 | | in all lined games | 3-2 | 13-16 | 112-111 | 3-1 | 16-10 | 75-88 | 3-2 | 14-16 | 113-119 | | as a favorite | 2-1 | 6-8 | 60-58 | 2-0 | 9-3 | 38-48 | 3-0 | 11-3 | 93-30 | | as a home favorite of 3 points or less | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7-4 | | in home games | 2-2 | 8-10 | 62-54 | 3-0 | 10-5 | 32-49 | 3-1 | 11-7 | 82-48 | | in home lined games | 2-2 | 8-10 | 62-54 | 3-0 | 10-5 | 32-49 | 3-1 | 11-7 | 73-47 | | in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 52 | 1-0 | 2-0 | 5-5 | 1-0 | 1-1 | 3-7 | 1-0 | 2-0 | 7-3 | | in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 11-16 | 2-0 | 3-1 | 15-15 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 16-13 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 4-2 | -0.4 | 2-4 | 3-2 | 24.0 | 11.0 | 328.8 | (5.2) | 1.3 | 19.2 | 7.2 | 338.0 | (4.9) | 0.8 | | Road Games | 0-2 | -3.4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 17.0 | 10.0 | 251.0 | (3.9) | 1.5 | 20.0 | 6.5 | 397.0 | (5.2) | 1.0 | | Last 3 Games | 2-1 | +1 | 2-1 | 3-0 | 31.7 | 16.7 | 381.7 | (6.2) | 1.7 | 23.3 | 8.7 | 353.3 | (5) | 1.7 | | Conference Games | 1-1 | 0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 29.0 | 13.5 | 361.0 | (5.7) | 1.5 | 22.0 | 8.5 | 362.0 | (5.2) | 2.0 |
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| Offense (All Games) | 24.0 | 11.0 | 17.2 | 30:24 | 38-133 | (3.5) | 15-24 | 60.5% | 195 | (8) | 63-329 | (5.2) | (13.7) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 23.4 | 11.1 | 19.6 | 30:04 | 37-149 | (4) | 19-32 | 57.9% | 222 | (7) | 69-371 | (5.4) | (15.9) | | Offense Road Games | 17.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 26:42 | 32-45 | (1.4) | 17-33 | 53.0% | 205 | (6.2) | 65-251 | (3.9) | (14.8) | | Defense (All Games) | 19.2 | 7.2 | 17.3 | 29:35 | 33-115 | (3.5) | 20-36 | 57.0% | 223 | (6.3) | 69-338 | (4.9) | (17.6) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 24.5 | 13 | 19.8 | 30:56 | 36-148 | (4.1) | 21-34 | 61.6% | 250 | (7.4) | 70-398 | (5.7) | (16.2) | | Defense Road Games | 20.0 | 6.5 | 21.0 | 33:17 | 38-168 | (4.4) | 23-38 | 60.5% | 228 | (6) | 76-397 | (5.2) | (19.8) |
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| All Games | 3-2 | 0 | 3-2 | 3-1 | 36.6 | 25.2 | 413.4 | (5.5) | 2.8 | 25.4 | 12.8 | 364.4 | (5.1) | 2.6 | | Home Games | 3-1 | +1 | 2-2 | 3-0 | 41.5 | 29.7 | 444.7 | (5.7) | 3.0 | 26.7 | 14.2 | 361.5 | (5.1) | 3.0 | | Last 3 Games | 2-1 | 0 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 39.3 | 28.3 | 410.7 | (5.5) | 2.3 | 33.7 | 17.0 | 418.7 | (5.5) | 2.7 | | Grass Games | 3-2 | 0 | 3-2 | 3-1 | 36.6 | 25.2 | 413.4 | (5.5) | 2.8 | 25.4 | 12.8 | 364.4 | (5.1) | 2.6 | | Conference Games | 0-1 | -1 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 13.0 | 10.0 | 213.0 | (3.5) | 4.0 | 44.0 | 28.0 | 409.0 | (5.8) | 1.0 |
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| Offense (All Games) | 36.6 | 25.2 | 22.0 | 30:01 | 38-172 | (4.5) | 25-37 | 66.8% | 241 | (6.4) | 76-413 | (5.5) | (11.3) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 31.7 | 17.7 | 23.7 | 32:54 | 42-195 | (4.7) | 22-34 | 64.1% | 227 | (6.7) | 75-421 | (5.6) | (13.3) | | Offense Home Games | 41.5 | 29.7 | 24.0 | 31:04 | 40-193 | (4.8) | 26-37 | 70.7% | 252 | (6.7) | 78-445 | (5.7) | (10.7) | | Defense (All Games) | 25.4 | 12.8 | 18.8 | 29:59 | 36-145 | (4) | 20-35 | 56.9% | 219 | (6.3) | 71-364 | (5.1) | (14.3) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 24.5 | 13 | 18.6 | 28:02 | 36-157 | (4.4) | 17-31 | 56.8% | 204 | (6.7) | 66-361 | (5.4) | (14.8) | | Defense Home Games | 26.7 | 14.2 | 18.7 | 28:55 | 36-168 | (4.6) | 19-34 | 55.6% | 193 | (5.7) | 70-361 | (5.1) | (13.5) |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: WISCONSIN 29.7, PURDUE 29.2 |
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| Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed. |
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| 9/1/2012 | N IOWA | 26-21 | W | -32.5 | L | | - | 47-168 | 19-23-219 | 0 | 20-41 | 18-34-265 | 0 | | 9/8/2012 | @ OREGON ST | 7-10 | L | -6 | L | 49 | U | 23-35 | 20-38-172 | 2 | 30-78 | 29-47-276 | 0 | | 9/15/2012 | UTAH ST | 16-14 | W | -14 | L | 51.5 | U | 45-156 | 7-16-78 | 1 | 35-127 | 18-35-181 | 0 | | 9/22/2012 | UTEP | 37-26 | W | -18 | L | 50.5 | O | 40-213 | 12-17-210 | 2 | 33-77 | 22-39-259 | 1 | | 9/29/2012 | @ NEBRASKA | 27-30 | L | 11 | W | 52 | O | 41-56 | 15-28-239 | 1 | 46-259 | 17-29-181 | 2 | | 10/6/2012 | ILLINOIS | 31-14 | W | -14.5 | W | 44.5 | O | 33-173 | 16-25-254 | 2 | 34-106 | 18-30-178 | 2 | | 10/13/2012 | @ PURDUE | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10/20/2012 | MINNESOTA | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10/27/2012 | MICHIGAN ST | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/10/2012 | @ INDIANA | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| WISCONSIN is 9-6 against the spread versus PURDUE since 1992 | | WISCONSIN is 11-4 straight up against PURDUE since 1992 | | 6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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| WISCONSIN is 2-0 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons | | WISCONSIN is 2-0 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| WISCONSIN is 5-2 against the spread versus PURDUE since 1992 | | WISCONSIN is 5-2 straight up against PURDUE since 1992 | | 4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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| WISCONSIN is 1-0 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons | | WISCONSIN is 1-0 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| 11/5/2011 | PURDUE | 17 | 59 | Over | 17 | 14 | 23:17 | 29-120 | 15-29 | 164 | 0 | 2 | 8-65 | | | WISCONSIN | 62 | -27.5 | SU ATS | 38 | 30 | 36:43 | 54-364 | 18-24 | 241 | 1 | 0 | 4-17 | | 11/6/2010 | WISCONSIN | 34 | -20 | SU ATS | 6 | 15 | 29:04 | 39-173 | 13-19 | 130 | 0 | 1 | 2-18 | | | PURDUE | 13 | 49 | Under | 10 | 17 | 30:56 | 37-162 | 19-38 | 141 | 1 | 3 | 3-30 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WISCONSIN games 51.2% of the time since 1992. (108-103) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WISCONSIN games 41.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (12-17) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PURDUE games 49.5% of the time since 1992. (92-94) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PURDUE games 65.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-9) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in WISCONSIN games 58.8% of the time since 1992. (97-68) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in WISCONSIN games 60% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (18-12) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in PURDUE games 46.3% of the time since 1992. (68-79) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in PURDUE games 48% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (12-13) | |
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| [WR] 08/07/2012 - Fred Willis has left team ( Personal ) | | [RB] 08/28/2012 - Vonte Jackson expected to redshirt ( Knee ) | | [LB] 09/07/2012 - Cody Byers out for season ( Concussion ) | | [WR] 09/11/2012 - Isaiah Williams out indefinitely ( Groin ) | | [DT] 10/08/2012 - Kyle Costigan is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Purdue ( Knee ) | | [DE] 10/11/2012 - Tyler Dippel "?" Saturday vs. Purdue ( Arm ) | | [DB] 10/12/2012 - Peniel Jean expected to miss Saturday vs. Purdue ( Foot ) | | [OL] 10/12/2012 - Dallas Lewallen out indefinitely ( Knee ) | |
| [RB] 10/11/2012 - Ralph Bolden is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Wisconsin ( Knee ) | | [LB] 08/30/2012 - Dwayne Beckford has been dismissed ( Suspension ) | | [DT] 10/11/2012 - Bruce Gaston probable Saturday vs. Wisconsin ( Hamstring ) |
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