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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 12:00 PM
WISCONSIN (4-2) AT PURDUE (3-2) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
129: WISCONSIN
130: PURDUE
50.5
-1.0
24.0 / 19.2
36.6 / 25.4
4-2
3-2
2-4-0
3-2-0
3-2-0
3-1-0
133.5
172.4
195.3
241.0
328.8
413.4
114.7
145.0
223.3
219.4
338.0
364.4
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
WISCONSIN-10
PURDUE  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
WISCONSIN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
when the line is +3 to -30-00-123-210-01-017-220-00-123-20
in all games2-417-16130-1123-221-10101-884-226-7174-79
against conference opponents2-012-787-732-016-376-531-115-498-63
when playing on a Saturday2-417-14123-1023-219-1097-774-225-6162-74
when playing with 6 or less days rest2-313-1296-883-217-780-623-220-5128-63
after playing a conference game1-011-784-731-014-470-531-014-4100-60
in games played on a grass field0-05-339-360-05-327-370-04-443-33
in October games1-05-442-391-09-037-291-06-349-33
off a win against a conference rival0-09-550-420-010-446-290-011-363-31
when playing against a team with a winning record1-08-662-491-012-251-510-18-658-54
in weeks 5 through 92-06-448-422-010-043-311-16-455-37
in all lined games2-417-16130-1123-221-10101-884-226-7162-79
as an underdog1-04-143-291-04-127-380-12-327-46
as a road underdog of 3 points or less0-00-04-70-00-04-50-00-04-7
in road games1-14-749-521-17-440-380-26-557-45
in road lined games1-14-749-521-17-440-380-26-556-45
in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 521-01-27-61-02-17-50-11-28-4
in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 561-01-412-131-04-112-120-12-315-9

PURDUE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
when the line is +3 to -30-12-322-201-03-223-150-12-324-22
in all games3-213-16112-1113-116-1075-883-214-16122-121
against conference opponents0-18-978-751-010-649-620-16-1173-87
when playing on a Saturday3-212-16106-1043-115-1069-813-213-16114-115
when playing with 6 or less days rest2-110-1394-882-113-860-731-29-1493-103
after playing a conference game0-07-877-720-09-549-610-05-1070-87
in games played on a grass field3-212-1388-893-113-952-783-213-1399-96
in October games0-15-538-441-04-426-330-14-634-50
off a loss against a conference rival0-04-537-420-06-326-280-03-636-47
when playing against a team with a winning record0-07-751-560-08-541-500-04-1037-75
in weeks 5 through 90-25-644-482-05-429-391-15-642-53
in all lined games3-213-16112-1113-116-1075-883-214-16113-119
as a favorite2-16-860-582-09-338-483-011-393-30
as a home favorite of 3 points or less0-00-05-40-00-06-10-00-07-4
in home games2-28-1062-543-010-532-493-111-782-48
in home lined games2-28-1062-543-010-532-493-111-773-47
in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 521-02-05-51-01-13-71-02-07-3
in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 561-12-211-162-03-115-151-12-216-13
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
WISCONSIN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games4-2-0.42-43-224.011.0328.8(5.2)1.319.27.2338.0(4.9)0.8
Road Games0-2-3.41-11-117.010.0251.0(3.9)1.520.06.5397.0(5.2)1.0
Last 3 Games2-1+12-13-031.716.7381.7(6.2)1.723.38.7353.3(5)1.7
Conference Games1-102-02-029.013.5361.0(5.7)1.522.08.5362.0(5.2)2.0
WISCONSIN - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)24.011.017.230:2438-133(3.5)15-2460.5%195(8)63-329(5.2)(13.7)
Opponents Defensive Avg.23.411.119.630:0437-149(4)19-3257.9%222(7)69-371(5.4)(15.9)
Offense Road Games17.010.015.026:4232-45(1.4)17-3353.0%205(6.2)65-251(3.9)(14.8)
Defense (All Games)19.27.217.329:3533-115(3.5)20-3657.0%223(6.3)69-338(4.9)(17.6)
Opponents Offensive Avg.24.51319.830:5636-148(4.1)21-3461.6%250(7.4)70-398(5.7)(16.2)
Defense Road Games20.06.521.033:1738-168(4.4)23-3860.5%228(6)76-397(5.2)(19.8)

PURDUE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games3-203-23-136.625.2413.4(5.5)2.825.412.8364.4(5.1)2.6
Home Games3-1+12-23-041.529.7444.7(5.7)3.026.714.2361.5(5.1)3.0
Last 3 Games2-101-23-039.328.3410.7(5.5)2.333.717.0418.7(5.5)2.7
Grass Games3-203-23-136.625.2413.4(5.5)2.825.412.8364.4(5.1)2.6
Conference Games0-1-10-11-013.010.0213.0(3.5)4.044.028.0409.0(5.8)1.0
PURDUE - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)36.625.222.030:0138-172(4.5)25-3766.8%241(6.4)76-413(5.5)(11.3)
Opponents Defensive Avg.31.717.723.732:5442-195(4.7)22-3464.1%227(6.7)75-421(5.6)(13.3)
Offense Home Games41.529.724.031:0440-193(4.8)26-3770.7%252(6.7)78-445(5.7)(10.7)
Defense (All Games)25.412.818.829:5936-145(4)20-3556.9%219(6.3)71-364(5.1)(14.3)
Opponents Offensive Avg.24.51318.628:0236-157(4.4)17-3156.8%204(6.7)66-361(5.4)(14.8)
Defense Home Games26.714.218.728:5536-168(4.6)19-3455.6%193(5.7)70-361(5.1)(13.5)
Average power rating of opponents played: WISCONSIN 29.7,  PURDUE 29.2
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
WISCONSIN - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/1/2012N IOWA26-21W-32.5L -47-16819-23-219020-4118-34-2650
9/8/2012@ OREGON ST7-10L-6L49U23-3520-38-172230-7829-47-2760
9/15/2012UTAH ST16-14W-14L51.5U45-1567-16-78135-12718-35-1810
9/22/2012UTEP37-26W-18L50.5O40-21312-17-210233-7722-39-2591
9/29/2012@ NEBRASKA27-30L11W52O41-5615-28-239146-25917-29-1812
10/6/2012ILLINOIS31-14W-14.5W44.5O33-17316-25-254234-10618-30-1782
10/13/2012@ PURDUE            
10/20/2012MINNESOTA            
10/27/2012MICHIGAN ST            
11/10/2012@ INDIANA            

PURDUE - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/1/2012E KENTUCKY48-6W-19.5W -40-17537-47-372531-1058-22-854
9/8/2012@ NOTRE DAME17-20L14W53.5U30-9019-37-198236-5224-39-3241
9/15/2012E MICHIGAN54-16W-23.5W49.5O42-39219-31-184238-16914-29-1443
9/29/2012MARSHALL51-41W-17L61.5O53-14927-37-294123-9545-68-4394
10/6/2012MICHIGAN13-44L3L55O26-5623-35-157454-3048-16-1051
10/13/2012WISCONSIN            
10/20/2012@ OHIO ST            
10/27/2012@ MINNESOTA            
11/3/2012PENN ST            
11/10/2012@ IOWA            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
WISCONSIN is 9-6 against the spread versus PURDUE since 1992
WISCONSIN is 11-4 straight up against PURDUE since 1992
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 2-0 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 2-0 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at PURDUE since 1992
WISCONSIN is 5-2 against the spread versus PURDUE since 1992
WISCONSIN is 5-2 straight up against PURDUE since 1992
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at PURDUE over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 1-0 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 1-0 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
11/5/2011PURDUE1759 Over171423:1729-12015-29164028-65
 WISCONSIN62-27.5SU ATS383036:4354-36418-24241104-17
11/6/2010WISCONSIN34-20SU ATS61529:0439-17313-19130012-18
 PURDUE1349 Under101730:5637-16219-38141133-30
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring PURDUE in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WISCONSIN games 51.2% of the time since 1992. (108-103)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WISCONSIN games 41.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (12-17)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PURDUE games 49.5% of the time since 1992. (92-94)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PURDUE games 65.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-9)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in WISCONSIN games 58.8% of the time since 1992. (97-68)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in WISCONSIN games 60% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (18-12)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PURDUE games 46.3% of the time since 1992. (68-79)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PURDUE games 48% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (12-13)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
WISCONSIN
[WR] 08/07/2012 - Fred Willis has left team ( Personal )
[RB] 08/28/2012 - Vonte Jackson expected to redshirt ( Knee )
[LB] 09/07/2012 - Cody Byers out for season ( Concussion )
[WR] 09/11/2012 - Isaiah Williams out indefinitely ( Groin )
[DT] 10/08/2012 - Kyle Costigan is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Purdue ( Knee )
[DE] 10/11/2012 - Tyler Dippel "?" Saturday vs. Purdue ( Arm )
[DB] 10/12/2012 - Peniel Jean expected to miss Saturday vs. Purdue ( Foot )
[OL] 10/12/2012 - Dallas Lewallen out indefinitely ( Knee )
PURDUE
[RB] 10/11/2012 - Ralph Bolden is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Wisconsin ( Knee )
[LB] 08/30/2012 - Dwayne Beckford has been dismissed ( Suspension )
[DT] 10/11/2012 - Bruce Gaston probable Saturday vs. Wisconsin ( Hamstring )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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