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Matchup Reports

Sunday at 1:35 PM
ARIZONA (56-54) AT BOSTON (67-45) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
975: ARIZONA
976: BOSTON
9.0
-197
56-54
67-45
46-60-4
52-55-5
4.2 / 4.1
5.0 / 4.1
(R) B MCCARTHY
(L) F DOUBRONT
2-4
7-5
4.99
3.47
1.42
1.36
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Overcast   Temperature: 71.0 °
Humidity: 84   Wind: East at 10.4 MPH (9 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
ARIZONAMCCARTHY +121
BOSTONDOUBRONT-121 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
ARIZONA team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games56-54+0.6234-207+14.41285-1296-134.946-60200-2231216-1252
when the total is 9 to 9.516-13+1.786-64+9.6469-463-28.19-1962-80446-435
as a road underdog of +175 to +2001-0+1.83-1+4.420-55-18.31-02-234-38
in road games26-30+0.7109-112+12.4589-699-63.927-27106-106578-650
on the road when the total is 9 to 9.53-6-1.916-18+1.2164-191-2.83-615-16148-188
in August games1-2-0.233-28+3.5218-208-20.71-224-32194-213
when playing on Sunday8-9-3.339-30+4.1204-207-243-1325-40191-200
in an inter-league game5-6+0.924-21+4.2118-136-24.93-820-23121-121
in day games17-14+1.464-59+2.1351-386-65.38-2155-61361-339
in games played on a grass field55-53-0.1233-206+13.71237-1241-128.346-58200-2211173-1195
against left-handed starters20-16+5.477-72-3.4378-372-38.714-2168-76363-359
after a loss27-26+1.6103-101-2.7614-680-104.623-2893-103615-626
when playing against a team with a winning record22-25-0.189-97-1.1558-655-82.316-2879-101573-594
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season2-3+0.539-39+4.4283-336-38.31-436-39276-320

BOSTON team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games67-45+13.7228-210-35.81539-1238-42.952-55212-2051288-1349
when the total is 9 to 9.523-24-8.584-97-43.3564-507-72.818-2690-82503-515
as a home favorite of -175 to -2006-2+2.217-18-16116-81-33.54-317-1589-95
in home games38-21+7.3119-104-31.9821-570-26.926-30115-96661-655
at home when the total is 9 to 9.515-13-5.251-59-34.2295-224-31.611-1556-49256-244
in August games2-1+0.128-33-13244-212-31.92-128-32215-216
when playing on Sunday10-8+042-28+9.2248-197+8.97-1030-37186-231
in an inter-league game8-3+3.529-18+4177-125+18.74-722-23134-152
in day games20-11+573-57+1.1467-383-12.710-2061-65388-417
in games played on a grass field59-41+8.4202-188-411358-1061-13.844-51185-1841103-1186
against right-handed starters44-31+6.9147-148-43.71110-856+7.739-33150-132911-951
after a win37-29+1.4122-99-3.3850-684-32.130-34107-105742-724
when playing against a team with a winning record27-26-1.4112-115-15.2665-651-60.322-29105-111592-663
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season7-8-2.340-64-26.8335-365-62.33-1247-54313-357
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
ARIZONA - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
7/21/2013DELGADO(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOBUMGARNER(L)3-1W1507 unU872580
7/22/2013SKAGGS(L)CHICAGO CUBSRUSIN(L)2-4L-1859 unU6701170
7/23/2013CORBIN(L)CHICAGO CUBSWOOD(L)10-4W-1757.5 unO1472790
7/24/2013KENNEDY(R)CHICAGO CUBSSAMARDZIJA(R)6-7L-1358 ovO121621171
7/25/2013MILEY(L)CHICAGO CUBSVILLANUEVA(R)3-1W-1658.5 evU770670
7/26/2013DELGADO(R)SAN DIEGOSTULTS(L)10-0W-1358.5 unO1790341
7/27/2013SKAGGS(L)SAN DIEGOCASHNER(R)3-12L-1258.5 ovO691960
7/28/2013CORBIN(L)SAN DIEGOROSS(R)0-1L-1908 unU340760
7/30/2013KENNEDY(R)@ TAMPA BAYHERNANDEZ(R)2-5L1508 evU53010110
7/31/2013MILEY(L)@ TAMPA BAYHELLICKSON(R)7-0W1707.5 unU1481390
8/1/2013SPRUILL(R)@ TEXASDARVISH(R)1-7L2258.5 ovU8611160
8/2/2013DELGADO(R)@ BOSTONLESTER(L)7-6W1809 ovO1691960
8/3/2013CORBIN(L)@ BOSTONPEAVY(R)2-5L1358 ovU651970
8/4/2013MCCARTHY(R)@ BOSTONDOUBRONT(L) 
8/6/2013MILEY(L)TAMPA BAYHELLICKSON(R) 
8/7/2013SPRUILL(R)TAMPA BAYARCHER(R) 
8/9/2013DELGADO(R)NY METSHEFNER(R) 
8/10/2013CORBIN(L)NY METSWHEELER(R) 
8/11/2013 NY METS  

BOSTON - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
7/21/2013DEMPSTER(R)NY YANKEESSABATHIA(L)8-7W-1408.5 unO1110313121
7/22/2013WORKMAN(R)TAMPA BAYMOORE(L)0-3L+1159 unU220880
7/23/2013LESTER(L)TAMPA BAYHERNANDEZ(R)6-2W-1409.5 evU1270751
7/24/2013DOUBRONT(L)TAMPA BAYPRICE(L)1-5L+1008.5 unU5311180
7/26/2013LACKEY(R)@ BALTIMORETILLMAN(R)0-6L-1059 unU4611050
7/27/2013DEMPSTER(R)@ BALTIMOREFELDMAN(R)7-3W1109 ovO1060990
7/28/2013LESTER(L)@ BALTIMOREHAMMEL(R)5-0W-1159 unU1071560
7/29/2013DOUBRONT(L)TAMPA BAYPRICE(L)1-2L+1008 evU5409100
7/30/2013WORKMAN(R)SEATTLESAUNDERS(L)8-2W-18510 unP1130881
7/31/2013LACKEY(R)SEATTLEIWAKUMA(R)5-4W-1558.5 unO1213016122
8/1/2013DEMPSTER(R)SEATTLEHERNANDEZ(R)8-7W-1058.5 ovO131001190
8/2/2013LESTER(L)ARIZONADELGADO(R)6-7L-1909 ovO9601691
8/3/2013PEAVY(R)ARIZONACORBIN(L)5-2W-1458 ovU970651
8/4/2013DOUBRONT(L)ARIZONAMCCARTHY(R) 
8/5/2013LACKEY(R)@ HOUSTONOBERHOLTZER(L) 
8/6/2013DEMPSTER(R)@ HOUSTONLYLES(R) 
8/7/2013LESTER(L)@ HOUSTONCOSART(R) 
8/8/2013PEAVY(R)@ KANSAS CITYCHEN(L) 
8/9/2013DOUBRONT(L)@ KANSAS CITYSANTANA(R) 
8/10/2013LACKEY(R)@ KANSAS CITYGUTHRIE(R) 
8/11/2013 @ KANSAS CITY  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
ARIZONA - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games56-54+0.646-604.20.2560.3184.10.2520.311
Road Games26-30+0.727-274.20.2600.3164.20.2580.317
vs Left-handed Starters20-16+5.414-214.30.2680.3323.50.2430.312
Past 7 Games2-5-2.72-53.10.2450.2905.10.2480.320
Grass Games55-53-0.146-584.20.2560.3184.10.2530.311
Day Games17-14+1.48-213.60.2570.3173.70.2400.301
Interleague5-6+0.83-84.10.2800.3044.50.2630.331
ARIZONA - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.20.2560.3181103813977313920.0242934379337772113519330
Road Games4.20.2600.316562035530152460.022241664262141461214318
Lefty Starters4.30.2680.332361226329109250.02144116219824842163311
ARIZONA - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.231.249334.61261202993811931922-14301862.5%
Road Games3.261.316165.76460153176515411-7141156%

BOSTON - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games67-45+13.652-555.00.2730.3414.10.2520.320
Home Games38-21+7.326-305.10.2830.3464.20.2490.314
vs Right-handed Starters44-31+6.839-335.20.2780.3454.40.2510.318
Past 7 Games5-2+2.13-35.40.2720.3373.40.2670.321
Grass Games59-41+8.544-514.90.2770.3424.20.2520.318
Day Games20-11+510-204.80.2690.3383.70.2420.305
Interleague8-3+3.54-75.70.3280.3832.90.2550.304
BOSTON - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games5.00.2730.341112388910623861180.03543398900848321085910383
Home Games5.10.2830.346592004568226600.032891914563741951355354
Righty Starters5.20.2780.345752637732265760.033792716146357375426355
BOSTON - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.721.3383341491383203812734120-14221559.5%
Home Games4.191.404171.78780174216716813-711955%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
BRANDON MCCARTHY recent results and season statistics
BRANDON MCCARTHY - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.991.4252-41166.76.1393785710395-6-25-5
Road Starts5.141.5001-25285.616163745143-2+1.12-3
Last 3 Starts3.371.1252-1318.76.277171472-1+11-2
BRANDON MCCARTHY - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/30/2013at TEXAS5-9+1309.5Loss,OverL2.7669100GRIMM(R)
5/24/2013SAN DIEGO5-2-1509Win,UnderW7115022STULTS(L)
5/18/2013at MIAMI1-0-1557.5Win,UnderW9003025KOEHLER(R)

FELIX DOUBRONT recent results and season statistics
FELIX DOUBRONT - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Games3.771.4107-520117-5449114851107---
All Starts3.471.3617-519111.75.9484310384910311-8+2.79-10
Home Starts2.971.1623-3957.76.4221943324545-404-5
Last 3 Starts3.001.3891-23186.0761708141-2-10-3
FELIX DOUBRONT - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/29/2013TAMPA BAY1-2+1008Loss,UnderL5228034PRICE(L)
7/24/2013TAMPA BAY1-5+1008.5Loss,UnderL6.7336025PRICE(L)
7/19/2013NY YANKEES4-2-1709.5Win,UnderW6.3213035PETTITTE(L)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 1-1 (+0.8 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.0 Units)
Games this season
ARIZONA is 1-1 (+0.8 Units) against BOSTON this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.0 Units)

All games at BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 1-1 (+0.8 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.0 Units)
Games played at BOSTON this season.
ARIZONA is 1-1 (+0.8 Units) against BOSTON this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
8/3/2013ARIZONA2+135 Under61051CORBIN(L)L6382
 BOSTON5-1458 ovWin92170PEAVY(R)W7242
8/2/2013ARIZONA7+180  162191DELGADO(R)W6461
 BOSTON6-1909 ovOver92060LESTER(L) 4.36110
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
BRANDON MCCARTHY vs. BOSTON since 1997
MCCARTHY is 3-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.94 and a WHIP of 1.419.
His team's record is 3-3 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.0 units)
BRANDON MCCARTHY recent starts vs. BOSTON
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/31/2012BOSTON20-2-1707.5Win,OverW6.3228101COOK(R)
5/2/2012at BOSTON4-2+1458.5Win,UnderW6.7115034BARD(R)
9/7/2008BOSTON2-7+11011.5Loss,UnderL5.3667131BYRD(R)

FELIX DOUBRONT vs. ARIZONA since 1997
No recent starts.
FELIX DOUBRONT recent starts vs. ARIZONA
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
No recent games found.
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring BOSTON in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARIZONA games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-980, -7.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARIZONA games 51.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (189-176, -1.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 50% of the time since 1997. (1102-1104, -143.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 54.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (200-169, +5.5 units)
Edge=ARIZONA
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ARIZONA games 51.8% of the time since 1997. (814-756, -48.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ARIZONA games 53.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (133-116, +2.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 52.1% of the time since 1997. (931-857, -46.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 57.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (156-114, +28.2 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
ARIZONA
[C] 08/01/2013 - Miguel Montero 15-day DL (7/29) ( Back )
[SS] 07/03/2013 - Willie Bloomquist 15-day DL (6/28) ( Hand )
[P] 07/01/2013 - Trevor Cahill 15-day DL (7/1) ( Hip )
[P] 06/11/2013 - Matt Reynolds 15-day DL (6/10) ( Elbow )
[P] 06/01/2013 - Brandon McCarthy 15-day DL (5/31), expected to be activated & start Sunday vs. Boston Red Sox ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Daniel Hudson 60-day DL (2/18) ( Elbow )
BOSTON
[P] 07/19/2013 - Andrew Bailey 15-day DL (7/13) ( Shoulder )
[P] 07/10/2013 - Alex Wilson 15-day DL (7/9) ( Thumb )
[P] 07/07/2013 - Andrew Miller 60-day DL (7/7) ( Foot )
[P] 06/27/2013 - Franklin Morales 15-day DL (6/23) ( Shoulder )
[C] 06/19/2013 - David Ross 60-day DL (6/15) ( Concussion )
[P] 06/12/2013 - Clay Buchholz 15-day DL (6/9) ( Neck )
[P] 05/09/2013 - Joel Hanrahan 60-day DL (5/9), out for season ( Elbow )
[LF] 03/31/2013 - Ryan Kalish 60-day DL (2/20) ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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