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Matchup Reports

Sunday at 1:10 PM
ARIZONA (64-54) AT CINCINNATI (52-65) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
953: ARIZONA
954: CINCINNATI
9.0
-102
64-54
52-65
55-58-5
61-52-4
4.4 / 3.9
4.6 / 5.0
(R) Z GODLEY
(R) L CASTILLO
12-6
6-9
4.38
4.91
1.43
1.33
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 54.0 °
Humidity: 47   Wind: South at 3.5 MPH (3 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
ARIZONAGODLEY-114 
CINCINNATICASTILLO +114 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
ARIZONA team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games64-54+2.4227-219-3.11678-1720-167.355-58221-2061615-1634
when the total is 9 to 9.510-6+3.969-67-5.2563-556-37.36-867-58538-514
on the road when the money line is +125 to -12518-15+2.951-54-2368-395-17.721-1250-53352-381
as a road favorite of -125 to -1755-4-0.424-19-2.6141-99+1.92-615-25107-119
in road games32-25+8.9109-112+8.7780-916-63.529-26101-113766-855
on the road when the total is 9 to 9.53-4-0.817-25-9.1186-222-14.32-415-24169-217
in August games4-5-3.833-33-3.2287-286-33.14-539-24272-274
when playing on Sunday8-10-3.235-36+0.6265-280-35.44-1430-37246-273
in day games17-21-6.865-72-5.5461-522-89.214-2364-68469-470
against right-handed starters41-35+1.9156-159-10.31188-1234-128.236-38155-1471144-1172
after a loss29-24+1.3106-111-11.2817-895-109.723-26106-101814-824
when playing against a team with a losing record35-21+9.8130-92+19.9867-734-18.229-23117-94773-751
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season6-5-2.248-43-6.9436-372-38.57-449-39371-396

CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games52-65-2.6188-252-231686-1842-103.661-52231-1901677-1668
when the total is 9 to 9.530-36-294-110-2650-682-30.633-3198-95615-622
at home when the money line is +125 to -12520-22-1.765-63+3.1439-449-20.624-1664-61440-404
in home games28-31-2.6105-116-6.1884-880-108.832-25118-94871-799
at home when the total is 9 to 9.520-24-4.467-64+4.9383-375-44.122-2162-61356-345
in August games4-6-0.432-35+5.6292-313-4.45-540-26305-268
when playing on Sunday7-12-3.429-42-6.5255-308-52.912-737-31265-261
in day games22-25+274-87+4.7598-639-19.128-1889-67590-576
against right-handed starters36-50-8.1149-188-101235-1338-59.543-40178-1451228-1207
after a win24-26+2.883-102-5.9800-881-8123-2693-84773-812
when playing against a team with a winning record34-36+6.297-144-14.2747-950-52.439-28134-96802-805
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season15-9+10.750-63+9.3349-479-37.416-862-49388-392
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
ARIZONA - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
7/29/2018BUCHHOLZ(R)@ SAN DIEGOLUCCHESI(L)5-4W-1208 ovO960870
7/30/2018RAY(L)TEXASPEREZ(L)5-9L-2008.5 ovO9801291
7/31/2018GODLEY(R)TEXASCOLON(R)6-0W-1659 unU970450
8/2/2018GREINKE(R)SAN FRANCISCOBUMGARNER(L)1-8L-1657.5 unO101221171
8/3/2018CORBIN(L)SAN FRANCISCOSTRATTON(R)6-3W-2108 unO1290960
8/4/2018BUCHHOLZ(R)SAN FRANCISCOSUAREZ(L)9-3W-1408.5 evO12301190
8/5/2018RAY(L)SAN FRANCISCOHOLLAND(L)2-3L-1708.5 ovU460850
8/6/2018GODLEY(R)PHILADELPHIAARRIETA(R)3-2W-1308.5 unU12140790
8/7/2018GREINKE(R)PHILADELPHIAPIVETTA(R)2-5L-1607.5 unU952681
8/8/2018CORBIN(L)PHILADELPHIAVELASQUEZ(R)6-0W-1807.5 ovU1390431
8/10/2018BUCHHOLZ(R)@ CINCINNATIDESCLAFANI(R)0-3L-1309.5 unU531970
8/11/2018RAY(L)@ CINCINNATIHARVEY(R)3-6L-1558.5 ovO740990
8/12/2018GODLEY(R)@ CINCINNATICASTILLO(R) 
8/13/2018GREINKE(R)@ TEXASGALLARDO(R) 
8/14/2018CORBIN(L)@ TEXASJURADO(R) 
8/16/2018 @ SAN DIEGO  
8/17/2018 @ SAN DIEGO  
8/18/2018 @ SAN DIEGO  
8/19/2018 @ SAN DIEGO  

CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
7/29/2018CASTILLO(R)PHILADELPHIAEFLIN(R)4-0W-1159 evU1080881
7/31/2018BAILEY(R)@ DETROITBOYD(L)1-2L1009 unU540320
8/1/2018ROMANO(R)@ DETROITFIERS(R)4-7L-1059 unO11621470
8/2/2018MAHLE(R)@ WASHINGTONSCHERZER(R)4-10L2358 ovO7701070
8/4/2018DESCLAFANI(R)@ WASHINGTONGONZALEZ(L)7-1W1809.5 ovU13100780
8/4/2018HARVEY(R)@ WASHINGTONHELLICKSON(R)2-6L1609.5 evU6601090
8/5/2018CASTILLO(R)@ WASHINGTONROARK(R)1-2L1559 unU750880
8/6/2018BAILEY(R)@ NY METSSYNDERGAARD(R)4-6L1557.5 ovO7701690
8/7/2018ROMANO(R)@ NY METSVARGAS(L)6-1W1258.5 unU1050470
8/8/2018STEPHENSON(R)@ NY METSDEGROM(R)0-8L1907 unO7618121
8/10/2018DESCLAFANI(R)ARIZONABUCHHOLZ(R)3-0W+1209.5 unU970531
8/11/2018HARVEY(R)ARIZONARAY(L)6-3W+1458.5 ovO990740
8/12/2018CASTILLO(R)ARIZONAGODLEY(R) 
8/13/2018BAILEY(R)CLEVELANDCLEVINGER(R) 
8/14/2018ROMANO(R)CLEVELANDKLUBER(R) 
8/15/2018 CLEVELAND  
8/17/2018 SAN FRANCISCO  
8/18/2018 SAN FRANCISCO  
8/19/2018 SAN FRANCISCO  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
ARIZONA - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPSLGOPSRunsAvgOBPSLGOPS
All Games64-54+2.555-584.40.2380.3110.3900.7013.90.2370.3010.3770.677
Road Games32-25+8.929-264.30.2300.3010.3900.6913.80.2400.3050.3730.678
vs Right-handed Starters41-35+1.936-384.60.2390.3150.3820.6973.90.2400.2960.3780.674
Past 7 Games3-4-3.22-53.60.2540.3050.3980.7033.10.2270.3000.3280.628
Grass Games64-54+2.555-584.40.2380.3110.3900.7013.90.2370.3010.3770.677
Day Games17-21-6.714-233.80.2240.2960.3650.6613.50.2340.2970.3700.667
ARIZONA - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABH2B3BHRSLGRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.40.2380.3111183984950180381160.390498422105655797914811140
Road Games4.30.2300.30157193644610111620.3902381955202036641255017
Righty Starters4.60.2390.31576254560811722680.3823262836863250864317223
ARIZONA - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.161.204395.41521393294414734718-23301566.7%
Road Games3.311.2111857368159236517610-916672.7%

CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPSLGOPSRunsAvgOBPSLGOPS
All Games52-65-2.661-524.60.2570.3300.3950.7245.00.2650.3310.4340.766
Home Games28-31-2.632-254.70.2510.3330.3980.7315.10.2590.3260.4370.763
vs Right-handed Starters36-50-8.143-404.50.2580.3320.3890.7215.10.2630.3320.4400.772
Past 7 Games4-4+1.73-53.60.2540.2980.3470.6453.40.2520.3160.3800.695
Grass Games52-65-2.661-524.60.2570.3300.3950.7245.00.2650.3310.4340.766
Day Games22-25+228-184.40.2580.3320.3950.7274.70.2650.3310.4460.777
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABH2B3BHRSLGRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.60.2570.33011740211034174141170.395516434971488831087010548
Home Games4.70.2510.333591986498915640.3982702455201944446345228
Righty Starters4.50.2580.33286296376513110790.3893783267233667278536838
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.091.3934382191994265118438120-17311173.8%
Home Games4.081.417229.3117104229309620211-1016769.6%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
ZACK GODLEY recent results and season statistics
ZACK GODLEY - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.381.43012-623129.35.67063126125913514-9+5.511-10
Road Starts5.461.6596-41262.75.2443868736637-5+3.27-4
Last 3 Starts2.700.8501-03206.7661403232-1+0.81-2
ZACK GODLEY - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/6/2018PHILADELPHIA3-2-1308.5Win,Under 7.3225017ARRIETA(R)
7/31/2018TEXAS6-0-1659Win,UnderW70020110COLON(R)
7/26/2018at CHICAGO CUBS6-7-1159Loss,Over 5.7447016CHATWOOD(R)

LUIS CASTILLO recent results and season statistics
LUIS CASTILLO - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.911.3306-9231215.36966122203911312-11+2.113-9
Home Starts3.551.1314-31058.35.8232350816647-3+4.24-5
Last 3 Starts1.531.0191-1317.75.9331414172-1+10-3
LUIS CASTILLO - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/5/2018at WASHINGTON1-2+1559Loss,UnderL5.3226123ROARK(R)
7/29/2018PHILADELPHIA4-0-1159Win,UnderW7004019EFLIN(R)
7/23/2018ST LOUIS2-1-1159.5Win,Under 5.3114015PONCEDELEON(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 9-8 (+3.2 Units) against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.6 Units, Under=-1.1 Units)
Games this season
CINCINNATI is 3-2 (+2.5 Units) against ARIZONA this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

All games at CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 5-3 (+2.9 Units) against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)
Games played at CINCINNATI this season.
CINCINNATI is 2-0 (+2.7 Units) against ARIZONA this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
8/11/2018ARIZONA3-155 Over72040RAY(L) 5242
 CINCINNATI6+1458.5 ovWin90190HARVEY(R) 7251
8/10/2018ARIZONA0-130 Under50031BUCHHOLZ(R)L7282
 CINCINNATI3+1209.5 unWin90070DESCLAFANI(R)W7030
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
ZACK GODLEY vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
GODLEY is 2-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 10.53 and a WHIP of 2.121.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.5 units)
ZACK GODLEY recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/29/2018CINCINNATI5-2-1108Win,UnderW6226127CASTILLO(R)
8/27/2016CINCINNATI0-13+1009.5Loss,OverL2999301DESCLAFANI(R)
7/24/2016at CINCINNATI9-8-11510.5Win,OverW5.75510023FINNEGAN(L)

LUIS CASTILLO vs. ARIZONA since 1997
CASTILLO is 1-2 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 4.07 and a WHIP of 0.905.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)
LUIS CASTILLO recent starts vs. ARIZONA
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/29/2018at ARIZONA2-5+1008Loss,UnderL5544136GODLEY(R)
7/20/2017ARIZONA2-12-1359.5Loss,OverL6444117CORBIN(L)
7/8/2017at ARIZONA7-0+1209.5Win,UnderW6.7003018WALKER(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring ARIZONA in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARIZONA games 51.2% of the time since 1997. (1408-1341, -71.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARIZONA games 48.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (184-196, -35.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 50.1% of the time since 1997. (1476-1471, -140.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 46.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (183-209, -50.6 units)
No Edge.
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ARIZONA games 52.1% of the time since 1997. (1195-1099, -56.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ARIZONA games 54.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (215-178, +16.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 51.5% of the time since 1997. (1228-1155, -89.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 49.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (187-193, -30.4 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
ARIZONA
[3B] 07/27/2018 - Jake Lamb 10-day DL (07/27); is out for season ( Shoulder )
[P] 07/12/2018 - Shelby Miller 60-day DL (07/12) ( Elbow )
[RF] 07/08/2018 - Jarrod Dyson 10-day DL (07/05) ( Groin )
[P] 06/01/2018 - Taijuan Walker is out for season ( Forearm )
[P] 05/09/2018 - Braden Shipley 10-day DL (05/07) ( Elbow )
CINCINNATI
[1B] 08/12/2018 - Joey Votto is "?" Sunday vs Arizona Diamondbacks ( Leg )
[LF] 07/26/2018 - Jesse Winker 60-day DL (07/26) ( Shoulder )
[C] 07/25/2018 - Tyler Stephenson 10-day DL (07/23) ( Knee )
[2B] 07/21/2018 - Alex Blandino 60-day DL (07/21) ( Knee )
[LF] 07/19/2018 - Scott Schebler 10-day DL (07/15) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/26/2018 - Rookie Davis 60-day DL (03/02) ( Hip )
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