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Matchup Reports

Friday at 2:20 PM
ATLANTA (90-62) AT CHICAGO CUBS (64-89) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
901: ATLANTA
902: CHICAGO CUBS
9.0
+121
90-62
64-89
68-75-9
64-81-8
4.2 / 3.4
3.8 / 4.2
(L) P MAHOLM
(R) S BAKER
10-10
0-0
4.35
0.82
1.42
0.55
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 54.0 °
Humidity: 51   Wind: Southwest at 11.5 MPH (10 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
ATLANTAMAHOLM +102 
CHICAGO CUBSBAKER-102 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
ATLANTA team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games90-62+10.3273-204+22.51595-1215-15.568-75211-2411315-1351
when the total is 9 to 9.57-6+0.115-17-4.9398-331-239-414-14318-352
as a road favorite of -125 to -15010-14-8.630-28-7.1196-156-15.29-1325-30171-165
in road games38-40-6.6126-114+6.4748-655+0.238-36112-117663-678
on the road when the total is 9 to 9.57-6+0.114-14-1.5191-170+29-412-12155-178
in September games7-10-6.635-36-11.8249-191-21.74-1122-43182-235
when playing on Friday11-13-4.542-31+6252-185+129-1534-37191-221
when playing with a day off13-6+6.436-17+15.6199-148-4.410-927-23147-182
in day games27-20+3.286-59+19.6505-359+43.321-2169-68433-395
in games played on a grass field89-61+10.3270-202+211468-1137-4066-75208-2391216-1257
against right-handed starters66-47+3.9196-135+25.41171-876-19.252-52149-162949-984
after a win54-35+7.4160-111+19.5890-705-5740-45119-141729-780
when playing against a team with a losing record53-38-1.1150-111-1.6786-539-26.139-46107-138603-664
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season32-21+1.696-61+11.3434-279-14.625-2565-85318-364

CHICAGO CUBS team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games64-89-10.7196-282-53.11312-1456-271.564-81217-2391300-1350
when the total is 9 to 9.514-10+4.636-39+1.7371-413-92.19-1330-39336-394
as a home underdog of +100 to +12513-22-7.342-52-4.5106-153-34.816-1741-49130-116
in home games29-46-18.6106-131-26.5701-681-165.635-35103-121662-664
at home when the total is 9 to 9.511-9+1.623-22+0.6186-167-34.58-1118-24156-179
in September games7-11-2.328-43-10219-226-27.14-1228-37194-230
when playing on Friday11-13+0.734-41+0.7202-236-4911-1335-34211-202
in day games28-45-14.996-133-31.2708-741-143.726-4294-124685-709
in games played on a grass field64-89-10.7196-282-53.11255-1372-249.364-81217-2391236-1279
against left-handed starters21-21+7.659-71-1354-381-69.514-2550-70346-355
after a win22-41-16.773-122-39.1611-700-187.626-3183-98613-640
when playing against a team with a winning record28-53-12.792-148-22.5580-717-100.236-45110-122619-625
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season14-22+0.348-77-7.5278-377-63.312-2454-67318-311
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
ATLANTA - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/6/2013MINOR(L)@ PHILADELPHIALEE(L)1-2L-1157 unU330420
9/7/2013WOOD(L)@ PHILADELPHIAKENDRICK(R)5-6L-1608 unO74015120
9/8/2013MAHOLM(L)@ PHILADELPHIAHAMELS(L)2-3L1107 unU211870
9/9/2013MEDLEN(R)@ MIAMIALVAREZ(R)5-2W-1657 ovP531870
9/10/2013TEHERAN(R)@ MIAMIKOEHLER(R)4-3W-1657.5 unU9101671
9/11/2013MINOR(L)@ MIAMIFERNANDEZ(R)2-5L1006.5 unO7811380
9/12/2013GARCIA(R)@ MIAMIFLYNN(L)6-1W-1408 ovU980760
9/13/2013HALE(R)SAN DIEGOKENNEDY(R)3-4L-1408 unU5201080
9/14/2013MEDLEN(R)SAN DIEGOERLIN(L)2-1W-1957.5 unU9110570
9/15/2013TEHERAN(R)SAN DIEGOSMITH(R)0-4L-2008 unU461971
9/17/2013MINOR(L)@ WASHINGTONHAREN(R)5-6L1107 ovO982462
9/17/2013GARCIA(R)@ WASHINGTONROARK(R)0-4L1358 unU5611161
9/18/2013WOOD(L)@ WASHINGTONOHLENDORF(R)5-2W1007.5 unU841791
9/20/2013MAHOLM(L)@ CHICAGO CUBSBAKER(R) 
9/21/2013MEDLEN(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSWOOD(L) 
9/22/2013TEHERAN(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSJACKSON(R) 
9/23/2013MINOR(L)MILWAUKEEESTRADA(R) 
9/24/2013WOOD(L)MILWAUKEETHORNBURG(R) 
9/25/2013MAHOLM(L)MILWAUKEELOHSE(R) 
9/26/2013MEDLEN(R)PHILADELPHIACLOYD(R) 
9/27/2013 PHILADELPHIA  

CHICAGO CUBS - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/6/2013RUSIN(L)MILWAUKEELOHSE(R)8-5W+1058.5 ovO13601081
9/7/2013ARRIETA(R)MILWAUKEEHELLWEG(R)3-5L-14010.5 ovU641591
9/8/2013BAKER(R)MILWAUKEEGALLARDO(R)1-3L+1157.5 unU330860
9/9/2013WOOD(L)@ CINCINNATIARROYO(R)2-0W1657.5 ovU760790
9/10/2013JACKSON(R)@ CINCINNATICINGRANI(L)9-1W2258 ovO13801091
9/11/2013SAMARDZIJA(R)@ CINCINNATILEAKE(R)0-6L1608.5 unU670860
9/12/2013RUSIN(L)@ PITTSBURGHLOCKE(L)1-3L1607.5 unU450650
9/13/2013ARRIETA(R)@ PITTSBURGHMORTON(R)5-4W1607 unO981971
9/14/2013BAKER(R)@ PITTSBURGHCOLE(R)1-2L1757 unU560540
9/15/2013WOOD(L)@ PITTSBURGHLIRIANO(L)2-3L1656.5 unU350760
9/16/2013JACKSON(R)@ MILWAUKEEPERALTA(R)1-6L1158 evU563882
9/17/2013SAMARDZIJA(R)@ MILWAUKEEESTRADA(R)3-4L1257.5 unU742650
9/18/2013RUSIN(L)@ MILWAUKEETHORNBURG(R)0-7L1308 unU480530
9/19/2013ARRIETA(R)@ MILWAUKEELOHSE(R)5-1W1258.5 unU1380441
9/20/2013BAKER(R)ATLANTAMAHOLM(L) 
9/21/2013WOOD(L)ATLANTAMEDLEN(R) 
9/22/2013JACKSON(R)ATLANTATEHERAN(R) 
9/23/2013SAMARDZIJA(R)PITTSBURGHMORTON(R) 
9/24/2013RUSIN(L)PITTSBURGHCOLE(R) 
9/25/2013ARRIETA(R)PITTSBURGHLIRIANO(L) 
9/27/2013 @ ST LOUIS  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
ATLANTA - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games90-62+10.368-754.20.2480.3163.40.2420.297
Road Games38-40-6.638-364.00.2380.3033.80.2540.313
vs Right-handed Starters66-47+3.952-524.40.2510.3173.40.2480.301
Past 7 Games3-4-2.41-63.00.2180.2873.10.2290.288
Grass Games89-61+10.366-754.20.2480.3163.30.2410.296
Day Games27-20+3.221-214.60.2540.3313.70.2440.306
ATLANTA - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.20.2480.316152511312694221720.0361650512996010641347913378
Road Games4.00.2380.303782686638211860.032972516802453975446944
Righty Starters4.40.2510.31711338169593161310.0346836896648789986010256
ATLANTA - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.421.1284361201173392615339627-14511281%
Road Games2.781.235207.36764178137818910-927681.8%

CHICAGO CUBS - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games64-89-10.764-813.80.2370.2954.20.2440.311
Home Games29-46-18.635-354.20.2490.3074.50.2520.320
vs Left-handed Starters21-21+7.614-253.50.2390.3003.80.2450.315
Past 7 Games2-5-2.21-62.40.2040.2723.90.2060.264
Grass Games64-89-10.764-813.80.2370.2954.20.2440.311
Day Games28-45-14.926-423.70.2360.2984.00.2300.301
CHICAGO CUBS - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.80.2370.295153520512334641670.03557428115661103413194123104
Home Games4.20.2490.307752505623247980.043062115552848274516852
Lefty Starters3.50.2390.300421400335127480.031451213212528940243928
CHICAGO CUBS - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.061.3624372091974034919236720-29372559.7%
Home Games4.401.388227119111215191002108-15111247.8%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
PAUL MAHOLM recent results and season statistics
PAUL MAHOLM - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.351.42210-1024140.75.9756815314479612-12-1.814-7
Road Starts5.861.5664-815835.5575495935605-10-5.69-5
Last 3 Starts3.181.5881-03175.7661918102-1+11-2
PAUL MAHOLM - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/8/2013at PHILADELPHIA2-3+1107Loss,Under 6227035HAMELS(L)
9/2/2013NY METS13-5-2208.5Win,OverW5336034MATSUZAKA(R)
8/28/2013CLEVELAND3-2+1007.5Win,Under 6116121MASTERSON(R)

SCOTT BAKER recent results and season statistics
SCOTT BAKER - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts0.820.5450-02115.51151150-2-20-2
Home Starts0.000.6000-0155.00020110-1-10-1
Last 3 Starts0.820.5450-02115.51151150-2-20-2
SCOTT BAKER - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/14/2013at PITTSBURGH1-2+1757Loss,Under 6113104COLE(R)
9/8/2013MILWAUKEE1-3+1157.5Loss,Under 5002011GALLARDO(R)
8/8/2011BOSTON6-8+1009Loss,Over 6559205WAKEFIELD(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO CUBS is 7-10 (-0.4 Units) against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
10 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.8 Units)
Games this season
ATLANTA is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

All games at CHICAGO CUBS over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 4-3 (+0.5 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.8 Units)
Games played at CHICAGO CUBS this season.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Pitcher Versus Team Past History
PAUL MAHOLM vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
MAHOLM is 9-3 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 5.04 and a WHIP of 1.331.
His team's record is 12-5 (+12.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-6. (+4.7 units)
PAUL MAHOLM recent starts vs. CHICAGO CUBS
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/1/2011CHICAGO CUBS3-5-1307.5Loss,OverL6446033ZAMBRANO(R)
7/10/2011CHICAGO CUBS9-1-1208Win,OverW7.7114008ORTIZ(R)
5/28/2011at CHICAGO CUBS10-0+1009.5Win,OverW9003004WELLS(R)

SCOTT BAKER vs. ATLANTA since 1997
No recent starts.
SCOTT BAKER recent starts vs. ATLANTA
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
No recent games found.
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring ATLANTA in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ATLANTA games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1086, -0.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ATLANTA games 54.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (222-184, +20.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CHICAGO CUBS games 51.8% of the time since 1997. (1166-1086, -17.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CHICAGO CUBS games 53.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (210-185, +2.0 units)
Edge=CHICAGO CUBS
 
The betting public is favoring the OVER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ATLANTA games 49.8% of the time since 1997. (880-887, -124.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ATLANTA games 50.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (138-136, -14.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CHICAGO CUBS games 51% of the time since 1997. (977-939, -103.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CHICAGO CUBS games 55% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (176-144, +15.1 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
ATLANTA
[CF] 09/20/2013 - Jason Heyward is upgraded to expected to start Friday vs. Chicago Cubs ( Jaw )
[SS] 09/20/2013 - Andrelton Simmons is upgraded to expected to be in the starting lineup Friday vs. Chicago Cubs ( Neck )
[P] 09/12/2013 - Paul Maholm is upgraded to expected to start Friday vs. Chicago Cubs ( Elbow )
[P] 08/23/2013 - Brandon Beachy 15-day DL (8/23) ( Elbow )
[2B] 08/16/2013 - Tyler Pastornicky 15-day DL (8/15), out for season ( Knee )
[P] 07/24/2013 - Tim Hudson 60-day DL (7/24), out for season ( Ankle )
[P] 07/04/2013 - Jonny Venters 60-day DL (3/27); out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 07/04/2013 - Cristhian Martinez 60-day DL (4/7) ( Shoulder )
[SS] 06/22/2013 - Ramiro Pena 15-day DL (6/17), out for season ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/18/2013 - Eric O'Flaherty 60-day DL (5/18); out for season ( Elbow )
CHICAGO CUBS
[3B] 09/20/2013 - Donnie Murphy is upgraded to expected to be in the starting lineup Friday vs. Atlanta Braves ( Wrist )
[RF] 09/20/2013 - Nate Schierholtz is not expected to be in the starting lineup Friday vs. Atlanta Braves ( Rest )
[C] 09/20/2013 - Welington Castillo out for season ( Knee )
[LF] 08/10/2013 - Thomas Neal 60-day DL (8/7) ( Shoulder )
[P] 08/08/2013 - Matt Guerrier 60-day DL (8/7) ( Elbow )
[P] 06/12/2013 - Zach Putnam 60-day DL (6/12) ( Elbow )
[P] 06/08/2013 - Rafael Dolis 15-day DL (5/27) ( Forearm )
[P] 05/28/2013 - Kyuji Fujikawa 60-day DL (5/27), out for season ( Arm )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Arodys Vizcaino 60-day DL (3/27) ( Elbow )
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