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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| ATLANTA | HANSON | -113 | | | PITTSBURGH | CORREIA | +113 | |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 93-67 | +16.7 | 275-215 | +9.8 | 1504-1151 | -24.4 | 68-86 | 218-247 | 1246-1274 | | on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 | 15-16 | -3.2 | 41-52 | -18.8 | 178-167 | -12.6 | 9-20 | 36-52 | 144-187 | | in road games | 45-34 | +12.8 | 123-120 | -3.9 | 709-614 | +6.6 | 34-41 | 113-119 | 625-640 | | in October games | 0-1 | -1.4 | 2-6 | -6.6 | 37-50 | -32.6 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 44-41 | | when playing on Tuesday | 15-9 | +4.4 | 41-30 | +3.4 | 216-179 | -26.9 | 9-14 | 29-35 | 170-205 | | in games played on a grass field | 91-66 | +15.2 | 273-214 | +8.3 | 1378-1074 | -48.9 | 67-84 | 217-245 | 1149-1180 | | in night games | 64-49 | +4.3 | 186-153 | -7.2 | 1022-809 | -64.1 | 45-63 | 141-176 | 829-899 | | against right-handed starters | 63-36 | +22.2 | 194-131 | +30.6 | 1104-827 | -21.7 | 41-52 | 146-161 | 896-930 | | after a loss | 34-31 | +0.2 | 118-95 | +4 | 664-479 | +38 | 30-34 | 96-104 | 557-533 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 43-25 | +9.1 | 139-98 | +2.6 | 732-500 | -25.3 | 19-45 | 98-125 | 564-616 | | when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season | 36-16 | +14.3 | 81-55 | +1.3 | 401-257 | -16.4 | 14-36 | 54-78 | 293-337 |
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| in all games | 77-82 | -3.7 | 207-276 | -24.7 | 1114-1470 | -133.4 | 68-82 | 220-236 | 1215-1238 | | as a home underdog of +100 to +125 | 15-12 | +4.2 | 45-51 | -0.7 | 202-218 | +7.4 | 8-18 | 44-49 | 198-206 | | in home games | 44-35 | +3.7 | 120-120 | +6.7 | 632-657 | +4.3 | 29-47 | 109-123 | 611-615 | | in October games | 1-0 | +1.2 | 2-2 | +0.6 | 12-11 | +4.1 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 4-19 | | when playing on Tuesday | 11-13 | -2.1 | 34-37 | +6.9 | 177-198 | +21.9 | 17-7 | 36-30 | 178-176 | | in games played on a grass field | 77-82 | -3.7 | 205-275 | -26.3 | 899-1237 | -127.8 | 68-82 | 219-234 | 985-1039 | | in night games | 48-57 | -8 | 135-191 | -26.6 | 764-972 | -60.1 | 44-55 | 143-163 | 805-838 | | against right-handed starters | 55-63 | -5 | 143-211 | -35 | 825-1094 | -95.4 | 50-59 | 162-170 | 919-897 | | after a win | 36-40 | -3.1 | 87-117 | -16.2 | 487-629 | -63.1 | 30-41 | 94-97 | 523-538 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 34-40 | +1.3 | 87-128 | -4.7 | 530-768 | -56 | 34-35 | 101-101 | 603-629 | | when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season | 12-18 | -5.3 | 40-62 | -4.8 | 239-388 | -51.9 | 13-15 | 50-46 | 287-307 |
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| Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed. |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 93-67 | +16.7 | 68-86 | 4.3 | 0.247 | 0.319 | 3.7 | 0.243 | 0.303 | | Road Games | 45-34 | +12.8 | 34-41 | 4.4 | 0.245 | 0.310 | 3.6 | 0.242 | 0.308 | | vs Right-handed Starters | 63-36 | +22.2 | 41-52 | 4.6 | 0.251 | 0.328 | 3.4 | 0.229 | 0.292 | | Past 7 Games | 5-2 | +2 | 2-4 | 3.3 | 0.192 | 0.285 | 1.7 | 0.181 | 0.216 | | Grass Games | 91-66 | +15.2 | 67-84 | 4.4 | 0.247 | 0.319 | 3.7 | 0.244 | 0.303 | | Night Games | 64-49 | +4.2 | 45-63 | 4.3 | 0.248 | 0.321 | 3.7 | 0.243 | 0.304 |
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| All Games | 4.3 | 0.247 | 0.319 | 160 | 5360 | 1323 | 439 | 149 | 0.03 | 655 | 564 | 1272 | 98 | 1114 | 124 | 85 | 148 | 94 | | Road Games | 4.4 | 0.245 | 0.310 | 79 | 2732 | 668 | 212 | 79 | 0.03 | 327 | 258 | 629 | 49 | 529 | 66 | 36 | 82 | 51 | | Righty Starters | 4.6 | 0.251 | 0.328 | 99 | 3315 | 831 | 289 | 104 | 0.03 | 435 | 382 | 811 | 69 | 700 | 77 | 51 | 94 | 64 |
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| All Games | 2.82 | 1.207 | 476.4 | 163 | 149 | 418 | 39 | 157 | 469 | 24-14 | 47 | 11 | 81% | | Road Games | 2.59 | 1.237 | 222.4 | 67 | 64 | 191 | 17 | 84 | 202 | 9-5 | 26 | 4 | 86.7% |
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| All Games | 78-82 | -2.7 | 69-82 | 4.0 | 0.243 | 0.301 | 4.2 | 0.248 | 0.311 | | Home Games | 44-35 | +3.7 | 29-47 | 3.7 | 0.235 | 0.293 | 3.4 | 0.233 | 0.288 | | vs Right-handed Starters | 56-63 | -4 | 51-59 | 4.0 | 0.244 | 0.300 | 4.3 | 0.253 | 0.316 | | Past 7 Games | 3-4 | -0.6 | 2-5 | 3.1 | 0.189 | 0.273 | 3.6 | 0.243 | 0.296 | | Grass Games | 78-82 | -2.7 | 69-82 | 4.0 | 0.243 | 0.301 | 4.2 | 0.248 | 0.311 | | Night Games | 49-57 | -7 | 45-55 | 3.7 | 0.235 | 0.295 | 4.3 | 0.254 | 0.316 |
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| All Games | 4.0 | 0.243 | 0.301 | 160 | 5347 | 1299 | 444 | 169 | 0.03 | 615 | 443 | 1334 | 69 | 1041 | 111 | 112 | 125 | 151 | | Home Games | 3.7 | 0.235 | 0.293 | 79 | 2523 | 593 | 210 | 66 | 0.03 | 278 | 206 | 600 | 35 | 489 | 51 | 60 | 79 | 62 | | Righty Starters | 4.0 | 0.244 | 0.300 | 119 | 3968 | 970 | 336 | 132 | 0.03 | 458 | 313 | 1013 | 45 | 762 | 79 | 78 | 94 | 117 |
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| All Games | 3.40 | 1.268 | 493 | 203 | 186 | 435 | 47 | 190 | 455 | 18-19 | 45 | 14 | 76.3% | | Home Games | 3.07 | 1.165 | 228.3 | 88 | 78 | 193 | 16 | 73 | 206 | 11-10 | 23 | 8 | 74.2% |
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| TOMMY HANSON recent results and season statistics |
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| All Starts | 4.38 | 1.447 | 13-9 | 30 | 168.7 | 5.6 | 90 | 82 | 174 | 26 | 70 | 155 | 20-10 | +7.8 | 14-13 | | Road Starts | 4.35 | 1.404 | 8-5 | 16 | 89 | 5.6 | 45 | 43 | 86 | 15 | 39 | 85 | 10-6 | +4.6 | 7-7 | | Last 3 Starts | 4.60 | 1.341 | 1-1 | 3 | 15.7 | 5.2 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 2-1 | +1 | 2-0 |
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| KEVIN CORREIA recent results and season statistics |
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| All Games | 4.33 | 1.309 | 11-11 | 31 | 164.3 | - | 88 | 79 | 170 | 20 | 45 | 84 | - | - | - | | All Starts | 4.32 | 1.279 | 11-11 | 27 | 154 | 5.7 | 83 | 74 | 155 | 20 | 42 | 80 | 14-13 | +3.5 | 12-13 | | Home Starts | 3.84 | 1.170 | 6-3 | 12 | 72.7 | 6.1 | 33 | 31 | 69 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 8-4 | +4.3 | 6-4 | | Last 3 Starts | 4.67 | 1.096 | 1-2 | 3 | 17.3 | 5.8 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 1-2 | -1.3 | 1-2 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| PITTSBURGH is 8-12 (-0.1 Units) against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons | | 14 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+11.0 Units) |
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| PITTSBURGH is 3-2 (+2.1 Units) against ATLANTA this season | | 3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units) |
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| PITTSBURGH is 4-5 (+0.9 Units) against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons | | 8 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+7.0 Units) |
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| PITTSBURGH is 1-0 (+1.3 Units) against ATLANTA this season | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units) |
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| 10/1/2012 | ATLANTA | 1 | -135 | | Under | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | MAHOLM(L) | L | 7 | 2 | 5 | 3 | | | PITTSBURGH | 2 | +125 | 7.5 un | Win | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | LOCKE(L) | W | 6 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
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| HANSON is 1-1 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.333. | | His team's record is 2-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units) |
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| 4/27/2012 | PITTSBURGH | 6-1 | -170 | 7 | Win | W | 6 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 5 | BURNETT(R) | | 7/26/2011 | PITTSBURGH | 4-3 | -180 | 7 | Win | | 6 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 6 | KARSTENS(R) | | 9/6/2010 | at PITTSBURGH | 1-3 | -200 | 8 | Loss,Under | L | 6 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | BURRES(L) |
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| CORREIA is 2-2 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.94 and a WHIP of 1.618. | | His team's record is 2-4 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.2 units) |
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| 4/29/2012 | at ATLANTA | 3-4 | +150 | 7.5 | Loss,Under | L | 4.3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | HUDSON(R) | | 7/28/2011 | at ATLANTA | 5-2 | +145 | 7.5 | Win,Under | W | 6.3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | LOWE(R) | | 4/12/2010 | ATLANTA | 17-2 | +120 | 7 | Win,Over | W | 5.7 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | JURRJENS(R) |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ATLANTA games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1021, 4.1 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ATLANTA games 55.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (229-181, +30.9 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PITTSBURGH games 52% of the time since 1997. (1100-1014, -0.7 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PITTSBURGH games 48.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (202-214, -30.0 units) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in ATLANTA games 49.8% of the time since 1997. (813-821, -115.9 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in ATLANTA games 51.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (115-108, -4.8 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in PITTSBURGH games 50.4% of the time since 1997. (776-764, -97.3 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in PITTSBURGH games 49.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (107-110, -15.3 units) | |
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| [P] 06/18/2012 - Brandon Beachy 15-day DL (6/17), out for season ( Elbow ) | | [P] 04/03/2012 - Robert Fish 60-day DL (3/26) ( Elbow ) | | [LF] 07/21/2012 - Matt Diaz 15-day DL (7/21) ( Thumb ) | | [P] 08/01/2012 - Jair Jurrjens 15-day DL (8/1) ( Groin ) | | [SS] 09/19/2012 - Paul Janish out 1-4 weeks ( Shoulder ) | |
| [P] 06/15/2012 - Charlie Morton 60-day DL (5/30), out for season ( Elbow ) | | [SS] 03/27/2012 - Gustavo Nunez 60-day DL (2/20) ( Ankle ) | | [2B] 09/28/2012 - Neil Walker out for season ( Back ) |
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