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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 4:05 PM
ATLANTA (21-14) AT SAN FRANCISCO (21-15) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
907: ATLANTA
908: SAN FRANCISCO
7.0
-139
21-14
21-15
21-14-0
20-15-1
4.4 / 3.5
4.4 / 4.3
(L) P MAHOLM
(L) M BUMGARNER
4-3
3-1
3.09
2.31
1.08
0.94
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 71.0 °
Humidity: 61   Wind: Calm
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
ATLANTAMAHOLM +111 
SAN FRANCISCOBUMGARNER-111 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
ATLANTA team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in May games4-5-2.435-31-1.7270-191+19.67-234-28223-220
when playing on Saturday2-2+0.131-26+0.5253-182+15.82-226-28211-200
in day games6-4+1.465-43+17.9484-343+41.65-553-52417-379
in games played on a grass field21-14+4.6202-155+15.31400-1090-45.721-14163-1781171-1196
against left-handed starters8-3+4.661-57-4.7408-327+1.96-552-61356-349
after a loss7-7-283-72-1.9672-487+36.38-672-74565-541
when playing against a team with a winning record11-7+4.181-69+8.6692-584+13.212-674-70619-583
in all games21-14+4.6204-156+16.81526-1167-21.221-14164-1801268-1290
when the total is 7 or less9-5+3.658-45+9178-136-7.16-847-47140-137
as a road underdog of +100 to +1254-2+2.726-19+9.8141-136+21.86-026-17143-127
in road games12-9+3.2100-83+16.1722-624+1014-788-88639-649
on the road when the total is 7 or less3-3+028-25+4.784-75-5.32-427-2473-71

SAN FRANCISCO team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in day games8-7-0.870-67-6.8512-479-16.37-767-64485-463
in games played on a grass field21-15+3.2213-165+24.31385-1180+112.620-15187-1761223-1216
against left-handed starters7-4+2.573-41+30.6387-329+45.75-551-59327-353
after a win14-6+6.9122-89+18.9789-648+77.413-6108-94688-684
when playing against a team with a winning record8-3+3.882-71+10.7638-626+40.28-380-68618-589
in all games21-15+3.2213-165+24.31448-1238+118.220-15187-1761293-1264
when the total is 7 or less9-8-0.8125-100+2.8242-177+46.49-7109-104196-196
at home with a money line of -100 to -1255-2+2.629-18+8.2165-139+3.65-120-24141-146
in home games13-7+3.8113-78+9.9786-558+7811-883-99619-657
at home when the total is 7 or less7-6-0.987-62+4.2156-99+27.28-466-74116-120
in May games6-3+2.237-29+7232-224-4.36-230-33210-225
when playing on Saturday3-2+0.834-25+5.9217-217-15.13-227-31196-223
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
ATLANTA - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/27/2013MEDLEN(R)@ DETROITPORCELLO(R)4-7L-1058 unO7401390
4/28/2013MINOR(L)@ DETROITFISTER(R)3-8L1357.5 unO680940
4/29/2013TEHERAN(R)WASHINGTONSTRASBURG(R)3-2W+1157 ovU7601060
4/30/2013HUDSON(R)WASHINGTONGONZALEZ(L)8-1W-1157 ovO12100341
5/1/2013MAHOLM(L)WASHINGTONZIMMERMANN(R)0-2L-1357 unU220330
5/2/2013MEDLEN(R)WASHINGTONHAREN(R)1-3L-1507.5 unU5518100
5/3/2013MINOR(L)NY METSMARCUM(R)5-7L-1957.5 unO1070720
5/5/2013HUDSON(R)NY METSNIESE(L)9-4W-1607.5 unO1290660
5/6/2013MAHOLM(L)@ CINCINNATIARROYO(R)7-4W-1107.5 unO1181981
5/7/2013MEDLEN(R)@ CINCINNATIBAILEY(R)4-5L1007.5 unO550960
5/8/2013MINOR(L)@ CINCINNATILEAKE(R)7-2W1208 unO1160770
5/9/2013TEHERAN(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOVOGELSONG(R)6-3W1157.5 unO11100851
5/10/2013HUDSON(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOCAIN(R)2-8L1106.5 evO3301140
5/11/2013MAHOLM(L)@ SAN FRANCISCOBUMGARNER(L) 
5/12/2013MEDLEN(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOLINCECUM(R) 
5/13/2013MINOR(L)@ ARIZONAMILEY(L) 
5/14/2013TEHERAN(R)@ ARIZONACORBIN(L) 
5/15/2013HUDSON(R)@ ARIZONAKENNEDY(R) 
5/17/2013MAHOLM(L)LA DODGERSRYU(L) 
5/18/2013 LA DODGERS  

SAN FRANCISCO - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/27/2013ZITO(L)@ SAN DIEGOSTULTS(L)7-8L1007.5 unO115214112
4/28/2013VOGELSONG(R)@ SAN DIEGOMARQUIS(R)4-6L-1257.5 ovO1090970
4/29/2013CAIN(R)@ ARIZONAKENNEDY(R)6-4W1058.5 unO1080770
4/30/2013BUMGARNER(L)@ ARIZONACAHILL(R)2-1W-1158 ovU640440
5/1/2013LINCECUM(R)@ ARIZONAMCCARTHY(R)9-6W1009 unO10611580
5/3/2013ZITO(L)LA DODGERSKERSHAW(L)2-1W+1306.5 unU45111131
5/4/2013VOGELSONG(R)LA DODGERSMAGILL(R)10-9W-1457.5 ovO1513015110
5/5/2013CAIN(R)LA DODGERSRYU(L)4-3W-1157 unP960890
5/6/2013BUMGARNER(L)PHILADELPHIALEE(L)2-6L-1406 unO5001071
5/7/2013LINCECUM(R)PHILADELPHIAKENDRICK(R)2-6L-1407 unO7621291
5/8/2013ZITO(L)PHILADELPHIAPETTIBONE(R)4-3W-1457.5 unU11120730
5/9/2013VOGELSONG(R)ATLANTATEHERAN(R)3-6L-1257.5 unO85111100
5/10/2013CAIN(R)ATLANTAHUDSON(R)8-2W-1206.5 evO1140330
5/11/2013BUMGARNER(L)ATLANTAMAHOLM(L) 
5/12/2013LINCECUM(R)ATLANTAMEDLEN(R) 
5/14/2013ZITO(L)@ TORONTODICKEY(R) 
5/15/2013VOGELSONG(R)@ TORONTOORTIZ(R) 
5/16/2013CAIN(R)@ COLORADOCHACIN(R) 
5/17/2013BUMGARNER(L)@ COLORADODE LA ROSA(L) 
5/18/2013 @ COLORADO  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
ATLANTA - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games21-14+4.621-144.40.2440.3173.50.2380.291
Road Games12-9+3.214-74.40.2440.3173.90.2520.309
vs Left-handed Starters8-3+4.66-54.90.2580.3423.20.2110.281
Past 7 Games4-3+0.47-05.70.2660.3534.70.2410.283
Grass Games21-14+4.621-144.40.2440.3173.50.2380.291
Day Games6-4+1.45-54.80.2590.3352.90.2310.276
ATLANTA - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.40.2440.317351163284108490.041501243251423231172617
Road Games4.40.2440.3172172217664280.049077197614721101710
Lefty Starters4.90.2580.342113659442180.0551479217712479
ATLANTA - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.781.14497303082829826-311378.6%
Road Games3.071.26258.7202054620442-28280%

SAN FRANCISCO - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games21-15+3.320-154.40.2620.3184.20.2480.313
Home Games13-7+3.811-84.30.2730.3293.90.2420.309
vs Left-handed Starters7-4+2.55-54.20.2600.2883.10.2370.301
Past 7 Games4-305-14.70.2760.3295.00.2650.335
Grass Games21-15+3.320-154.40.2620.3184.20.2480.313
Day Games8-7-0.87-74.10.2620.3284.30.2500.304
SAN FRANCISCO - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.40.2620.31836122232095280.021481002301823834203123
Home Games4.30.2730.3292067018360160.028256117814115121812
Lefty Starters4.20.2600.28811377983170.0242156825897114
SAN FRANCISCO - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.631.244109.335329464210710-613476.5%
Home Games2.211.19761181550123626-25183.3%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
PAUL MAHOLM recent results and season statistics
PAUL MAHOLM - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.091.0764-3743.76.2151532215384-3+0.64-3
Road Starts3.901.1663-25306.0131323112283-2+13-2
Last 3 Starts6.231.3841-2317.35.812121717131-2-1.42-1
PAUL MAHOLM - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/6/2013at CINCINNATI7-4-1107.5Win,OverW5.7224026ARROYO(R)
5/1/2013WASHINGTON0-2-1357Loss,UnderL8223124ZIMMERMANN(R)
4/26/2013at DETROIT0-10+1307.5Loss,OverL3.78810033SANCHEZ(R)

MADISON BUMGARNER recent results and season statistics
MADISON BUMGARNER - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.310.9433-1746.76.7121233411435-2+2.11-6
Home Starts3.601.2001-14256.210102238292-2-11-3
Last 3 Starts2.660.9840-1320.36.8661614161-2-21-2
MADISON BUMGARNER - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/6/2013PHILADELPHIA2-6-1406Loss,OverL6558127LEE(L)
4/30/2013at ARIZONA2-1-1158Win,Under 7003012CAHILL(R)
4/24/2013ARIZONA2-3-1557Loss,Under 7.3115017KENNEDY(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 10-6 (+4.1 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
11 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+6.1 Units)
Games this season
ATLANTA is 1-1 (+0.2 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.1 Units)

All games at SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 6-3 (+4.0 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+5.3 Units)
Games played at SAN FRANCISCO this season.
ATLANTA is 1-1 (+0.2 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.1 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
5/10/2013ATLANTA2+110 Over31030HUDSON(R)L3.7681
 SAN FRANCISCO8-1206.5 evWin111040CAIN(R)W8232
5/9/2013ATLANTA6+115  1110100TEHERAN(R)W7370
 SAN FRANCISCO3-1257.5 unOver81051VOGELSONG(R)L4.3673
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
PAUL MAHOLM vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
MAHOLM is 2-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.43 and a WHIP of 1.231.
His team's record is 6-3 (+5.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-3. (+1.8 units)
PAUL MAHOLM recent starts vs. SAN FRANCISCO
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/1/2012at SAN FRANCISCO3-4+1557LossL5.3448024BUMGARNER(L)
6/5/2010SAN FRANCISCO6-3-1258Win,OverW6.3226001WELLEMEYER(R)
4/13/2010at SAN FRANCISCO6-5+1807.5Win,Over 5338033CAIN(R)

MADISON BUMGARNER vs. ATLANTA since 1997
BUMGARNER is 1-3 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.03 and a WHIP of 1.276.
His team's record is 1-4 (-3.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.2 units)
MADISON BUMGARNER recent starts vs. ATLANTA
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/25/2012ATLANTA3-7-1606.5Loss,OverL6.3447145MINOR(L)
7/19/2012at ATLANTA2-3+1057.5Loss,UnderL7323208HUDSON(R)
8/15/2011at ATLANTA4-5+1307Loss,Over 7228125HUDSON(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring ATLANTA in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ATLANTA games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1035, 4.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ATLANTA games 56.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (171-133, +25.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SAN FRANCISCO games 51.5% of the time since 1997. (1124-1059, -32.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SAN FRANCISCO games 47.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (153-169, -35.2 units)
Edge=SAN FRANCISCO
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ATLANTA games 49.8% of the time since 1997. (831-838, -118.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ATLANTA games 50.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (89-87, -8.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in SAN FRANCISCO games 51.2% of the time since 1997. (803-764, -73.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in SAN FRANCISCO games 48.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (87-93, -15.9 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
ATLANTA
[P] 03/31/2013 - Brandon Beachy 15-day DL (3/22) ( Elbow )
[RF] 04/23/2013 - Jason Heyward 15-day DL (4/21) ( Appendix )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Jonny Venters 15-day DL (3/27) ( Elbow )
[SS] 03/31/2013 - Paul Janish 15-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/30/2013 - Luis Ayala 15-day DL (4/25) ( Hypertension )
SAN FRANCISCO
[1B] 03/31/2013 - Brett Pill 15-day DL (3/22) ( Knee )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Eric Surkamp 15-day DL (3/22) ( Elbow )
[2B] 03/31/2013 - Tony Abreu 15-day DL (3/22) ( Quad )
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