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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 2:15 PM
ATLANTA (22-18) AT ST LOUIS (22-20) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
951: ATLANTA
952: ST LOUIS
7.0
-118
22-18
22-20
14-24-2
19-20-3
3.2 / 3.1
3.8 / 3.6
(R) A HARANG
(R) S MILLER
4-3
5-2
2.98
3.22
1.18
1.48
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Fair   Temperature: 66.0 °
Humidity: 23   Wind: from the West at 11.5 gusting to 19.6 MPH (10 gusting to 17
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
ATLANTAHARANG +175 
ST LOUISMILLER-175
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
ATLANTA team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games22-18+2.5213-156+25.81624-1240-15.414-24159-1931337-1381
when the total is 7 or less15-11+3.462-57-3.8212-171-16.111-1351-59168-171
as a road underdog of +100 to +1253-4-0.527-23+7.5152-147+233-425-23152-140
in road games9-10-0.595-88+4.6759-668-1.68-1183-92674-691
on the road when the total is 7 or less5-7-225-32-6.294-94-15.26-622-3485-87
in May games5-9-5.834-37-8.3286-208+15.44-935-32236-238
when playing on Saturday5-1+3.835-23+6.2270-192+18.43-326-30224-213
in day games6-6+0.266-46+17.1514-366+45.22-949-56437-406
in games played on a grass field22-18+2.5210-154+24.31497-1162-39.914-24156-1911238-1287
against right-handed starters18-16+0.4154-104+261195-895-17.912-20111-130966-1008
after a loss9-8-184-68+5.4714-516+43.34-1265-80592-579
when playing against a team with a winning record8-7+0.886-67+17.9721-606+19.56-978-70639-611

ST LOUIS team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games22-20-4223-173+4.21585-1320+1.819-20191-1861384-1376
when the total is 7 or less15-11+0.957-48+2.3126-111+5.314-952-42118-97
at home with a money line of -100 to -1252-1+0.920-18-0.7148-128+0.91-217-20121-141
in home games10-6+1.2123-69+21.1861-585+33.711-492-90664-703
at home when the total is 7 or less8-3+3.432-16+10.264-36+16.69-125-1848-44
in May games7-6-1.440-29+0.9262-225-14.68-443-22240-220
when playing on Saturday3-3-0.732-29-4.6256-214+7.41-333-25223-220
in day games9-8-1.782-56+12.1569-444+37.27-977-57488-482
in games played on a grass field22-20-4223-173+4.21521-1242+19.319-20191-1861318-1310
against right-handed starters19-13+2.1165-119+151169-922+70.714-16136-1351008-981
after a win7-14-10.9114-107-24.3839-732-69.99-12102-111738-752
after 3 or more consecutive wins1-1-0.127-27-9.8223-199-37.40-224-27190-203
when playing against a team with a winning record10-9-0.890-92-18.5663-630-0.27-1091-81597-623
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
ATLANTA - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/3/2014TEHERAN(R)SAN FRANCISCOVOGELSONG(R)1-3L-1707.5 unU570421
5/4/2014WOOD(L)SAN FRANCISCOBUMGARNER(L)1-4L-1307 unU46010101
5/5/2014HARANG(R)ST LOUISMILLER(R)3-4L-1057.5 evU981970
5/6/2014FLOYD(R)ST LOUISLYONS(L)2-1W-1158 unU860650
5/7/2014MINOR(L)ST LOUISWAINWRIGHT(R)1-7L+1057 unO7711370
5/9/2014TEHERAN(R)CHICAGO CUBSHAMMEL(R)3-2W-1706.5 ovU991440
5/10/2014SANTANA(R)CHICAGO CUBSSAMARDZIJA(R)2-0W-1607 unU550650
5/11/2014HARANG(R)CHICAGO CUBSJACKSON(R)5-2W-1507 ovP740980
5/12/2014FLOYD(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOLINCECUM(R)2-4L-1107 unU341951
5/13/2014MINOR(L)@ SAN FRANCISCOVOGELSONG(R)5-0W-1107 ovU950580
5/14/2014TEHERAN(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOBUMGARNER(L)4-10L1207 unO74115110
5/16/2014SANTANA(R)@ ST LOUISLYNN(R)2-5L1056.5 unO8501380
5/17/2014HARANG(R)@ ST LOUISMILLER(R) 
5/18/2014FLOYD(R)@ ST LOUISGARCIA(L) 
5/19/2014MINOR(L)MILWAUKEEPERALTA(R) 
5/20/2014TEHERAN(R)MILWAUKEEGALLARDO(R) 
5/21/2014SANTANA(R)MILWAUKEELOHSE(R) 
5/22/2014HARANG(R)MILWAUKEEGARZA(R) 
5/23/2014FLOYD(R)COLORADOLYLES(R) 
5/24/2014 COLORADO  

ST LOUIS - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/3/2014WACHA(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSARRIETA(R)0-3L-1758 unU780660
5/4/2014LYNN(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSHAMMEL(R)5-4W-1307 unO1171580
5/5/2014MILLER(R)@ ATLANTAHARANG(R)4-3W-1057.5 evU970981
5/6/2014LYONS(L)@ ATLANTAFLOYD(R)1-2L1058 unU650860
5/7/2014WAINWRIGHT(R)@ ATLANTAMINOR(L)7-1W-1157 unO1370771
5/9/2014WACHA(R)@ PITTSBURGHLIRIANO(L)4-6L-1207 ovO9801260
5/10/2014LYNN(R)@ PITTSBURGHVOLQUEZ(R)3-4L-1207.5 unU71001190
5/11/2014MILLER(R)@ PITTSBURGHMORTON(R)6-5W-1157.5 unO119011112
5/12/2014LYONS(L)CHICAGO CUBSWOOD(L)5-17L-1657.5 ovO6502061
5/13/2014WAINWRIGHT(R)CHICAGO CUBSARRIETA(R)4-3W-2257 unP913010101
5/15/2014WACHA(R)CHICAGO CUBSHAMMEL(R)5-3W-1906.5 unO641880
5/16/2014LYNN(R)ATLANTASANTANA(R)5-2W-1156.5 unO1380850
5/17/2014MILLER(R)ATLANTAHARANG(R) 
5/18/2014GARCIA(L)ATLANTAFLOYD(R) 
5/20/2014WAINWRIGHT(R)ARIZONAMCCARTHY(R) 
5/21/2014WACHA(R)ARIZONAMILEY(L) 
5/22/2014LYNN(R)ARIZONACOLLMENTER(R) 
5/23/2014MILLER(R)@ CINCINNATIBAILEY(R) 
5/24/2014 @ CINCINNATI  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
ATLANTA - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games22-18+2.514-243.20.2310.2873.10.2370.292
Road Games9-10-0.58-113.20.2250.2843.50.2460.302
vs Right-handed Starters18-16+0.312-203.10.2260.2823.20.2410.294
Past 7 Games4-3+0.92-43.30.2160.2663.30.2620.317
Grass Games22-18+2.514-243.20.2310.2873.10.2370.292
Day Games6-6+0.22-92.60.1990.2592.40.2290.283
ATLANTA - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.20.2310.287401340310103380.031211053542127330243227
Road Games3.20.2250.2841965014653180.0354541741212515151717
Righty Starters3.10.2260.28234113925782320.0398902951823127232922
ATLANTA - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.981.240105.73835956361268-313476.5%
Road Games3.561.29248211949413482-25271.4%

ST LOUIS - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games22-20-419-203.80.2490.3133.60.2380.300
Home Games10-6+1.211-44.70.2640.3394.40.2520.300
vs Right-handed Starters19-13+214-163.80.2550.3173.20.2290.295
Past 7 Games4-305-14.60.2540.3355.70.3100.362
Grass Games22-20-419-203.80.2490.3133.60.2380.300
Day Games9-8-1.77-93.80.2380.2983.50.2370.298
ST LOUIS - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.80.2490.313421437358109230.02149133313163114123399
Home Games4.70.2640.339165531465190.02726311012130186183
Righty Starters3.80.2550.31732110128177170.02116100239122403518349
ST LOUIS - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.101.218120.758551097381162-712570.6%
Home Games4.041.13255.7252546217581-35271.4%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
AARON HARANG recent results and season statistics
AARON HARANG - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.981.1794-3848.36.0181640217525-3+22-5
Road Starts4.421.0912-1318.36.1991228122-1+1.11-2
Last 3 Starts7.021.7401-2316.75.615132524191-2-1.21-1
AARON HARANG - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/11/2014CHICAGO CUBS5-2-1507WinW6226029JACKSON(R)
5/5/2014ST LOUIS3-4-1057.5Loss,UnderL6429016MILLER(R)
4/30/2014at MIAMI3-9-1107Loss,OverL4.79910214EOVALDI(R)

SHELBY MILLER recent results and season statistics
SHELBY MILLER - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.221.4785-2844.75.6161639827335-3+1.53-5
Home Starts3.061.4712-1317.75.96616310102-1+0.61-2
Last 3 Starts3.861.5313-0316.35.477163983-0+32-1
SHELBY MILLER - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/11/2014at PITTSBURGH6-5-1157.5Win,OverW5.3224142MORTON(R)
5/5/2014at ATLANTA4-3-1057.5Win,UnderW5226025HARANG(R)
4/30/2014MILWAUKEE9-3-1457Win,OverW6336231GARZA(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 10-8 (+2.2 Units) against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
10 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.8 Units)
Games this season
ST LOUIS is 3-1 (+2.0 Units) against ATLANTA this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.2 Units)

All games at ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 4-4 (+1.1 Units) against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.9 Units)
Games played at ST LOUIS this season.
ST LOUIS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against ATLANTA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
5/16/2014ATLANTA2+105 Over80050SANTANA(R)L55101
 ST LOUIS5-1156.5 unWin130380LYNN(R)W7272
5/7/2014ST LOUIS7-115  131070WAINWRIGHT(R)W8161
 ATLANTA1+1057 unOver70071MINOR(L)L4.36112
5/6/2014ST LOUIS1+105 Under60050LYONS(L) 6141
 ATLANTA2-1158 unWin81060FLOYD(R) 7162
5/5/2014ST LOUIS4-105  90070MILLER(R)W5262
 ATLANTA3-1057.5 evUnder91081HARANG(R)L6291
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
AARON HARANG vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
HARANG is 7-14 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.38 and a WHIP of 1.285.
His team's record is 9-17 (-5.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 17-8. (+8.1 units)
AARON HARANG recent starts vs. ST LOUIS
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/5/2014ST LOUIS3-4-1057.5Loss,UnderL6429016MILLER(R)
7/25/2012at ST LOUIS2-3+1359.5Loss,Under 7.3222048LOHSE(R)
5/24/2011ST LOUIS2-3+1006.5Loss,Under 7228017MCCLELLAN(R)

SHELBY MILLER vs. ATLANTA since 1997
MILLER is 2-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 2.55 and a WHIP of 1.075.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)
SHELBY MILLER recent starts vs. ATLANTA
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/5/2014at ATLANTA4-3-1057.5Win,UnderW5226025HARANG(R)
8/24/2013ATLANTA6-2-1307.5Win,OverW7113106TEHERAN(R)
7/28/2013at ATLANTA2-5-1107.5Loss,UnderL5.7326126MEDLEN(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring ATLANTA in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ATLANTA games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1102, 11.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ATLANTA games 55.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (172-140, +12.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ST LOUIS games 50.4% of the time since 1997. (1181-1164, -78.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ST LOUIS games 52.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (171-153, +4.6 units)
Edge=ST LOUIS
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ATLANTA games 49.9% of the time since 1997. (908-910, -123.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ATLANTA games 51% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (130-125, -12.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ST LOUIS games 49.2% of the time since 1997. (912-940, -161.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ST LOUIS games 46.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (129-148, -40.5 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
ATLANTA
[P] 05/10/2014 - Jordan Walden 15-day DL (5/5) ( Hamstring )
[P] 03/29/2014 - Brandon Beachy 60-day DL (3/21), out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 03/29/2014 - Cory Gearrin 60-day DL (3/26) ( Elbow )
[P] 03/28/2014 - Kris Medlen 60-day DL (3/21), out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 03/28/2014 - Jonny Venters 60-day DL (3/21) ( Elbow )
ST LOUIS
[P] 05/13/2014 - Tyler Lyons 15-day DL (5/12) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/17/2014 - Joe Kelly 15-day DL (4/17) ( Hamstring )
[P] 03/30/2014 - Jaime Garcia 15-day DL (3/21) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/28/2014 - Jason Motte 15-day DL (3/21) ( Elbow )
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