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Matchup Reports

Tuesday at 7:10 PM
BALTIMORE (70-59) AT BOSTON (77-55) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
921: BALTIMORE
922: BOSTON
9.0
-122
70-59
77-55
62-59-8
59-67-6
4.8 / 4.4
5.0 / 4.1
(L) W CHEN
(L) F DOUBRONT
7-6
9-6
3.19
3.54
1.15
1.36
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Overcast   Temperature: 71.0 °
Humidity: 84   Wind: East at 10.4 MPH (9 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
BALTIMORECHEN +113 
BOSTONDOUBRONT-113 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
BALTIMORE team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games70-59+5.4236-225+38.71260-1478-121.862-59222-2181292-1310
when the total is 9 to 9.536-25+7105-94+19.5607-651-24.329-2791-95572-614
as a road underdog of +100 to +12511-12+0.532-30+6.1139-189-31.212-1028-31162-148
in road games32-30+4.5111-118+26.2592-775-20.431-28109-110659-639
on the road when the total is 9 to 9.513-9+4.946-36+23.5262-308+17.110-1135-42272-266
in August games11-10-1.841-36+9.4219-256-29.712-741-33216-233
when playing on Tuesday12-7+5.341-25+22.5199-202+21.25-1326-37205-176
when playing with a day off10-5+3.835-21+17.8165-161+14.66-729-25162-148
against division opponents25-25+0.998-101+19.6479-655-9122-2391-96533-535
in games played on a grass field65-51+7.4214-198+35.61103-1273-98.652-56198-1951128-1134
in night games49-36+8.6162-158+23.9872-997-53.136-43149-157868-893
against left-handed starters18-22-7.666-69+3.1346-459-104.517-2062-68391-380
after a win33-36-7.2122-115+17.4621-642+1.535-31115-115588-619
when playing against a team with a winning record39-28+11.8129-134+26.2588-855-105.627-37118-135690-682
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season10-12-2.362-72+13.5325-473-41.89-1262-67370-393

BOSTON team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games77-55+10.4238-220-391549-1248-46.259-67219-2171295-1361
when the total is 9 to 9.525-27-1186-100-45.8566-510-75.321-2893-84506-517
as a home favorite of -125 to -15014-10+0.237-27-0.5199-138+7.78-1636-25157-165
in home games40-23+6.3121-106-32.9823-572-27.928-32117-98663-657
at home when the total is 9 to 9.516-15-7.252-61-36.2296-226-33.613-1658-50258-245
in August games12-11-3.238-43-16.2254-222-35.29-1335-44222-228
when playing on Tuesday11-8+1.334-35-10.1246-169+27.79-929-37188-208
when playing with a day off10-6+2.823-26-8.3205-141+208-823-25154-171
against division opponents30-24+1.894-104-31.3624-534-49.319-3492-100554-553
in games played on a grass field68-49+6.8211-196-42.61367-1069-15.451-60192-1931110-1195
in night games53-43+2.4161-162-43.21065-852-35.848-43157-148897-925
against left-handed starters26-19+2.884-67+3.8432-387-54.717-2666-77381-402
after a win40-36-4.9125-106-9.5853-691-38.333-41110-112745-731
when playing against a team with a winning record32-32-3.6117-121-17.4670-657-62.526-36109-118596-670
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season12-14-4.645-70-29340-371-64.57-1951-61317-364
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
BALTIMORE - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
8/13/2013GONZALEZ(R)@ ARIZONADELGADO(R)3-4L-1158.5 unU630951
8/14/2013TILLMAN(R)@ ARIZONACORBIN(L)4-5L1157.5 unO149011131
8/16/2013CHEN(L)COLORADONICASIO(R)3-6L-1758.5 evO550820
8/17/2013NORRIS(R)COLORADOBETTIS(R)8-4W-1909 unO1012012111
8/18/2013FELDMAN(R)COLORADOCHACIN(R)7-2W-1458 unO15100880
8/19/2013TILLMAN(R)TAMPA BAYPRICE(L)3-4L+1207.5 evU151511070
8/20/2013GONZALEZ(R)TAMPA BAYCOBB(R)4-7L-1058.5 evO56115101
8/21/2013CHEN(L)TAMPA BAYHELLICKSON(R)4-2W-1208.5 evU890750
8/23/2013NORRIS(R)OAKLANDSTRAILY(R)9-7W-1209 unO7601281
8/24/2013TILLMAN(R)OAKLANDPARKER(R)1-2L-1158.5 evU571430
8/25/2013FELDMAN(R)OAKLANDGRAY(R)10-3W-1108.5 unO1340660
8/27/2013CHEN(L)@ BOSTONDOUBRONT(L) 
8/28/2013NORRIS(R)@ BOSTONLACKEY(R) 
8/29/2013TILLMAN(R)@ BOSTONLESTER(L) 
8/30/2013GONZALEZ(R)@ NY YANKEESSABATHIA(L) 
8/31/2013FELDMAN(R)@ NY YANKEESNOVA(R) 
9/1/2013CHEN(L)@ NY YANKEESHUGHES(R) 
9/2/2013NORRIS(R)@ CLEVELANDMASTERSON(R) 
9/3/2013 @ CLEVELAND  

BOSTON - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
8/13/2013DEMPSTER(R)@ TORONTOREDMOND(R)4-2W-12510 unU10110651
8/14/2013LESTER(L)@ TORONTOROGERS(R)3-4L-1459.5 unU8103891
8/15/2013PEAVY(R)@ TORONTOBUEHRLE(L)1-2L-1208.5 ovU11121640
8/16/2013DOUBRONT(L)NY YANKEESPETTITTE(L)3-10L-1809 unO10731592
8/17/2013LACKEY(R)NY YANKEESKURODA(R)6-1W-1308.5 unU14110882
8/18/2013DEMPSTER(R)NY YANKEESSABATHIA(L)6-9L-1209 evO99017130
8/19/2013LESTER(L)@ SAN FRANCISCOLINCECUM(R)7-0W-1207 unP1291671
8/20/2013PEAVY(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOVOGELSONG(R)2-3L-1557 evU770890
8/21/2013DOUBRONT(L)@ SAN FRANCISCOZITO(L)12-1W-1607.5 unO1240532
8/23/2013LACKEY(R)@ LA DODGERSNOLASCO(R)0-2L-1057.5 unU220310
8/24/2013LESTER(L)@ LA DODGERSRYU(L)4-2W1107 ovU861560
8/25/2013PEAVY(R)@ LA DODGERSCAPUANO(L)8-1W-1157.5 evO1260330
8/27/2013DOUBRONT(L)BALTIMORECHEN(L) 
8/28/2013LACKEY(R)BALTIMORENORRIS(R) 
8/29/2013LESTER(L)BALTIMORETILLMAN(R) 
8/30/2013DEMPSTER(R)CHI WHITE SOXSANTIAGO(L) 
8/31/2013PEAVY(R)CHI WHITE SOXDANKS(L) 
9/1/2013DOUBRONT(L)CHI WHITE SOXRIENZO(R) 
9/2/2013LACKEY(R)DETROITFISTER(R) 
9/3/2013 DETROIT  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
BALTIMORE - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games70-59+5.462-594.80.2660.3164.40.2610.320
Road Games32-30+4.531-284.80.2710.3184.30.2660.321
vs Left-handed Starters18-22-7.617-204.20.2580.3034.50.2670.322
Past 7 Games4-3+0.84-35.40.2870.3623.90.2630.328
Grass Games65-51+7.452-564.70.2640.3154.20.2560.316
Night Games49-36+8.636-434.70.2560.3104.30.2610.320
Division25-25+0.922-234.60.2600.3084.80.2630.326
BALTIMORE - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.80.2660.316129447711894261750.0459732888767839973913649
Road Games4.80.2710.318622221601218810.042871544423741357205327
Lefty Starters4.20.2580.303401413364125430.03166913021127428123719
BALTIMORE - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.651.2464021731633764812534121-18461970.8%
Road Games4.001.289180878017423581569-10221068.8%

BOSTON - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games77-55+10.459-675.00.2730.3414.10.2520.317
Home Games40-23+6.328-325.00.2850.3494.30.2540.317
vs Left-handed Starters26-19+2.717-264.60.2640.3303.60.2530.318
Past 7 Games4-3+0.33-35.60.2620.3192.60.2110.254
Grass Games68-49+6.951-605.00.2770.3424.10.2530.317
Night Games53-43+2.448-435.00.2730.3414.30.2560.322
Division30-24+1.819-344.30.2520.3173.70.2450.309
BOSTON - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games5.00.2730.341132459812554541350.0363447110609999812672123110
Home Games5.00.2850.349632140610240620.033082094893945955395963
Lefty Starters4.60.2640.330451529404149490.031981513432431639254643
BOSTON - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.741.342385.41711603754414239124-17251956.8%
Home Games4.141.424184.79285194216918013-7111052.4%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
WEI-YIN CHEN recent results and season statistics
WEI-YIN CHEN - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.191.1517-616101.76.43636911026638-8-1.83-13
Road Starts3.291.1713-4954.76.1202053511313-6-3.22-7
Last 3 Starts4.191.0861-2319.36.4991645121-2-21-2
WEI-YIN CHEN - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/21/2013TAMPA BAY4-2-1208.5Win,UnderW7226233HELLICKSON(R)
8/16/2013COLORADO3-6-1758.5Loss,OverL6.3445217NICASIO(R)
8/10/2013at SAN FRANCISCO2-3-1257.5Loss,UnderL6335012GAUDIN(R)

FELIX DOUBRONT recent results and season statistics
FELIX DOUBRONT - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Games3.791.4009-624140-65591381158122---
All Starts3.541.3599-623134.75.95953127115611814-9+3.911-12
Home Starts3.281.1944-41168.76.2292556526636-5-0.85-6
Last 3 Starts5.621.6251-13165.311101937102-1+0.22-1
FELIX DOUBRONT - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/21/2013at SAN FRANCISCO12-1-1607.5Win,OverW8115113ZITO(L)
8/16/2013NY YANKEES3-10-1809Loss,OverL4768224PETTITTE(L)
8/10/2013at KANSAS CITY5-3-1358.5Win,Under 4336043GUTHRIE(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 27-19 (+14.9 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
22 of 43 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-3.8 Units)
Games this season
BALTIMORE is 6-4 (+2.3 Units) against BOSTON this season
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.8 Units)

All games at BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 12-9 (+8.3 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
14 of 21 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+6.6 Units)
Games played at BOSTON this season.
BALTIMORE is 2-1 (+1.5 Units) against BOSTON this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
7/28/2013BOSTON5-115  101071LESTER(L)W7042
 BALTIMORE0+1059 unUnder50060HAMMEL(R)L5.3365
7/27/2013BOSTON7+110  103260DEMPSTER(R)W5.3262
 BALTIMORE3-1209 ovOver90090FELDMAN(R)L5462
7/26/2013BOSTON0-105 Under40061LACKEY(R)L6.3591
 BALTIMORE6-1059 unWin104050TILLMAN(R)W7023
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
WEI-YIN CHEN vs. BOSTON since 1997
CHEN is 2-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 2.96 and a WHIP of 1.315.
His team's record is 3-1 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.4 units)
WEI-YIN CHEN recent starts vs. BOSTON
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/8/2013at BOSTON1-3+1359Loss,UnderL6.3335123BUCHHOLZ(R)
8/14/2012BOSTON7-1-1058.5Win,UnderW6119014BECKETT(R)
6/6/2012at BOSTON2-1+1608.5Win,UnderW7117004BECKETT(R)

FELIX DOUBRONT vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
DOUBRONT is 0-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.28 and a WHIP of 1.135.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-4. (-4.2 units)
FELIX DOUBRONT recent starts vs. BALTIMORE
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/13/2013at BALTIMORE4-5-1159.5Loss,Under 4.7437115GAUSMAN(R)
9/29/2012at BALTIMORE3-4+1708.5Loss,UnderL74372110JOHNSON(R)
9/23/2012BALTIMORE2-1+1209Win,Under 71140211TILLMAN(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring BALTIMORE in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1069, 0.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 52.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (207-190, +2.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 50% of the time since 1997. (1111-1110, -140.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 54.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (209-175, +8.1 units)
Edge=BOSTON
 
The betting public is favoring the OVER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 49.5% of the time since 1997. (822-837, -129.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 50.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (142-137, -12.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 52.1% of the time since 1997. (940-865, -46.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 57.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (165-122, +28.1 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
BALTIMORE
[P] 07/31/2013 - Jason Hammel 15-day DL (7/29) ( Forearm )
[LF] 07/19/2013 - Nolan Reimold 60-day DL (7/14) ( Neck )
[P] 07/16/2013 - Tsuyoshi Wada 60-day DL (3/22) ( Elbow )
[P] 06/06/2013 - Steve Johnson 15-day DL (6/6) ( Oblique )
[3B] 04/02/2013 - Wilson Betemit 60-day DL (3/26) ( Knee )
BOSTON
[3B] 08/10/2013 - Brandon Snyder 15-day DL (8/8) ( Elbow )
[P] 07/19/2013 - Andrew Bailey 15-day DL (7/13) ( Shoulder )
[P] 07/10/2013 - Alex Wilson 15-day DL (7/9) ( Thumb )
[P] 07/07/2013 - Andrew Miller 60-day DL (7/7) ( Foot )
[P] 06/12/2013 - Clay Buchholz 15-day DL (6/9) ( Neck )
[P] 05/09/2013 - Joel Hanrahan 60-day DL (5/9), out for season ( Elbow )
[LF] 03/31/2013 - Ryan Kalish 60-day DL (2/20) ( Knee )
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