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Matchup Reports

Monday at 2:05 PM
BALTIMORE (3-3) AT BOSTON (4-2) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
963: BALTIMORE
964: BOSTON
9.0
-144
3-3
4-2
5-1-0
4-2-0
6.2 / 5.0
6.0 / 3.2
(L) W CHEN
(R) C BUCHHOLZ
0-0
1-0
3.17
1.29
1.23
1.14
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Fog/Mist   Temperature: 60.0 °
Humidity: 93   Wind: East at 12.7 MPH (11 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
BALTIMORECHEN-159
BOSTONBUCHHOLZ +159 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
BALTIMORE team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games3-3-0.7169-169+32.71193-1422-127.95-1165-1601235-1252
when the total is 9 to 9.51-1-0.870-70+11.7572-627-32.11-163-69544-588
as a road underdog of +125 to +1501-1+0.527-34+3.4150-178+28.12-030-29160-150
in road games2-1+1.581-89+23.3562-746-23.33-081-82631-611
on the road when the total is 9 to 9.50-0033-27+18.6249-299+12.20-025-31262-255
in April games3-3-0.729-25+7.2198-195+15.35-126-27195-187
when playing on Monday0-0015-24-7.5114-142-23.40-018-19110-130
against division opponents2-1+1.575-77+20.2456-631-90.43-072-73514-512
in day games3-1+1.756-45+19.7364-451-61.93-150-46395-394
in games played on a grass field1-2-2.2150-149+261039-1224-108.22-1148-1401078-1079
against right-handed starters2-2-0.4120-121+22.3864-984-30.74-0119-111860-891
after a loss1-1-0.876-88+5.3599-811-1391-181-74676-659
when playing against a team with a winning record1-1-0.891-107+13.6550-828-118.21-192-99664-646

BOSTON team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
after a win1-2-0.986-72-5.5814-657-34.31-278-73713-692
in all games4-2+2.6165-167-46.91476-1195-544-2164-1521240-1296
when the total is 9 to 9.50-1-161-74-35.8541-484-65.30-172-57485-490
as a home favorite of -125 to -1500-0023-17-0.7185-128+7.60-028-9149-149
in home games0-0081-83-39.2783-549-34.20-089-66635-625
at home when the total is 9 to 9.50-0036-46-29280-211-26.30-045-34245-229
in April games4-2+2.626-28-9.7228-159+27.84-228-22176-186
when playing on Monday1-0+121-17-2.3156-125-13.61-022-15137-131
against division opponents4-2+2.668-82-30.5598-512-48.54-277-68539-521
in day games2-1+1.255-47-2.8449-373-16.62-153-46380-398
in games played on a grass field2-1+1.1145-148-48.41301-1021-21.22-1143-1341061-1136
against left-handed starters1-2-159-50+0.1407-370-58.51-250-53365-378
after shutting out their opponent0-008-8-1.896-69+9.50-09-678-76
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
BALTIMORE - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/2/2013HAMMEL(R)@ TAMPA BAYPRICE(L)7-4W1507 unO1381620
4/3/2013CHEN(L)@ TAMPA BAYHELLICKSON(R)7-8L1257 ovO11501430
4/4/2013GONZALEZ(R)@ TAMPA BAYHERNANDEZ(R)6-3W1008 evO970740
4/5/2013ARRIETA(R)MINNESOTAHENDRIKS(R)9-5W-1509 unO141001071
4/6/2013TILLMAN(R)MINNESOTAWORLEY(R)5-6L-1408.5 ovO1172981
4/7/2013HAMMEL(R)MINNESOTAHERNANDEZ(L)3-4L-1809 evU761451
4/8/2013CHEN(L)@ BOSTONBUCHHOLZ(R) 
4/10/2013 @ BOSTON  
4/11/2013 @ BOSTON  
4/12/2013 @ NY YANKEES  
4/13/2013 @ NY YANKEES  
4/14/2013 @ NY YANKEES  

BOSTON - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/1/2013LESTER(L)@ NY YANKEESSABATHIA(L)8-2W1008 unO13130680
4/3/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)@ NY YANKEESKURODA(R)7-4W1107.5 unO13100971
4/4/2013DEMPSTER(R)@ NY YANKEESPETTITTE(L)2-4L1108 unU950850
4/5/2013DOUBRONT(L)@ TORONTOJOHNSON(R)6-4W1308.5 unO121501293
4/6/2013LACKEY(R)@ TORONTOHAPP(L)0-5L1309 unU240861
4/7/2013LESTER(L)@ TORONTODICKEY(R)13-0W1158 unO1560780
4/8/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)BALTIMORECHEN(L) 
4/10/2013 BALTIMORE  
4/11/2013 BALTIMORE  
4/12/2013 TAMPA BAY  
4/13/2013 TAMPA BAY  
4/14/2013 TAMPA BAY  
4/15/2013 TAMPA BAY  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
BALTIMORE - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games3-3-0.75-16.20.3010.3575.00.2620.316
Road Games2-1+1.53-06.70.3000.3535.00.2840.313
vs Right-handed Starters2-2-0.44-06.70.3080.3575.50.2990.347
Past 7 Games3-3-0.75-16.20.3010.3575.00.2620.316
Grass Games1-2-2.22-15.70.3020.3625.00.2400.318
Day Games3-1+1.73-16.20.3010.3674.00.2200.278
Division2-1+1.53-06.70.3000.3535.00.2840.313
BALTIMORE - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games6.20.3010.3576216652270.033619335435481
Road Games6.70.3000.3533110331550.05209174202161
Righty Starters6.70.3080.3574146451440.032611195292260
BALTIMORE - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.201.01719.7971723191-22166.7%
Road Games7.871.625887122140-12166.7%

BOSTON - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games4-2+2.64-26.00.2900.3643.20.2500.302
vs Left-handed Starters1-2-11-23.30.2400.3273.70.2340.314
Past 7 Games4-2+2.64-26.00.2900.3643.20.2500.302
Grass Games2-1+1.12-15.70.3150.3873.30.2370.308
Day Games2-1+1.22-17.00.2750.3632.30.2120.264
Division4-2+2.64-26.00.2900.3643.20.2500.302
BOSTON - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games6.00.2900.3646221642280.043626518536033
Lefty Starters3.30.2400.327310024500.001013232223012
BOSTON - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.861.12518.7881546191-02166.7%
Home Games0.000.00000000000-000100.0%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
WEI-YIN CHEN recent results and season statistics
WEI-YIN CHEN - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.171.2350-015.75.72270040-1-11-0
Road Starts3.171.2350-015.75.72270040-1-11-0
Last 3 Starts3.171.2350-015.75.72270040-1-11-0
WEI-YIN CHEN - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/3/2013at TAMPA BAY7-8+1257Loss,Over 5.7227004HELLICKSON(R)
10/8/2012NY YANKEES3-2+1208Win,UnderW6.3218013PETTITTE(L)
10/1/2012at TAMPA BAY3-5+1307.5Loss,OverL6.7416114COBB(R)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ recent results and season statistics
CLAY BUCHHOLZ - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts1.291.1431-0177.01161241-0+1.11-0
Home Starts0.000.0000-00010000000-000-0
Last 3 Starts1.291.1431-0177.01161241-0+1.11-0
CLAY BUCHHOLZ - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/3/2013at NY YANKEES7-4+1107.5Win,OverW7116124KURODA(R)
10/1/2012at NY YANKEES2-10+2408Loss,OverL1.7886322SABATHIA(L)
9/25/2012TAMPA BAY2-5+1508Loss,UnderL6548125PRICE(L)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 21-15 (+12.7 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
20 of 34 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.9 Units)
Games this season
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

All games at BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 10-8 (+6.8 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
13 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+7.8 Units)
Games played at BOSTON this season.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Pitcher Versus Team Past History
WEI-YIN CHEN vs. BOSTON since 1997
CHEN is 2-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 2.50 and a WHIP of 1.389.
His team's record is 3-0 (+4.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)
WEI-YIN CHEN recent starts vs. BOSTON
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/14/2012BOSTON7-1-1058.5Win,UnderW6119014BECKETT(R)
6/6/2012at BOSTON2-1+1608.5Win,UnderW7117004BECKETT(R)
5/4/2012at BOSTON6-4+1458.5Win,Over 5435034LESTER(L)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
BUCHHOLZ is 6-3 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.78 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 8-5 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-4. (+3.8 units)
CLAY BUCHHOLZ recent starts vs. BALTIMORE
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/16/2012at BALTIMORE6-3-1358.5Win,OverW8338137TILLMAN(R)
6/7/2012BALTIMORE7-0-1509Win,UnderW9004016MATUSZ(L)
5/21/2012at BALTIMORE8-6-1109Win,Over 5.3556142HUNTER(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring BOSTON in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1019, -2.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 51.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (148-140, -0.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 50.1% of the time since 1997. (1058-1053, -129.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 56.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (156-118, +19.3 units)
Edge=BALTIMORE
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 49.5% of the time since 1997. (769-786, -124.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 50.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (89-86, -7.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 51.8% of the time since 1997. (878-817, -55.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 58.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (103-74, +19.0 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
BALTIMORE
[P] 03/29/2013 - Chris Tillman 15-day DL (3/22) ( Abdominal )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Steve Johnson 15-day DL (3/31) ( Abdominal )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Tsuyoshi Wada 60-day DL (3/22) ( Elbow )
[3B] 04/02/2013 - Wilson Betemit 15-day DL (3/26) ( Knee )
[2B] 04/05/2013 - Brian Roberts 15-day DL (4/5) ( Hamstring )
[LF] 04/07/2013 - Nolan Reimold "?" Monday vs. Boston Red Sox ( Hamstring )
BOSTON
[DH] 03/29/2013 - David Ortiz 15-day DL (3/22) ( Heel )
[LF] 03/31/2013 - Ryan Kalish 60-day DL (2/20) ( Knee )
[SS] 03/31/2013 - Stephen Drew 7-day DL (3/27) ( Concussion )
[P] 04/01/2013 - Craig Breslow 15-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/01/2013 - Franklin Morales 15-day DL (3/22) ( Back )
[P] 04/06/2013 - John Lackey injured last game, "?" next start ( Bicep )
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04/21/2014
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