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Matchup Reports

Wednesday at 7:10 PM
BALTIMORE (70-60) AT BOSTON (78-55) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
971: BALTIMORE
972: BOSTON
9.5
-180
70-60
78-55
63-59-8
60-67-6
4.8 / 4.5
5.1 / 4.1
(R) B NORRIS
(R) J LACKEY
9-9
8-11
4.17
3.17
1.45
1.18
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Overcast   Temperature: 71.0 °
Humidity: 84   Wind: East at 10.4 MPH (9 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
BALTIMORENORRIS +139 
BOSTONLACKEY-139 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
BALTIMORE team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games70-60+4.4236-226+37.71260-1479-122.863-59223-2181293-1310
when the total is 9 to 9.536-26+6105-95+18.5607-652-25.330-2792-95573-614
as a road underdog of +150 to +1751-1+0.526-28+13.995-160-7.31-122-30113-127
in road games32-31+3.5111-119+25.2592-776-21.432-28110-110660-639
on the road when the total is 9 to 9.513-10+3.946-37+22.5262-309+16.111-1136-42273-266
in August games11-11-2.841-37+8.4219-257-30.713-742-33217-233
when playing on Wednesday9-11-4.934-36+1.1178-237-49.812-634-33192-205
against division opponents25-26-0.198-102+18.6479-656-9223-2392-96534-535
in games played on a grass field65-52+6.4214-199+34.61103-1274-99.653-56199-1951129-1134
in night games49-37+7.6162-159+22.9872-998-54.137-43150-157869-893
against right-handed starters52-37+12.9170-156+35.6914-1019-17.445-39160-150901-930
after allowing 10 runs or more4-3+0.513-20-6.6107-158-37.62-415-14132-118
after a loss36-23+11111-110+17.1634-833-127.226-28106-101701-686
when playing against a team with a winning record39-29+10.8129-135+25.2588-856-106.628-37119-135691-682
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season10-13-3.362-73+12.5325-474-42.810-1263-67371-393

BOSTON team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games78-55+11.4239-220-381550-1248-45.260-67220-2171296-1361
when the total is 9 to 9.526-27-1087-100-44.8567-510-74.322-2894-84507-517
as a home favorite of -175 to -2007-3+1.418-19-16.8117-82-34.35-418-1690-96
in home games41-23+7.3122-106-31.9824-572-26.929-32118-98664-657
at home when the total is 9 to 9.517-15-6.253-61-35.2297-226-32.614-1659-50259-245
in August games13-11-2.239-43-15.2255-222-34.210-1336-44223-228
when playing on Wednesday13-7+4.331-38-17.4235-196-27.911-835-31214-199
against division opponents31-24+2.895-104-30.3625-534-48.320-3493-100555-553
in games played on a grass field69-49+7.8212-196-41.61368-1069-14.452-60193-1931111-1195
in night games54-43+3.4162-162-42.21066-852-34.849-43158-148898-925
against right-handed starters51-36+7.7154-153-42.81117-861+8.542-41153-140914-959
after a win41-36-3.9126-106-8.5854-691-37.334-41111-112746-731
after 3 or more consecutive wins13-11-1.241-32-1.3252-212-30.713-1132-37226-218
when playing against a team with a winning record33-32-2.6118-121-16.4671-657-61.527-36110-118597-670
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season13-14-3.646-70-28341-371-63.58-1952-61318-364
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
BALTIMORE - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
8/14/2013TILLMAN(R)@ ARIZONACORBIN(L)4-5L1157.5 unO149011131
8/16/2013CHEN(L)COLORADONICASIO(R)3-6L-1758.5 evO550820
8/17/2013NORRIS(R)COLORADOBETTIS(R)8-4W-1909 unO1012012111
8/18/2013FELDMAN(R)COLORADOCHACIN(R)7-2W-1458 unO15100880
8/19/2013TILLMAN(R)TAMPA BAYPRICE(L)3-4L+1207.5 evU151511070
8/20/2013GONZALEZ(R)TAMPA BAYCOBB(R)4-7L-1058.5 evO56115101
8/21/2013CHEN(L)TAMPA BAYHELLICKSON(R)4-2W-1208.5 evU890750
8/23/2013NORRIS(R)OAKLANDSTRAILY(R)9-7W-1209 unO7601281
8/24/2013TILLMAN(R)OAKLANDPARKER(R)1-2L-1158.5 evU571430
8/25/2013FELDMAN(R)OAKLANDGRAY(R)10-3W-1108.5 unO1340660
8/27/2013CHEN(L)@ BOSTONDOUBRONT(L)2-13L1109 unO4401450
8/28/2013NORRIS(R)@ BOSTONLACKEY(R) 
8/29/2013TILLMAN(R)@ BOSTONLESTER(L) 
8/30/2013GONZALEZ(R)@ NY YANKEESSABATHIA(L) 
8/31/2013FELDMAN(R)@ NY YANKEESNOVA(R) 
9/1/2013CHEN(L)@ NY YANKEESHUGHES(R) 
9/2/2013NORRIS(R)@ CLEVELANDMASTERSON(R) 
9/3/2013TILLMAN(R)@ CLEVELANDJIMENEZ(R) 
9/4/2013 @ CLEVELAND  

BOSTON - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
8/14/2013LESTER(L)@ TORONTOROGERS(R)3-4L-1459.5 unU8103891
8/15/2013PEAVY(R)@ TORONTOBUEHRLE(L)1-2L-1208.5 ovU11121640
8/16/2013DOUBRONT(L)NY YANKEESPETTITTE(L)3-10L-1809 unO10731592
8/17/2013LACKEY(R)NY YANKEESKURODA(R)6-1W-1308.5 unU14110882
8/18/2013DEMPSTER(R)NY YANKEESSABATHIA(L)6-9L-1209 evO99017130
8/19/2013LESTER(L)@ SAN FRANCISCOLINCECUM(R)7-0W-1207 unP1291671
8/20/2013PEAVY(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOVOGELSONG(R)2-3L-1557 evU770890
8/21/2013DOUBRONT(L)@ SAN FRANCISCOZITO(L)12-1W-1607.5 unO1240532
8/23/2013LACKEY(R)@ LA DODGERSNOLASCO(R)0-2L-1057.5 unU220310
8/24/2013LESTER(L)@ LA DODGERSRYU(L)4-2W1107 ovU861560
8/25/2013PEAVY(R)@ LA DODGERSCAPUANO(L)8-1W-1157.5 evO1260330
8/27/2013DOUBRONT(L)BALTIMORECHEN(L)13-2W-1209 unO1450440
8/28/2013LACKEY(R)BALTIMORENORRIS(R) 
8/29/2013LESTER(L)BALTIMORETILLMAN(R) 
8/30/2013DEMPSTER(R)CHI WHITE SOXSANTIAGO(L) 
8/31/2013PEAVY(R)CHI WHITE SOXDANKS(L) 
9/1/2013DOUBRONT(L)CHI WHITE SOXRIENZO(R) 
9/2/2013LACKEY(R)DETROITFISTER(R) 
9/3/2013LESTER(L)DETROITSCHERZER(R) 
9/4/2013 DETROIT  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
BALTIMORE - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games70-60+4.463-594.80.2650.3154.50.2620.321
Road Games32-31+3.532-284.80.2690.3164.40.2680.323
vs Right-handed Starters52-37+12.945-395.10.2690.3224.40.2580.319
Past 7 Games3-4-1.24-34.70.2500.3295.40.2860.351
Grass Games65-52+6.453-564.70.2630.3144.30.2570.317
Night Games49-37+7.637-434.70.2550.3084.40.2630.321
Division25-26-0.123-234.50.2580.3054.90.2660.328
BALTIMORE - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.80.2650.315130450711934261750.0459932989567843973913649
Road Games4.80.2690.316632251605218810.042891554503741757205327
Righty Starters5.10.2690.3228930648253011320.044312375855656569279930
BALTIMORE - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.721.250406.31781683824912634721-18461970.8%
Road Games4.151.297184.3928518024591629-10221068.8%

BOSTON - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games78-55+11.460-675.10.2740.3414.10.2510.316
Home Games41-23+7.329-325.20.2870.3504.20.2520.315
vs Right-handed Starters51-36+7.642-415.20.2770.3464.30.2510.316
Past 7 Games5-2+2.53-36.60.2780.3261.60.1620.211
Grass Games69-49+7.952-605.10.2780.3434.10.2520.316
Night Games54-43+3.449-435.10.2750.3424.30.2550.321
Division31-24+2.820-344.50.2550.3193.70.2440.307
BOSTON - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games5.10.2740.341133463412694621380.03647475107199100312672123110
Home Games5.20.2870.350642176624248650.033212135003946455395963
Righty Starters5.20.2770.346873069851305860.034363207177568287477767
BOSTON - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.711.334387.71711603754414239224-17251956.8%
Home Games4.091.4061879285194216918113-7111052.4%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
BUD NORRIS recent results and season statistics
BUD NORRIS - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.171.4549-926153.45.97871168155511713-13+410-15
Road Starts5.201.5463-51053.75.4343163520425-5+2.44-6
Last 3 Starts7.632.0861-0315.35.113132428143-0+33-0
BUD NORRIS - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/23/2013OAKLAND9-7-1209Win,Over 4.7779237STRAILY(R)
8/17/2013COLORADO8-4-1909Win,OverW5.7449035BETTIS(R)
8/11/2013at SAN FRANCISCO10-2+1057Win,Over 5226022CAIN(R)

JOHN LACKEY recent results and season statistics
JOHN LACKEY - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.171.1788-1123147.76.45852142193213010-13-5.43-19
Home Starts2.071.0985-29616.8191456411576-3+1.61-7
Last 3 Starts2.910.9691-2321.77.2771625121-2-1.10-3
JOHN LACKEY - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/23/2013at LA DODGERS0-2-1057.5Loss,UnderL8223106NOLASCO(R)
8/17/2013NY YANKEES6-1-1308.5Win,UnderW6.7116031KURODA(R)
8/11/2013at KANSAS CITY3-4-1058Loss,UnderL7447125SHIELDS(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 27-20 (+13.9 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
23 of 44 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.8 Units)
Games this season
BALTIMORE is 6-5 (+1.3 Units) against BOSTON this season
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.5 Units)

All games at BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 12-10 (+7.3 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
15 of 22 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+7.7 Units)
Games played at BOSTON this season.
BALTIMORE is 2-2 (+0.5 Units) against BOSTON this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
8/27/2013BALTIMORE2+110 Over40040CHEN(L)L3.7883
 BOSTON13-1209 unWin143050DOUBRONT(L)W6.7241
7/28/2013BOSTON5-115  101071LESTER(L)W7042
 BALTIMORE0+1059 unUnder50060HAMMEL(R)L5.3365
7/27/2013BOSTON7+110  103260DEMPSTER(R)W5.3262
 BALTIMORE3-1209 ovOver90090FELDMAN(R)L5462
7/26/2013BOSTON0-105 Under40061LACKEY(R)L6.3591
 BALTIMORE6-1059 unWin104050TILLMAN(R)W7023
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
BUD NORRIS vs. BOSTON since 1997
NORRIS is 0-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 5.25 and a WHIP of 1.583.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)
BUD NORRIS recent starts vs. BOSTON
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/28/2013at BOSTON1-6+1879.5Loss,UnderL6539026LACKEY(R)
7/1/2011BOSTON5-7+1208.5Loss,Over 64441410WAKEFIELD(R)

JOHN LACKEY vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
LACKEY is 12-5 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.48 and a WHIP of 1.265.
His team's record is 14-7 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 14-6. (+7.7 units)
JOHN LACKEY recent starts vs. BALTIMORE
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/26/2013at BALTIMORE0-6-1059Loss,UnderL6.3559312TILLMAN(R)
6/15/2013at BALTIMORE5-4-1059.5Win,UnderW7227014GARCIA(R)
9/19/2011BALTIMORE18-9-23011Win,Over 4.38811023MATUSZ(L)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring BOSTON in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1070, -0.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 52% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (207-191, +1.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 50% of the time since 1997. (1111-1111, -141.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 54.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (209-176, +7.1 units)
Edge=BALTIMORE
 
The betting public is favoring the OVER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 49.6% of the time since 1997. (823-837, -128.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 51.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (143-137, -11.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 52.1% of the time since 1997. (941-865, -45.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 57.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (166-122, +29.2 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
BALTIMORE
[P] 07/31/2013 - Jason Hammel 15-day DL (7/29) ( Forearm )
[LF] 07/19/2013 - Nolan Reimold 60-day DL (7/14) ( Neck )
[P] 07/16/2013 - Tsuyoshi Wada 60-day DL (3/22) ( Elbow )
[P] 06/06/2013 - Steve Johnson 15-day DL (6/6) ( Oblique )
[3B] 04/02/2013 - Wilson Betemit 60-day DL (3/26) ( Knee )
BOSTON
[3B] 08/10/2013 - Brandon Snyder 15-day DL (8/8) ( Elbow )
[P] 07/19/2013 - Andrew Bailey 15-day DL (7/13) ( Shoulder )
[P] 07/10/2013 - Alex Wilson 15-day DL (7/9) ( Thumb )
[P] 07/07/2013 - Andrew Miller 60-day DL (7/7) ( Foot )
[P] 06/12/2013 - Clay Buchholz 15-day DL (6/9) ( Neck )
[P] 05/09/2013 - Joel Hanrahan 60-day DL (5/9), out for season ( Elbow )
[LF] 03/31/2013 - Ryan Kalish 60-day DL (2/20) ( Knee )
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