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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 7:10 PM
BALTIMORE (22-14) AT MINNESOTA (16-16) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
919: BALTIMORE
920: MINNESOTA
8.5
-108
22-14
16-16
19-15-2
14-17-1
5.0 / 4.2
4.6 / 4.5
(R) S JOHNSON
(R) V WORLEY
0-0
0-4
0.00
6.95
0.00
1.90
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 55.0 °
Humidity: 49   Wind: West at 9.2 MPH (8 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
BALTIMOREJOHNSON-145 
MINNESOTAWORLEY +145 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
BALTIMORE team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in May games6-3+3.133-32+4.3213-236-20.84-533-30216-213
when playing on Saturday5-1+4.433-26+13.8209-221+16.54-231-25201-209
in games played on a grass field20-13+7169-160+35.21058-1235-9916-15162-1541092-1093
in night games15-9+6.2128-131+21.6838-970-55.410-12123-126842-862
against right-handed starters17-9+8.6135-128+31.2879-991-21.715-10130-121871-901
after a win10-11-1.399-90+23.3598-617+7.410-1090-94563-598
in all games22-14+8.5188-180+41.91212-1433-118.719-15179-1741249-1266
when the total is 8 to 8.511-8+3.677-63+23.4222-296-48.210-870-66262-242
on the road with a money line of -100 to -1253-1+1.910-9+0.297-84+1.73-111-790-83
in road games13-8+6.992-96+28.7573-753-17.913-891-90641-619
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.56-4+3.129-28+9.398-152-19.97-330-26119-123

MINNESOTA team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games16-16+6.2145-212-32.21308-1341-20.214-17171-1671187-1328
when the total is 8 to 8.59-9+3.657-96-28.2326-340-22.58-974-75323-323
as a home underdog of +100 to +1254-4+0.824-34-7.1131-156-10.45-330-26131-144
in home games7-7+1.171-106-35.1703-621-14.17-785-82601-655
at home when the total is 8 to 8.55-3+3.332-53-20.5176-145+4.34-444-40162-152
in May games5-4+4.225-39-3.9221-230+13.35-432-27204-227
when playing on Saturday3-2+2.221-38-12.8213-220-8.63-228-28189-225
in games played on a grass field16-16+6.2142-202-26.1664-770-17.714-17168-157651-711
in night games6-11-393-134-17889-883+11.110-7117-96813-871
against right-handed starters14-14+5.7100-156-31.6942-932+20.310-17125-115839-931
after a loss7-8+2.182-130-25.1622-718-686-9103-102613-667
when playing against a team with a winning record9-11+2.566-104-14.2543-665-32.88-1279-82548-602
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
BALTIMORE - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/27/2013TILLMAN(R)@ OAKLANDGRIFFIN(R)7-3W1408 unO104010100
4/28/2013GONZALEZ(R)@ OAKLANDCOLON(R)8-9L1408 unO155112100
4/29/2013BRITTON(L)@ SEATTLESAUNDERS(L)2-6L-1107.5 unO4101170
4/30/2013HAMMEL(R)@ SEATTLEMAURER(R)7-2W-1157 ovO1311010100
5/1/2013CHEN(L)@ SEATTLEHARANG(R)3-8L-1307.5 unO75011100
5/2/2013TILLMAN(R)@ LA ANGELSBLANTON(R)5-1W1109 unU1070441
5/3/2013GONZALEZ(R)@ LA ANGELSVARGAS(L)0-4L1208.5 evU350850
5/4/2013GARCIA(R)@ LA ANGELSHANSON(R)5-4W1358.5 evO12100630
5/5/2013HAMMEL(R)@ LA ANGELSWILLIAMS(R)8-4W1108 ovO85011112
5/7/2013CHEN(L)KANSAS CITYSANTANA(R)4-3W-1208.5 unU8711051
5/8/2013TILLMAN(R)KANSAS CITYMENDOZA(R)5-3W-1458.5 unU540763
5/9/2013GARCIA(R)KANSAS CITYGUTHRIE(R)2-6L-1158.5 evU870941
5/10/2013HAMMEL(R)@ MINNESOTAPELFREY(R)9-6W-1158.5 ovO181101192
5/11/2013JOHNSON(R)@ MINNESOTAWORLEY(R) 
5/12/2013CHEN(L)@ MINNESOTADIAMOND(L) 
5/14/2013TILLMAN(R)SAN DIEGOCASHNER(R) 
5/15/2013GARCIA(R)SAN DIEGOMARQUIS(R) 
5/17/2013HAMMEL(R)TAMPA BAYHELLICKSON(R) 
5/18/2013 TAMPA BAY  

MINNESOTA - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/27/2013HERNANDEZ(L)TEXASHOLLAND(L)7-2W+1258.5 ovO940871
4/28/2013CORREIA(R)TEXASOGANDO(R)5-0W+1108.5 ovU940770
4/29/2013PELFREY(R)@ DETROITSCHERZER(R)3-4L2158.5 ovU630750
4/30/2013WORLEY(R)@ DETROITVERLANDER(R)1-6L2308 ovU6901360
5/1/2013DIAMOND(L)@ DETROITSANCHEZ(R)6-2W2008.5 unU1070640
5/3/2013HERNANDEZ(L)@ CLEVELANDMASTERSON(R)6-7L1358.5 unO119013100
5/4/2013CORREIA(R)@ CLEVELANDKAZMIR(L)3-7L1059 unO7901261
5/5/2013PELFREY(R)@ CLEVELANDKLUBER(R)4-2W1409 unU660660
5/6/2013WORLEY(R)@ BOSTONBUCHHOLZ(R)5-6L1858.5 ovO101101771
5/7/2013DIAMOND(L)@ BOSTONDEMPSTER(R)6-1W1609 unU860433
5/8/2013HERNANDEZ(L)@ BOSTONWEBSTER(R)15-8W1609.5 unO19901271
5/9/2013CORREIA(R)@ BOSTONLACKEY(R)5-3W1559.5 unU6419102
5/10/2013PELFREY(R)BALTIMOREHAMMEL(R)6-9L+1058.5 ovO119218110
5/11/2013WORLEY(R)BALTIMOREJOHNSON(R) 
5/12/2013DIAMOND(L)BALTIMORECHEN(L) 
5/13/2013HERNANDEZ(L)CHI WHITE SOXSANTIAGO(L) 
5/14/2013CORREIA(R)CHI WHITE SOXPEAVY(R) 
5/15/2013PELFREY(R)CHI WHITE SOXAXELROD(R) 
5/17/2013WORLEY(R)BOSTONDEMPSTER(R) 
5/18/2013 BOSTON  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
BALTIMORE - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games22-14+8.519-155.00.2610.3234.20.2430.314
Road Games13-8+6.913-85.00.2680.3244.00.2500.313
vs Right-handed Starters17-9+8.515-105.40.2710.3324.20.2490.319
Past 7 Games5-2+3.33-44.70.2540.3184.30.2540.303
Grass Games20-13+716-154.80.2580.3204.10.2390.314
Night Games15-9+6.210-124.60.2510.3154.00.2420.312
BALTIMORE - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games5.00.2610.323361243325118410.03170112242272362911378
Road Games5.00.2680.3242174520076270.041016114418138196224
Righty Starters5.40.2710.3322691624891310.031328417024179187305
BALTIMORE - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.671.116114.739348812401029-416672.7%
Road Games3.131.21060.3252151722494-210376.9%

MINNESOTA - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games16-16+6.214-174.60.2470.3194.50.2840.330
Home Games7-7+1.17-74.80.2580.3234.60.2870.329
vs Right-handed Starters14-14+5.710-174.50.2430.3154.00.2810.326
Past 7 Games4-3+3.24-36.30.2600.3345.10.3050.350
Grass Games16-16+6.214-174.60.2470.3194.50.2840.330
Night Games6-11-310-75.10.2620.3235.70.3170.360
MINNESOTA - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.60.2470.31932109427090250.021411162661323622163310
Home Games4.80.2580.3231446912138100.02644591796910127
Righty Starters4.50.2430.3152895823381230.02118101245122061913318
MINNESOTA - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.011.214113.74438998391014-48466.7%
Home Games3.101.21649.3231744116431-12166.7%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
STEVE JOHNSON recent results and season statistics
STEVE JOHNSON - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts0.000.0000-00010000000-000-0
Road Starts0.000.0000-00010000000-000-0
Last 3 Starts0.000.0000-00010000000-000-0
STEVE JOHNSON - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/29/2012BOSTON4-3-1808.5Win,Under 5334133DOUBRONT(L)
9/24/2012TORONTO4-1-1858.5Win,UnderW5003036ALVAREZ(R)
8/25/2012TORONTO8-2-1058.5Win,OverW6224127MORROW(R)

VANCE WORLEY recent results and season statistics
VANCE WORLEY - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts6.951.9010-4733.74.829265559202-5-2.23-4
Home Starts9.002.1670-33124.01412210570-3-31-2
Last 3 Starts6.751.9090-2314.74.91111254370-3-31-2
VANCE WORLEY - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/6/2013at BOSTON5-6+1858.5Loss,Over 5339103BUCHHOLZ(R)
4/30/2013at DETROIT1-6+2308Loss,UnderL4.76610311VERLANDER(R)
4/25/2013TEXAS1-2-1058.5Loss,UnderL5226023TEPESCH(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 13-6 (+7.3 Units) against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
10 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.2 Units)
Games this season
MINNESOTA is 2-2 (+1.0 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)

All games at MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 7-2 (+6.8 Units) against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.0 Units)
Games played at MINNESOTA this season.
BALTIMORE is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
5/10/2013BALTIMORE9-115  1803110HAMMEL(R) 4682
 MINNESOTA6+1058.5 ovOver110092PELFREY(R) 6391
4/7/2013MINNESOTA4+170  40051HERNANDEZ(L) 5343
 BALTIMORE3-1809 evUnder71061HAMMEL(R)L6.7443
4/6/2013MINNESOTA6+130  91081WORLEY(R) 54101
 BALTIMORE5-1408.5 ovOver110072TILLMAN(R) 3.7574
4/5/2013MINNESOTA5+140 Over100071HENDRIKS(R) 4.7481
 BALTIMORE9-1509 unWin1411100ARRIETA(R) 5572
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
STEVE JOHNSON vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
No recent starts.
STEVE JOHNSON recent starts vs. MINNESOTA
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
No recent games found.

VANCE WORLEY vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
WORLEY is 0-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.27 and a WHIP of 1.455.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)
VANCE WORLEY recent starts vs. BALTIMORE
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/6/2013at BALTIMORE6-5+1308.5Win,Over 55410012TILLMAN(R)
6/9/2012at BALTIMORE4-6-1109.5Loss,Over 6304015HUNTER(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1035, -13.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 50.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (157-156, -10.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MINNESOTA games 49.2% of the time since 1997. (1033-1068, -171.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MINNESOTA games 53% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (159-141, +1.6 units)
No Edge.
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 49.6% of the time since 1997. (784-797, -121.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 51.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (104-97, -4.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MINNESOTA games 50.5% of the time since 1997. (819-802, -91.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MINNESOTA games 41.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (76-109, -44.3 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
BALTIMORE
[2B] 04/05/2013 - Brian Roberts 15-day DL (4/5) ( Hamstring )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Steve Johnson 15-day DL (3/31) ( Abdominal )
[C] 04/28/2013 - Taylor Teagarden 15-day DL (4/28) ( Thumb )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Tsuyoshi Wada 60-day DL (3/22) ( Elbow )
[3B] 04/02/2013 - Wilson Betemit 60-day DL (3/26) ( Knee )
[P] 05/09/2013 - Miguel Gonzalez 15-day DL (5/4) ( Thumb )
[3B] 05/11/2013 - Manny Machado probable Saturday vs. Minnesota Twins ( Ankle )
MINNESOTA
[P] 04/05/2013 - Cole De Vries 15-day DL (3/30) ( Forearm )
[RF] 04/17/2013 - Darin Mastroianni 15-day DL (4/16) ( Ankle )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Tim Wood 15-day DL (3/24) ( Shoulder )
[SS] 05/11/2013 - Pedro Florimon is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. Baltimore Orioles ( Hamstring )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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