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Matchup Reports

Sunday at 2:10 PM
BALTIMORE (22-15) AT MINNESOTA (17-16) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
971: BALTIMORE
972: MINNESOTA
8.0
-104
22-15
17-16
20-15-2
15-17-1
5.0 / 4.3
4.7 / 4.5
(L) W CHEN
(L) S DIAMOND
2-3
3-2
3.40
3.03
1.23
1.15
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 55.0 °
Humidity: 49   Wind: West at 9.2 MPH (8 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
BALTIMORECHEN-118 
MINNESOTADIAMOND +118 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
BALTIMORE team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games22-15+7.5188-181+40.91212-1434-119.720-15180-1741250-1266
when the total is 8 to 8.511-9+2.677-64+22.4222-297-49.211-871-66263-242
on the road with a money line of -100 to -1253-1+1.910-9+0.297-84+1.73-111-790-83
in road games13-9+5.992-97+27.7573-754-18.914-892-90642-619
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.56-5+2.129-29+8.398-153-20.98-331-26120-123
in May games6-4+2.133-33+3.3213-237-21.85-534-30217-213
when playing on Sunday1-4-426-32-2.6168-251-813-232-25210-201
in day games7-5+2.260-49+20.2368-455-61.39-356-48401-396
in games played on a grass field20-14+6169-161+34.21058-1236-10017-15163-1541093-1093
against left-handed starters5-5-0.153-52+10.6333-442-974-549-53378-365
after a loss11-3+8.386-90+14.4609-813-129.98-588-78683-663
when playing against a team with a winning record10-4+6.3100-110+20.7559-831-111.16-897-106669-653

MINNESOTA team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games17-16+7.2146-212-31.21309-1341-19.215-17172-1671188-1328
when the total is 8 to 8.510-9+4.658-96-27.2327-340-21.59-975-75324-323
as a home underdog of +100 to +1254-4+0.824-34-7.1131-156-10.45-330-26131-144
in home games8-7+2.172-106-34.1704-621-13.18-786-82602-655
at home when the total is 8 to 8.56-3+4.333-53-19.5177-145+5.35-445-40163-152
in May games6-4+5.226-39-2.9222-230+14.36-433-27205-227
when playing on Sunday4-0+5.527-29+5.1208-213+0.40-325-29161-239
in day games10-5+9.252-78-15.1415-450-29.44-1054-71368-451
in games played on a grass field17-16+7.2143-202-25.1665-770-16.715-17169-157652-711
against left-handed starters2-2+0.545-56-0.5366-409-40.54-046-52348-397
after a win9-7+5.163-79-4.1683-618+49.88-767-63571-657
when playing against a team with a winning record10-11+3.567-104-13.2544-665-31.89-1280-82549-602
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
BALTIMORE - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/28/2013GONZALEZ(R)@ OAKLANDCOLON(R)8-9L1408 unO155112100
4/29/2013BRITTON(L)@ SEATTLESAUNDERS(L)2-6L-1107.5 unO4101170
4/30/2013HAMMEL(R)@ SEATTLEMAURER(R)7-2W-1157 ovO1311010100
5/1/2013CHEN(L)@ SEATTLEHARANG(R)3-8L-1307.5 unO75011100
5/2/2013TILLMAN(R)@ LA ANGELSBLANTON(R)5-1W1109 unU1070441
5/3/2013GONZALEZ(R)@ LA ANGELSVARGAS(L)0-4L1208.5 evU350850
5/4/2013GARCIA(R)@ LA ANGELSHANSON(R)5-4W1358.5 evO12100630
5/5/2013HAMMEL(R)@ LA ANGELSWILLIAMS(R)8-4W1108 ovO85011112
5/7/2013CHEN(L)KANSAS CITYSANTANA(R)4-3W-1208.5 unU8711051
5/8/2013TILLMAN(R)KANSAS CITYMENDOZA(R)5-3W-1458.5 unU540763
5/9/2013GARCIA(R)KANSAS CITYGUTHRIE(R)2-6L-1158.5 evU870941
5/10/2013HAMMEL(R)@ MINNESOTAPELFREY(R)9-6W-1158.5 ovO181101192
5/11/2013JOHNSON(R)@ MINNESOTAWORLEY(R)5-8L1008.5 unO12801061
5/12/2013CHEN(L)@ MINNESOTADIAMOND(L) 
5/14/2013TILLMAN(R)SAN DIEGOCASHNER(R) 
5/15/2013GARCIA(R)SAN DIEGOMARQUIS(R) 
5/17/2013HAMMEL(R)TAMPA BAYHELLICKSON(R) 
5/18/2013JOHNSON(R)TAMPA BAYHERNANDEZ(R) 
5/19/2013 TAMPA BAY  

MINNESOTA - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/28/2013CORREIA(R)TEXASOGANDO(R)5-0W+1108.5 ovU940770
4/29/2013PELFREY(R)@ DETROITSCHERZER(R)3-4L2158.5 ovU630750
4/30/2013WORLEY(R)@ DETROITVERLANDER(R)1-6L2308 ovU6901360
5/1/2013DIAMOND(L)@ DETROITSANCHEZ(R)6-2W2008.5 unU1070640
5/3/2013HERNANDEZ(L)@ CLEVELANDMASTERSON(R)6-7L1358.5 unO119013100
5/4/2013CORREIA(R)@ CLEVELANDKAZMIR(L)3-7L1059 unO7901261
5/5/2013PELFREY(R)@ CLEVELANDKLUBER(R)4-2W1409 unU660660
5/6/2013WORLEY(R)@ BOSTONBUCHHOLZ(R)5-6L1858.5 ovO101101771
5/7/2013DIAMOND(L)@ BOSTONDEMPSTER(R)6-1W1609 unU860433
5/8/2013HERNANDEZ(L)@ BOSTONWEBSTER(R)15-8W1609.5 unO19901271
5/9/2013CORREIA(R)@ BOSTONLACKEY(R)5-3W1559.5 unU6419102
5/10/2013PELFREY(R)BALTIMOREHAMMEL(R)6-9L+1058.5 ovO119218110
5/11/2013WORLEY(R)BALTIMOREJOHNSON(R)8-5W-1108.5 unO10611280
5/12/2013DIAMOND(L)BALTIMORECHEN(L) 
5/13/2013HERNANDEZ(L)CHI WHITE SOXSANTIAGO(L) 
5/14/2013CORREIA(R)CHI WHITE SOXPEAVY(R) 
5/15/2013PELFREY(R)CHI WHITE SOXAXELROD(R) 
5/17/2013WORLEY(R)BOSTONBUCHHOLZ(R) 
5/18/2013DIAMOND(L)BOSTONDEMPSTER(R) 
5/19/2013 BOSTON  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
BALTIMORE - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games22-15+7.520-155.00.2630.3234.30.2440.316
Road Games13-9+5.914-85.00.2710.3254.20.2520.317
vs Left-handed Starters5-5-0.14-53.80.2350.2964.10.2260.299
Past 7 Games5-2+3.34-35.40.2830.3414.90.2610.320
Grass Games20-14+617-154.80.2600.3204.20.2410.316
Day Games7-5+2.29-35.70.2800.3374.60.2430.316
BALTIMORE - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games5.00.2630.323371280337121420.03175113245272443111388
Road Games5.00.2710.3252278221279280.041066214718146216234
Lefty Starters3.80.2350.296103277727100.0338287235711473
BALTIMORE - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.731.112118.741369113411059-416672.7%
Road Games3.221.19764.3272354823524-210376.9%

MINNESOTA - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games17-16+7.215-174.70.2480.3214.50.2860.331
Home Games8-7+2.18-75.00.2610.3284.60.2890.330
vs Left-handed Starters2-2+0.54-05.70.2720.3447.70.3060.358
Past 7 Games5-2+5.24-37.00.2720.3464.90.3010.344
Grass Games17-16+7.215-174.70.2480.3214.50.2860.331
Day Games10-5+9.24-104.10.2280.3143.10.2420.292
MINNESOTA - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.70.2480.32133112728094260.021491212721324223173510
Home Games5.00.2610.3281550213142110.0272509771021011147
Lefty Starters5.70.2720.344413637920.012315211303322
MINNESOTA - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.911.184117.444381008391034-49469.2%
Home Games2.891.15153231745116451-13175%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
WEI-YIN CHEN recent results and season statistics
WEI-YIN CHEN - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.401.2282-3742.36.0161640312243-4-1.22-5
Road Starts3.901.2001-35306.013132838201-4-3.22-3
Last 3 Starts3.441.3091-1318.36.1771915132-1+0.81-2
WEI-YIN CHEN - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/7/2013KANSAS CITY4-3-1208.5Win,Under 6.3229002SANTANA(R)
5/1/2013at SEATTLE3-8-1307.5Loss,OverL4558136HARANG(R)
4/26/2013at OAKLAND3-0+1157.5Win,UnderW8002025MILONE(L)

SCOTT DIAMOND recent results and season statistics
SCOTT DIAMOND - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.031.1463-2529.75.911103123153-2+30-4
Home Starts5.911.8760-2210.75.377202050-2-20-2
Last 3 Starts2.331.0352-1319.36.455191192-1+2.60-3
SCOTT DIAMOND - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/7/2013at BOSTON6-1+1609Win,UnderW7003002DEMPSTER(R)
5/1/2013at DETROIT6-2+2008.5Win,UnderW6224013SANCHEZ(R)
4/26/2013TEXAS3-4+1058.5Loss,UnderL6.33312104GRIMM(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 13-7 (+6.3 Units) against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
10 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)
Games this season
MINNESOTA is 3-2 (+2.0 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.9 Units)

All games at MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 7-3 (+5.8 Units) against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.8 Units)
Games played at MINNESOTA this season.
MINNESOTA is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
5/11/2013BALTIMORE5+100 Over121080JOHNSON(R)L4674
 MINNESOTA8-1108.5 unWin101061WORLEY(R)W5.35111
5/10/2013BALTIMORE9-115  1803110HAMMEL(R) 4682
 MINNESOTA6+1058.5 ovOver110092PELFREY(R) 6391
4/7/2013MINNESOTA4+170  40051HERNANDEZ(L) 5343
 BALTIMORE3-1809 evUnder71061HAMMEL(R)L6.7443
4/6/2013MINNESOTA6+130  91081WORLEY(R) 54101
 BALTIMORE5-1408.5 ovOver110072TILLMAN(R) 3.7574
4/5/2013MINNESOTA5+140 Over100071HENDRIKS(R) 4.7481
 BALTIMORE9-1509 unWin1411100ARRIETA(R) 5572
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
WEI-YIN CHEN vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
CHEN is 1-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
WEI-YIN CHEN recent starts vs. MINNESOTA
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/19/2012at MINNESOTA4-3-1109.5Win,UnderW7336015DE VRIES(R)

SCOTT DIAMOND vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
DIAMOND is 1-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 7.50 and a WHIP of 1.667.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
SCOTT DIAMOND recent starts vs. BALTIMORE
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/16/2012BALTIMORE19-7-1258.5Win,OverW6559113TILLMAN(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring BALTIMORE in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1035, -12.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 50.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (158-156, -9.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MINNESOTA games 49.2% of the time since 1997. (1034-1068, -170.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MINNESOTA games 53.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (160-141, +2.6 units)
Edge=MINNESOTA
 
The betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 49.6% of the time since 1997. (784-798, -122.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 51.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (104-98, -5.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MINNESOTA games 50.5% of the time since 1997. (819-803, -92.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MINNESOTA games 40.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (76-110, -45.5 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
BALTIMORE
[2B] 04/05/2013 - Brian Roberts 15-day DL (4/5) ( Hamstring )
[C] 04/28/2013 - Taylor Teagarden 15-day DL (4/28) ( Thumb )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Tsuyoshi Wada 60-day DL (3/22) ( Elbow )
[3B] 04/02/2013 - Wilson Betemit 60-day DL (3/26) ( Knee )
[P] 05/09/2013 - Miguel Gonzalez 15-day DL (5/4) ( Thumb )
MINNESOTA
[P] 04/05/2013 - Cole De Vries 15-day DL (3/30) ( Forearm )
[RF] 04/17/2013 - Darin Mastroianni 15-day DL (4/16) ( Ankle )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Tim Wood 15-day DL (3/24) ( Shoulder )
[SS] 05/11/2013 - Pedro Florimon "?" Sunday vs. Baltimore Orioles ( Hamstring )
[LF] 05/11/2013 - Josh Willingham "?" Sunday vs. Baltimore Orioles ( Wrist )
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