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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| BALTIMORE | GONZALEZ | +140 | | | NY YANKEES | KURODA | -140 | |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| when playing on Wednesday | 12-12 | +2.1 | 33-42 | -1.2 | 169-225 | -43.9 | 11-13 | 33-41 | 180-198 | | when playing with a day off | 15-5 | +13.2 | 33-26 | +14.6 | 155-155 | +11.8 | 12-8 | 29-28 | 156-140 | | against division opponents | 44-30 | +22.1 | 96-122 | +8 | 453-628 | -91.4 | 34-39 | 96-112 | 511-509 | | in games played on a grass field | 87-60 | +37.8 | 211-227 | +35.4 | 1037-1220 | -105.5 | 64-78 | 205-215 | 1076-1075 | | in night games | 63-55 | +17.3 | 162-189 | +17.3 | 822-960 | -62.2 | 53-62 | 157-181 | 832-848 | | against right-handed starters | 67-51 | +26.8 | 166-182 | +24.5 | 861-981 | -30.8 | 51-62 | 161-170 | 856-889 | | in playoff games | 2-1 | +2.3 | 2-1 | +2.3 | 7-6 | +1.5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4-8 | | after a win | 54-40 | +19.9 | 122-112 | +39.1 | 588-604 | +10.7 | 41-52 | 108-118 | 553-586 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 55-42 | +28.4 | 129-172 | +9.8 | 548-825 | -116.9 | 40-55 | 133-157 | 663-642 | | when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season | 27-23 | +13.5 | 81-87 | +34.8 | 314-459 | -39 | 20-29 | 75-87 | 361-378 | | in all games | 95-70 | +38.9 | 232-260 | +33.2 | 1189-1417 | -126.7 | 72-88 | 224-248 | 1230-1248 | | when the total is 8 to 8.5 | 37-22 | +19.1 | 81-86 | +9.2 | 210-287 | -52.2 | 28-30 | 81-83 | 252-232 | | as a road underdog of +150 to +175 | 15-9 | +15.2 | 30-41 | +7.6 | 93-158 | -8.3 | 7-17 | 30-39 | 112-124 | | in road games | 47-35 | +28.3 | 107-138 | +20.7 | 559-743 | -24.3 | 31-49 | 107-129 | 628-608 | | on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 | 13-9 | +7.8 | 29-40 | +2.3 | 91-147 | -23.5 | 10-11 | 31-37 | 112-118 | | in October games | 3-3 | +1.5 | 6-4 | +2.9 | 20-22 | -3.4 | 2-4 | 3-7 | 13-26 |
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| as a home favorite of -150 to -175 | 15-12 | -4.2 | 48-28 | +2.6 | 192-121 | -6.6 | 9-18 | 35-36 | 138-160 | | in home games | 51-30 | +3.5 | 159-92 | +8.6 | 872-490 | -7.3 | 34-46 | 125-114 | 621-687 | | at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 | 7-6 | -2.7 | 27-20 | -4.5 | 101-72 | -12.6 | 6-7 | 25-22 | 92-81 | | in October games | 4-1 | +2.7 | 12-10 | -0.3 | 91-64 | +6.8 | 3-2 | 14-7 | 64-86 | | when playing on Wednesday | 18-8 | +6 | 53-29 | +12.3 | 279-147 | +46.1 | 11-14 | 34-45 | 181-225 | | when playing with a day off | 12-3 | +7.5 | 31-26 | -5.7 | 204-141 | -9.8 | 8-6 | 30-21 | 160-169 | | against division opponents | 42-32 | -3 | 120-99 | -14.3 | 652-445 | -31.4 | 34-39 | 106-103 | 518-536 | | in games played on a grass field | 90-56 | +11.3 | 276-173 | +24.7 | 1450-930 | -7.8 | 64-78 | 213-212 | 1102-1183 | | in night games | 63-47 | +0.1 | 181-150 | -26.6 | 1042-702 | -16.1 | 50-56 | 158-158 | 814-858 | | against right-handed starters | 59-43 | -0.6 | 189-138 | -8.4 | 1170-777 | -45.6 | 39-58 | 143-161 | 890-974 | | in playoff games | 1-1 | -0.3 | 8-8 | -2.2 | 84-55 | +11.3 | 1-1 | 9-6 | 56-79 | | after a loss | 40-26 | +6.9 | 126-82 | +16 | 656-433 | +11 | 28-35 | 104-94 | 524-525 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 53-40 | +1.9 | 142-117 | -7.8 | 761-578 | -10.4 | 43-48 | 125-124 | 622-671 | | when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season | 21-23 | -7.6 | 68-75 | -23.9 | 419-323 | -6.5 | 26-17 | 78-58 | 361-357 | | in all games | 96-68 | +3.2 | 296-207 | +5.5 | 1643-1083 | -30.8 | 72-87 | 235-241 | 1269-1347 | | when the total is 8 to 8.5 | 18-20 | -8.4 | 69-48 | +6.1 | 244-180 | +1.4 | 15-23 | 52-63 | 214-204 |
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| Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed. |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 95-70 | +38.9 | 72-88 | 4.4 | 0.247 | 0.306 | 4.3 | 0.253 | 0.311 | | Road Games | 47-35 | +28.3 | 31-49 | 4.0 | 0.237 | 0.296 | 4.0 | 0.241 | 0.301 | | vs Right-handed Starters | 67-51 | +26.8 | 51-62 | 4.5 | 0.247 | 0.306 | 4.3 | 0.254 | 0.313 | | Past 7 Games | 4-3 | +2.4 | 2-4 | 3.0 | 0.195 | 0.230 | 3.1 | 0.230 | 0.284 | | Grass Games | 87-60 | +37.8 | 64-78 | 4.5 | 0.249 | 0.308 | 4.4 | 0.257 | 0.315 | | Night Games | 63-55 | +17.3 | 53-62 | 4.4 | 0.250 | 0.304 | 4.4 | 0.253 | 0.310 | | Division | 44-30 | +22.1 | 34-39 | 4.6 | 0.256 | 0.315 | 4.0 | 0.241 | 0.303 | | Playoff games | 2-1 | +2.3 | 1-2 | 3.3 | 0.232 | 0.255 | 3.3 | 0.269 | 0.339 |
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| All Games | 4.4 | 0.247 | 0.306 | 165 | 5659 | 1398 | 504 | 214 | 0.04 | 687 | 483 | 1341 | 59 | 1046 | 173 | 109 | 155 | 64 | | Road Games | 4.0 | 0.237 | 0.296 | 82 | 2867 | 679 | 226 | 87 | 0.03 | 317 | 239 | 705 | 19 | 510 | 89 | 58 | 74 | 21 | | Righty Starters | 4.5 | 0.247 | 0.306 | 118 | 4057 | 1004 | 369 | 162 | 0.04 | 514 | 339 | 971 | 40 | 719 | 131 | 80 | 117 | 48 |
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| All Games | 3.02 | 1.219 | 554.6 | 206 | 186 | 497 | 49 | 179 | 464 | 32-12 | 56 | 16 | 77.8% | | Road Games | 2.53 | 1.104 | 267.3 | 83 | 75 | 212 | 18 | 83 | 205 | 16-4 | 31 | 7 | 81.6% |
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| All Games | 96-68 | +3.2 | 72-87 | 5.0 | 0.265 | 0.333 | 4.1 | 0.252 | 0.306 | | Home Games | 51-30 | +3.5 | 34-46 | 5.0 | 0.265 | 0.334 | 4.0 | 0.239 | 0.296 | | vs Right-handed Starters | 59-43 | -0.6 | 39-58 | 4.7 | 0.263 | 0.327 | 4.0 | 0.252 | 0.306 | | Past 7 Games | 5-2 | +1.9 | 4-3 | 6.9 | 0.331 | 0.403 | 3.0 | 0.221 | 0.277 | | Grass Games | 90-56 | +11.3 | 64-78 | 5.0 | 0.267 | 0.335 | 4.0 | 0.250 | 0.302 | | Night Games | 63-47 | +0.1 | 50-56 | 4.8 | 0.264 | 0.330 | 4.1 | 0.255 | 0.305 | | Division | 42-32 | -3 | 34-39 | 5.2 | 0.259 | 0.334 | 4.3 | 0.257 | 0.310 | | Playoff games | 1-1 | -0.3 | 1-1 | 4.5 | 0.271 | 0.354 | 2.5 | 0.227 | 0.250 |
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| All Games | 5.0 | 0.265 | 0.333 | 164 | 5594 | 1480 | 543 | 246 | 0.04 | 783 | 574 | 1192 | 94 | 1153 | 169 | 76 | 137 | 90 | | Home Games | 5.0 | 0.265 | 0.334 | 81 | 2668 | 708 | 263 | 138 | 0.05 | 394 | 277 | 572 | 47 | 529 | 81 | 39 | 68 | 36 | | Righty Starters | 4.7 | 0.263 | 0.327 | 102 | 3458 | 911 | 334 | 153 | 0.04 | 463 | 327 | 721 | 57 | 695 | 107 | 41 | 75 | 53 |
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| All Games | 3.42 | 1.262 | 445.4 | 179 | 169 | 404 | 47 | 158 | 442 | 24-17 | 51 | 13 | 79.7% | | Home Games | 3.69 | 1.268 | 224.7 | 99 | 92 | 207 | 21 | 78 | 213 | 10-7 | 26 | 7 | 78.8% |
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| MIGUEL GONZALEZ recent results and season statistics |
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| All Starts | 3.36 | 1.196 | 9-4 | 15 | 93.7 | 6.2 | 35 | 35 | 82 | 13 | 30 | 65 | 11-4 | +10.9 | 4-11 | | Road Starts | 2.78 | 1.046 | 6-2 | 9 | 58.3 | 6.5 | 18 | 18 | 46 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 7-2 | +8.8 | 2-7 | | Last 3 Starts | 1.83 | 0.916 | 3-0 | 3 | 19.7 | 6.6 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 3-0 | +3.3 | 1-2 |
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| HIROKI KURODA recent results and season statistics |
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| All Starts | 3.32 | 1.165 | 16-11 | 33 | 219.7 | 6.7 | 86 | 81 | 205 | 25 | 51 | 167 | 19-14 | -1.3 | 11-22 | | Home Starts | 2.72 | 1.005 | 11-6 | 19 | 132.3 | 7.0 | 41 | 40 | 105 | 12 | 28 | 101 | 12-7 | +0.4 | 7-12 | | Last 3 Starts | 4.00 | 1.722 | 2-1 | 3 | 18 | 6.0 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 2-1 | +0.5 | 3-0 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| NY YANKEES is 36-20 (+0.5 Units) against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons | | 29 of 53 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.4 Units) |
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| BALTIMORE is 10-10 (+4.3 Units) against NY YANKEES this season | | 10 of 20 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.7 Units, Under=-1.3 Units) |
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| BALTIMORE is 10-17 (+0.7 Units) against NY YANKEES over the last 3 seasons | | 15 of 25 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.3 Units) |
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| BALTIMORE is 6-3 (+6.4 Units) against NY YANKEES this season | | 6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.5 Units) |
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| 10/8/2012 | NY YANKEES | 2 | -130 | | Under | 9 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | PETTITTE(L) | L | 7 | 3 | 7 | 1 | | | BALTIMORE | 3 | +120 | 8 un | Win | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | CHEN(L) | W | 6.3 | 1 | 8 | 1 | | 10/7/2012 | NY YANKEES | 7 | -160 | | | 10 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | SABATHIA(L) | W | 8.7 | 2 | 8 | 1 | | | BALTIMORE | 2 | +150 | 7.5 un | Over | 8 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | HAMMEL(R) | | 5.7 | 2 | 4 | 4 | | 9/9/2012 | NY YANKEES | 13 | +100 | | | 15 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 | GARCIA(R) | | 3.3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | | | BALTIMORE | 3 | -110 | 9 ev | Over | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | BRITTON(L) | L | 3.3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | | 9/8/2012 | NY YANKEES | 4 | -155 | | Over | 10 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | SABATHIA(L) | L | 6.3 | 5 | 8 | 0 | | | BALTIMORE | 5 | +145 | 8.5 ev | Win | 8 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | SAUNDERS(L) | W | 5.3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | | 9/7/2012 | NY YANKEES | 8 | -105 | | | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | HUGHES(R) | W | 6 | 2 | 6 | 0 | | | BALTIMORE | 5 | -105 | 9 un | Over | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | CHEN(L) | L | 4.7 | 7 | 6 | 1 | | 9/6/2012 | NY YANKEES | 6 | -110 | | Over | 10 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | PHELPS(R) | | 4 | 5 | 6 | 2 | | | BALTIMORE | 10 | +100 | 9 ov | Win | 11 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | HAMMEL(R) | | 5 | 1 | 6 | 2 | | 9/2/2012 | BALTIMORE | 8 | +140 | | | 12 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 | TILLMAN(R) | | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | | | NY YANKEES | 3 | -150 | 9 un | Over | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | HUGHES(R) | L | 5 | 5 | 8 | 1 | | 9/1/2012 | BALTIMORE | 3 | +125 | | Under | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | CHEN(L) | L | 6.7 | 3 | 4 | 2 | | | NY YANKEES | 4 | -135 | 9 ev | Win | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | PHELPS(R) | | 4.7 | 3 | 3 | 6 | | 8/31/2012 | BALTIMORE | 6 | +175 | | | 12 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | GONZALEZ(R) | W | 7 | 0 | 4 | 1 | | | NY YANKEES | 1 | -185 | 9 un | Under | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | KURODA(R) | L | 8.3 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
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| GONZALEZ is 2-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 2.63 and a WHIP of 0.805. | | His team's record is 2-0 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units) |
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| 8/31/2012 | at NY YANKEES | 6-1 | +175 | 9 | Win,Under | W | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | KURODA(R) | | 7/30/2012 | at NY YANKEES | 5-4 | +155 | 9.5 | Win,Under | W | 6.7 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 8 | GARCIA(R) |
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| KURODA is 1-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 2.94 and a WHIP of 0.848. | | His team's record is 1-1 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units) |
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| 8/31/2012 | BALTIMORE | 1-6 | -185 | 9 | Loss,Under | L | 8.3 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | GONZALEZ(R) | | 4/30/2012 | BALTIMORE | 2-1 | -160 | 9 | Win,Under | W | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | HAMMEL(R) |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1014, 1.3 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 52.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (225-202, +18.5 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NY YANKEES games 52.9% of the time since 1997. (1152-1027, -64.1 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NY YANKEES games 54.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (237-195, +0.5 units) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 49.6% of the time since 1997. (769-781, -118.4 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 52.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (129-117, -0.1 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in NY YANKEES games 51.7% of the time since 1997. (898-838, -57.3 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in NY YANKEES games 49.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (128-132, -18.1 units) | |
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| [2B] 07/30/2012 - Brian Roberts 60-day DL (7/2), out for season ( Hip ) | | [LF] 05/04/2012 - Nolan Reimold 60-day DL (5/1), out for season ( Neck ) | | [P] 04/06/2012 - Tsuyoshi Wada 60-day DL (3/28), out for season ( Elbow ) | | [DH] 06/28/2012 - Nick Johnson 60-day DL (6/28), out for season ( Wrist ) | | [P] 05/29/2012 - Stuart Pomeranz 60-day DL (5/26) ( Oblique ) | | [RF] 10/02/2012 - Nick Markakis 15-day DL (9/10), out another 3 weeks ( Thumb ) | | [DH] 09/15/2012 - Wilson Betemit out indefinitely ( Wrist ) | | [P] 09/26/2012 - Randy Wolf out for season ( Elbow ) | |
| [P] 05/03/2012 - Mariano Rivera 60-day DL (5/2), out for season ( Knee ) | | [P] 03/28/2012 - Pedro Feliciano 60-day DL (2/22) ( Shoulder ) | | [P] 04/28/2012 - Michael Pineda 60-day DL (3/31), out for season ( Shoulder ) | | [C] 05/13/2012 - Austin Romine 60-day DL (3/26) ( Back ) | | [P] 04/03/2012 - Cesar Cabral 60-day DL (3/31) ( Elbow ) | | [P] 04/05/2012 - Brad Meyers 60-day DL (3/26) ( Shoulder ) | | [P] 09/19/2012 - Dellin Betances 60-day DL (9/19) ( Shoulder ) | | [3B] 09/30/2012 - Jayson Nix expected to miss 10-14 days ( Hip ) |
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