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Matchup Reports

Wednesday at 7:35 PM
BALTIMORE (95-70) AT NY YANKEES (96-68) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
929: BALTIMORE
930: NY YANKEES
8.5
-172
95-70
96-68
72-88-5
72-87-5
4.4 / 4.3
5.0 / 4.1
(R) M GONZALEZ
(R) H KURODA
9-4
16-11
3.36
3.32
1.20
1.17
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Partly Cloudy   Temperature: 51.0 °
Humidity: 54   Wind: Southeast at 10.4 MPH (9 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
BALTIMOREGONZALEZ +140 
NY YANKEESKURODA-140 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
BALTIMORE team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
when playing on Wednesday12-12+2.133-42-1.2169-225-43.911-1333-41180-198
when playing with a day off15-5+13.233-26+14.6155-155+11.812-829-28156-140
against division opponents44-30+22.196-122+8453-628-91.434-3996-112511-509
in games played on a grass field87-60+37.8211-227+35.41037-1220-105.564-78205-2151076-1075
in night games63-55+17.3162-189+17.3822-960-62.253-62157-181832-848
against right-handed starters67-51+26.8166-182+24.5861-981-30.851-62161-170856-889
in playoff games2-1+2.32-1+2.37-6+1.51-21-24-8
after a win54-40+19.9122-112+39.1588-604+10.741-52108-118553-586
when playing against a team with a winning record55-42+28.4129-172+9.8548-825-116.940-55133-157663-642
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season27-23+13.581-87+34.8314-459-3920-2975-87361-378
in all games95-70+38.9232-260+33.21189-1417-126.772-88224-2481230-1248
when the total is 8 to 8.537-22+19.181-86+9.2210-287-52.228-3081-83252-232
as a road underdog of +150 to +17515-9+15.230-41+7.693-158-8.37-1730-39112-124
in road games47-35+28.3107-138+20.7559-743-24.331-49107-129628-608
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.513-9+7.829-40+2.391-147-23.510-1131-37112-118
in October games3-3+1.56-4+2.920-22-3.42-43-713-26

NY YANKEES team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
as a home favorite of -150 to -17515-12-4.248-28+2.6192-121-6.69-1835-36138-160
in home games51-30+3.5159-92+8.6872-490-7.334-46125-114621-687
at home when the total is 8 to 8.57-6-2.727-20-4.5101-72-12.66-725-2292-81
in October games4-1+2.712-10-0.391-64+6.83-214-764-86
when playing on Wednesday18-8+653-29+12.3279-147+46.111-1434-45181-225
when playing with a day off12-3+7.531-26-5.7204-141-9.88-630-21160-169
against division opponents42-32-3120-99-14.3652-445-31.434-39106-103518-536
in games played on a grass field90-56+11.3276-173+24.71450-930-7.864-78213-2121102-1183
in night games63-47+0.1181-150-26.61042-702-16.150-56158-158814-858
against right-handed starters59-43-0.6189-138-8.41170-777-45.639-58143-161890-974
in playoff games1-1-0.38-8-2.284-55+11.31-19-656-79
after a loss40-26+6.9126-82+16656-433+1128-35104-94524-525
when playing against a team with a winning record53-40+1.9142-117-7.8761-578-10.443-48125-124622-671
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season21-23-7.668-75-23.9419-323-6.526-1778-58361-357
in all games96-68+3.2296-207+5.51643-1083-30.872-87235-2411269-1347
when the total is 8 to 8.518-20-8.469-48+6.1244-180+1.415-2352-63214-204
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
BALTIMORE - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/26/2012GONZALEZ(R)TORONTOVILLANUEVA(R)12-2W-1658.5 evO1220742
9/28/2012TILLMAN(R)BOSTONCOOK(R)9-1W-1859 unO1252121
9/29/2012JOHNSON(R)BOSTONDOUBRONT(L)4-3W-1808.5 evU751531
9/30/2012SAUNDERS(L)BOSTONSTEWART(R)6-3W-2009 unP940930
10/1/2012CHEN(L)@ TAMPA BAYCOBB(R)3-5L1307.5 ovO651751
10/2/2012GONZALEZ(R)@ TAMPA BAYSHIELDS(R)1-0W1307.5 unU210250
10/3/2012TILLMAN(R)@ TAMPA BAYHELLICKSON(R)1-4L-1157 unU350620
10/5/2012SAUNDERS(L)@ TEXASDARVISH(R)5-1W2109 unU861981
10/7/2012HAMMEL(R)NY YANKEESSABATHIA(L)2-7L+1507.5 unO8711081
10/8/2012CHEN(L)NY YANKEESPETTITTE(L)3-2W+1208 unU7619101
10/10/2012GONZALEZ(R)@ NY YANKEESKURODA(R) 
10/11/2012 @ NY YANKEESHUGHES(R) 

NY YANKEES - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/26/2012SABATHIA(L)@ MINNESOTADEDUNO(R)8-2W-2357.5 unO1160760
9/27/2012NOVA(R)@ TORONTOMORROW(R)0-6L-1309 unU5701060
9/28/2012KURODA(R)@ TORONTOJENKINS(R)11-4W-1859 evO138012111
9/29/2012PETTITTE(L)@ TORONTOROMERO(L)2-3L-1808.5 unU9100762
9/30/2012HUGHES(R)@ TORONTOALVAREZ(R)9-6W-1609 unO15901081
10/1/2012SABATHIA(L)BOSTONBUCHHOLZ(R)10-2W-2808 unO1370430
10/2/2012PHELPS(R)BOSTONLESTER(L)4-3W-1808.5 unU16140891
10/3/2012KURODA(R)BOSTONMATSUZAKA(R)14-2W-3159 unO1580860
10/7/2012SABATHIA(L)@ BALTIMOREHAMMEL(R)7-2W-1607.5 unO1081871
10/8/2012PETTITTE(L)@ BALTIMORECHEN(L)2-3L-1308 unU9101761
10/10/2012KURODA(R)BALTIMOREGONZALEZ(R) 
10/11/2012HUGHES(R)BALTIMORE  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
BALTIMORE - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games95-70+38.972-884.40.2470.3064.30.2530.311
Road Games47-35+28.331-494.00.2370.2964.00.2410.301
vs Right-handed Starters67-51+26.851-624.50.2470.3064.30.2540.313
Past 7 Games4-3+2.42-43.00.1950.2303.10.2300.284
Grass Games87-60+37.864-784.50.2490.3084.40.2570.315
Night Games63-55+17.353-624.40.2500.3044.40.2530.310
Division44-30+22.134-394.60.2560.3154.00.2410.303
Playoff games2-1+2.31-23.30.2320.2553.30.2690.339
BALTIMORE - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.40.2470.306165565913985042140.04687483134159104617310915564
Road Games4.00.2370.296822867679226870.033172397051951089587421
Righty Starters4.50.2470.306118405710043691620.04514339971407191318011748
BALTIMORE - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.021.219554.62061864974917946432-12561677.8%
Road Games2.531.104267.38375212188320516-431781.6%

NY YANKEES - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games96-68+3.272-875.00.2650.3334.10.2520.306
Home Games51-30+3.534-465.00.2650.3344.00.2390.296
vs Right-handed Starters59-43-0.639-584.70.2630.3274.00.2520.306
Past 7 Games5-2+1.94-36.90.3310.4033.00.2210.277
Grass Games90-56+11.364-785.00.2670.3354.00.2500.302
Night Games63-47+0.150-564.80.2640.3304.10.2550.305
Division42-32-334-395.20.2590.3344.30.2570.310
Playoff games1-1-0.31-14.50.2710.3542.50.2270.250
NY YANKEES - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games5.00.2650.333164559414805432460.0478357411929411531697613790
Home Games5.00.2650.3348126687082631380.053942775724752981396836
Righty Starters4.70.2630.32710234589113341530.0446332772157695107417553
NY YANKEES - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.421.262445.41791694044715844224-17511379.7%
Home Games3.691.268224.79992207217821310-726778.8%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
MIGUEL GONZALEZ recent results and season statistics
MIGUEL GONZALEZ - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.361.1969-41593.76.235358213306511-4+10.94-11
Road Starts2.781.0466-2958.36.5181846715487-2+8.82-7
Last 3 Starts1.830.9163-0319.76.6441414113-0+3.31-2
MIGUEL GONZALEZ - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
10/2/2012at TAMPA BAY1-0+1307.5Win,UnderW6.3002027SHIELDS(R)
9/26/2012TORONTO12-2-1658.5Win,OverW7225111VILLANUEVA(R)
9/21/2012at BOSTON4-2+1008Win,UnderW6.3227013LESTER(L)

HIROKI KURODA recent results and season statistics
HIROKI KURODA - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.321.16516-1133219.76.78681205255116719-14-1.311-22
Home Starts2.721.00511-619132.37.04140105122810112-7+0.47-12
Last 3 Starts4.001.7222-13186.0982427132-1+0.53-0
HIROKI KURODA - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
10/3/2012BOSTON14-2-3159Win,OverW7227024MATSUZAKA(R)
9/28/2012at TORONTO11-4-1859Win,OverW5.32210124JENKINS(R)
9/23/2012OAKLAND4-5-1508.5Loss,OverL5.7547135GRIFFIN(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
NY YANKEES is 36-20 (+0.5 Units) against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
29 of 53 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.4 Units)
Games this season
BALTIMORE is 10-10 (+4.3 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
10 of 20 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.7 Units, Under=-1.3 Units)

All games at NY YANKEES over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 10-17 (+0.7 Units) against NY YANKEES over the last 3 seasons
15 of 25 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.3 Units)
Games played at NY YANKEES this season.
BALTIMORE is 6-3 (+6.4 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.5 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
10/8/2012NY YANKEES2-130 Under901101PETTITTE(L)L7371
 BALTIMORE3+1208 unWin70061CHEN(L)W6.3181
10/7/2012NY YANKEES7-160  101081SABATHIA(L)W8.7281
 BALTIMORE2+1507.5 unOver80071HAMMEL(R) 5.7244
9/9/2012NY YANKEES13+100  152080GARCIA(R) 3.3331
 BALTIMORE3-1109 evOver40141BRITTON(L)L3.3555
9/8/2012NY YANKEES4-155 Over101080SABATHIA(L)L6.3580
 BALTIMORE5+1458.5 evWin83150SAUNDERS(L)W5.3252
9/7/2012NY YANKEES8-105  93031HUGHES(R)W6260
 BALTIMORE5-1059 unOver83040CHEN(L)L4.7761
9/6/2012NY YANKEES6-110 Over100180PHELPS(R) 4562
 BALTIMORE10+1009 ovWin116030HAMMEL(R) 5162
9/2/2012BALTIMORE8+140  122070TILLMAN(R) 3222
 NY YANKEES3-1509 unOver61050HUGHES(R)L5581
9/1/2012BALTIMORE3+125 Under41061CHEN(L)L6.7342
 NY YANKEES4-1359 evWin41052PHELPS(R) 4.7336
8/31/2012BALTIMORE6+175  123050GONZALEZ(R)W7041
 NY YANKEES1-1859 unUnder51050KURODA(R)L8.3480
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
MIGUEL GONZALEZ vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
GONZALEZ is 2-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 2.63 and a WHIP of 0.805.
His team's record is 2-0 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)
MIGUEL GONZALEZ recent starts vs. NY YANKEES
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/31/2012at NY YANKEES6-1+1759Win,UnderW7004019KURODA(R)
7/30/2012at NY YANKEES5-4+1559.5Win,UnderW6.7446308GARCIA(R)

HIROKI KURODA vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
KURODA is 1-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 2.94 and a WHIP of 0.848.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)
HIROKI KURODA recent starts vs. BALTIMORE
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/31/2012BALTIMORE1-6-1859Loss,UnderL8.3448204GONZALEZ(R)
4/30/2012BALTIMORE2-1-1609Win,UnderW7114013HAMMEL(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring BALTIMORE in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1014, 1.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 52.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (225-202, +18.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NY YANKEES games 52.9% of the time since 1997. (1152-1027, -64.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NY YANKEES games 54.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (237-195, +0.5 units)
Edge=NY YANKEES
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 49.6% of the time since 1997. (769-781, -118.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 52.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (129-117, -0.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NY YANKEES games 51.7% of the time since 1997. (898-838, -57.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NY YANKEES games 49.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (128-132, -18.1 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
BALTIMORE
[2B] 07/30/2012 - Brian Roberts 60-day DL (7/2), out for season ( Hip )
[LF] 05/04/2012 - Nolan Reimold 60-day DL (5/1), out for season ( Neck )
[P] 04/06/2012 - Tsuyoshi Wada 60-day DL (3/28), out for season ( Elbow )
[DH] 06/28/2012 - Nick Johnson 60-day DL (6/28), out for season ( Wrist )
[P] 05/29/2012 - Stuart Pomeranz 60-day DL (5/26) ( Oblique )
[RF] 10/02/2012 - Nick Markakis 15-day DL (9/10), out another 3 weeks ( Thumb )
[DH] 09/15/2012 - Wilson Betemit out indefinitely ( Wrist )
[P] 09/26/2012 - Randy Wolf out for season ( Elbow )
NY YANKEES
[P] 05/03/2012 - Mariano Rivera 60-day DL (5/2), out for season ( Knee )
[P] 03/28/2012 - Pedro Feliciano 60-day DL (2/22) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/28/2012 - Michael Pineda 60-day DL (3/31), out for season ( Shoulder )
[C] 05/13/2012 - Austin Romine 60-day DL (3/26) ( Back )
[P] 04/03/2012 - Cesar Cabral 60-day DL (3/31) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/05/2012 - Brad Meyers 60-day DL (3/26) ( Shoulder )
[P] 09/19/2012 - Dellin Betances 60-day DL (9/19) ( Shoulder )
[3B] 09/30/2012 - Jayson Nix expected to miss 10-14 days ( Hip )
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