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Matchup Reports

Friday at 7:05 PM
BALTIMORE (5-4) AT NY YANKEES (4-4) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
967: BALTIMORE
968: NY YANKEES
8.0
-145
5-4
4-4
6-3-0
6-1-1
5.4 / 4.4
6.1 / 5.0
(R) M GONZALEZ
(L) C SABATHIA
1-0
1-1
2.84
3.00
1.11
1.58
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Partly Cloudy   Temperature: 51.0 °
Humidity: 54   Wind: Southeast at 10.4 MPH (9 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
BALTIMOREGONZALEZ +102
NY YANKEESSABATHIA-102 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
BALTIMORE team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games5-4+0.8171-170+34.11195-1423-126.46-3166-1621236-1254
when the total is 8 to 8.51-1-0.467-56+19.5212-289-52.12-062-58254-234
as a road underdog of +125 to +1502-2+0.828-35+3.7151-179+28.43-131-30161-151
in road games4-2+383-90+24.7564-747-21.94-282-84632-613
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.51-0+124-24+7.293-148-221-024-23113-120
in April games5-4+0.831-26+8.7200-196+16.86-327-29196-189
when playing on Friday1-0+126-27+6.1199-215+7.81-023-28178-210
against division opponents4-2+377-78+21.7458-632-88.94-273-75515-514
in games played on a grass field3-3-0.8152-150+27.51041-1225-106.83-3149-1421079-1081
in night games2-2+0.1115-124+15.4825-963-61.63-1116-115835-851
against left-handed starters1-1-0.349-48+10.4329-438-97.21-146-49375-361
after a win2-2-0.291-81+24.3590-608+8.43-183-85556-589

NY YANKEES team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games4-4+0.6201-145+6.41649-1092-34.56-1154-1721277-1353
when the total is 8 to 8.53-3044-45-14.9248-185-0.55-139-48219-208
as a home favorite of -150 to -1750-0038-19+7.2193-122-7.20-021-32138-162
in home games1-2-1.3107-66+4.3875-495-10.92-180-86624-692
at home when the total is 8 to 8.51-1-0.118-18-10103-75-14.61-119-1793-85
in April games4-4+0.631-22+3.5226-164-20.46-128-22194-182
when playing on Friday0-1-128-22-1.7235-187-40.91-022-24203-202
against division opponents1-2-1.384-68-6655-448-32.42-168-79520-540
in games played on a grass field4-4+0.6188-122+20.11456-939-11.56-1140-1521110-1189
in night games2-1+0.8121-106-21.21045-706-18.22-1103-113817-862
against right-handed starters4-3+1.7129-102-91176-784-46.75-196-118897-979
after a win2-1+1.1115-85-4.7986-649-41.53-085-104744-821
after 3 or more consecutive wins0-0033-29-7360-228-8.40-024-36268-291
when playing against a team with a winning record1-0+1.8101-77+4.9764-583-130-080-91624-676
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
BALTIMORE - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/2/2013HAMMEL(R)@ TAMPA BAYPRICE(L)7-4W1507 unO1381620
4/3/2013CHEN(L)@ TAMPA BAYHELLICKSON(R)7-8L1257 ovO11501430
4/4/2013GONZALEZ(R)@ TAMPA BAYHERNANDEZ(R)6-3W1008 evO970740
4/5/2013ARRIETA(R)MINNESOTAHENDRIKS(R)9-5W-1509 unO141001071
4/6/2013TILLMAN(R)MINNESOTAWORLEY(R)5-6L-1408.5 ovO1172981
4/7/2013HAMMEL(R)MINNESOTAHERNANDEZ(L)3-4L-1809 evU761451
4/8/2013CHEN(L)@ BOSTONBUCHHOLZ(R)1-3L1359 ovU570520
4/10/2013ARRIETA(R)@ BOSTONDEMPSTER(R)8-5W1309 unO640532
4/11/2013TILLMAN(R)@ BOSTONACEVES(R)3-2W1159 unU9100880
4/12/2013GONZALEZ(R)@ NY YANKEESSABATHIA(L) 
4/13/2013HAMMEL(R)@ NY YANKEESKURODA(R) 
4/14/2013 @ NY YANKEES  
4/16/2013 TAMPA BAY  
4/17/2013 TAMPA BAY  
4/18/2013 TAMPA BAY  
4/19/2013 LA DODGERS  

NY YANKEES - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/1/2013SABATHIA(L)BOSTONLESTER(L)2-8L-1108 unO68013130
4/3/2013KURODA(R)BOSTONBUCHHOLZ(R)4-7L-1207.5 unO97014100
4/4/2013PETTITTE(L)BOSTONDEMPSTER(R)4-2W-1208 unU850950
4/5/2013NOVA(R)@ DETROITFISTER(R)3-8L1708 ovO660950
4/6/2013HUGHES(R)@ DETROITSCHERZER(R)4-8L1758 unO66217110
4/7/2013SABATHIA(L)@ DETROITVERLANDER(R)7-0W1827 ovP13808110
4/8/2013KURODA(R)@ CLEVELANDJIMENEZ(R)11-6W1108.5 unO13509101
4/9/2013PETTITTE(L)@ CLEVELANDCARRASCO(R)14-1W-1208 unO1870782
4/12/2013SABATHIA(L)BALTIMOREGONZALEZ(R) 
4/13/2013KURODA(R)BALTIMOREHAMMEL(R) 
4/14/2013 BALTIMORE  
4/16/2013 ARIZONA  
4/17/2013 ARIZONA  
4/18/2013 ARIZONA  
4/19/2013 @ TORONTO  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
BALTIMORE - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games5-4+0.86-35.40.2700.3414.40.2400.297
Road Games4-2+34-25.30.2540.3304.20.2410.286
vs Left-handed Starters1-1-0.31-15.00.2860.3594.00.1750.242
Past 7 Games4-3+0.24-35.00.2530.3314.00.2200.292
Grass Games3-3-0.83-34.80.2540.3354.20.2180.290
Night Games2-2+0.13-15.70.2620.3335.20.2710.326
Division4-2+34-25.30.2540.3304.20.2410.286
BALTIMORE - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games5.40.2700.34193158530120.0446346566474101
Road Games5.30.2540.33062095323100.053024495414181
Lefty Starters5.00.2860.35927020830.04108140143221
BALTIMORE - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.790.828291192143293-24180%
Road Games4.670.98017.31091641142-14180%

NY YANKEES - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games4-4+0.66-16.10.2810.3425.00.3060.381
Home Games1-2-1.32-13.30.2370.3085.70.3240.395
vs Right-handed Starters4-3+1.75-16.70.2940.3524.60.3030.371
Past 7 Games4-3+1.75-16.70.2940.3524.60.3030.371
Grass Games4-4+0.66-16.10.2810.3425.00.3060.381
Night Games2-1+0.82-17.30.3210.3683.30.2880.339
Division1-2-1.32-13.30.2370.3085.70.3240.395
NY YANKEES - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games6.10.2810.34282817932150.0546265835282102
Home Games3.30.2370.30839723740.041010241202051
Righty Starters6.70.2940.35272487331150.0644224834472102
NY YANKEES - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games6.511.98827.7212039416270-010100%
Home Games7.101.81512.710101607100-010100%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
MIGUEL GONZALEZ recent results and season statistics
MIGUEL GONZALEZ - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.841.1061-016.36.32250241-0+11-0
Road Starts2.841.1061-016.36.32250241-0+11-0
Last 3 Starts2.841.1061-016.36.32250241-0+11-0
MIGUEL GONZALEZ - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/4/2013at TAMPA BAY6-3+1008Win,OverW6.3225024HERNANDEZ(R)
10/10/2012at NY YANKEES2-3+1608.5Loss,Under 7115008KURODA(R)
10/2/2012at TAMPA BAY1-0+1307.5Win,UnderW6.3002027SHIELDS(R)

C.C. SABATHIA recent results and season statistics
C.C. SABATHIA - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.001.5831-12126.044120791-1+0.71-0
Home Starts7.202.4000-1155.04480450-1-1.11-0
Last 3 Starts3.001.5831-12126.044120791-1+0.71-0
C.C. SABATHIA - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/7/2013at DETROIT7-0+1827WinW7004034VERLANDER(R)
4/1/2013BOSTON2-8-1108Loss,OverL5448045LESTER(L)
10/18/2012at DETROIT1-8-1107Loss,OverL3.76511223SCHERZER(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
NY YANKEES is 25-16 (-0.9 Units) against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
19 of 40 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-3.3 Units, Under=-0.8 Units)
Games this season
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

All games at NY YANKEES over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 9-12 (+2.3 Units) against NY YANKEES over the last 3 seasons
12 of 20 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.7 Units)
Games played at NY YANKEES this season.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Pitcher Versus Team Past History
MIGUEL GONZALEZ vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
GONZALEZ is 2-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 2.18 and a WHIP of 0.774.
His team's record is 2-1 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.3 units)
MIGUEL GONZALEZ recent starts vs. NY YANKEES
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
10/10/2012at NY YANKEES2-3+1608.5Loss,Under 7115008KURODA(R)
8/31/2012at NY YANKEES6-1+1759Win,UnderW7004019KURODA(R)
7/30/2012at NY YANKEES5-4+1559.5Win,UnderW6.7446308GARCIA(R)

C.C. SABATHIA vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
SABATHIA is 18-4 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 2.97 and a WHIP of 1.110.
His team's record is 21-6 (+10.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 15-10. (+4.4 units)
C.C. SABATHIA recent starts vs. BALTIMORE
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
10/12/2012BALTIMORE3-1-2057.5Win,UnderW9114029HAMMEL(R)
10/7/2012at BALTIMORE7-2-1607.5Win,OverW8.7228017HAMMEL(R)
9/8/2012at BALTIMORE4-5-1558.5Loss,OverL6.3558305SAUNDERS(L)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring NY YANKEES in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1020, -2.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 51.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (149-141, -0.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NY YANKEES games 52.7% of the time since 1997. (1156-1036, -71.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NY YANKEES games 56.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (169-131, +11.9 units)
Edge=BALTIMORE
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 49.5% of the time since 1997. (770-787, -124.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 50.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (90-87, -7.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NY YANKEES games 51.6% of the time since 1997. (901-846, -63.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NY YANKEES games 47% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (85-96, -22.0 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
BALTIMORE
[P] 03/31/2013 - Steve Johnson 15-day DL (3/31) ( Abdominal )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Tsuyoshi Wada 60-day DL (3/22) ( Elbow )
[3B] 04/02/2013 - Wilson Betemit 15-day DL (3/26) ( Knee )
[2B] 04/05/2013 - Brian Roberts 15-day DL (4/5) ( Hamstring )
NY YANKEES
[3B] 03/31/2013 - Alex Rodriguez 60-day DL (2/13) ( Hip )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Cesar Cabral 60-day DL (3/26) ( Elbow )
[CF] 04/01/2013 - Curtis Granderson 15-day DL (3/22) expected to miss 2-3 months ( Forearm )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Michael Pineda 60-day DL (3/15) ( Shoulder )
[1B] 04/01/2013 - Mark Teixeira 15-day DL (3/22) expected to miss 6-8 weeks ( Wrist )
[SS] 04/01/2013 - Derek Jeter 15-day DL (3/22) ( Ankle )
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