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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| BALTIMORE | GONZALEZ | +141 | | | TAMPA BAY | SHIELDS | -141 | |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 92-68 | +36.4 | 229-258 | +30.7 | 1186-1415 | -129.1 | 71-84 | 223-244 | 1229-1244 | | as a road underdog of +100 to +125 | 14-8 | +7.5 | 24-22 | +5.3 | 128-177 | -31.7 | 8-13 | 19-25 | 150-138 | | as a road underdog of +125 to +150 | 14-18 | +1.6 | 33-47 | -1.8 | 147-177 | +24.8 | 13-18 | 36-41 | 158-148 | | in road games | 45-34 | +26 | 105-137 | +18.4 | 557-742 | -26.6 | 31-46 | 107-126 | 628-605 | | in October games | 0-1 | -1 | 3-2 | +0.4 | 17-20 | -5.9 | 1-0 | 2-3 | 12-22 | | when playing on Tuesday | 16-8 | +10.8 | 39-32 | +18.5 | 186-195 | +14.6 | 10-13 | 31-37 | 200-162 | | against division opponents | 42-28 | +21.8 | 94-120 | +7.6 | 451-626 | -91.7 | 33-36 | 95-109 | 510-506 | | in games played in a dome | 3-4 | +0.8 | 13-12 | +8.5 | 95-95 | +10.7 | 2-5 | 5-19 | 83-98 | | in night games | 60-53 | +14.8 | 159-187 | +14.8 | 819-958 | -64.6 | 52-58 | 156-177 | 831-844 | | in games played on artificial turf | 7-9 | +0.9 | 20-32 | -2.4 | 151-196 | -21.3 | 8-8 | 19-31 | 154-171 | | against right-handed starters | 65-50 | +24.6 | 164-181 | +22.2 | 859-980 | -33 | 51-59 | 161-167 | 856-886 | | after a loss | 37-30 | +13.4 | 105-147 | -12.2 | 594-810 | -144.3 | 31-32 | 116-124 | 675-654 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 52-40 | +25.9 | 126-170 | +7.4 | 545-823 | -119.3 | 39-51 | 132-153 | 662-638 | | when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season | 24-21 | +11.1 | 78-85 | +32.4 | 311-457 | -41.5 | 19-25 | 74-83 | 360-374 |
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| in all games | 89-71 | +5 | 279-214 | +10.4 | 1114-1337 | -65 | 64-89 | 205-265 | 1101-1247 | | as a home favorite of -125 to -150 | 11-11 | -4.7 | 39-30 | -3 | 108-78 | +1.7 | 6-14 | 21-44 | 69-107 | | in home games | 45-34 | -4.4 | 141-105 | -16.5 | 618-604 | +7.6 | 29-47 | 85-150 | 520-653 | | in October games | 1-0 | +1 | 5-7 | -3.6 | 24-25 | -1.8 | 1-0 | 3-9 | 17-30 | | when playing on Tuesday | 12-12 | -4.1 | 40-36 | -4.5 | 156-214 | -30.6 | 10-14 | 28-44 | 167-186 | | against division opponents | 40-30 | +4.5 | 124-90 | +15.7 | 475-561 | +27.1 | 31-35 | 96-110 | 474-523 | | in games played in a dome | 45-34 | -4.4 | 141-105 | -16.5 | 636-640 | -2.3 | 29-47 | 85-150 | 543-676 | | in night games | 59-47 | +4.4 | 184-144 | +3.1 | 724-893 | -67.2 | 44-58 | 136-176 | 738-811 | | in games played on artificial turf | 51-37 | -1.6 | 157-116 | -12.3 | 701-717 | +8.7 | 33-50 | 100-159 | 607-749 | | against right-handed starters | 62-48 | +2.2 | 184-148 | -11.2 | 809-959 | -30.6 | 41-65 | 133-187 | 785-906 | | after a win | 51-36 | +7.9 | 159-117 | +10.3 | 534-576 | -9.1 | 34-49 | 116-148 | 494-565 | | after 3 or more consecutive wins | 20-11 | +5.6 | 57-38 | +8 | 126-128 | -9.6 | 9-21 | 38-52 | 111-130 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 50-44 | +1.3 | 143-125 | -0.2 | 538-734 | -45.9 | 40-49 | 122-133 | 570-650 | | when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season | 27-21 | +4.4 | 86-64 | +15.3 | 303-411 | -9.6 | 21-26 | 66-80 | 319-369 |
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| Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed. |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 92-68 | +36.4 | 71-84 | 4.4 | 0.249 | 0.309 | 4.4 | 0.254 | 0.312 | | Road Games | 45-34 | +26 | 31-46 | 4.1 | 0.240 | 0.300 | 4.1 | 0.243 | 0.303 | | vs Right-handed Starters | 65-50 | +24.6 | 51-59 | 4.6 | 0.250 | 0.309 | 4.4 | 0.255 | 0.315 | | Past 7 Games | 5-3 | +0.2 | 4-3 | 5.4 | 0.284 | 0.339 | 3.5 | 0.245 | 0.287 | | Dome Games | 3-4 | +0.8 | 2-5 | 2.0 | 0.216 | 0.277 | 3.0 | 0.182 | 0.263 | | Night Games | 60-53 | +14.8 | 52-58 | 4.4 | 0.253 | 0.308 | 4.5 | 0.255 | 0.311 | | Division | 42-28 | +21.7 | 33-36 | 4.7 | 0.260 | 0.322 | 4.0 | 0.243 | 0.304 |
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| All Games | 4.4 | 0.249 | 0.309 | 160 | 5501 | 1370 | 498 | 213 | 0.04 | 675 | 478 | 1290 | 58 | 1021 | 171 | 106 | 151 | 63 | | Road Games | 4.1 | 0.240 | 0.300 | 79 | 2775 | 666 | 223 | 86 | 0.03 | 310 | 236 | 668 | 18 | 498 | 89 | 57 | 71 | 21 | | Righty Starters | 4.6 | 0.250 | 0.309 | 115 | 3965 | 991 | 366 | 161 | 0.04 | 507 | 336 | 934 | 39 | 707 | 131 | 79 | 114 | 48 |
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| All Games | 3.02 | 1.219 | 539.6 | 200 | 181 | 485 | 47 | 173 | 449 | 32-11 | 54 | 16 | 77.1% | | Road Games | 2.58 | 1.115 | 258.3 | 82 | 74 | 207 | 17 | 81 | 198 | 16-4 | 30 | 7 | 81.1% |
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| All Games | 89-71 | +5 | 64-89 | 4.3 | 0.241 | 0.314 | 3.6 | 0.229 | 0.291 | | Home Games | 45-34 | -4.4 | 29-47 | 4.1 | 0.233 | 0.312 | 3.3 | 0.221 | 0.280 | | vs Right-handed Starters | 62-48 | +2.2 | 41-65 | 4.3 | 0.240 | 0.311 | 3.5 | 0.231 | 0.290 | | Past 7 Games | 6-1 | +5 | 3-4 | 4.9 | 0.240 | 0.324 | 2.6 | 0.201 | 0.268 | | Dome Games | 45-34 | -4.4 | 29-47 | 4.1 | 0.233 | 0.312 | 3.3 | 0.221 | 0.280 | | Night Games | 59-47 | +4.3 | 44-58 | 4.4 | 0.241 | 0.310 | 3.5 | 0.232 | 0.292 | | Division | 40-30 | +4.5 | 31-35 | 4.5 | 0.249 | 0.322 | 3.8 | 0.231 | 0.301 |
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| All Games | 4.3 | 0.241 | 0.314 | 160 | 5339 | 1285 | 451 | 171 | 0.03 | 661 | 568 | 1306 | 134 | 1050 | 157 | 114 | 155 | 101 | | Home Games | 4.1 | 0.233 | 0.312 | 79 | 2555 | 595 | 208 | 78 | 0.03 | 310 | 295 | 606 | 70 | 528 | 63 | 53 | 79 | 50 | | Righty Starters | 4.3 | 0.240 | 0.311 | 110 | 3667 | 881 | 315 | 124 | 0.03 | 451 | 377 | 853 | 87 | 713 | 107 | 71 | 117 | 63 |
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| All Games | 2.88 | 1.081 | 462.3 | 161 | 148 | 352 | 40 | 148 | 479 | 20-21 | 49 | 8 | 86% | | Home Games | 2.27 | 0.975 | 238 | 65 | 60 | 167 | 17 | 65 | 262 | 9-10 | 26 | 4 | 86.7% |
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| MIGUEL GONZALEZ recent results and season statistics |
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| All Games | 3.45 | 1.242 | 8-4 | 17 | 99 | - | 38 | 38 | 90 | 13 | 33 | 70 | - | - | - | | All Starts | 3.61 | 1.237 | 8-4 | 14 | 87.3 | 6.2 | 35 | 35 | 80 | 13 | 28 | 58 | 10-4 | +9.6 | 4-10 | | Road Starts | 3.12 | 1.096 | 5-2 | 8 | 52 | 6.5 | 18 | 18 | 44 | 7 | 13 | 41 | 6-2 | +7.4 | 2-6 | | Last 3 Starts | 2.79 | 1.293 | 2-0 | 3 | 19.3 | 6.4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 3-0 | +3.2 | 1-2 |
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| JAMES SHIELDS recent results and season statistics |
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| All Starts | 3.62 | 1.207 | 15-9 | 32 | 218.7 | 6.8 | 102 | 88 | 206 | 24 | 58 | 208 | 21-11 | +9.4 | 16-15 | | Home Starts | 3.42 | 1.212 | 8-4 | 16 | 113 | 7.1 | 51 | 43 | 110 | 9 | 27 | 113 | 11-5 | +4.6 | 9-6 | | Last 3 Starts | 2.75 | 1.221 | 1-1 | 3 | 19.7 | 6.6 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 2-1 | +1 | 1-2 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| BALTIMORE is 25-27 (+8.8 Units) against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons | | 34 of 50 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+15.6 Units) |
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| BALTIMORE is 9-7 (+4.4 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season | | 11 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+5.1 Units) |
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| BALTIMORE is 13-12 (+8.5 Units) against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons | | 19 of 24 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+13.4 Units) |
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| BALTIMORE is 3-4 (+0.9 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season | | 5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.8 Units) |
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| 10/1/2012 | BALTIMORE | 3 | +130 | | Over | 6 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | CHEN(L) | L | 6.7 | 1 | 6 | 1 | | | TAMPA BAY | 5 | -140 | 7.5 ov | Win | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | COBB(R) | W | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | | 9/13/2012 | TAMPA BAY | 2 | -120 | | Under | 12 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | HELLICKSON(R) | | 5 | 0 | 4 | 3 | | | BALTIMORE | 3 | +110 | 8.5 ev | Win | 11 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 0 | CHEN(L) | | 7.3 | 2 | 8 | 1 | | 9/12/2012 | TAMPA BAY | 2 | -125 | | Under | 9 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 1 | COBB(R) | | 4.7 | 2 | 7 | 2 | | | BALTIMORE | 3 | +115 | 8 ev | Win | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | GONZALEZ(R) | | 6 | 2 | 6 | 5 | | 9/11/2012 | TAMPA BAY | 2 | -125 | | Over | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | MOORE(L) | L | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | | | BALTIMORE | 9 | +115 | 8 ev | Win | 13 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | HAMMEL(R) | | 3.7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | | 8/5/2012 | BALTIMORE | 1 | +220 | | | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | GONZALEZ(R) | | 7 | 0 | 2 | 4 | | | TAMPA BAY | 0 | -240 | 7 ev | Under | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | PRICE(L) | | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3 | | 8/4/2012 | BALTIMORE | 4 | +125 | | | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | CHEN(L) | W | 7 | 0 | 5 | 1 | | | TAMPA BAY | 0 | -135 | 7 ev | Under | 6 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | HELLICKSON(R) | L | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | | 8/3/2012 | BALTIMORE | 0 | +160 | | Under | 8 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | HUNTER(R) | L | 5.7 | 2 | 6 | 1 | | | TAMPA BAY | 2 | -170 | 8 un | Win | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | MOORE(L) | W | 5.3 | 0 | 6 | 3 |
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| GONZALEZ is 0-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 5.17 and a WHIP of 1.659. | | His team's record is 2-1 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units) |
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| 9/12/2012 | TAMPA BAY | 3-2 | +115 | 8 | Win,Under | | 6 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 4 | COBB(R) | | 8/5/2012 | at TAMPA BAY | 1-0 | +220 | 7 | Win,Under | | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | PRICE(L) | | 7/25/2012 | TAMPA BAY | 1-10 | +125 | 8.5 | Loss,Over | L | 2.7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | PRICE(L) |
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| SHIELDS is 9-6 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.70 and a WHIP of 1.285. | | His team's record is 13-10 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 11-10. (-0.1 units) |
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| 7/26/2012 | at BALTIMORE | 2-6 | -115 | 9 | Loss,Under | L | 6 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 10 | TILLMAN(R) | | 5/13/2012 | at BALTIMORE | 9-8 | -120 | 8.5 | Win,Over | W | 6.3 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 5 | ARRIETA(R) | | 5/6/2011 | at BALTIMORE | 6-2 | +100 | 8 | Win | W | 7.3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | BRITTON(L) |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1012, 1.2 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 52.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (222-200, +18.5 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 55.6% of the time since 1997. (1083-864, +116.2 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 55.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (228-183, +8.1 units) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 49.6% of the time since 1997. (767-780, -119.3 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 52.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (127-116, -0.9 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 53.3% of the time since 1997. (775-679, +9.3 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 52.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (124-112, -0.5 units) | |
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| [2B] 07/30/2012 - Brian Roberts 60-day DL (7/2), out for season ( Hip ) | | [LF] 05/04/2012 - Nolan Reimold 60-day DL (5/1), out for season ( Neck ) | | [P] 04/06/2012 - Tsuyoshi Wada 60-day DL (3/28), out for season ( Elbow ) | | [DH] 06/28/2012 - Nick Johnson 60-day DL (6/28), out for season ( Wrist ) | | [P] 05/29/2012 - Stuart Pomeranz 60-day DL (5/26) ( Oblique ) | | [RF] 10/02/2012 - Nick Markakis 15-day DL (9/10), out another 3 weeks ( Thumb ) | | [P] 09/14/2012 - Jason Hammel out indefinitely ( Knee ) | | [DH] 09/15/2012 - Wilson Betemit out for season ( Wrist ) | | [P] 09/26/2012 - Randy Wolf out for season ( Elbow ) | |
| [P] 09/03/2012 - Jeff Niemann out indefinitely ( Rotator Cuff ) | | [RF] 05/16/2012 - Brandon Guyer 60-day DL (5/13), out for season ( Shoulder ) | | [C] 04/05/2012 - Robinson Chirinos 60-day DL (3/26) ( Concussion ) |
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