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Matchup Reports

Tuesday at 7:10 PM
BALTIMORE (92-68) AT TAMPA BAY (89-71) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
923: BALTIMORE
924: TAMPA BAY
7.5
-141
92-68
89-71
71-84-5
64-89-7
4.4 / 4.4
4.3 / 3.6
(R) M GONZALEZ
(R) J SHIELDS
8-4
15-9
3.61
3.62
1.24
1.21
Current Weather Conditions 
Dome Stadium 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
BALTIMOREGONZALEZ +141 
TAMPA BAYSHIELDS-141 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
BALTIMORE team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games92-68+36.4229-258+30.71186-1415-129.171-84223-2441229-1244
as a road underdog of +100 to +12514-8+7.524-22+5.3128-177-31.78-1319-25150-138
as a road underdog of +125 to +15014-18+1.633-47-1.8147-177+24.813-1836-41158-148
in road games45-34+26105-137+18.4557-742-26.631-46107-126628-605
in October games0-1-13-2+0.417-20-5.91-02-312-22
when playing on Tuesday16-8+10.839-32+18.5186-195+14.610-1331-37200-162
against division opponents42-28+21.894-120+7.6451-626-91.733-3695-109510-506
in games played in a dome3-4+0.813-12+8.595-95+10.72-55-1983-98
in night games60-53+14.8159-187+14.8819-958-64.652-58156-177831-844
in games played on artificial turf7-9+0.920-32-2.4151-196-21.38-819-31154-171
against right-handed starters65-50+24.6164-181+22.2859-980-3351-59161-167856-886
after a loss37-30+13.4105-147-12.2594-810-144.331-32116-124675-654
when playing against a team with a winning record52-40+25.9126-170+7.4545-823-119.339-51132-153662-638
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season24-21+11.178-85+32.4311-457-41.519-2574-83360-374

TAMPA BAY team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games89-71+5279-214+10.41114-1337-6564-89205-2651101-1247
as a home favorite of -125 to -15011-11-4.739-30-3108-78+1.76-1421-4469-107
in home games45-34-4.4141-105-16.5618-604+7.629-4785-150520-653
in October games1-0+15-7-3.624-25-1.81-03-917-30
when playing on Tuesday12-12-4.140-36-4.5156-214-30.610-1428-44167-186
against division opponents40-30+4.5124-90+15.7475-561+27.131-3596-110474-523
in games played in a dome45-34-4.4141-105-16.5636-640-2.329-4785-150543-676
in night games59-47+4.4184-144+3.1724-893-67.244-58136-176738-811
in games played on artificial turf51-37-1.6157-116-12.3701-717+8.733-50100-159607-749
against right-handed starters62-48+2.2184-148-11.2809-959-30.641-65133-187785-906
after a win51-36+7.9159-117+10.3534-576-9.134-49116-148494-565
after 3 or more consecutive wins20-11+5.657-38+8126-128-9.69-2138-52111-130
when playing against a team with a winning record50-44+1.3143-125-0.2538-734-45.940-49122-133570-650
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season27-21+4.486-64+15.3303-411-9.621-2666-80319-369
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
BALTIMORE - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/18/2012CHEN(L)@ SEATTLERAMIREZ(L)4-2W-1357 ovU1012012160
9/19/2012SAUNDERS(L)@ SEATTLEHERNANDEZ(R)3-1W1456.5 evU860881
9/21/2012GONZALEZ(R)@ BOSTONLESTER(L)4-2W1008 ovU1070870
9/22/2012WOLF(L)@ BOSTONCOOK(R)9-6W-1159.5 evO1510113101
9/23/2012TILLMAN(R)@ BOSTONDOUBRONT(L)1-2L-1309 unU681980
9/24/2012JOHNSON(R)TORONTOALVAREZ(R)4-1W-1858.5 ovU1050880
9/24/2012CHEN(L)TORONTOROMERO(L)5-9L-2009 unO121001372
9/25/2012SAUNDERS(L)TORONTOLAFFEY(L)0-4L-1759 evU6911371
9/26/2012GONZALEZ(R)TORONTOVILLANUEVA(R)12-2W-1658.5 evO1220742
9/28/2012TILLMAN(R)BOSTONCOOK(R)9-1W-1859 unO1252121
9/29/2012JOHNSON(R)BOSTONDOUBRONT(L)4-3W-1808.5 evU751531
9/30/2012SAUNDERS(L)BOSTONSTEWART(R)6-3W-2009 unP940930
10/1/2012CHEN(L)@ TAMPA BAYCOBB(R)3-5L1307.5 ovO651751
10/2/2012GONZALEZ(R)@ TAMPA BAYSHIELDS(R) 
10/3/2012 @ TAMPA BAY  

TAMPA BAY - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/18/2012HELLICKSON(R)BOSTONDOUBRONT(L)5-7L-1657.5 unO363980
9/19/2012ARCHER(R)BOSTONMATSUZAKA(R)13-3W-1858.5 unO15100542
9/20/2012PRICE(L)BOSTONBUCHHOLZ(R)7-4W-2157 unO10611071
9/21/2012SHIELDS(R)TORONTOVILLANUEVA(R)12-1W-2057 evO1680980
9/22/2012MOORE(L)TORONTOMORROW(R)11-5W-1807 ovO151001080
9/23/2012HELLICKSON(R)TORONTOJENKINS(R)3-0W-2408.5 unU760790
9/25/2012PRICE(L)@ BOSTONBUCHHOLZ(R)5-2W-1608 evU1181731
9/26/2012COBB(R)@ BOSTONLESTER(L)4-2W-1309 unU850460
9/27/2012SHIELDS(R)@ CHI WHITE SOXPEAVY(R)3-2W-1158 unU5308100
9/28/2012HELLICKSON(R)@ CHI WHITE SOXFLOYD(R)1-3L-1158 evU3811070
9/29/2012MOORE(L)@ CHI WHITE SOXSALE(L)10-4W1107.5 unO13100441
9/30/2012PRICE(L)@ CHI WHITE SOXQUINTANA(L)6-2W-1657.5 evO980550
10/1/2012COBB(R)BALTIMORECHEN(L)5-3W-1407.5 ovO751651
10/2/2012SHIELDS(R)BALTIMOREGONZALEZ(R) 
10/3/2012 BALTIMORE  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
BALTIMORE - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games92-68+36.471-844.40.2490.3094.40.2540.312
Road Games45-34+2631-464.10.2400.3004.10.2430.303
vs Right-handed Starters65-50+24.651-594.60.2500.3094.40.2550.315
Past 7 Games5-3+0.24-35.40.2840.3393.50.2450.287
Dome Games3-4+0.82-52.00.2160.2773.00.1820.263
Night Games60-53+14.852-584.40.2530.3084.50.2550.311
Division42-28+21.733-364.70.2600.3224.00.2430.304
BALTIMORE - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.40.2490.309160550113704982130.04675478129058102117110615163
Road Games4.10.2400.300792775666223860.033102366681849889577121
Righty Starters4.60.2500.30911539659913661610.04507336934397071317911448
BALTIMORE - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.021.219539.62001814854717344932-11541677.1%
Road Games2.581.115258.38274207178119816-430781.1%

TAMPA BAY - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games89-71+564-894.30.2410.3143.60.2290.291
Home Games45-34-4.429-474.10.2330.3123.30.2210.280
vs Right-handed Starters62-48+2.241-654.30.2400.3113.50.2310.290
Past 7 Games6-1+53-44.90.2400.3242.60.2010.268
Dome Games45-34-4.429-474.10.2330.3123.30.2210.280
Night Games59-47+4.344-584.40.2410.3103.50.2320.292
Division40-30+4.531-354.50.2490.3223.80.2310.301
TAMPA BAY - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.30.2410.314160533912854511710.0366156813061341050157114155101
Home Games4.10.2330.312792555595208780.033102956067052863537950
Righty Starters4.30.2400.31111036678813151240.03451377853877131077111763
TAMPA BAY - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.881.081462.31611483524014847920-2149886%
Home Games2.270.975238656016717652629-1026486.7%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
MIGUEL GONZALEZ recent results and season statistics
MIGUEL GONZALEZ - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Games3.451.2428-41799-383890133370---
All Starts3.611.2378-41487.36.235358013285810-4+9.64-10
Road Starts3.121.0965-28526.5181844713416-2+7.42-6
Last 3 Starts2.791.2932-0319.36.466182783-0+3.21-2
MIGUEL GONZALEZ - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/26/2012TORONTO12-2-1658.5Win,OverW7225111VILLANUEVA(R)
9/21/2012at BOSTON4-2+1008Win,UnderW6.3227013LESTER(L)
9/12/2012TAMPA BAY3-2+1158Win,Under 6226154COBB(R)

JAMES SHIELDS recent results and season statistics
JAMES SHIELDS - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.621.20715-932218.76.810288206245820821-11+9.416-15
Home Starts3.421.2128-4161137.1514311092711311-5+4.69-6
Last 3 Starts2.751.2211-1319.76.6661826192-1+11-2
JAMES SHIELDS - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/27/2012at CHI WHITE SOX3-2-1158Win,Under 6.3226046PEAVY(R)
9/21/2012TORONTO12-1-2057Win,OverW7006019VILLANUEVA(R)
9/15/2012at NY YANKEES3-5-1059Loss,UnderL6.3446214NOVA(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 25-27 (+8.8 Units) against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
34 of 50 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+15.6 Units)
Games this season
BALTIMORE is 9-7 (+4.4 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
11 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+5.1 Units)

All games at TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 13-12 (+8.5 Units) against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
19 of 24 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+13.4 Units)
Games played at TAMPA BAY this season.
BALTIMORE is 3-4 (+0.9 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.8 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
10/1/2012BALTIMORE3+130 Over62151CHEN(L)L6.7161
 TAMPA BAY5-1407.5 ovWin71051COBB(R)W7122
9/13/2012TAMPA BAY2-120 Under1201102HELLICKSON(R) 5043
 BALTIMORE3+1108.5 evWin1101160CHEN(L) 7.3281
9/12/2012TAMPA BAY2-125 Under912111COBB(R) 4.7272
 BALTIMORE3+1158 evWin100190GONZALEZ(R) 6265
9/11/2012TAMPA BAY2-125 Over52061MOORE(L)L4243
 BALTIMORE9+1158 evWin133260HAMMEL(R) 3.7111
8/5/2012BALTIMORE1+220  30060GONZALEZ(R) 7024
 TAMPA BAY0-2407 evUnder30170PRICE(L) 8023
8/4/2012BALTIMORE4+125  100280CHEN(L)W7051
 TAMPA BAY0-1357 evUnder60170HELLICKSON(R)L4484
8/3/2012BALTIMORE0+160 Under800100HUNTER(R)L5.7261
 TAMPA BAY2-1708 unWin62040MOORE(L)W5.3063
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
MIGUEL GONZALEZ vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
GONZALEZ is 0-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 5.17 and a WHIP of 1.659.
His team's record is 2-1 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)
MIGUEL GONZALEZ recent starts vs. TAMPA BAY
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/12/2012TAMPA BAY3-2+1158Win,Under 6226154COBB(R)
8/5/2012at TAMPA BAY1-0+2207Win,Under 7002044PRICE(L)
7/25/2012TAMPA BAY1-10+1258.5Loss,OverL2.7777222PRICE(L)

JAMES SHIELDS vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
SHIELDS is 9-6 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.70 and a WHIP of 1.285.
His team's record is 13-10 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 11-10. (-0.1 units)
JAMES SHIELDS recent starts vs. BALTIMORE
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/26/2012at BALTIMORE2-6-1159Loss,UnderL65560510TILLMAN(R)
5/13/2012at BALTIMORE9-8-1208.5Win,OverW6.3647125ARRIETA(R)
5/6/2011at BALTIMORE6-2+1008WinW7.3113135BRITTON(L)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring BALTIMORE in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1012, 1.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 52.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (222-200, +18.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 55.6% of the time since 1997. (1083-864, +116.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 55.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (228-183, +8.1 units)
Edge=TAMPA BAY
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 49.6% of the time since 1997. (767-780, -119.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 52.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (127-116, -0.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 53.3% of the time since 1997. (775-679, +9.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 52.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (124-112, -0.5 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
BALTIMORE
[2B] 07/30/2012 - Brian Roberts 60-day DL (7/2), out for season ( Hip )
[LF] 05/04/2012 - Nolan Reimold 60-day DL (5/1), out for season ( Neck )
[P] 04/06/2012 - Tsuyoshi Wada 60-day DL (3/28), out for season ( Elbow )
[DH] 06/28/2012 - Nick Johnson 60-day DL (6/28), out for season ( Wrist )
[P] 05/29/2012 - Stuart Pomeranz 60-day DL (5/26) ( Oblique )
[RF] 10/02/2012 - Nick Markakis 15-day DL (9/10), out another 3 weeks ( Thumb )
[P] 09/14/2012 - Jason Hammel out indefinitely ( Knee )
[DH] 09/15/2012 - Wilson Betemit out for season ( Wrist )
[P] 09/26/2012 - Randy Wolf out for season ( Elbow )
TAMPA BAY
[P] 09/03/2012 - Jeff Niemann out indefinitely ( Rotator Cuff )
[RF] 05/16/2012 - Brandon Guyer 60-day DL (5/13), out for season ( Shoulder )
[C] 04/05/2012 - Robinson Chirinos 60-day DL (3/26) ( Concussion )
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