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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 8:05 PM
BALTIMORE (54-43) AT TEXAS (54-42) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
925: BALTIMORE
926: TEXAS
9.5
-104
54-43
54-42
46-46-5
35-56-5
4.8 / 4.5
4.3 / 4.1
(R) M GONZALEZ
(R) R WOLF
7-3
1-1
3.48
2.45
1.19
0.82
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: A Few Clouds   Temperature: 65.0 °
Humidity: 34   Wind: from the North at 15.0 gusting to 26.5 MPH (13 gusting to 23
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
BALTIMOREGONZALEZ-101 
TEXASWOLF +101 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
BALTIMORE team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games54-43+10.2220-209+43.51244-1462-11746-46206-2051276-1297
when the total is 9 to 9.528-21+4.597-90+17.1599-647-26.822-2384-91565-610
as a road underdog of +100 to +1259-9+1.230-27+6.9137-186-30.59-825-29159-146
in road games25-23+5.1104-111+26.8585-768-19.825-22103-104653-633
on the road when the total is 9 to 9.510-9+1.743-36+20.3259-308+13.98-1033-41270-265
in July games7-7-0.727-41-10.2194-242-27.65-831-34204-203
when playing on Saturday7-9-1.935-34+7.5211-229+10.210-537-28207-212
in games played on a grass field49-35+12.2198-182+40.41087-1257-93.836-43182-1821112-1121
in night games37-25+11.2150-147+26.5860-986-50.525-34138-148857-884
against right-handed starters38-29+8.9156-148+31.6900-1011-21.434-31149-142890-922
after a win25-28-4.6114-107+20613-634+4.125-26105-110578-614
when playing against a team with a winning record33-20+14.1123-126+28.5582-847-103.320-30111-128683-675
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season4-4+0.156-64+15.9319-465-39.52-555-60363-386

TEXAS team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games54-42+0.5254-184+9.21388-1339-16.135-56201-2171276-1324
when the total is 9 to 9.521-15+1.196-69-5.3388-391-4.114-2178-78346-388
at home with a money line of -100 to -1257-7-1.317-17-2.5157-124+14.83-1114-20139-133
in home games27-20-4136-82+6.3764-597+22.515-30108-103652-644
at home when the total is 9 to 9.515-9+0.366-45-8.5173-121+129-1454-53134-146
in July games6-8-533-31-10.4220-212-0.66-724-38202-212
when playing on Saturday8-7-1.240-32-5.4208-230-46.86-835-35206-210
in games played on a grass field53-40+1.7243-172+11.61278-1220-7.634-54193-2031178-1202
in night games40-29+2.7186-129+10.51035-963+3.629-36145-153936-967
against right-handed starters36-29+0.4180-127+13.91010-933+29.922-38138-152914-941
after a loss24-17+2114-67+29.9673-663+8.412-2780-96617-657
when playing against a team with a winning record23-15+7115-92+8.8632-715-8.814-2296-102611-676
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season4-5-0.853-51-6.6348-401+5.22-647-50342-372
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
BALTIMORE - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
7/6/2013TILLMAN(R)@ NY YANKEESPETTITTE(L)4-5L1109 ovP11501081
7/7/2013HAMMEL(R)@ NY YANKEESKURODA(R)2-1W1109 unU660670
7/8/2013FELDMAN(R)TEXASHOLLAND(L)5-8L-1058.5 ovO101001241
7/9/2013BRITTON(L)TEXASPEREZ(L)4-8L-1209.5 evO6501463
7/10/2013CHEN(L)TEXASLINDBLOM(R)6-1W-1459.5 unU10100450
7/11/2013GONZALEZ(R)TEXASWOLF(R)3-1W-1459.5 unU621760
7/12/2013TILLMAN(R)TORONTOBUEHRLE(L)8-5W-1359 unO9101490
7/13/2013HAMMEL(R)TORONTOREDMOND(R)3-7L-1509.5 ovO7801250
7/14/2013FELDMAN(R)TORONTOJOHNSON(R)7-4W-1209.5 unO830960
7/19/2013CHEN(L)@ TEXASHOLLAND(L)3-1W1309 unU6509100
7/20/2013GONZALEZ(R)@ TEXASWOLF(R) 
7/21/2013TILLMAN(R)@ TEXASPEREZ(L) 
7/22/2013FELDMAN(R)@ KANSAS CITYDAVIS(R) 
7/23/2013HAMMEL(R)@ KANSAS CITYCHEN(L) 
7/24/2013CHEN(L)@ KANSAS CITYSANTANA(R) 
7/25/2013GONZALEZ(R)@ KANSAS CITYGUTHRIE(R) 
7/26/2013TILLMAN(R)BOSTONLESTER(L) 
7/27/2013 BOSTON  

TEXAS - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
7/6/2013DARVISH(R)HOUSTONKEUCHEL(L)5-9L-3209 unO10601180
7/7/2013GRIMM(R)HOUSTONBEDARD(L)5-4W-19510 unU752831
7/8/2013HOLLAND(L)@ BALTIMOREFELDMAN(R)8-5W-1058.5 ovO124110100
7/9/2013PEREZ(L)@ BALTIMOREBRITTON(L)8-4W1109.5 evO1463650
7/10/2013LINDBLOM(R)@ BALTIMORECHEN(L)1-6L1359.5 unU45010100
7/11/2013WOLF(R)@ BALTIMOREGONZALEZ(R)1-3L1359.5 unU760621
7/12/2013GRIMM(R)@ DETROITFISTER(R)2-7L1709.5 unU101001161
7/13/2013HOLLAND(L)@ DETROITSCHERZER(R)7-1W1458 unP1270681
7/14/2013PEREZ(L)@ DETROITVERLANDER(R)0-5L1558.5 ovU251760
7/19/2013HOLLAND(L)BALTIMORECHEN(L)1-3L-1409 unU9100650
7/20/2013WOLF(R)BALTIMOREGONZALEZ(R) 
7/21/2013PEREZ(L)BALTIMORETILLMAN(R) 
7/22/2013DARVISH(R)NY YANKEESHUGHES(R) 
7/23/2013OGANDO(R)NY YANKEESNOVA(R) 
7/24/2013HOLLAND(L)NY YANKEESPETTITTE(L) 
7/25/2013WOLF(R)NY YANKEESKURODA(R) 
7/26/2013PEREZ(L)@ CLEVELANDKLUBER(R) 
7/27/2013 @ CLEVELAND  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
BALTIMORE - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games54-43+10.246-464.80.2650.3134.50.2620.321
Road Games25-23+5.125-224.80.2680.3154.50.2730.329
vs Right-handed Starters38-29+8.934-314.90.2680.3164.60.2610.325
Past 7 Games5-2+2.64-34.90.2300.2813.90.2850.335
Grass Games49-35+12.236-434.70.2630.3114.20.2550.315
Night Games37-25+11.225-344.70.2540.3044.20.2560.316
BALTIMORE - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.80.2650.3139733518883321330.0444823467355608723010032
Road Games4.80.2680.315481693453175650.042201183433130841154218
Righty Starters4.90.2680.3166723056172341000.043151634534741051227021
BALTIMORE - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.641.241308.71351252833210026417-13371571.2%
Road Games4.051.314142.4716414118461226-618675%

TEXAS - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games54-42+0.535-564.30.2600.3174.10.2480.309
Home Games27-20-415-304.40.2670.3283.90.2450.309
vs Right-handed Starters36-29+0.322-384.10.2520.3044.00.2500.311
Past 7 Games2-5-2.81-52.90.2480.3074.10.2340.309
Grass Games53-40+1.734-544.30.2630.3194.10.2490.310
Night Games40-29+2.629-364.50.2690.3224.20.2500.312
TEXAS - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.30.2600.3179632878552791120.0339127462860649106528240
Home Games4.40.2670.328471558416127580.041991422843732151253924
Righty Starters4.10.2520.304652192553177770.042561644184740867345525
TEXAS - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.091.214297.31121022552510625019-1031488.6%
Home Games2.871.128150.75448112115813210-412285.7%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
MIGUEL GONZALEZ recent results and season statistics
MIGUEL GONZALEZ - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.481.1887-3161016.341398614347610-6+4.16-9
Road Starts3.141.2332-3848.76.1181739321402-6-4.43-5
Last 3 Starts2.331.2412-0319.36.4551737172-1+0.91-2
MIGUEL GONZALEZ - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/11/2013TEXAS3-1-1459.5Win,UnderW6.7114124WOLF(R)
7/5/2013at NY YANKEES2-3-1109Loss,Under 6114054NOVA(R)
6/27/2013CLEVELAND7-3-1359.5Win,OverW6.7339209KLUBER(R)

ROSS WOLF recent results and season statistics
ROSS WOLF - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Games2.141.1571-21333.7-10830299---
All Starts2.450.8181-12115.53362361-100-2
Home Starts1.801.0001-0155.01130231-0+10-1
Last 3 Starts2.450.8181-12115.53362361-100-2
ROSS WOLF - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/11/2013at BALTIMORE1-3+1359.5Loss,UnderL6223213GONZALEZ(R)
5/22/2013OAKLAND3-1-11510Win,UnderW5113023PARKER(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS is 12-7 (+2.2 Units) against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
10 of 19 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.7 Units)
Games this season
BALTIMORE is 3-2 (+1.1 Units) against TEXAS this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

All games at TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 3-5 (+0.1 Units) against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.7 Units)
Games played at TEXAS this season.
BALTIMORE is 1-0 (+1.3 Units) against TEXAS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
7/19/2013BALTIMORE3+130  61050CHEN(L)W6.3182
 TEXAS1-1409 unUnder901100HOLLAND(L)L8362
7/11/2013TEXAS1+135 Under71060WOLF(R)L6231
 BALTIMORE3-1459.5 unWin62021GONZALEZ(R)W6.7142
7/10/2013TEXAS1+135 Under40050LINDBLOM(R)L5.3694
 BALTIMORE6-1459.5 unWin1010100CHEN(L)W7133
7/9/2013TEXAS8+110  142063PEREZ(L)W6261
 BALTIMORE4-1209.5 evOver61050BRITTON(L)L5583
7/8/2013TEXAS8-105  120041HOLLAND(L)W6.73103
 BALTIMORE5-1058.5 ovOver1010100FELDMAN(R)L5.3791
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
MIGUEL GONZALEZ vs. TEXAS since 1997
GONZALEZ is 1-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.457.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)
MIGUEL GONZALEZ recent starts vs. TEXAS
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/11/2013TEXAS3-1-1459.5Win,UnderW6.7114124WOLF(R)
8/20/2012at TEXAS1-5+1609.5Loss,UnderL5448032DEMPSTER(R)

ROSS WOLF vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
WOLF is 0-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 0.667.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
ROSS WOLF recent starts vs. BALTIMORE
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/11/2013at BALTIMORE1-3+1359.5Loss,UnderL6223213GONZALEZ(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring TEXAS in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1055, 1.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 52.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (192-176, +4.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TEXAS games 50.6% of the time since 1997. (1106-1081, -59.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TEXAS games 51.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (195-181, -6.7 units)
Edge=BALTIMORE
 
The betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 49.8% of the time since 1997. (812-819, -118.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 52.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (132-119, -1.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TEXAS games 48.8% of the time since 1997. (841-883, -161.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TEXAS games 51.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (149-139, -5.9 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
BALTIMORE
[P] 06/06/2013 - Steve Johnson 15-day DL (6/6) ( Oblique )
[1B] 06/21/2013 - Steve Pearce 15-day DL (6/20) ( Wrist )
[3B] 04/02/2013 - Wilson Betemit 60-day DL (3/26) ( Knee )
[P] 07/16/2013 - Tsuyoshi Wada 60-day DL (3/22) ( Elbow )
[LF] 07/19/2013 - Nolan Reimold 15-day DL (7/14) ( Neck )
TEXAS
[P] 05/25/2013 - Matt Harrison 60-day DL (4/7) ( Back )
[P] 06/09/2013 - Alexi Ogando 15-day DL (6/6), expected to be activated & start Tuesday vs. New York Yankees ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Colby Lewis 60-day DL (3/22) ( Elbow )
[P] 06/12/2013 - Michael Kirkman 60-day DL (6/9) ( Skin Rash )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Neftali Feliz 60-day DL (3/24) ( Elbow )
[DH] 07/07/2013 - Lance Berkman 15-day DL (7/7) ( Hip )
[P] 07/07/2013 - Nick Tepesch 15-day DL (7/4) ( Elbow )
[P] 07/10/2013 - Yu Darvish 15-day DL (7/7), expected to be activated & start Monday vs. New York Yankees ( Trapezius )
[P] 07/12/2013 - Justin Grimm left last game, "?" next start ( Forearm )
[RF] 07/19/2013 - Nelson Cruz "?" Saturday vs. Baltimore Orioles ( Migraine )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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