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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 7:15 PM
BOSTON (45-31) AT DETROIT (40-32) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
921: BOSTON
922: DETROIT
9.0
-173
45-31
40-32
37-35-4
38-33-1
5.1 / 4.1
4.9 / 3.9
(R) A WEBSTER
(R) M SCHERZER
0-1
10-0
11.73
3.08
1.96
0.91
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Light Rain   Temperature: 43.0 °
Humidity: 74   Wind: Southwest at 6.9 MPH (6 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
BOSTONWEBSTER +163 
DETROITSCHERZER-163 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
BOSTON team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
after a win24-20-1109-90-5.6837-675-34.421-2198-92733-711
when playing against a team with a winning record18-16+1103-105-12.8656-641-5815-1798-99585-651
in all games45-31+7206-196-42.41517-1224-49.637-35197-1851273-1329
when the total is 9 to 9.516-19-9.277-92-43.9557-502-73.514-1886-74499-507
as a road underdog of +150 to +1750-1-14-11-4.632-64-12.50-18-748-43
in road games22-16+6.9102-98-3.3710-659-15.518-1889-102618-686
on the road when the total is 9 to 9.56-9-3.331-36-9.1266-280-41.35-932-31244-268
in June games12-8+3.543-29+6.4250-196-8.19-1033-35206-218
when playing on Saturday8-4+2.535-30-2.5235-210-29.26-636-27227-199
in games played on a grass field37-27+1.8180-174-47.61336-1047-20.529-31170-1641088-1166
in night games30-24+2.1138-143-43.41042-833-3629-22138-127878-904
against right-handed starters31-20+6.5134-137-44.11097-845+7.326-22137-121898-940

DETROIT team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
after allowing 10 runs or more3-1+2.219-11+6.4109-152-27.80-410-17109-136
after a loss19-12+4.9107-75+15.6649-787-94.220-1184-86663-703
when playing against a team with a winning record18-18-6.9115-99-0.6589-771-88.921-1595-105614-682
in all games40-32-8236-186-2.31269-1436-150.838-33203-1951256-1321
when the total is 9 to 9.59-10-779-68-7542-590-62.49-1069-67519-550
as a home favorite of -150 to -1751-2-2.330-20-2.1110-74-8.92-126-2390-87
as a home favorite of -175 to -2009-2+5.332-8+17.368-35+3.67-316-2347-54
in home games24-13-0.7131-80+9.3695-656-55.421-15106-94630-654
at home when the total is 9 to 9.55-6-6.448-33-1.7317-282-11.75-638-36277-281
in June games11-8-0.441-33+1.1223-227-7.17-1232-40203-228
when playing on Saturday6-5-2.836-33-8.4213-230-18.99-233-33199-230
in games played on a grass field40-32-8226-181-8.21167-1278-114.138-33199-1851138-1190
in night games24-16+1.8139-119-9.6803-922-90.620-20128-113809-833
against right-handed starters33-23+0.6167-123+12.8895-1042-136.228-28136-137899-942
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
BOSTON - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
6/8/2013DOUBRONT(L)LA ANGELSHANSON(R)5-9L-16510.5 ovO1414112122
6/8/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)LA ANGELSWILSON(L)7-2W-1608.5 ovO13100763
6/9/2013DEMPSTER(R)LA ANGELSBLANTON(R)10-5W-15510.5 unO1170992
6/10/2013LACKEY(R)@ TAMPA BAYCOBB(R)10-8W1307.5 ovO1510017131
6/11/2013LESTER(L)@ TAMPA BAYHERNANDEZ(R)3-8L-1158 unO8811091
6/12/2013ACEVES(R)@ TAMPA BAYARCHER(R)2-1W1309 unU580671
6/13/2013DOUBRONT(L)@ BALTIMOREGAUSMAN(R)4-5L-1159.5 unU94212161
6/14/2013DEMPSTER(R)@ BALTIMORETILLMAN(R)0-2L1009.5 unU370580
6/15/2013LACKEY(R)@ BALTIMOREGARCIA(R)5-4W-1059.5 unU9411040
6/16/2013LESTER(L)@ BALTIMOREGONZALEZ(R)3-6L1059 ovP6511481
6/18/2013ACEVES(R)TAMPA BAYARCHER(R)5-1W-11510 unU880681
6/18/2013DOUBRONT(L)TAMPA BAYODORIZZI(R)3-1W-15010 unU760430
6/19/2013DEMPSTER(R)TAMPA BAYHELLICKSON(R)2-6L-1309.5 unU75115100
6/20/2013LACKEY(R)@ DETROITALVAREZ(L)3-4L1059 evU790850
6/21/2013LESTER(L)@ DETROITFISTER(R)10-6W1258.5 ovO17901181
6/22/2013WEBSTER(R)@ DETROITSCHERZER(R) 
6/23/2013DOUBRONT(L)@ DETROITVERLANDER(R) 
6/25/2013DEMPSTER(R)COLORADONICASIO(R) 
6/26/2013LACKEY(R)COLORADOOSWALT(R) 
6/27/2013LESTER(L)TORONTOWANG(R) 
6/28/2013DOUBRONT(L)TORONTOJOHNSON(R) 
6/29/2013 TORONTO  

DETROIT - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
6/8/2013PORCELLO(R)CLEVELANDCARRASCO(R)6-4W-1809.5 unO12102550
6/9/2013ALVAREZ(L)CLEVELANDMASTERSON(R)4-1W-1209 ovU660661
6/10/2013FISTER(R)@ KANSAS CITYGUTHRIE(R)2-3L-1358.5 unU780940
6/11/2013SCHERZER(R)@ KANSAS CITYDAVIS(R)3-2W-1608.5 ovU11100540
6/12/2013VERLANDER(R)@ KANSAS CITYSHIELDS(R)2-3L-1157.5 ovU782860
6/14/2013PORCELLO(R)@ MINNESOTADIAMOND(L)4-0W-1359 unU542350
6/15/2013SANCHEZ(R)@ MINNESOTADEDUNO(R)3-6L-1608.5 evO8601481
6/16/2013FISTER(R)@ MINNESOTAWALTERS(R)5-2W-1459 unU1170330
6/17/2013SCHERZER(R)BALTIMOREARRIETA(R)5-1W-1858.5 ovU1470780
6/18/2013VERLANDER(R)BALTIMOREBRITTON(L)2-5L-2058 ovU9100971
6/19/2013PORCELLO(R)BALTIMORETILLMAN(R)3-13L-1359 unO111001750
6/20/2013ALVAREZ(L)BOSTONLACKEY(R)4-3W-1159 evU850790
6/21/2013FISTER(R)BOSTONLESTER(L)6-10L-1358.5 ovO11811790
6/22/2013SCHERZER(R)BOSTONWEBSTER(R) 
6/23/2013VERLANDER(R)BOSTONDOUBRONT(L) 
6/25/2013PORCELLO(R)LA ANGELSWILSON(L) 
6/26/2013ALVAREZ(L)LA ANGELSHANSON(R) 
6/27/2013FISTER(R)LA ANGELSWEAVER(R) 
6/28/2013SCHERZER(R)@ TAMPA BAYCOLOME(R) 
6/29/2013 @ TAMPA BAY  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
BOSTON - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games45-31+737-355.10.2690.3424.10.2460.319
Road Games22-16+6.918-185.10.2590.3363.60.2500.323
vs Right-handed Starters31-20+6.426-225.40.2720.3444.20.2400.315
Past 7 Games4-3+11-54.40.2600.3204.00.2830.325
Grass Games37-27+1.829-314.90.2740.3444.10.2440.316
Night Games30-24+2.129-225.20.2730.3454.30.2490.325
BOSTON - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games5.10.2690.342762613702267840.033782906295955873376651
Road Games5.10.2590.336381339347118440.031881553293728843123322
Righty Starters5.40.2720.344511771482187590.032681934304737549273938
BOSTON - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.001.375220.310198209279423612-913959.1%
Road Games2.591.177114.733339213431275-48466.7%

DETROIT - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games40-32-838-334.90.2810.3473.90.2410.297
Home Games24-13-0.721-155.50.3020.3693.90.2380.296
vs Right-handed Starters33-23+0.628-284.90.2810.3433.70.2340.288
Past 7 Games3-4-3.43-44.00.2990.3525.70.2960.351
Grass Games40-32-838-334.90.2810.3473.90.2410.297
Night Games24-16+1.820-205.10.2810.3483.70.2410.287
DETROIT - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.90.2810.347722562720217750.033472574782157273285653
Home Games5.50.3020.369371270384108390.0319813522292883792827
Righty Starters4.90.2810.343561981556167570.032631873812043162204040
DETROIT - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.011.299204939118218832165-1316964%
Home Games4.161.32597.44745841045982-510376.9%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
ALLEN WEBSTER recent results and season statistics
ALLEN WEBSTER - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts11.731.9560-127.73.81110114470-2-3.22-0
Road Starts0.000.0000-00010000000-000-0
Last 3 Starts11.731.9560-127.73.81110114470-2-3.22-0
ALLEN WEBSTER - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/8/2013MINNESOTA8-15-1709.5Loss,OverL1.7886232HERNANDEZ(L)
4/21/2013KANSAS CITY4-5-1508Loss,Over 6325215GUTHRIE(R)

MAX SCHERZER recent results and season statistics
MAX SCHERZER - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.080.91410-01496.36.934336482411611-3+5.16-8
Home Starts4.211.1107-0851.36.4242442515627-1+3.54-4
Last 3 Starts1.801.0003-03206.7441426253-0+30-3
MAX SCHERZER - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/17/2013BALTIMORE5-1-1858.5Win,UnderW61171210ARRIETA(R)
6/11/2013at KANSAS CITY3-2-1608.5Win,UnderW7223126DAVIS(R)
6/6/2013TAMPA BAY5-2-1958.5Win,UnderW7114029HERNANDEZ(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 11-7 (+4.5 Units) against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
10 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.6 Units)
Games this season
BOSTON is 1-1 (+0.3 Units) against DETROIT this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

All games at DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 5-4 (+0.5 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)
Games played at DETROIT this season.
BOSTON is 1-1 (+0.3 Units) against DETROIT this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
6/21/2013BOSTON10+125  171090LESTER(L)W5.7593
 DETROIT6-1358.5 ovOver112081FISTER(R)L3.36111
6/20/2013BOSTON3+105 Under71190LACKEY(R) 7271
 DETROIT4-1159 evWin81050ALVAREZ(L) 5252
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
ALLEN WEBSTER vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.
ALLEN WEBSTER recent starts vs. DETROIT
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
No recent games found.

MAX SCHERZER vs. BOSTON since 1997
SCHERZER is 1-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 9.21 and a WHIP of 1.941.
His team's record is 2-4 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-5. (-5.5 units)
MAX SCHERZER recent starts vs. BOSTON
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/30/2012at BOSTON3-7+1059.5Loss,OverL6.3557129BUCHHOLZ(R)
5/31/2012at BOSTON7-3+1259Win,OverW6337126BECKETT(R)
4/8/2012BOSTON13-12-1109Win,Over 2.7778023BUCHHOLZ(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring BOSTON in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1088, -142.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 54.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (183-153, +6.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DETROIT games 52.6% of the time since 1997. (1129-1018, +20.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DETROIT games 57.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (199-146, +40.3 units)
Edge=DETROIT
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 51.9% of the time since 1997. (911-844, -52.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 57.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (136-101, +22.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DETROIT games 50.2% of the time since 1997. (839-831, -107.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DETROIT games 46.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (106-123, -32.4 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
BOSTON
[LF] 03/31/2013 - Ryan Kalish 60-day DL (2/20) ( Knee )
[P] 05/09/2013 - Joel Hanrahan 60-day DL (5/9), out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 06/12/2013 - Clay Buchholz 15-day DL (6/9) ( Neck )
[P] 06/12/2013 - Clayton Mortensen 15-day DL (6/11) ( Groin )
[C] 06/19/2013 - David Ross 7-day DL (6/14) ( Concussion )
DETROIT
[P] 04/23/2013 - Octavio Dotel 60-day DL (4/20) ( Elbow )
[C] 06/17/2013 - Alex Avila 15-day DL (6/17) ( Forearm )
[P] 06/17/2013 - Anibal Sanchez 15-day DL (6/17) ( Shoulder )
[LF] 06/21/2013 - Matt Tuiasosopo 15-day DL (6/20) ( Abdominal )
[CF] 06/22/2013 - Austin Jackson is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Boston Red Sox ( Hamstring )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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