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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| BOSTON | LESTER | +118 |  | | NY YANKEES | PHELPS | -118 | |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 69-91 | -35.7 | 250-237 | -53.1 | 1472-1191 | -54.6 | 77-76 | 240-223 | 1235-1293 | | when the total is 9 to 9.5 | 27-37 | -15.3 | 101-114 | -46.2 | 541-482 | -63.3 | 37-25 | 109-93 | 484-489 | | as a road underdog of +150 to +175 | 4-9 | -2.7 | 7-15 | -3.8 | 32-62 | -10.5 | 8-5 | 15-7 | 48-41 | | as a road underdog of +175 to +200 | 1-5 | -3.2 | 2-7 | -3.4 | 19-28 | +6.6 | 4-1 | 5-3 | 22-24 | | in road games | 35-44 | -9.1 | 123-118 | -7.3 | 688-641 | -20.4 | 35-42 | 108-121 | 599-667 | | on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 | 11-11 | +0.7 | 40-45 | -12 | 260-270 | -37 | 12-9 | 40-37 | 238-259 | | in October games | 0-1 | -1 | 2-2 | 0 | 57-38 | +20 | 1-0 | 4-0 | 46-44 | | when playing on Tuesday | 11-13 | -4 | 38-34 | -4.4 | 235-160 | +27.4 | 10-13 | 31-39 | 179-198 | | against division opponents | 26-44 | -22.7 | 101-113 | -35.4 | 594-508 | -49.1 | 34-34 | 113-93 | 534-518 | | in games played on a grass field | 59-83 | -39.3 | 221-212 | -58.3 | 1299-1018 | -20.3 | 69-66 | 212-197 | 1058-1134 | | in night games | 46-65 | -30.5 | 177-170 | -43.2 | 1012-807 | -36.1 | 54-51 | 170-158 | 848-881 | | against left-handed starters | 26-26 | -3.4 | 86-77 | -5.5 | 406-368 | -57.5 | 26-23 | 81-74 | 364-376 | | after allowing 10 runs or more | 6-8 | -2 | 18-20 | -5.7 | 121-91 | +14.6 | 7-6 | 20-17 | 90-111 | | after a loss | 37-54 | -26.6 | 115-123 | -42 | 655-533 | -21.6 | 43-42 | 118-108 | 519-600 | | after 3 or more consecutive losses | 14-19 | -6.9 | 29-32 | -8.4 | 131-105 | +4.6 | 14-16 | 35-23 | 109-116 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 41-59 | -21.9 | 134-131 | -10.4 | 638-623 | -56.9 | 52-45 | 131-120 | 569-633 | | when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season | 18-36 | -16.3 | 57-79 | -26 | 328-355 | -58 | 27-25 | 69-62 | 309-344 |
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| in all games | 93-67 | +1.5 | 293-206 | +3.8 | 1640-1082 | -32.5 | 70-85 | 233-239 | 1267-1345 | | when the total is 9 to 9.5 | 51-29 | +10 | 157-102 | +9.7 | 788-473 | +41 | 36-41 | 128-115 | 576-631 | | as a home favorite of -175 to -200 | 9-3 | +3.4 | 34-22 | -7 | 191-98 | +7.8 | 3-9 | 25-30 | 127-154 | | in home games | 49-30 | +1.5 | 157-92 | +6.6 | 870-490 | -9.3 | 33-45 | 124-113 | 620-686 | | at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 | 32-16 | +7.3 | 96-48 | +16.7 | 455-213 | +68.3 | 21-26 | 78-60 | 305-334 | | in October games | 1-0 | +1 | 9-9 | -2 | 88-63 | +5.1 | 1-0 | 12-5 | 62-84 | | when playing on Tuesday | 10-13 | -6.7 | 40-31 | -6.4 | 248-159 | -3.5 | 7-15 | 34-34 | 200-191 | | against division opponents | 39-31 | -4.7 | 117-98 | -16 | 649-444 | -33.2 | 32-37 | 104-101 | 516-534 | | in games played on a grass field | 87-55 | +9.6 | 273-172 | +23 | 1447-929 | -9.5 | 62-76 | 211-210 | 1100-1181 | | in night games | 60-46 | -1.6 | 178-149 | -28.3 | 1039-701 | -17.8 | 48-54 | 156-156 | 812-856 | | against left-handed starters | 36-24 | +4.1 | 106-68 | +14.2 | 472-305 | +15.2 | 33-27 | 92-78 | 379-371 | | after a win | 53-40 | -4.2 | 166-122 | -10.9 | 981-645 | -41.4 | 41-50 | 126-145 | 738-818 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 40-22 | +5.3 | 132-77 | +7.4 | 796-450 | -22.2 | 24-35 | 90-105 | 575-614 | | when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season | 23-13 | +1.4 | 73-38 | +5.8 | 435-227 | +1.3 | 12-21 | 44-59 | 297-332 |
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| Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed. |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 69-91 | -35.7 | 77-76 | 4.6 | 0.261 | 0.313 | 4.9 | 0.261 | 0.325 | | Road Games | 35-44 | -9.1 | 35-42 | 3.9 | 0.243 | 0.293 | 4.6 | 0.249 | 0.318 | | vs Left-handed Starters | 26-26 | -3.3 | 26-23 | 4.9 | 0.263 | 0.316 | 4.6 | 0.249 | 0.309 | | Past 7 Games | 1-6 | -4.8 | 2-4 | 2.1 | 0.184 | 0.228 | 5.6 | 0.283 | 0.337 | | Grass Games | 59-83 | -39.3 | 69-66 | 4.6 | 0.264 | 0.314 | 5.0 | 0.264 | 0.327 | | Night Games | 46-65 | -30.5 | 54-51 | 4.4 | 0.258 | 0.310 | 5.0 | 0.266 | 0.328 | | Division | 26-44 | -22.7 | 34-34 | 4.2 | 0.251 | 0.307 | 5.2 | 0.254 | 0.325 |
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| All Games | 4.6 | 0.261 | 0.313 | 160 | 5529 | 1443 | 515 | 164 | 0.03 | 690 | 422 | 1177 | 95 | 1067 | 121 | 100 | 156 | 125 | | Road Games | 3.9 | 0.243 | 0.293 | 79 | 2701 | 655 | 207 | 76 | 0.03 | 291 | 193 | 585 | 52 | 499 | 56 | 52 | 63 | 59 | | Lefty Starters | 4.9 | 0.263 | 0.316 | 52 | 1816 | 477 | 171 | 60 | 0.03 | 242 | 143 | 377 | 26 | 347 | 32 | 33 | 49 | 31 |
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| All Games | 3.76 | 1.266 | 502.4 | 219 | 210 | 453 | 52 | 183 | 467 | 21-20 | 35 | 19 | 64.8% | | Road Games | 3.61 | 1.255 | 224.7 | 97 | 90 | 201 | 21 | 81 | 204 | 10-7 | 23 | 10 | 69.7% |
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| All Games | 93-67 | +1.5 | 70-85 | 4.9 | 0.263 | 0.331 | 4.1 | 0.253 | 0.307 | | Home Games | 49-30 | +1.5 | 33-45 | 4.9 | 0.262 | 0.331 | 4.1 | 0.240 | 0.296 | | vs Left-handed Starters | 36-24 | +4.1 | 33-27 | 5.4 | 0.265 | 0.342 | 4.3 | 0.255 | 0.308 | | Past 7 Games | 4-3 | -1 | 4-2 | 6.3 | 0.304 | 0.372 | 4.0 | 0.252 | 0.315 | | Grass Games | 87-55 | +9.6 | 62-76 | 5.0 | 0.266 | 0.332 | 4.0 | 0.251 | 0.303 | | Night Games | 60-46 | -1.6 | 48-54 | 4.7 | 0.262 | 0.327 | 4.2 | 0.257 | 0.306 | | Division | 39-31 | -4.7 | 32-37 | 5.1 | 0.255 | 0.330 | 4.4 | 0.259 | 0.313 |
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| All Games | 4.9 | 0.263 | 0.331 | 160 | 5439 | 1430 | 527 | 240 | 0.04 | 756 | 553 | 1165 | 91 | 1113 | 165 | 74 | 133 | 88 | | Home Games | 4.9 | 0.262 | 0.331 | 79 | 2583 | 677 | 252 | 133 | 0.05 | 376 | 265 | 561 | 45 | 507 | 78 | 39 | 66 | 34 | | Lefty Starters | 5.4 | 0.265 | 0.342 | 60 | 2051 | 544 | 203 | 92 | 0.04 | 314 | 240 | 458 | 35 | 434 | 59 | 34 | 60 | 36 |
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| All Games | 3.47 | 1.273 | 435.4 | 178 | 168 | 398 | 46 | 156 | 428 | 23-17 | 51 | 13 | 79.7% | | Home Games | 3.79 | 1.282 | 216 | 98 | 91 | 201 | 20 | 76 | 201 | 9-7 | 26 | 7 | 78.8% |
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| JON LESTER recent results and season statistics |
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| All Starts | 4.94 | 1.373 | 9-14 | 32 | 200.3 | 6.3 | 116 | 110 | 208 | 25 | 67 | 165 | 13-19 | -13.2 | 13-18 | | Road Starts | 3.37 | 1.125 | 6-4 | 14 | 93.3 | 6.7 | 38 | 35 | 79 | 10 | 26 | 79 | 8-6 | +1.3 | 4-9 | | Last 3 Starts | 4.50 | 1.050 | 0-3 | 3 | 20 | 6.7 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 0-3 | -3.1 | 0-3 |
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| TOMMY PHELPS recent results and season statistics |
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| All Starts | 0.00 | 0.000 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0-0 | | Home Starts | 0.00 | 0.000 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0-0 | | Last 3 Starts | 0.00 | 0.000 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0-0 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| BOSTON is 26-26 (+1.1 Units) against NY YANKEES over the last 3 seasons | | 29 of 49 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+8.1 Units) |
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| NY YANKEES is 11-5 (+4.7 Units) against BOSTON this season | | 8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-1.0 Units) |
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| BOSTON is 15-10 (+8.8 Units) against NY YANKEES over the last 3 seasons | | 13 of 22 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.7 Units) |
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| BOSTON is 3-4 (+0.1 Units) against NY YANKEES this season | | 4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units) |
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| 10/1/2012 | BOSTON | 2 | +240 | | Over | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | BUCHHOLZ(R) | L | 1.7 | 8 | 6 | 2 | | | NY YANKEES | 10 | -280 | 8 un | Win | 13 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 0 | SABATHIA(L) | W | 8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | | 9/13/2012 | NY YANKEES | 2 | -145 | | | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | HUGHES(R) | W | 7.3 | 0 | 5 | 1 | | | BOSTON | 0 | +135 | 9.5 ev | Under | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | DOUBRONT(L) | L | 6.3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | | 9/12/2012 | NY YANKEES | 5 | -150 | | | 11 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 1 | PHELPS(R) | W | 5.7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | | | BOSTON | 4 | +140 | 9.5 ov | Under | 10 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | COOK(R) | L | 5 | 3 | 7 | 0 | | 9/11/2012 | NY YANKEES | 3 | -140 | | Under | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | KURODA(R) | | 6.3 | 3 | 8 | 0 | | | BOSTON | 4 | +130 | 8.5 un | Win | 12 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | LESTER(L) | | 5.3 | 3 | 5 | 7 | | 8/19/2012 | BOSTON | 1 | +155 | | Under | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | BECKETT(R) | L | 6 | 4 | 7 | 3 | | | NY YANKEES | 4 | -165 | 8.5 ov | Win | 8 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | KURODA(R) | W | 8 | 1 | 4 | 0 | | 8/18/2012 | BOSTON | 4 | -105 | | | 10 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 0 | LESTER(L) | W | 7 | 1 | 5 | 2 | | | NY YANKEES | 1 | -105 | 9 un | Under | 7 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | PHELPS(R) | L | 6.7 | 3 | 7 | 0 | | 8/17/2012 | BOSTON | 4 | +125 | | Over | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | MORALES(L) | L | 5.3 | 5 | 6 | 1 | | | NY YANKEES | 6 | -135 | 9.5 ev | Win | 9 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 1 | HUGHES(R) | W | 7 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
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| LESTER is 9-4 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 4.27 and a WHIP of 1.431. | | His team's record is 12-9 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-9. (+0.6 units) |
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| 9/11/2012 | NY YANKEES | 4-3 | +130 | 8.5 | Win,Under | | 5.3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 5 | KURODA(R) | | 8/18/2012 | at NY YANKEES | 4-1 | -105 | 9 | Win,Under | W | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | PHELPS(R) | | 7/28/2012 | at NY YANKEES | 8-6 | +155 | 9 | Win,Over | | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | SABATHIA(L) |
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| PHELPS is 0-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 11.11 and a WHIP of 2.469. | | His team's record is 1-0 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units) |
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| 6/28/2003 | at BOSTON | 10-9 | +160 | 10 | Win,Over | | 5.7 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 3 | WAKEFIELD(R) |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1051, -133.0 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 53.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (213-185, +3.8 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NY YANKEES games 52.8% of the time since 1997. (1149-1026, -66.3 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NY YANKEES games 54.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (234-194, -1.7 units) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 51.8% of the time since 1997. (876-814, -53.9 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 58.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (148-105, +29.0 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in NY YANKEES games 51.7% of the time since 1997. (896-837, -58.2 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in NY YANKEES games 49% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (126-131, -19.0 units) | |
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| [P] 03/20/2012 - John Lackey 60-day DL (2/21), out for season ( Elbow ) | | [RF] 07/30/2012 - Ryan Sweeney 60-day DL (7/30), out 6-8 weeks ( Hand ) | | [3B] 08/11/2012 - Will Middlebrooks 15-day DL (8/11), out for season ( Wrist ) | | [DH] 08/27/2012 - David Ortiz 15-day DL (8/25), out for season ( Achilles ) | | [P] 08/29/2012 - Franklin Morales 60-day DL (8/23), out for season ( Shoulder ) | | [2B] 10/02/2012 - Dustin Pedroia is downgraded to expected to miss Tuesday & Wednesday vs. New York Yankees ( Finger ) | | [CF] 10/02/2012 - Jacoby Ellsbury "?" Tuesday vs. New York Yankees ( Undisclosed ) | |
| [P] 05/03/2012 - Mariano Rivera 60-day DL (5/2), out for season ( Knee ) | | [P] 03/28/2012 - Pedro Feliciano 60-day DL (2/22) ( Shoulder ) | | [P] 04/28/2012 - Michael Pineda 60-day DL (3/31), out for season ( Shoulder ) | | [C] 05/13/2012 - Austin Romine 60-day DL (3/26) ( Back ) | | [P] 04/03/2012 - Cesar Cabral 60-day DL (3/31) ( Elbow ) | | [P] 04/05/2012 - Brad Meyers 60-day DL (3/26) ( Shoulder ) | | [P] 09/19/2012 - Dellin Betances 60-day DL (9/19) ( Shoulder ) | | [3B] 09/30/2012 - Jayson Nix expected to miss 10-14 days ( Hip ) |
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