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Page last updated on Thu Jun 21 17:43:59 EDT 2018
Matchup Reports

Friday at 10:10 PM
BOSTON (48-22) AT SEATTLE (44-25) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
923: BOSTON
924: SEATTLE
7.0
-145
48-22
44-25
32-36-2
36-32-1
5.1 / 3.6
4.4 / 4.0
(R) R PORCELLO
(L) J PAXTON
8-3
6-1
3.54
3.02
1.15
1.01
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Fair   Temperature: 66.0 °
Humidity: 49   Wind: North at 5.8 MPH (5 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
BOSTONPORCELLO-106 
SEATTLEPAXTON +106 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
BOSTON team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games48-22+14.7235-166+16.51963-1602-38.532-36183-2031652-1741
when the total is 7 or less3-3-0.810-12-6.464-50+1.34-213-849-52
as a road underdog of +125 to +1753-1+3.614-14+6.7164-208+24.13-115-13168-188
in road games25-11+13.6116-86+20.3925-859+115-2192-105811-893
on the road when the total is 7 or less1-3-2.86-11-8.648-42+2.43-110-639-43
in June games9-4+2.635-32-9.3316-261-20.54-930-34263-286
when playing on Friday5-5-438-26+4.4307-245+13.94-631-31253-266
in night games31-17+7166-112+16.61359-1096-22.523-23134-1331153-1185
against left-handed starters8-7-1.746-44-11530-484-67.96-943-46471-502
after a win33-14+11.4135-97+5.11073-884-42.425-22109-117937-938
after 3 or more consecutive wins14-6+7.148-29+9.9316-260-21.410-1028-48264-289
when playing against a team with a winning record13-7+6.696-83-2.8865-850-75.410-1075-97770-865

SEATTLE team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games44-25+16.5208-185+6.21737-1756-162.136-32193-1861610-1739
when the total is 7 or less3-3-1.211-9+0.6211-206-16.64-210-9178-200
as a home favorite of -125 to -1757-2+3.942-40-14.6363-294-683-637-42307-323
in home games23-13+7.4107-91-7.8921-828-10816-1999-92787-897
at home when the total is 7 or less2-2-1.210-7+1.6151-153-27.52-28-8129-149
in June games10-3+7.235-33-2.4308-270+8.17-535-28251-301
when playing on Friday6-2+4.237-23+13.8283-273-11.73-524-34262-265
in night games30-13+14.7144-118+12.21179-1195-131.322-20131-1211113-1161
against right-handed starters30-15+16.8148-118+221243-1232-106.826-19132-1231157-1227
after a loss17-6+10.293-88-3.2850-897-85.313-1093-85816-859
when playing against a team with a winning record15-11+6.489-93+0.9785-902-56.414-1184-91777-840
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
BOSTON - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
6/1/2018SALE(L)@ HOUSTONCOLE(R)3-7L1106.5 ovO7601270
6/2/2018PRICE(L)@ HOUSTONVERLANDER(R)5-4W1857.5 unO550650
6/3/2018PORCELLO(R)@ HOUSTONMORTON(R)9-3W1707.5 evO1552590
6/5/2018WRIGHT(R)DETROITLEWICKI(R)6-0W-18510 unU1070341
6/6/2018RODRIGUEZ(L)DETROITHARDY(L)7-1W-2059 unU12617101
6/7/2018BEEKS(L)DETROITBOYD(L)2-7L-1659.5 unU7901060
6/8/2018SALE(L)CHI WHITE SOXCOVEY(R)0-1L-3058 ovU340651
6/9/2018PRICE(L)CHI WHITE SOXRODON(L)4-2W-2159.5 unU870663
6/10/2018PORCELLO(R)CHI WHITE SOXLOPEZ(R)2-5L-2209.5 unU7122891
6/11/2018WRIGHT(R)@ BALTIMOREBUNDY(R)2-0W-1109 unU6805130
6/12/2018RODRIGUEZ(L)@ BALTIMOREHESS(R)6-4W-1609 ovO910211130
6/13/2018SALE(L)@ BALTIMORERAMIREZ(R)5-1W-3008.5 ovU970492
6/14/2018PRICE(L)@ SEATTLEHERNANDEZ(R)2-1W-1258.5 unU970650
6/15/2018PORCELLO(R)@ SEATTLEPAXTON(L) 
6/16/2018WRIGHT(R)@ SEATTLELEBLANC(L) 
6/17/2018RODRIGUEZ(L)@ SEATTLELEAKE(R) 
6/19/2018SALE(L)@ MINNESOTABERRIOS(R) 
6/20/2018PRICE(L)@ MINNESOTALYNN(R) 
6/21/2018PORCELLO(R)@ MINNESOTAGIBSON(R) 
6/22/2018 SEATTLE  

SEATTLE - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
6/1/2018LEAKE(R)TAMPA BAYROMO(R)4-3W-1308 unU111001170
6/2/2018GONZALES(L)TAMPA BAYARCHER(R)3-1W-1207.5 evU990551
6/3/2018HERNANDEZ(R)TAMPA BAYSNELL(L)2-1W-1157.5 unU440571
6/5/2018PAXTON(L)@ HOUSTONKEUCHEL(L)7-1W1157.5 evO820961
6/6/2018LEBLANC(L)@ HOUSTONMCCULLERS JR.(R)5-7L1808.5 evO11801371
6/7/2018LEAKE(R)@ TAMPA BAYSTANEK(R)5-4W-1108 evO8501061
6/8/2018GONZALES(L)@ TAMPA BAYFONT(R)4-3W1008 ovU871850
6/9/2018HERNANDEZ(R)@ TAMPA BAYSNELL(L)3-7L1107 ovO101011042
6/10/2018PAXTON(L)@ TAMPA BAYEOVALDI(R)5-4W-1557 ovO620950
6/11/2018LEBLANC(L)LA ANGELSHEANEY(L)5-3W+1008 unP831770
6/12/2018LEAKE(R)LA ANGELSBARRIA(R)6-3W-1158.5 evO1462682
6/13/2018GONZALES(L)LA ANGELSRICHARDS(R)8-6W+1107.5 ovO14611391
6/14/2018HERNANDEZ(R)BOSTONPRICE(L)1-2L+1158.5 unU650970
6/15/2018PAXTON(L)BOSTONPORCELLO(R) 
6/16/2018LEBLANC(L)BOSTONWRIGHT(R) 
6/17/2018LEAKE(R)BOSTONRODRIGUEZ(L) 
6/19/2018GONZALES(L)@ NY YANKEESGERMAN(R) 
6/20/2018HERNANDEZ(R)@ NY YANKEES  
6/21/2018PAXTON(L)@ NY YANKEESSEVERINO(R) 
6/22/2018 @ BOSTON  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
BOSTON - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPSLGOPSRunsAvgOBPSLGOPS
All Games48-22+14.832-365.10.2630.3250.4410.7663.60.2270.2930.3560.649
Road Games25-11+13.615-214.50.2460.3080.4080.7173.20.2100.2840.3240.609
vs Left-handed Starters8-7-1.76-94.40.2500.2970.4160.7134.20.2410.3000.3940.694
Past 7 Games5-2-0.21-63.00.2170.3000.3400.6412.00.1950.2830.2460.529
Grass Games39-18+11.329-265.40.2720.3310.4640.7963.70.2320.2970.3640.661
Night Games31-17+6.923-235.10.2580.3190.4420.7613.60.2210.2870.3480.635
BOSTON - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABH2B3BHRSLGRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games5.10.2630.32570243864013511930.4413372245514748162375225
Road Games4.50.2460.308361264311613460.4081541143102623836192718
Lefty Starters4.40.2500.29715517129263180.4166335126696126143
BOSTON - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.911.179231.67775184198925113-625583.3%
Road Games2.431.1891113130777551227-514477.8%

SEATTLE - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPSLGOPSRunsAvgOBPSLGOPS
All Games44-25+16.636-324.40.2600.3150.4170.7324.00.2440.2990.3940.693
Home Games23-13+7.416-194.00.2580.3060.4090.7143.90.2330.2950.3730.668
vs Right-handed Starters30-15+16.826-194.40.2590.3100.4240.7344.30.2390.3000.3920.693
Past 7 Games5-2+3.14-24.60.2870.3330.4700.8034.00.2580.3020.4460.748
Grass Games39-23+13.132-294.40.2590.3120.4160.7284.10.2440.3010.3910.692
Night Games30-13+14.622-204.60.2660.3180.4330.7503.90.2440.3010.3940.695
SEATTLE - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABH2B3BHRSLGRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.40.2600.3156923456101109800.4172931875303446462346729
Home Games4.00.2580.306361197309535390.409137822921522829224018
Righty Starters4.40.2590.310451524394685580.4241911143352128545223724
SEATTLE - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.651.214221.79790196237325216-10261268.4%
Home Games3.801.2361235852108174413910-615962.5%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
RICK PORCELLO recent results and season statistics
RICK PORCELLO - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.541.1478-31486.36.2393479720809-5+2.97-5
Road Starts3.631.2864-1739.75.7191639212374-3+1.64-3
Last 3 Starts2.841.1582-13196.3961527152-1+0.52-1
RICK PORCELLO - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/10/2018CHI WHITE SOX2-5-2209.5Loss,UnderL6325035LOPEZ(R)
6/3/2018at HOUSTON9-3+1707.5Win,OverW6.3325125MORTON(R)
5/29/2018TORONTO8-3-1859.5Win,OverW6.7325125ESTRADA(R)

JAMES PAXTON recent results and season statistics
JAMES PAXTON - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.021.0076-11489.36.43030659251119-5+0.38-6
Home Starts2.790.9573-1638.76.4121224513513-3-2.43-3
Last 3 Starts2.751.1692-0319.76.6661815212-1-0.63-0
JAMES PAXTON - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/10/2018at TAMPA BAY5-4-1557Win,OverW73351010EOVALDI(R)
6/5/2018at HOUSTON7-1+1157.5Win,OverW7.7119016KEUCHEL(L)
5/30/2018TEXAS6-7-2707Loss,Over 5224045MOORE(L)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 8-6 (+0.3 Units) against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
11 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+7.9 Units)
Games this season
BOSTON is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against SEATTLE this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

All games at SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 4-4 (+0.2 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.9 Units)
Games played at SEATTLE this season.
BOSTON is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against SEATTLE this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
6/14/2018BOSTON2-125  91170PRICE(L)W7150
 SEATTLE1+1158.5 unUnder60150HERNANDEZ(R)L7281
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
RICK PORCELLO vs. SEATTLE since 1997
PORCELLO is 6-5 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.62 and a WHIP of 1.195.
His team's record is 7-5 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-6. (-1.2 units)
RICK PORCELLO recent starts vs. SEATTLE
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/28/2017SEATTLE0-5-1909.5Loss,UnderL6.32211016BERGMAN(R)
8/3/2016at SEATTLE1-3-1158Loss,UnderL8334318IWAKUMA(R)
6/18/2016SEATTLE6-2-18010Win,UnderW6228106SAMPSON(R)

JAMES PAXTON vs. BOSTON since 1997
PAXTON is 2-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 0.39 and a WHIP of 0.652.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.2 units)
JAMES PAXTON recent starts vs. BOSTON
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/24/2017BOSTON4-0-1508Win,UnderW70040010RODRIGUEZ(L)
8/1/2016BOSTON1-2-1308.5Loss,Under 8114106RODRIGUEZ(L)
5/17/2015BOSTON5-0-1307.5Win,UnderW8005022WRIGHT(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring BOSTON in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 50.9% of the time since 1997. (1477-1422, -121.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 56.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (199-155, +32.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SEATTLE games 51.6% of the time since 1997. (1459-1368, -53.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SEATTLE games 50.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (174-172, -14.0 units)
No Edge.
 
The betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 51.8% of the time since 1997. (1296-1204, -74.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 49.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (177-182, -27.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in SEATTLE games 50.5% of the time since 1997. (1177-1153, -135.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in SEATTLE games 57.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (200-148, +35.2 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
BOSTON
[P] 06/05/2018 - Drew Pomeranz 10-day DL (06/02) ( Biceps )
[2B] 06/02/2018 - Dustin Pedroia 10-day DL (05/30) ( Knee )
[DH] 05/25/2018 - Hanley Ramirez has been released ( None )
[P] 05/15/2018 - Carson Smith 10-day DL (05/15) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/30/2018 - Tyler Thornburg 10-day DL (03/29) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/30/2018 - Austin Maddox 10-day DL (03/29) ( Shoulder )
[SS] 03/26/2018 - Marco Hernandez 60-day DL (03/29) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/26/2018 - Steven Wright 10-day DL (03/26) ( Knee )
SEATTLE
[P] 06/09/2018 - Dan Altavilla 10-day DL (06/07) ( Elbow )
[P] 06/09/2018 - Juan Nicasio 10-day DL (06/07) ( Knee )
[C] 05/31/2018 - Chris Herrmann 10-day DL (05/27) ( Oblique )
[P] 05/28/2018 - Nick Vincent 10-day DL (05/27) ( Groin )
[2B] 05/13/2018 - Robinson Cano 80-game suspension (eligible to return 8/14 vs Oakland Athletics) ( Suspension )
[RF] 05/03/2018 - Ichiro Suzuki is out for season ( Retired )
[P] 05/01/2018 - Erasmo Ramirez 10-day DL (05/01) ( Arm )
[P] 03/26/2018 - David Phelps 60-day DL (03/26) ( Elbow )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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