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Matchup Reports

Sunday at 1:05 PM
BOSTON (3-2) AT TORONTO (2-3) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
917: BOSTON
918: TORONTO
8.0
-125
3-2
2-3
3-2-0
2-3-0
4.6 / 3.8
4.4 / 4.2
(L) J LESTER
(R) R DICKEY
1-0
0-1
3.60
4.50
1.40
1.50
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions:   Temperature: °
Humidity:   Wind: 
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
BOSTONLESTER +131 
TORONTODICKEY-131 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
BOSTON team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games3-2+1.4164-167-481475-1195-55.23-2163-1521239-1296
when the total is 8 to 8.52-1+1.354-39+5.2267-182+21.22-143-50217-224
as a road underdog of +100 to +1252-1+1.119-20+1.2140-154+3.42-112-26130-157
in road games3-2+1.483-84-8.8691-645-213-274-86603-670
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.52-1+1.336-24+9.4163-116+29.52-126-34131-143
in April games3-2+1.425-28-10.8227-159+26.63-227-22175-186
when playing on Sunday0-0032-20+9.2238-189+8.90-023-27179-221
against division opponents3-2+1.467-82-31.7597-512-49.73-276-68538-521
in day games1-1054-47-3.9448-373-17.71-152-46379-398
in games played on artificial turf1-1+0.319-19+0.3174-174-341-120-18178-160
against right-handed starters2-0+2.4105-117-48.11068-825+3.32-0113-99874-918
after getting shut out0-0012-5+6.859-43+2.80-010-745-56
after a loss1-0+1.377-93-41.4656-535-22.31-083-78521-601
when playing against a team with a losing record1-1+0.370-63-23.9745-506-6.91-165-62592-591

TORONTO team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games2-3-2.8156-173-13.81294-1303-382-3163-1531203-1271
when the total is 8 to 8.50-2-3.260-61-4.8306-268+24.11-154-62278-277
at home with a money line of -100 to -1250-0016-16-2.8161-117+26.40-019-12131-136
as a home favorite of -125 to -1501-1-0.423-22-7197-153-141-120-24153-185
in home games2-3-2.885-82-7.2704-597+02-389-72615-618
at home when the total is 8 to 8.50-2-3.232-32-7.2157-119+8.21-133-29136-132
in April games2-3-2.827-28-4.4190-211-32.32-327-25198-184
when playing on Sunday0-0026-25+3.7211-203+9.20-025-24186-208
against division opponents1-1-0.463-83-10.6528-552+1.11-173-64503-522
in day games1-0+156-65-4.9458-460-190-160-55417-451
in games played on artificial turf2-3-2.889-96-15.6807-718-20.82-397-81714-730
against left-handed starters0-1-1.443-48+0.2330-357-31.31-055-32332-320
after shutting out their opponent0-008-14-869-84-20.60-012-1070-77
after a win0-1-1.474-79-7.9640-649-45.51-072-73575-651
when playing against a team with a winning record1-1-0.483-115-18.6594-699-7.51-195-95615-614
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
BOSTON - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/1/2013LESTER(L)@ NY YANKEESSABATHIA(L)8-2W1008 unO13130680
4/3/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)@ NY YANKEESKURODA(R)7-4W1107.5 unO13100971
4/4/2013DEMPSTER(R)@ NY YANKEESPETTITTE(L)2-4L1108 unU950850
4/5/2013DOUBRONT(L)@ TORONTOJOHNSON(R)6-4W1308.5 unO121501293
4/6/2013LACKEY(R)@ TORONTOHAPP(L)0-5L1309 unU240861
4/7/2013LESTER(L)@ TORONTODICKEY(R) 
4/8/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)BALTIMORECHEN(L) 
4/10/2013 BALTIMORE  
4/11/2013 BALTIMORE  
4/12/2013 TAMPA BAY  
4/13/2013 TAMPA BAY  
4/14/2013 TAMPA BAY  

TORONTO - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/2/2013DICKEY(R)CLEVELANDMASTERSON(R)1-4L-1758.5 ovU460771
4/3/2013MORROW(R)CLEVELANDJIMENEZ(R)2-3L-1709 unU55110100
4/4/2013BUEHRLE(L)CLEVELANDMYERS(R)10-8W-1859 ovO96114102
4/5/2013JOHNSON(R)BOSTONDOUBRONT(L)4-6L-1408.5 unO129312150
4/6/2013HAPP(L)BOSTONLACKEY(R)5-0W-1409 unU861240
4/7/2013DICKEY(R)BOSTONLESTER(L) 
4/9/2013MORROW(R)@ DETROITSANCHEZ(R) 
4/10/2013 @ DETROIT  
4/11/2013 @ DETROIT  
4/12/2013 @ KANSAS CITY  
4/13/2013 @ KANSAS CITY  
4/14/2013 @ KANSAS CITY  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
BOSTON - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games3-2+1.43-24.60.2720.3513.80.2590.320
Road Games3-2+1.43-24.60.2720.3513.80.2590.320
vs Right-handed Starters2-0+2.42-06.50.3120.3824.00.2920.329
Past 7 Games3-2+1.43-24.60.2720.3513.80.2590.320
Turf Games1-1+0.31-13.00.2030.2954.50.2900.338
Day Games1-101-14.00.2210.3293.50.2150.292
Division3-2+1.43-24.60.2720.3513.80.2590.320
BOSTON - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.60.2720.3515180491220.012322426476033
Road Games4.60.2720.3515180491220.012322426476033
Righty Starters6.50.3120.38228025720.02139194253021
BOSTON - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.321.14016.7881346151-02166.7%
Road Games4.321.14016.7881346151-02166.7%

TORONTO - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games2-3-2.82-34.40.2260.3054.20.2430.317
Home Games2-3-2.82-34.40.2260.3054.20.2430.317
vs Left-handed Starters0-1-1.41-04.00.3240.3596.00.2930.383
Past 7 Games2-3-2.82-34.40.2260.3054.20.2430.317
Turf Games2-3-2.82-34.40.2260.3054.20.2430.317
Day Games1-0+10-15.00.2500.3140.00.0710.161
Division1-1-0.41-14.50.2900.3383.00.2030.295
TORONTO - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.40.2260.30551683821110.072019443326636
Home Games4.40.2260.30551683821110.072019443326636
Lefty Starters4.00.3240.35913712820.054211091313
TORONTO - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.451.36318.3651728211-210100%
Home Games2.451.36318.3651728211-210100%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
JON LESTER recent results and season statistics
JON LESTER - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.601.4001-0155.02250271-0+11-0
Road Starts3.601.4001-0155.02250271-0+11-0
Last 3 Starts3.601.4001-0155.02250271-0+11-0
JON LESTER - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/1/2013at NY YANKEES8-2+1008Win,OverW5225027SABATHIA(L)
10/2/2012at NY YANKEES3-4+1708.5Loss,Under 5108011PHELPS(R)
9/26/2012TAMPA BAY2-4+1209Loss,UnderL6334215COBB(R)

R.A. DICKEY recent results and season statistics
R.A. DICKEY - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.501.5000-1166.04351440-1-1.80-1
Home Starts4.501.5000-1166.04351440-1-1.80-1
Last 3 Starts4.501.5000-1166.04351440-1-1.80-1
R.A. DICKEY - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/2/2013CLEVELAND1-4-1758.5Loss,UnderL6435144MASTERSON(R)
10/2/2012at MIAMI3-4-1807Loss 6337208TURNER(R)
9/27/2012PITTSBURGH6-5-2057Win,OverW7.73381213CORREIA(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 20-18 (+5.9 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
20 of 36 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.2 Units)
Games this season
BOSTON is 1-1 (+0.3 Units) against TORONTO this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

All games at TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 10-10 (-0.2 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
11 of 20 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.6 Units)
Games played at TORONTO this season.
BOSTON is 1-1 (+0.3 Units) against TORONTO this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
4/6/2013BOSTON0+130 Under20240LACKEY(R)L4.3251
 TORONTO5-1409 unWin82261HAPP(L)W5.3013
4/5/2013BOSTON6+130  1223150DOUBRONT(L) 5390
 TORONTO4-1408.5 unOver122093JOHNSON(R) 6392
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
JON LESTER vs. TORONTO since 1997
LESTER is 11-7 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.140.
His team's record is 13-9 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-10. (+0.3 units)
JON LESTER recent starts vs. TORONTO
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/16/2012at TORONTO0-5+1007.5Loss,UnderL7334117MORROW(R)
7/22/2012TORONTO7-15-1859Loss,OverL411119452ALVAREZ(R)
6/27/2012TORONTO10-4-14510Win,OverW7447204ROMERO(L)

R.A. DICKEY vs. BOSTON since 1997
DICKEY is 1-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.20 and a WHIP of 1.423.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)
R.A. DICKEY recent starts vs. BOSTON
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/22/2008BOSTON2-4+1458.5Loss,UnderL6449130MATSUZAKA(R)
5/2/2004BOSTON4-1+13010.5Win,UnderW8.7114045WAKEFIELD(R)
7/29/2003BOSTON7-14+16511.5Loss,Over 5227216WAKEFIELD(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring BOSTON in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1053, -130.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 56.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (155-118, +18.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TORONTO games 50.6% of the time since 1997. (1049-1024, -74.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TORONTO games 50.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (140-137, -21.3 units)
Edge=TORONTO
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 51.8% of the time since 1997. (878-816, -54.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 58.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (103-73, +20.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TORONTO games 52.2% of the time since 1997. (834-763, -32.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TORONTO games 51.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (89-83, -3.6 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
BOSTON
[DH] 03/29/2013 - David Ortiz 15-day DL (3/22) ( Heel )
[LF] 03/31/2013 - Ryan Kalish 60-day DL (2/20) ( Knee )
[SS] 03/31/2013 - Stephen Drew 7-day DL (3/27) ( Concussion )
[P] 04/01/2013 - Craig Breslow 15-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/01/2013 - Franklin Morales 15-day DL (3/22) ( Back )
[P] 04/06/2013 - John Lackey injured last game, "?" next start ( Bicep )
TORONTO
[3B] 04/02/2013 - Brett Lawrie 15-day DL (3/22) ( Ribs )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Dustin McGowan 15-day DL (3/27) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Michael Schwimer 15-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Drew Hutchison 60-day DL (3/22) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Kyle Drabek 60-day DL (2/25) ( Elbow )
[RF] 04/07/2013 - Jose Bautista is downgraded to doubtful Sunday vs. Boston Red Sox ( Ankle )
[CF] 04/07/2013 - Colby Rasmus is not expected to be in the starting lineup Sunday vs. Boston Red Sox ( Rest )
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