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Matchup Reports

Sunday at 1:10 PM
CHICAGO CUBS (9-14) AT MIAMI (5-19) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
953: CHICAGO CUBS
954: MIAMI
7.0
+107
9-14
5-19
7-16-0
8-15-1
3.3 / 3.9
2.5 / 4.5
(R) C VILLANUEVA
(R) R NOLASCO
1-0
1-2
1.53
3.81
0.75
1.27
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions:   Temperature: °
Humidity:   Wind: 
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
CHICAGO CUBSVILLANUEVA-126 
MIAMINOLASCO +126 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CHICAGO CUBS team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games9-14-3.5141-207-45.91257-1381-264.37-16160-1741243-1285
when the total is 7 or less2-3-0.524-31-3114-115-100-526-22112-94
on the road with a money line of -100 to -1252-1+110-6+3.6148-150-23.90-38-8125-162
in road games6-9-1.961-117-36.5580-741-117.73-1288-84612-650
on the road when the total is 7 or less2-3-0.510-21-6.848-59+0.80-512-1544-52
in April games9-14-3.529-43-11.8192-214-50.47-1634-37200-188
when playing on Sunday0-3-320-34-11.2197-219-36.91-224-29204-200
in day games4-7-2.172-95-18.4684-703-130.93-871-90662-675
in games played on a grass field9-14-3.5141-207-45.91200-1297-242.17-16160-1741179-1214
against right-handed starters7-10-2.1101-153-35.9922-1017-185.87-10124-123911-949
after a win2-6-453-87-26.3591-665-174.92-659-73589-615
after 3 or more consecutive wins0-007-9-1.1137-145-37.10-06-9126-147
when playing against a team with a losing record4-3+0.865-88-25.4625-620-153.73-472-75576-620

MIAMI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games5-19-11.2146-202-50.91269-1381-48.28-15159-1661292-1220
when the total is 7 or less1-6-4.635-42-7.296-117-17.52-430-3793-93
as a home underdog of +100 to +1250-4-415-36-19.2130-180-34.30-420-30136-164
in home games2-10-7.271-100-39.8679-636-24.53-984-77635-619
at home when the total is 7 or less1-2-0.617-16-152-43+1.61-215-1540-44
in April games5-19-11.229-42-13.4195-218-16.78-1531-37205-193
when playing on Sunday0-3-320-33-12.5205-220-3.31-224-25217-183
in day games0-8-838-67-29.9384-415-17.12-546-50391-370
in games played on a grass field5-19-11.2145-197-471165-1257-52.48-15157-1621176-1118
against right-handed starters4-10-3.698-141-38.6915-1029-69.25-8105-116948-898
after a loss5-13-5.279-119-36.5653-721-13.17-1084-96667-632
after 3 or more consecutive losses2-4-1.224-44-19.4176-213-15.32-427-36200-169
when playing against a team with a losing record0-5-5.166-74-14.8591-573-32.20-564-68566-547
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
CHICAGO CUBS - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/14/2013JACKSON(R)SAN FRANCISCOLINCECUM(R)7-10L+1009.5 unO9601380
4/16/2013WOOD(L)TEXASHOLLAND(L)2-4L+1207.5 unU651950
4/18/2013VILLANUEVA(R)TEXASOGANDO(R)6-2W+12510.5 unU13100400
4/19/2013SAMARDZIJA(R)@ MILWAUKEEESTRADA(R)4-5L1007.5 unO1051720
4/20/2013JACKSON(R)@ MILWAUKEEBURGOS(R)1-5L-1058.5 ovU753670
4/21/2013FELDMAN(R)@ MILWAUKEEPERALTA(R)2-4L1208.5 evU562331
4/22/2013WOOD(L)@ CINCINNATILEAKE(R)4-5L1508.5 unO11120993
4/23/2013VILLANUEVA(R)@ CINCINNATICINGRANI(L)4-2W1607.5 ovU951672
4/24/2013SAMARDZIJA(R)@ CINCINNATILATOS(R)0-1L1557 evU550870
4/25/2013JACKSON(R)@ MIAMISLOWEY(R)4-3W-1157.5 unU640691
4/26/2013FELDMAN(R)@ MIAMILEBLANC(L)4-2W1007.5 unU1060970
4/27/2013WOOD(L)@ MIAMISANABIA(R)3-2W-1157.5 unU860551
4/28/2013VILLANUEVA(R)@ MIAMINOLASCO(R) 
4/29/2013SAMARDZIJA(R)SAN DIEGORICHARD(L) 
4/30/2013JACKSON(R)SAN DIEGOVOLQUEZ(R) 
5/1/2013FELDMAN(R)SAN DIEGOCASHNER(R) 
5/2/2013WOOD(L)SAN DIEGOSTULTS(L) 
5/3/2013 CINCINNATI  
5/4/2013 CINCINNATI  
5/5/2013 CINCINNATI  

MIAMI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/14/2013SLOWEY(R)PHILADELPHIAHALLADAY(R)1-2L+1207.5 unU55012100
4/15/2013LEBLANC(L)WASHINGTONZIMMERMANN(R)3-10L+1707 ovO6401660
4/16/2013SANABIA(R)WASHINGTONHAREN(R)8-2W+1508 unO1140871
4/17/2013NOLASCO(R)WASHINGTONDETWILER(L)1-6L+1357.5 unU7711171
4/18/2013FERNANDEZ(R)@ CINCINNATICINGRANI(L)1-11L1757.5 ovO6721280
4/19/2013SLOWEY(R)@ CINCINNATILATOS(R)2-1W2307.5 unU750540
4/20/2013LEBLANC(L)@ CINCINNATIARROYO(R)2-3L2008 unU87013171
4/21/2013SANABIA(R)@ CINCINNATIBAILEY(R)6-10L2258 unO11821180
4/23/2013FERNANDEZ(R)@ MINNESOTACORREIA(R)3-4L1407.5 unU650760
4/23/2013NOLASCO(R)@ MINNESOTAPELFREY(R)8-5W1357.5 unO1691980
4/25/2013SLOWEY(R)CHICAGO CUBSJACKSON(R)3-4L+1057.5 unU691640
4/26/2013LEBLANC(L)CHICAGO CUBSFELDMAN(R)2-4L-1107.5 unU9701060
4/27/2013SANABIA(R)CHICAGO CUBSWOOD(L)2-3L+1057.5 unU551860
4/28/2013NOLASCO(R)CHICAGO CUBSVILLANUEVA(R) 
4/29/2013FERNANDEZ(R)NY METSHARVEY(R) 
4/30/2013SLOWEY(R)NY METSHEFNER(R) 
5/1/2013LEBLANC(L)NY METSGEE(R) 
5/2/2013SANABIA(R)@ PHILADELPHIAKENDRICK(R) 
5/3/2013 @ PHILADELPHIA  
5/4/2013 @ PHILADELPHIA  
5/5/2013 @ PHILADELPHIA  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CHICAGO CUBS - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games9-14-3.57-163.30.2300.2763.90.2240.298
Road Games6-9-1.93-122.60.2080.2493.30.2030.279
vs Right-handed Starters7-10-2.27-103.70.2380.2884.20.2200.297
Past 7 Games4-3+1.61-63.00.2190.2662.70.2010.282
Grass Games9-14-3.57-163.30.2300.2763.90.2240.298
Day Games4-7-2.13-83.50.2280.2824.10.2220.297
CHICAGO CUBS - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.30.2300.2762378318072280.0472501881614421182321
Road Games2.60.2080.2491550610537170.033828127118713121216
Righty Starters3.70.2380.2881759214159220.045941140911514141617
CHICAGO CUBS - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.921.35562272759525554-37558.3%
Road Games3.031.29338.7131333317342-26366.7%

MIAMI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games5-19-11.28-152.50.2200.2754.50.2690.336
Home Games2-10-7.23-92.10.1870.2514.00.2750.317
vs Right-handed Starters4-10-3.65-83.40.2350.2834.40.2690.332
Past 7 Games1-6-4.82-53.70.2450.2964.70.2590.330
Grass Games5-19-11.28-152.50.2200.2754.50.2690.336
Day Games0-8-82-52.40.2360.2834.70.2730.356
MIAMI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games2.50.2200.275247911744490.0159601621015725192010
Home Games2.10.1870.25112375701640.01243264772139104
Righty Starters3.40.2350.283144731113060.01483282888137135
MIAMI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.571.41380.7444178836752-62250%
Home Games2.751.19539.313123839301-3010%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
CARLOS VILLANUEVA recent results and season statistics
CARLOS VILLANUEVA - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts1.530.7501-0429.37.3551646213-1+3.21-3
Road Starts1.800.8670-02157.533924121-1+0.61-1
Last 3 Starts1.590.6181-0322.77.6441034153-0+4.20-3
CARLOS VILLANUEVA - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/23/2013at CINCINNATI4-2+1607.5Win,Under 8.3223126CINGRANI(L)
4/18/2013TEXAS6-2+12510.5Win,UnderW7224216OGANDO(R)
4/12/2013SAN FRANCISCO4-3+1309.5Win,Under 7.3003013CAIN(R)

RICKY NOLASCO recent results and season statistics
RICKY NOLASCO - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.811.2711-2528.35.713122937191-4-2.62-3
Home Starts3.751.2500-12126.055141170-2-20-2
Last 3 Starts3.711.2941-13175.7872012111-2-0.61-2
RICKY NOLASCO - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/23/2013at MINNESOTA8-5+1357.5Win,OverW5326014PELFREY(R)
4/17/2013WASHINGTON1-6+1357.5Loss,UnderL6447106DETWILER(L)
4/12/2013PHILADELPHIA1-3+1158Loss,Under 6117011LANNAN(L)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO CUBS is 8-7 (+1.9 Units) against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)
Games this season
CHICAGO CUBS is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against MIAMI this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

All games at MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO CUBS is 5-3 (+2.8 Units) against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.9 Units)
Games played at MIAMI this season.
CHICAGO CUBS is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against MIAMI this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
4/27/2013CHICAGO CUBS3-115  80060WOOD(L)W6231
 MIAMI2+1057.5 unUnder52051SANABIA(R)L6.7362
4/26/2013CHICAGO CUBS4+100  102160FELDMAN(R)W6.7272
 MIAMI2-1107.5 unUnder91070LEBLANC(L)L6481
4/25/2013CHICAGO CUBS4-115  62040JACKSON(R) 6354
 MIAMI3+1057.5 unUnder60291SLOWEY(R) 6350
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
CARLOS VILLANUEVA vs. MIAMI since 1997
VILLANUEVA is 0-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 7.36 and a WHIP of 1.636.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)
CARLOS VILLANUEVA recent starts vs. MIAMI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/8/2008at FLORIDA2-7-1259.5Loss,UnderL57710226HENDRICKSON(L)
4/26/2008FLORIDA4-3-15010Win,Under 6226105HENDRICKSON(L)

RICKY NOLASCO vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
NOLASCO is 3-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.98 and a WHIP of 1.213.
His team's record is 4-3 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-1.2 units)
RICKY NOLASCO recent starts vs. CHICAGO CUBS
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/19/2012CHICAGO CUBS5-3-1507Win,OverW5.3338034SAMARDZIJA(R)
7/15/2011at CHICAGO CUBS1-2-1057.5Loss,UnderL7207017DEMPSTER(R)
5/18/2011CHICAGO CUBS5-7-1457.5Loss,Over 6549125DEMPSTER(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring MIAMI in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CHICAGO CUBS games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1026, 2.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CHICAGO CUBS games 55.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (158-125, +21.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 51.4% of the time since 1997. (1072-1014, -60.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 54.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (156-129, +17.2 units)
Edge=CHICAGO CUBS
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CHICAGO CUBS games 50.9% of the time since 1997. (919-885, -101.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CHICAGO CUBS games 56.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (118-90, +16.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 49.8% of the time since 1997. (799-806, -123.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 50% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (79-79, -9.8 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CHICAGO CUBS
[P] 04/02/2013 - Matt Garza 15-day DL (3/22) ( Side )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Arodys Vizcaino 60-day DL (3/27) ( Elbow )
[3B] 04/02/2013 - Ian Stewart 15-day DL (3/22) ( Quad )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Scott Baker 60-day DL (3/31) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/13/2013 - Kyuji Fujikawa 15-day DL (4/13) ( Forearm )
[C] 04/14/2013 - Steve Clevenger 15-day DL (4/14) ( Oblique )
MIAMI
No significant injuries.
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