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Page last updated on Sun Jul 23 16:38:41 EDT 2017
Matchup Reports

Thursday at 2:20 PM
CINCINNATI (19-20) AT CHICAGO CUBS (20-19) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
903: CINCINNATI
904: CHICAGO CUBS
10.5
-211
19-20
20-19
22-15-2
24-14-1
4.9 / 4.8
4.8 / 4.6
(L) A GARRETT
(L) J LESTER
3-2
1-2
4.25
3.45
1.19
1.40
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 54.0 °
Humidity: 51   Wind: Southwest at 11.5 MPH (10 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
CINCINNATIGARRETT +190 
CHICAGO CUBSLESTER-190 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games19-20+2.4150-213-37.31585-1704-85.122-15192-1531555-1558
as a road underdog of +175 to +2500-1-111-29-763-125-0.31-019-2080-99
in road games7-10+0.267-112-22.2755-887+14.410-590-82746-813
on the road when the total is 10 to 10.50-003-1+3.667-74+10.90-00-368-68
in May games8-7+0.827-43-16.2285-294-12.68-739-27279-272
when playing on Thursday3-2+116-20-0.9183-177+12.31-421-14172-167
against division opponents11-13+1.276-100-2.6765-779+0.716-697-68740-712
in day games7-7+1.750-71-13.4558-587-14.98-563-52539-536
against left-handed starters3-4-1.232-51-12.8429-464-32.73-442-37414-437
after a loss8-11-0.685-124-20.3820-865-3.814-4112-90818-786
after 3 or more consecutive losses2-4-0.826-47-15.8196-250-40.86-039-33229-199
when playing against a team with a winning record6-5+2.869-118-25.4690-871-46.57-4100-78727-748

CHICAGO CUBS team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games20-19-7.3235-153+15.11619-1705-261.124-14183-1861565-1615
as a home favorite of -175 to -2505-2+0.743-21-0.6148-90-357-029-34111-122
in home games9-9-5.3122-70+6865-796-15512-682-103785-813
at home when the total is 10 to 10.50-2-4.23-6-8.686-78-13.82-03-679-82
in May games7-8-3.139-32-4.9280-287-45.410-535-35254-287
when playing on Thursday3-0+325-10+9.7179-184-28.52-121-14185-161
against division opponents13-10-2.7113-66+17774-775-102.915-795-75743-737
in day games7-9-6.592-67-12.5832-853-158.510-682-70803-818
against left-handed starters6-3+2.658-38+6.3428-438-60.45-442-50407-420
after a win10-9-2.2140-90+10.4780-834-183.111-8106-111761-779
when playing against a team with a losing record6-6-4.4100-64-8.2782-747-157.88-478-78703-760
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/4/2017ADLEMAN(R)PITTSBURGHNOVA(R)4-2W-1158 evU1160760
5/5/2017ARROYO(R)SAN FRANCISCOCAIN(R)13-3W-1159 ovO16151752
5/6/2017GARRETT(L)SAN FRANCISCOBLACH(L)14-2W-1309 ovO1881571
5/7/2017FELDMAN(R)SAN FRANCISCOCUETO(R)4-0W+1008.5 ovU750451
5/8/2017DAVIS(R)NY YANKEESTANAKA(R)4-10L+1308.5 ovO116113112
5/9/2017ADLEMAN(R)NY YANKEESSABATHIA(L)5-3W+1009 unU880781
5/11/2017ARROYO(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOBLACH(L)3-2W1058 ovU7501190
5/12/2017FELDMAN(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOCUETO(R)2-3L1407 evU111601260
5/13/2017BONILLA(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOMOORE(L)1-3L1108.5 evU8110641
5/14/2017ADLEMAN(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOSAMARDZIJA(R)3-8L1308 evO1162970
5/16/2017ARROYO(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSLACKEY(R)5-9L17012 unO10801371
5/17/2017FELDMAN(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSHENDRICKS(R)5-7L15511.5 unO971660
5/18/2017GARRETT(L)@ CHICAGO CUBSLESTER(L) 
5/19/2017BONILLA(R)COLORADOANDERSON(L) 
5/20/2017ADLEMAN(R)COLORADOSENZATELA(R) 
5/21/2017ARROYO(R)COLORADOFREELAND(L) 
5/22/2017FELDMAN(R)CLEVELANDTOMLIN(R) 
5/23/2017GARRETT(L)CLEVELANDCARRASCO(R) 
5/24/2017 @ CLEVELAND  
5/25/2017 @ CLEVELAND  

CHICAGO CUBS - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/4/2017LACKEY(R)PHILADELPHIAEFLIN(R)5-4W-1757 unO1311115142
5/5/2017HENDRICKS(R)NY YANKEESPINEDA(R)2-3L-1206.5 ovU4601192
5/6/2017ANDERSON(L)NY YANKEESMONTGOMERY(L)6-11L-1307.5 unO7721471
5/7/2017LESTER(L)NY YANKEESSEVERINO(R)4-5L-1257 unO1118210110
5/9/2017ARRIETA(R)@ COLORADOSENZATELA(R)4-10L-14510.5 ovO8811570
5/9/2017LACKEY(R)@ COLORADOFREELAND(L)8-1W-13510.5 evU861692
5/10/2017HENDRICKS(R)@ COLORADOMARQUEZ(R)0-3L-12510 unU341650
5/12/2017BUTLER(R)@ ST LOUISLEAKE(R)3-2W1208.5 evU691471
5/13/2017LESTER(L)@ ST LOUISMARTINEZ(R)3-5L1057.5 ovO672851
5/14/2017ARRIETA(R)@ ST LOUISWAINWRIGHT(R)0-5L-1158.5 evU4601280
5/16/2017LACKEY(R)CINCINNATIARROYO(R)9-5W-18012 unO13711080
5/17/2017HENDRICKS(R)CINCINNATIFELDMAN(R)7-5W-16511.5 unO660971
5/18/2017LESTER(L)CINCINNATIGARRETT(L) 
5/19/2017BUTLER(R)MILWAUKEEPERALTA(R) 
5/20/2017ARRIETA(R)MILWAUKEEANDERSON(R) 
5/21/2017LACKEY(R)MILWAUKEENELSON(R) 
5/22/2017HENDRICKS(R)SAN FRANCISCOBLACH(L) 
5/23/2017LESTER(L)SAN FRANCISCOCUETO(R) 
5/24/2017 SAN FRANCISCO  
5/25/2017 SAN FRANCISCO  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPSLGOPSRunsAvgOBPSLGOPS
All Games19-20+2.522-154.90.2610.3230.4360.7604.80.2350.3160.4070.723
Road Games7-10+0.210-54.50.2620.3240.4340.7585.10.2490.3300.4060.736
vs Left-handed Starters3-4-1.23-44.70.2470.3060.4090.7154.00.2340.3090.4270.736
Past 7 Games2-5-33-43.40.2430.3070.3570.6645.00.2560.3210.4640.785
Grass Games19-20+2.522-154.90.2610.3230.4360.7604.80.2350.3160.4070.723
Day Games7-7+1.78-54.80.2830.3290.4900.8195.00.2400.3260.4250.751
Division11-13+1.216-65.00.2600.3200.4470.7675.70.2400.3320.4230.755
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABH2B3BHRSLGRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.90.2610.3233913663576815470.4361841253003528232173417
Road Games4.50.2620.32417629165336210.4347457124151401381311
Lefty Starters4.70.2470.30672476112280.4093121585484185
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.201.135160.3615711417681677-410471.4%
Road Games2.481.07372.7222049629714-14180%

CHICAGO CUBS - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPSLGOPSRunsAvgOBPSLGOPS
All Games20-19-7.324-144.80.2380.3200.3910.7114.60.2460.3160.4060.722
Home Games9-9-5.312-64.70.2390.3220.3940.7164.90.2450.3160.4230.739
vs Left-handed Starters6-3+2.65-46.30.2520.3470.4320.7794.80.2560.3300.4070.737
Past 7 Games4-4-0.64-44.20.2080.2990.3540.6534.50.2650.3310.4050.736
Grass Games20-19-7.324-144.80.2380.3200.3910.7114.60.2460.3160.4060.722
Day Games7-9-6.510-64.50.2280.3000.3910.6914.90.2660.3260.4430.769
Division13-10-2.715-75.40.2540.3320.4130.7454.70.2390.3110.4200.731
CHICAGO CUBS - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABH2B3BHRSLGRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.80.2380.320391380329638440.3911771653441530531313928
Home Games4.70.2390.32218637152306190.39481781571014414152217
Lefty Starters6.30.2520.347931780153120.43253469037038132
CHICAGO CUBS - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.081.182146.3595011119621585-79564.3%
Home Games3.631.17484.33934641235794-43537.5%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
AMIR GARRETT recent results and season statistics
AMIR GARRETT - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.251.1943-26366.0181729614284-2+2.93-3
Road Starts6.191.3122-13165.312111546102-1+1.92-1
Last 3 Starts7.161.5921-1316.35.414131551172-1+0.92-1
AMIR GARRETT - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/6/2017SAN FRANCISCO14-2-1309Win,OverW6225042BLACH(L)
5/1/2017PITTSBURGH4-3+1008.5Win,Under 7222234COLE(R)
4/24/2017at MILWAUKEE7-11-1108.5Loss,OverL3.31098341GARZA(R)

JON LESTER recent results and season statistics
JON LESTER - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.451.4041-28475.9221846520493-5-3.75-2
Home Starts1.440.9601-04256.26414110242-2-0.92-2
Last 3 Starts3.061.3581-1317.75.99613211231-2-1.23-0
JON LESTER - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/13/2017at ST LOUIS3-5+1057.5Loss,OverL5.7436149MARTINEZ(R)
5/7/2017NY YANKEES4-5-1257Loss,Over 7213029SEVERINO(R)
5/2/2017PHILADELPHIA8-3-2007.5Win,OverW5324155HELLICKSON(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO CUBS is 32-11 (+13.2 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
30 of 40 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+19.8 Units)
Games this season
CHICAGO CUBS is 4-1 (+2.2 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.2 Units)

All games at CHICAGO CUBS over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO CUBS is 15-6 (+3.9 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
13 of 21 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.5 Units)
Games played at CHICAGO CUBS this season.
CHICAGO CUBS is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
5/17/2017CINCINNATI5+155 Over91171FELDMAN(R)L2.7553
 CHICAGO CUBS7-16511.5 unWin60060HENDRICKS(R)W6262
5/16/2017CINCINNATI5+170 Over103080ARROYO(R)L5582
 CHICAGO CUBS9-18012 unWin134071LACKEY(R)W5.3372
4/23/2017CHICAGO CUBS5-180 Over91032LACKEY(R)L6562
 CINCINNATI7+1709 ovWin61141ARROYO(R)W6230
4/22/2017CHICAGO CUBS12-175  93061ARRIETA(R)W6480
 CINCINNATI8+1657.5 evOver142060REED(L)L2745
4/21/2017CHICAGO CUBS6-180  103090LESTER(L) 5.7592
 CINCINNATI5+1708.5 unOver101190ADLEMAN(R) 6242
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
AMIR GARRETT vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.
AMIR GARRETT recent starts vs. CHICAGO CUBS
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
No recent games found.

JON LESTER vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
LESTER is 3-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.72 and a WHIP of 1.025.
His team's record is 9-1 (+6.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-2. (+4.9 units)
JON LESTER recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/21/2017at CINCINNATI6-5-1808.5Win,Over 5.7559124ADLEMAN(R)
10/1/2016at CINCINNATI4-7-2208.5Loss,OverL5556136ADLEMAN(R)
9/20/2016CINCINNATI6-1-2708Win,UnderW7116005SMITH(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring CINCINNATI in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1356, -117.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 51.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (163-156, -15.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CHICAGO CUBS games 52.2% of the time since 1997. (1430-1312, -7.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CHICAGO CUBS games 53.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (182-161, +0.1 units)
Edge=CHICAGO CUBS
 
The betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 51.5% of the time since 1997. (1121-1055, -84.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 47.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (153-169, -42.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CHICAGO CUBS games 51.7% of the time since 1997. (1252-1171, -94.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CHICAGO CUBS games 57.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (202-151, +29.8 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CINCINNATI
[C] 05/17/2017 - Devin Mesoraco "?" Thursday vs. Chicago Cubs ( Hamstring )
[P] 05/16/2017 - Tim Adleman "?" for next scheduled start ( Neck )
[P] 04/21/2017 - Tony Cingrani 10-day DL (4/19) ( Oblique )
[P] 04/16/2017 - Brandon Finnegan 60-day DL (4/16) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/03/2017 - Nefi Ogando 10-day DL (3/30) ( Hand )
[P] 04/02/2017 - Nick Travieso 60-day DL (4/2) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/02/2017 - Anthony DeSclafa 60-day DL (4/2) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/02/2017 - Austin Brice 10-day DL (4/2) ( Undisclosed )
[P] 03/31/2017 - Homer Bailey 60-day DL ( Elbow )
CHICAGO CUBS
[RF] 05/08/2017 - Jason Heyward 10-day DL (5/6) ( Hand )
[P] 05/07/2017 - Brett Anderson 10-day DL (5/6) ( Back )
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