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Matchup Reports

Sunday at 2:20 PM
CINCINNATI (17-14) AT CHICAGO CUBS (11-19) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
907: CINCINNATI
908: CHICAGO CUBS
7.0
+127
17-14
11-19
17-13-1
11-19-0
4.5 / 3.7
3.6 / 4.3
(R) M LATOS
(R) E JACKSON
2-0
0-4
1.83
6.27
1.09
1.61
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 54.0 °
Humidity: 51   Wind: Southwest at 11.5 MPH (10 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
CINCINNATILATOS-157 
CHICAGO CUBSJACKSON +157 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in May games2-1+133-27+3228-230-4.52-131-25215-220
when playing on Sunday3-1+1.435-22+9195-222-28.93-029-22195-190
against division opponents6-8-3.697-75+5.3615-616+5.97-775-84578-574
in day games9-6+1.875-58+7.5449-473-7.210-467-56433-429
in games played on a grass field17-14-0.5194-164-0.61057-1134-15.817-13164-1701014-1050
against right-handed starters10-10-2.9137-120-5.9926-976-16.711-9114-125895-896
after a win10-6+1.899-97-18.3625-663-32.610-683-95581-629
when playing against a team with a losing record9-7-1.2109-82-0.8669-601-13.49-785-92595-598
in all games17-14-0.5196-165+1.21288-1348-25.517-13164-1721234-1255
when the total is 7 or less7-3+3.831-26+4.443-62-13.23-622-2840-49
as a road favorite of -125 to -1500-1-1.427-17+4.267-47+4.40-117-2546-62
in road games5-10-691-88+0.9620-695+558-676-94585-658
on the road when the total is 7 or less4-3+0.826-24+1.838-56-11.82-419-2535-44

CHICAGO CUBS team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in day games4-11-6.672-99-22.8684-707-135.46-974-91665-676
in games played on a grass field11-19-7.2143-212-49.61202-1302-245.811-19164-1771183-1217
against right-handed starters8-13-4.6102-156-38.4923-1020-188.210-11127-124914-950
after a loss8-10-0.889-120-18.1666-711-83.37-11102-101654-665
after 3 or more consecutive losses3-2+1.728-41-6.5162-210-41.33-238-29192-166
when playing against a team with a winning record3-11-767-106-16.8555-675-94.56-880-85589-588
in all games11-19-7.2143-212-49.61259-1386-26811-19164-1771247-1288
when the total is 7 or less2-6-3.824-34-6.3114-118-13.33-529-22115-94
as a home underdog of +125 to +1502-0+2.615-22-2.355-59+14.50-213-2352-57
in home games5-9-4.282-94-12677-644-151.17-775-93634-636
at home when the total is 7 or less0-2-2.114-12+1.666-58-12.92-016-770-42
in May games1-3-2.322-36-13.8218-228-41.82-230-28194-231
when playing on Sunday0-4-4.220-35-12.4197-220-38.12-225-29205-200
against division opponents4-9-4.269-106-29.7610-625-106.76-786-85588-591
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/21/2013BAILEY(R)MIAMISANABIA(R)10-6W-2458 unO11801182
4/22/2013LEAKE(R)CHICAGO CUBSWOOD(L)5-4W-1608.5 unO99311120
4/23/2013CINGRANI(L)CHICAGO CUBSVILLANUEVA(R)2-4L-1707.5 ovU672951
4/24/2013LATOS(R)CHICAGO CUBSSAMARDZIJA(R)1-0W-1657 evU870550
4/25/2013ARROYO(R)@ WASHINGTONGONZALEZ(L)1-8L1257.5 unO1221260
4/26/2013BAILEY(R)@ WASHINGTONZIMMERMANN(R)0-1L1157 evU130631
4/27/2013LEAKE(R)@ WASHINGTONHAREN(R)3-6L-1058 unO9611081
4/28/2013CINGRANI(L)@ WASHINGTONDETWILER(L)5-2W-1057 ovP11101582
4/29/2013LATOS(R)@ ST LOUISWAINWRIGHT(R)2-1W1207 unU6507100
4/30/2013ARROYO(R)@ ST LOUISGARCIA(L)1-2L1307.5 ovU740740
5/1/2013BAILEY(R)@ ST LOUISLYNN(R)2-4L1057 ovU6501071
5/3/2013LEAKE(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSVILLANUEVA(R)6-5W1007 unO910015121
5/4/2013CINGRANI(L)@ CHICAGO CUBSSAMARDZIJA(R)6-4W-1157 unO680321
5/5/2013LATOS(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSJACKSON(R) 
5/6/2013ARROYO(R)ATLANTAMAHOLM(L) 
5/7/2013BAILEY(R)ATLANTAMEDLEN(R) 
5/8/2013LEAKE(R)ATLANTAMINOR(L) 
5/10/2013CINGRANI(L)MILWAUKEEGALLARDO(R) 
5/11/2013LATOS(R)MILWAUKEEESTRADA(R) 
5/12/2013 MILWAUKEE  

CHICAGO CUBS - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/21/2013FELDMAN(R)@ MILWAUKEEPERALTA(R)2-4L1208.5 evU562331
4/22/2013WOOD(L)@ CINCINNATILEAKE(R)4-5L1508.5 unO11120993
4/23/2013VILLANUEVA(R)@ CINCINNATICINGRANI(L)4-2W1607.5 ovU951672
4/24/2013SAMARDZIJA(R)@ CINCINNATILATOS(R)0-1L1557 evU550870
4/25/2013JACKSON(R)@ MIAMISLOWEY(R)4-3W-1157.5 unU640691
4/26/2013FELDMAN(R)@ MIAMILEBLANC(L)4-2W1007.5 unU1060970
4/27/2013WOOD(L)@ MIAMISANABIA(R)3-2W-1157.5 unU860551
4/28/2013VILLANUEVA(R)@ MIAMINOLASCO(R)4-6L-1157 ovO750730
4/29/2013SAMARDZIJA(R)SAN DIEGORICHARD(L)5-3W-1609 unU10618110
4/30/2013JACKSON(R)SAN DIEGOVOLQUEZ(R)7-13L-12510.5 ovO11621780
5/1/2013FELDMAN(R)SAN DIEGOCASHNER(R)6-2W+1059 evU991331
5/2/2013WOOD(L)SAN DIEGOSTULTS(L)2-4L-1257.5 unU990760
5/3/2013VILLANUEVA(R)CINCINNATILEAKE(R)5-6L-1107 unO151219100
5/4/2013SAMARDZIJA(R)CINCINNATICINGRANI(L)4-6L+1057 unO321680
5/5/2013JACKSON(R)CINCINNATILATOS(R) 
5/6/2013FELDMAN(R)TEXASTEPESCH(R) 
5/7/2013WOOD(L)ST LOUISLYNN(R) 
5/8/2013VILLANUEVA(R)ST LOUISWESTBROOK(R) 
5/10/2013SAMARDZIJA(R)@ WASHINGTONDETWILER(L) 
5/11/2013JACKSON(R)@ WASHINGTONSTRASBURG(R) 
5/12/2013 @ WASHINGTON  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games17-14-0.517-134.50.2420.3223.70.2400.291
Road Games5-10-68-63.50.2170.3024.70.2760.328
vs Right-handed Starters10-10-2.911-94.20.2310.3113.70.2540.308
Past 7 Games4-3+1.23-33.60.2370.3123.40.2480.308
Grass Games17-14-0.517-134.50.2420.3223.70.2400.291
Day Games9-6+1.910-44.90.2550.3424.70.2500.309
Division6-8-3.67-73.70.2280.3184.40.2670.316
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.50.2420.32231106025782280.03130125243823432142513
Road Games3.50.2170.302154881063390.0252591083104176127
Righty Starters4.20.2310.3112065815248190.03787615751382041210
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.891.20790.34239781331877-78280%
Road Games5.541.56439242443518262-34180%

CHICAGO CUBS - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games11-19-7.211-193.60.2390.2884.30.2280.304
Home Games5-9-4.27-74.70.2740.3315.20.2530.329
vs Right-handed Starters8-13-4.610-114.00.2490.3024.70.2280.303
Past 7 Games2-5-3.74-34.70.2690.3285.70.2390.322
Grass Games11-19-7.211-193.60.2390.2884.30.2280.304
Day Games4-11-6.66-93.50.2330.2864.50.2230.307
Division4-9-4.26-73.10.2140.2613.80.2080.299
CHICAGO CUBS - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.60.2390.288301021244100380.04105712202319328242625
Home Games4.70.2740.3311448113260200.04634191121011512148
Righty Starters4.00.2490.3022173418376270.0481551551414718181720
CHICAGO CUBS - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.611.46280414179938665-48753.3%
Home Games5.951.62739.3262643421323-22433.3%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
MAT LATOS recent results and season statistics
MAT LATOS - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts1.831.0932-0639.36.61183538374-2+0.23-3
Road Starts1.931.2321-0318.76.2741815152-1+0.72-1
Last 3 Starts0.451.0002-03206.7111505182-1-0.30-3
MAT LATOS - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/29/2013at ST LOUIS2-1+1207Win,UnderW6005034WAINWRIGHT(R)
4/24/2013CHICAGO CUBS1-0-1657Win,UnderW7004014SAMARDZIJA(R)
4/19/2013MIAMI1-2-2557.5Loss,Under 71160110SLOWEY(R)

EDWIN JACKSON recent results and season statistics
EDWIN JACKSON - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts6.271.6060-46335.5282336217341-5-4.43-3
Home Starts9.562.1870-23165.3181724111210-3-3.43-0
Last 3 Starts6.481.6200-2316.75.616122027141-2-1.31-2
EDWIN JACKSON - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/30/2013SAN DIEGO7-13-12510.5Loss,OverL4.78811126VOLQUEZ(R)
4/25/2013at MIAMI4-3-1157.5Win,Under 6335044SLOWEY(R)
4/20/2013at MILWAUKEE1-5-1058.5Loss,UnderL6514114BURGOS(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 27-12 (+10.7 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS over the last 3 seasons
22 of 38 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+5.2 Units)
Games this season
CINCINNATI is 4-1 (+2.3 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)

All games at CHICAGO CUBS over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 14-7 (+5.5 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS over the last 3 seasons
10 of 20 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-1.4 Units)
Games played at CHICAGO CUBS this season.
CINCINNATI is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
5/4/2013CINCINNATI6-115  61080CINGRANI(L) 6431
 CHICAGO CUBS4+1057 unOver32021SAMARDZIJA(R) 6143
5/3/2013CINCINNATI6+100  900100LEAKE(R)W5.7290
 CHICAGO CUBS5-1107 unOver1501121VILLANUEVA(R)L5.7472
4/24/2013CHICAGO CUBS0+155 Under50050SAMARDZIJA(R)L6173
 CINCINNATI1-1657 evWin81070LATOS(R)W7041
4/23/2013CHICAGO CUBS4+160  92451VILLANUEVA(R) 8.3232
 CINCINNATI2-1707.5 ovUnder61072CINGRANI(L) 7250
4/22/2013CHICAGO CUBS4+150 Over1121120WOOD(L) 6.3242
 CINCINNATI5-1608.5 unWin91193LEAKE(R) 7282
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
MAT LATOS vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
LATOS is 3-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.58 and a WHIP of 1.122.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.1 units)
MAT LATOS recent starts vs. CHICAGO CUBS
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/24/2013CHICAGO CUBS1-0-1657Win,UnderW7004014SAMARDZIJA(R)
8/19/2012CHICAGO CUBS5-4-2558Win,Over 8426036VOLSTAD(R)
9/26/2011CHICAGO CUBS2-0-1806.5Win,UnderW7002019COLEMAN(R)

EDWIN JACKSON vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
JACKSON is 1-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 0.857.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)
EDWIN JACKSON recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/13/2012at CINCINNATI6-9+1157.5Loss,Over 5335204ARROYO(R)
4/14/2012CINCINNATI4-1-1058Win,UnderW9112019BAILEY(R)
9/4/2011CINCINNATI2-3-1608.5Loss,Under 7228128ARROYO(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1082, -106.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 47.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (143-157, -27.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CHICAGO CUBS games 52.1% of the time since 1997. (1118-1029, +3.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CHICAGO CUBS games 55.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (162-128, +22.7 units)
No Edge.
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.4% of the time since 1997. (835-759, -28.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 53.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (108-93, +4.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CHICAGO CUBS games 50.9% of the time since 1997. (921-890, -105.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CHICAGO CUBS games 55.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (120-95, +13.0 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CINCINNATI
[LF] 04/03/2013 - Ryan Ludwick 60-day DL (4/2) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/14/2013 - Johnny Cueto 15-day DL (4/14) ( Side )
[LF] 04/30/2013 - Chris Heisey 15-day DL (4/28) ( Hamstring )
[P] 04/26/2013 - Manny Parra 15-day DL (4/24) ( Undisclosed )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Nick Masset 60-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
[C] 04/21/2013 - Ryan Hanigan 15-day DL (4/20) ( Oblique )
CHICAGO CUBS
[P] 04/02/2013 - Arodys Vizcaino 60-day DL (3/27) ( Elbow )
[3B] 04/02/2013 - Ian Stewart 15-day DL (3/22) ( Quad )
[P] 04/13/2013 - Kyuji Fujikawa 15-day DL (4/13) ( Forearm )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Matt Garza 15-day DL (3/22) ( Side )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Scott Baker 60-day DL (3/31) ( Elbow )
[C] 04/14/2013 - Steve Clevenger 15-day DL (4/14) ( Oblique )
[C] 05/05/2013 - Welington Castillo is not expected to be in the starting lineup Sunday vs. Cincinnati Reds ( Ankle )
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