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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 2:20 PM
CINCINNATI (40-26) AT CHICAGO CUBS (25-38) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
953: CINCINNATI
954: CHICAGO CUBS
7.0
+117
40-26
25-38
37-28-1
30-31-2
4.7 / 3.7
4.0 / 4.3
(R) M LATOS
(R) J SAMARDZIJA
6-0
3-7
2.87
3.18
1.17
1.13
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 54.0 °
Humidity: 51   Wind: Southwest at 11.5 MPH (10 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
CINCINNATILATOS-128 
CHICAGO CUBSSAMARDZIJA +128 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games40-26+7.7219-177+9.51311-1360-17.337-28184-1871254-1270
when the total is 7 or less12-4+836-27+8.548-63-9.18-727-2945-50
on the road with a money line of -100 to -1257-4+2.428-34-10127-123-11.66-425-34106-125
as a road favorite of -125 to -1503-2+0.130-18+5.770-48+5.92-319-2748-64
in road games18-15+1.5104-93+8.4633-700+62.517-1585-103594-667
on the road when the total is 7 or less9-4+4.931-25+5.943-57-7.77-524-2640-45
in June games6-5-0.135-29+2203-231-177-427-36203-216
when playing on Thursday3-2+0.918-19-4.9153-145+13.64-122-12142-141
against division opponents18-12+3.6109-79+12.5627-620+13.116-1484-91587-581
in day games17-10+4.283-62+9.8457-477-4.817-974-61440-434
in games played on a grass field40-26+7.7217-176+7.71080-1146-7.637-28184-1851034-1065
against right-handed starters27-18+3.6154-128+0.6943-984-10.128-17131-133912-904
after a win24-15+4.6113-106-15.4639-672-29.725-1498-103596-637
after 3 or more consecutive wins6-6-3.433-26-2.3156-164-12.28-424-30140-162
when playing against a team with a losing record25-10+10.6125-85+11685-604-1.620-1596-100606-606

CHICAGO CUBS team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games25-38-10.3157-231-52.71273-1405-271.130-31183-1891266-1300
when the total is 7 or less4-11-626-39-8.5116-123-15.57-733-24119-96
as a home underdog of +100 to +1256-12-5.235-42-2.499-143-32.79-834-40123-107
in home games14-21-7.891-106-15.7686-656-154.820-1488-100647-643
at home when the total is 7 or less0-7-7.214-17-3.566-63-185-219-973-44
in June games2-8-623-43-15.5198-243-65.56-429-32203-218
when playing on Thursday4-3+1.516-19-0.2142-158-37.11-519-15150-134
against division opponents7-21-12.372-118-37.8613-637-114.814-1494-92596-598
in day games12-21-6.980-109-23.1692-717-135.714-1882-100673-685
in games played on a grass field25-38-10.3157-231-52.71216-1321-248.930-31183-1891202-1229
against right-handed starters16-25-7.7110-168-41.4931-1032-191.322-18139-131926-957
after a loss15-22-3.696-132-21673-723-86.220-17115-107667-671
after 3 or more consecutive losses6-6+231-45-6.2165-214-418-443-31197-168
when playing against a team with a winning record12-27-1276-122-21.9564-691-99.622-1796-94605-597
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/30/2013BAILEY(R)@ CLEVELANDKAZMIR(L)1-7L-1159 unU8601170
5/31/2013CUETO(R)@ PITTSBURGHRODRIGUEZ(L)6-0W-1107 ovU8120120
6/1/2013LEAKE(R)@ PITTSBURGHLIRIANO(L)2-0W1157.5 unU88010100
6/2/2013LATOS(R)@ PITTSBURGHGOMEZ(R)4-5L-1157.5 ovO9103682
6/3/2013ARROYO(R)COLORADOCHATWOOD(R)3-0W-1308.5 unU980451
6/4/2013BAILEY(R)COLORADONICASIO(R)4-5L-1608.5 unO860840
6/5/2013VILLARREAL(R)COLORADOGARLAND(R)4-12L-1509 ovO5302090
6/7/2013LEAKE(R)ST LOUISWAINWRIGHT(R)2-9L+1158 unO8701671
6/8/2013LATOS(R)ST LOUISLYONS(L)4-2W-1508.5 unU1070991
6/9/2013ARROYO(R)ST LOUISLYNN(R)4-11L+1058 unO6601481
6/10/2013BAILEY(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSFELDMAN(R)6-2W-1207.5 evO931670
6/11/2013CINGRANI(L)@ CHICAGO CUBSGARZA(R)12-2W-1308.5 ovO1671534
6/12/2013LEAKE(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSWOOD(L)2-1W-1158.5 ovU660330
6/13/2013LATOS(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSSAMARDZIJA(R) 
6/14/2013ARROYO(R)MILWAUKEELOHSE(R) 
6/15/2013BAILEY(R)MILWAUKEEGALLARDO(R) 
6/16/2013CUETO(R)MILWAUKEEPERALTA(R) 
6/17/2013LEAKE(R)PITTSBURGHLIRIANO(L) 
6/18/2013LATOS(R)PITTSBURGHMORTON(R) 
6/19/2013ARROYO(R)PITTSBURGHBURNETT(R) 
6/20/2013 PITTSBURGH  

CHICAGO CUBS - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/30/2013WOOD(L)CHI WHITE SOXPEAVY(R)8-3W+11511 evP1161881
5/31/2013GARZA(R)ARIZONAMILEY(L)7-2W-11511 unU720740
6/1/2013SAMARDZIJA(R)ARIZONAKENNEDY(R)4-12L-1409 ovO31017130
6/2/2013JACKSON(R)ARIZONACORBIN(L)4-8L+1157 unO66113121
6/4/2013FELDMAN(R)@ LA ANGELSWEAVER(R)3-4L1707.5 unU880841
6/5/2013GARZA(R)@ LA ANGELSVARGAS(L)8-6W1457.5 evO151111080
6/7/2013WOOD(L)PITTSBURGHLIRIANO(L)0-2L+1057 unU5100791
6/8/2013SAMARDZIJA(R)PITTSBURGHBURNETT(R)2-6L-1107 ovO440930
6/9/2013JACKSON(R)PITTSBURGHLOCKE(L)4-1W+1109 unU680640
6/10/2013FELDMAN(R)CINCINNATIBAILEY(R)2-6L+1107.5 evO670931
6/11/2013GARZA(R)CINCINNATICINGRANI(L)2-12L+1208.5 ovO5341671
6/12/2013WOOD(L)CINCINNATILEAKE(R)1-2L+1058.5 ovU330660
6/13/2013SAMARDZIJA(R)CINCINNATILATOS(R) 
6/14/2013JACKSON(R)@ NY METSMARCUM(R) 
6/15/2013FELDMAN(R)@ NY METSNIESE(L) 
6/16/2013GARZA(R)@ NY METSHEFNER(R) 
6/17/2013WOOD(L)@ ST LOUISMILLER(R) 
6/18/2013SAMARDZIJA(R)@ ST LOUISWAINWRIGHT(R) 
6/19/2013JACKSON(R)@ ST LOUISWESTBROOK(R) 
6/20/2013 @ ST LOUIS  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games40-26+7.737-284.70.2540.3273.70.2390.292
Road Games18-15+1.517-154.20.2460.3203.50.2390.291
vs Right-handed Starters27-18+3.628-174.90.2550.3283.80.2490.305
Past 7 Games4-3+0.55-24.90.2530.3005.60.2860.331
Grass Games40-26+7.737-284.70.2540.3273.70.2390.292
Day Games17-10+4.217-95.10.2580.3414.10.2380.297
Division18-12+3.616-144.60.2450.3254.00.2500.305
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.70.2540.327662253572191680.032932465141849961284923
Road Games4.20.2460.32033112327687300.03135122242824835162313
Righty Starters4.90.2550.328451523389130490.032111653451332842163119
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.071.274183.79083165256919112-1320871.4%
Road Games3.701.32080.3353373833674-610471.4%

CHICAGO CUBS - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games25-38-10.330-314.00.2410.2924.30.2400.306
Home Games14-21-7.820-144.60.2520.3104.80.2620.323
vs Right-handed Starters16-25-7.722-184.20.2470.2984.40.2370.304
Past 7 Games2-5-2.64-32.70.1960.2805.00.2580.304
Grass Games25-38-10.330-314.00.2410.2924.30.2400.306
Day Games12-21-6.914-183.90.2350.2914.00.2320.304
Division7-21-12.314-142.80.2100.2674.20.2320.308
CHICAGO CUBS - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.00.2410.292632123511204670.032391544683639548465146
Home Games4.60.2520.310351151290126450.04151962431821431263422
Righty Starters4.20.2470.298411399346142440.031641022951826331303333
CHICAGO CUBS - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.271.365170.7858116121721468-9111247.8%
Home Games5.231.52194.759551031141873-54640%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
MAT LATOS recent results and season statistics
MAT LATOS - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.871.1696-01384.76.53227777227410-3+5.19-4
Road Starts2.821.1192-0744.76.4181438312365-2+2.76-1
Last 3 Starts1.861.0862-0319.36.4541516192-1+0.82-1
MAT LATOS - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/8/2013ST LOUIS4-2-1508.5Win,UnderW7228005LYONS(L)
6/2/2013at PITTSBURGH4-5-1157.5Loss,Over 6212127GOMEZ(R)
5/28/2013CLEVELAND8-2-1458.5Win,OverW6.3115047MCALLISTER(R)

JEFF SAMARDZIJA recent results and season statistics
JEFF SAMARDZIJA - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.181.1293-713856.5343067829984-9-5.46-6
Home Starts3.621.3391-2637.36.2161535415432-4-2.54-2
Last 3 Starts2.951.1251-1321.37.1771727261-2-1.52-0
JEFF SAMARDZIJA - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/8/2013PITTSBURGH2-6-1107Loss,OverL6448117BURNETT(R)
6/1/2013ARIZONA4-12-1409Loss,Over 6.33371411KENNEDY(R)
5/27/2013at CHI WHITE SOX7-0+1007WinW9002028QUINTANA(L)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 33-13 (+14.9 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS over the last 3 seasons
27 of 45 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+8.1 Units)
Games this season
CINCINNATI is 10-2 (+6.5 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
8 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.7 Units)

All games at CHICAGO CUBS over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 18-7 (+9.5 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS over the last 3 seasons
13 of 24 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.4 Units)
Games played at CHICAGO CUBS this season.
CINCINNATI is 6-0 (+6.0 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.9 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
6/12/2013CINCINNATI2-115  61160LEAKE(R)W8131
 CHICAGO CUBS1+1058.5 ovUnder31030WOOD(L)L7242
6/11/2013CINCINNATI12-130  164071CINGRANI(L)W7241
 CHICAGO CUBS2+1208.5 ovOver51034GARZA(R)L5992
6/10/2013CINCINNATI6-120  91031BAILEY(R)W8042
 CHICAGO CUBS2+1107.5 evOver60070FELDMAN(R)L6570
5/26/2013CHICAGO CUBS5+170  101091GARZA(R) 4444
 CINCINNATI4-1807.5 unOver510111CUETO(R) 7142
5/25/2013CHICAGO CUBS2+160 Under60070WOOD(L)L5.7573
 CINCINNATI5-1707.5 unWin70060BAILEY(R)W6253
5/24/2013CHICAGO CUBS4+140 Over101091FELDMAN(R)L5.3571
 CINCINNATI7-1508 ovWin103040ARROYO(R)W6362
5/5/2013CINCINNATI7-135  110271LATOS(R)W5363
 CHICAGO CUBS4+1257 ovOver80091JACKSON(R)L5481
5/4/2013CINCINNATI6-115  61080CINGRANI(L) 6431
 CHICAGO CUBS4+1057 unOver32021SAMARDZIJA(R) 6143
5/3/2013CINCINNATI6+100  900100LEAKE(R)W5.7290
 CHICAGO CUBS5-1107 unOver1501121VILLANUEVA(R)L5.7472
4/24/2013CHICAGO CUBS0+155 Under50050SAMARDZIJA(R)L6173
 CINCINNATI1-1657 evWin81070LATOS(R)W7041
4/23/2013CHICAGO CUBS4+160  92451VILLANUEVA(R) 8.3232
 CINCINNATI2-1707.5 ovUnder61072CINGRANI(L) 7250
4/22/2013CHICAGO CUBS4+150 Over1121120WOOD(L) 6.3242
 CINCINNATI5-1608.5 unWin91193LEAKE(R) 7282
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
MAT LATOS vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
LATOS is 4-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.91 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 5-2 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-4. (-2.1 units)
MAT LATOS recent starts vs. CHICAGO CUBS
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/5/2013at CHICAGO CUBS7-4-1357Win,OverW5336036JACKSON(R)
4/24/2013CHICAGO CUBS1-0-1657Win,UnderW7004014SAMARDZIJA(R)
8/19/2012CHICAGO CUBS5-4-2558Win,Over 8426036VOLSTAD(R)

JEFF SAMARDZIJA vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
SAMARDZIJA is 1-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 2.55 and a WHIP of 1.135.
His team's record is 1-3 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)
JEFF SAMARDZIJA recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/4/2013CINCINNATI4-6+1057Loss,Over 6214135CINGRANI(L)
4/24/2013at CINCINNATI0-1+1557Loss,UnderL6117138LATOS(R)
8/18/2012at CINCINNATI3-5+1807Loss,OverL5446305CUETO(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring CINCINNATI in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1097, -106.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 48.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (160-172, -28.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CHICAGO CUBS games 52.2% of the time since 1997. (1135-1041, +8.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CHICAGO CUBS games 56.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (179-140, +27.7 units)
Edge=CHICAGO CUBS
 
The betting public is favoring the OVER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.3% of the time since 1997. (851-776, -31.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 53% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (124-110, +0.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CHICAGO CUBS games 50.9% of the time since 1997. (936-904, -105.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CHICAGO CUBS games 55.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (135-109, +12.4 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CINCINNATI
[LF] 04/03/2013 - Ryan Ludwick 60-day DL (4/2) ( Shoulder )
[LF] 04/30/2013 - Chris Heisey 15-day DL (4/28) ( Hamstring )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Nick Masset 60-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/24/2013 - Sean Marshall 15-day DL (5/21) ( Shoulder )
[P] 06/05/2013 - Johnny Cueto 15-day DL (6/1) ( Shoulder )
CHICAGO CUBS
[P] 04/02/2013 - Arodys Vizcaino 60-day DL (3/27) ( Elbow )
[3B] 04/02/2013 - Ian Stewart 15-day DL (3/22) ( Quad )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Scott Baker 60-day DL (3/31) ( Elbow )
[C] 04/14/2013 - Steve Clevenger 15-day DL (4/14) ( Oblique )
[P] 05/22/2013 - Shawn Camp 15-day DL (5/22) ( Toe )
[P] 05/28/2013 - Kyuji Fujikawa 60-day DL (5/27), out for season ( Arm )
[P] 06/08/2013 - Rafael Dolis 15-day DL (6/1) ( Forearm )
[P] 06/12/2013 - Zach Putnam 15-day DL (6/12) ( Elbow )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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