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Page last updated on Thu Jul 19 18:30:24 EDT 2018
Matchup Reports

Wednesday at 1:40 PM
CINCINNATI (3-14) AT MILWAUKEE (9-9) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
903: CINCINNATI
904: MILWAUKEE
9.0
-138
3-14
9-9
7-10-0
8-10-0
3.2 / 5.8
3.4 / 4.4
(R) T MAHLE
(R) Z DAVIES
1-2
0-2
5.62
6.75
1.38
1.50
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 55.0 °
Humidity: 49   Wind: West at 9.2 MPH (8 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
CINCINNATIMAHLE +143 
MILWAUKEEDAVIES-143 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games3-14-10.5139-201-30.91637-1791-111.57-10177-1481623-1626
when the total is 9 to 9.50-7-764-81-7.1620-653-35.62-567-69584-596
as a road underdog of +125 to +1750-4-431-47-0.8265-369+11.90-435-38304-301
in road games2-7-4.861-109-21.7779-935-0.74-588-74781-847
on the road when the total is 9 to 9.50-2-217-36-11.4256-297+8.11-126-25249-268
in April games3-12-8.523-40-12.1252-272-10.56-933-26259-240
when playing on Wednesday0-1-121-29-1.8246-280-22.30-122-25241-259
against division opponents3-8-4.573-90+4.7794-813+2.24-789-66770-745
in day games1-6-4.753-68-2577-620-25.82-563-54564-563
against right-handed starters2-12-9.7115-150-11.61201-1300-61.25-9140-1141190-1176
after getting shut out0-2-26-14-6.187-98-52-09-1082-89
after a loss3-10-6.579-120-18.1853-919-17.17-6106-85862-827

MILWAUKEE team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games9-9+0.5168-174+181621-1811-115.78-10153-1741607-1666
when the total is 9 to 9.53-4-0.878-79+3.3567-651-74.71-658-86550-581
as a home favorite of -125 to -1752-1+0.728-18+2.1348-260-22.11-217-26290-290
in home games3-6-3.288-83+5879-837-49.83-675-88822-813
at home when the total is 9 to 9.52-4-2.155-44+10.7320-347-63.71-531-60296-322
in April games6-9-2.427-37-5.6252-270+2.66-938-25262-245
when playing on Wednesday1-1+0.428-22+9.6234-287-47.90-219-28247-255
against division opponents5-7-1.576-88+2.2772-835-19.75-771-85753-776
in day games2-4-1.860-63+8.9553-652-79.61-557-61580-571
against right-handed starters7-6+1.5119-135-1.71189-1350-94.86-7103-1391167-1250
after shutting out their opponent0-009-10+375-91-13.10-011-874-83
after a win2-6-4.178-87+2.8779-838-47.65-380-75776-762
when playing against a team with a losing record3-6-2.787-85-1.1826-820-71.44-578-82774-775
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/5/2018BAILEY(R)@ PITTSBURGHBRAULT(L)2-5L1358 unU571990
4/6/2018CASTILLO(R)@ PITTSBURGHWILLIAMS(R)3-14L-1208 evO131011571
4/7/2018ROMANO(R)@ PITTSBURGHKUHL(R)7-4W1207.5 ovO1191850
4/8/2018MAHLE(R)@ PITTSBURGHTAILLON(R)0-5L1407.5 ovU1301160
4/9/2018REED(L)@ PHILADELPHIALIVELY(R)5-6L1159 ovO1191650
4/10/2018BAILEY(R)@ PHILADELPHIANOLA(R)1-6L1707.5 ovU341640
4/11/2018CASTILLO(R)@ PHILADELPHIAPIVETTA(R)3-4L1107.5 ovU1181681
4/12/2018ROMANO(R)ST LOUISWACHA(R)4-13L+1409.5 evO77312121
4/13/2018MAHLE(R)ST LOUISWEAVER(R)3-5L+1509.5 unU7621380
4/14/2018FINNEGAN(L)ST LOUISMIKOLAS(R)1-6L+1109 ovU780870
4/15/2018BAILEY(R)ST LOUISMARTINEZ(R)2-3L+1659 unU580513
4/16/2018CASTILLO(R)@ MILWAUKEESUTER(L)10-4W1208 evO1470760
4/17/2018ROMANO(R)@ MILWAUKEEGUERRA(R)0-2L1459 unU371870
4/18/2018MAHLE(R)@ MILWAUKEEDAVIES(R) 
4/20/2018FINNEGAN(L)@ ST LOUISWACHA(R) 
4/21/2018BAILEY(R)@ ST LOUISMIKOLAS(R) 
4/22/2018CASTILLO(R)@ ST LOUISMARTINEZ(R) 
4/23/2018ROMANO(R)ATLANTAMCCARTHY(R) 
4/24/2018MAHLE(R)ATLANTASANCHEZ(R) 
4/25/2018 ATLANTA  

MILWAUKEE - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/4/2018CHACIN(R)ST LOUISMARTINEZ(R)0-6L+1009 evU573961
4/5/2018SUTER(L)CHICAGO CUBSLESTER(L)0-8L+1009 evU45313120
4/6/2018WOODRUFF(R)CHICAGO CUBSHENDRICKS(R)5-4W+1258.5 evO12141782
4/7/2018DAVIES(R)CHICAGO CUBSDARVISH(R)2-5L+1259 unU442890
4/8/2018ANDERSON(R)CHICAGO CUBSQUINTANA(L)0-3L+1058.5 evU341760
4/9/2018CHACIN(R)@ ST LOUISMIKOLAS(R)5-4W1308 evO11111871
4/10/2018SUTER(L)@ ST LOUISMARTINEZ(R)3-5L1557.5 ovO111319130
4/11/2018GUERRA(R)@ ST LOUISWAINWRIGHT(R)3-2W1359.5 unU840750
4/13/2018DAVIES(R)@ NY METSMATZ(L)5-6L1108 ovO1061951
4/14/2018ANDERSON(R)@ NY METSHARVEY(R)5-1W1058 ovU950330
4/15/2018CHACIN(R)@ NY METSSYNDERGAARD(R)2-3L1807 unU4917122
4/16/2018SUTER(L)CINCINNATICASTILLO(R)4-10L-1308 evO7601470
4/17/2018GUERRA(R)CINCINNATIROMANO(R)2-0W-1559 unU870371
4/18/2018DAVIES(R)CINCINNATIMAHLE(R) 
4/19/2018ANDERSON(R)MIAMIPETERS(L) 
4/20/2018CHACIN(R)MIAMIRICHARDS(R) 
4/21/2018SUTER(L)MIAMIURENA(R) 
4/22/2018GUERRA(R)MIAMISMITH(L) 
4/24/2018DAVIES(R)@ KANSAS CITYKENNEDY(R) 
4/25/2018 @ KANSAS CITY  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPSLGOPSRunsAvgOBPSLGOPS
All Games3-14-10.57-103.20.2260.2980.3250.6225.80.2530.3340.4370.771
Road Games2-7-4.84-53.40.2350.3050.3030.6085.60.2530.3230.4170.740
vs Right-handed Starters2-12-9.75-92.60.2200.2900.3100.6005.90.2550.3350.4400.775
Past 7 Games1-6-4.82-53.30.2220.2870.3170.6045.30.2440.3320.4170.749
Grass Games3-14-10.57-103.20.2260.2980.3250.6225.80.2530.3340.4370.771
Day Games1-6-4.72-52.30.1960.2680.3350.6035.00.2390.3230.4290.752
Division3-8-4.54-73.00.2190.3020.3120.6135.50.2670.3450.4330.779
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABH2B3BHRSLGRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.20.2260.29817570129211110.325515816181251512109
Road Games3.40.2350.30593077212030.3033031806649743
Righty Starters2.60.2200.2901446810313190.31036461398106111187
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games5.431.54259.7383656936571-420100%
Road Games4.261.39031.7171527217291-310100%

MILWAUKEE - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPSLGOPSRunsAvgOBPSLGOPS
All Games9-9+0.68-103.40.2370.2920.3700.6624.40.2430.3150.3890.704
Home Games3-6-3.23-62.40.2150.2680.3450.6125.30.2640.3280.4250.752
vs Right-handed Starters7-6+1.66-73.60.2430.3050.3810.6864.20.2360.3090.3760.686
Past 7 Games3-4-0.93-43.40.2360.2940.3880.6823.90.2250.3090.3510.660
Grass Games9-9+0.68-103.40.2370.2920.3700.6624.40.2430.3150.3890.704
Day Games2-4-1.81-52.20.1830.2290.3120.5413.70.2320.3120.3910.703
Division5-7-1.55-72.70.2270.2830.3570.6404.90.2560.3260.3980.724
MILWAUKEE - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABH2B3BHRSLGRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.40.2370.29218629149270190.3705949168111311518166
Home Games2.40.2150.26892936311090.34521219026061254
Righty Starters3.60.2430.30513457111180150.38144411297104811104
MILWAUKEE - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.251.24574.7302761632886-35550%
Home Games3.931.42834.3181534215323-11233.3%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
TYLER MAHLE recent results and season statistics
TYLER MAHLE - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts5.621.3751-23165.310101943141-2-0.70-3
Road Starts9.642.1410-114.74.75592120-1-10-1
Last 3 Starts5.621.3751-23165.310101943141-2-0.70-3
TYLER MAHLE - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/13/2018ST LOUIS3-5+1509.5Loss,UnderL5.3559205WEAVER(R)
4/8/2018at PITTSBURGH0-5+1407.5Loss,UnderL4.7559212TAILLON(R)
4/2/2018CHICAGO CUBS1-0+1308.5Win,UnderW6001027CHATWOOD(R)

ZACH DAVIES recent results and season statistics
ZACH DAVIES - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts6.751.5000-23165.313121945180-3-3.12-1
Home Starts5.401.2850-1211.75.8871223140-2-2.11-1
Last 3 Starts6.751.5000-23165.313121945180-3-3.12-1
ZACH DAVIES - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/13/2018at NY METS5-6+1108Loss,OverL4.3557224MATZ(L)
4/7/2018CHICAGO CUBS2-5+1259Loss,Under 6114138DARVISH(R)
4/2/2018ST LOUIS4-8-1109Loss,OverL5.7768106MIKOLAS(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 20-20 (+2.0 Units) against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
24 of 38 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+8.6 Units)
Games this season
CINCINNATI is 1-1 (+0.2 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

All games at MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 12-8 (+1.3 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
14 of 19 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+8.4 Units)
Games played at MILWAUKEE this season.
CINCINNATI is 1-1 (+0.2 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
4/17/2018CINCINNATI0+145 Under30071ROMANO(R)L5242
 MILWAUKEE2-1559 unWin81070GUERRA(R) 5.7013
4/16/2018CINCINNATI10+120  140070CASTILLO(R)W6.7453
 MILWAUKEE4-1308 evOver70060SUTER(L)L5360
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
TYLER MAHLE vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
No recent starts.
TYLER MAHLE recent starts vs. MILWAUKEE
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
No recent games found.

ZACH DAVIES vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
DAVIES is 2-3 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.72 and a WHIP of 1.324.
His team's record is 4-5 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-7. (-6.2 units)
ZACH DAVIES recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/26/2017CINCINNATI7-6-1959.5Win,Over 4336120MCGUIRE(R)
9/5/2017at CINCINNATI3-9-1309.5Loss,OverL5.7216014STEPHENSON(R)
4/25/2017CINCINNATI9-1-1158.5Win,OverW5006016FELDMAN(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring CINCINNATI in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 50.3% of the time since 1997. (1440-1421, -123.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 48% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (147-159, -33.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 53.6% of the time since 1997. (1501-1297, +83.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 51.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (154-144, -9.4 units)
No Edge.
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 51.7% of the time since 1997. (1189-1111, -78.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 49.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (148-149, -20.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 50.2% of the time since 1997. (1139-1130, -144.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 47.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (148-162, -35.9 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CINCINNATI
[LF] 04/10/2018 - Scott Schebler 10-day DL (04/06) ( Elbow )
[3B] 04/10/2018 - Eugenio Suarez 10-day DL (04/09) ( Thumb )
[P] 03/30/2018 - Michael Lorenzen 10-day DL (03/29) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/30/2018 - David Hernandez 10-day DL (03/29) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/26/2018 - Rookie Davis 60-day DL (03/02) ( Hip )
[P] 03/26/2018 - Kevin Shackelford 10-day DL (03/29) ( Forearm )
[P] 03/26/2018 - Anthony DeSclafani 60-day DL (03/29) ( Oblique )
MILWAUKEE
[CF] 04/18/2018 - Lorenzo Cain is not in the starting lineup Wednesday vs Cincinnati Reds ( Rest )
[1B] 04/18/2018 - Ryan Braun is not in the starting lineup Wednesday vs Cincinnati Reds ( Rest )
[P] 04/06/2018 - Corey Knebel 10-day DL (04/06) ( Hamstring )
[P] 03/29/2018 - Boone Logan 10-day DL (03/26) ( Triceps )
[C] 03/29/2018 - Stephen Vogt 10-day DL (03/26) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/26/2018 - Jimmy Nelson 60-day DL (03/26) ( Shoulder )
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