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Matchup Reports

Friday at 8:10 PM
CINCINNATI (69-52) AT MILWAUKEE (52-69) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
961: CINCINNATI
962: MILWAUKEE
8.0
+125
69-52
52-69
56-61-4
58-60-3
4.3 / 3.6
3.9 / 4.3
(R) M LEAKE
(L) T GORZELANNY
10-5
2-3
2.86
2.57
1.21
1.09
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 55.0 °
Humidity: 49   Wind: West at 9.2 MPH (8 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
CINCINNATILEAKE +115 
MILWAUKEEGORZELANNY-115
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games69-52+3248-203+4.71340-1386-2256-61203-2201273-1303
when the total is 8 to 8.533-24+0.8107-93-11410-438-21.525-3194-95401-416
as a road favorite of -125 to -15010-6+1.937-22+7.577-52+7.75-1122-3551-72
in road games32-31-2.3118-109+4.5647-716+58.627-3395-121604-685
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.57-9-3.238-37-2.2190-214+14.15-1131-42168-220
in August games9-3+4.842-28+8.2234-232+13.56-635-29229-210
when playing on Friday9-10-3.535-34-5.9220-210+14.510-931-33199-207
against division opponents30-21+2.4121-88+11.3639-629+11.923-2791-104594-594
in games played on a grass field69-52+3246-202+2.91109-1172-12.356-61203-2181053-1098
in night games41-31+2.3154-130-1.5867-895-17.132-39122-146823-851
against left-handed starters22-19+0.674-60+5.4377-387-10.714-2558-68347-380
after a win37-31-4.6126-122-24.7652-688-3936-29109-118607-652
after 3 or more consecutive wins8-11-8.835-31-7.7158-169-17.69-1025-36141-168
when playing against a team with a losing record42-20+12.6142-95+13702-614+0.428-34104-119614-625
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season15-8+2.979-49+13398-316+32.87-1649-67324-339

MILWAUKEE team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games52-69-15.5237-220-5.21282-1444-104.658-60231-2081280-1319
when the total is 8 to 8.531-33-2.2125-97+12.8458-465+8.531-32106-109440-456
as a home underdog of +100 to +1258-7+2.220-16+5.8137-155-3.76-917-18138-137
as a home underdog of +125 to +1503-2+1.85-5+1.461-95-12.70-52-874-74
in home games27-32-9.7138-90+25.4706-656-23.529-29122-100656-640
at home when the total is 8 to 8.522-17+2.583-45+24289-223+42.120-1963-63259-237
in August games6-7+2.143-26+16.5217-243-11.45-833-35213-223
when playing on Friday7-12-4.939-33+2.7200-229-23.59-1038-32192-211
against division opponents17-28-10.4116-95+7612-648-9.218-25104-97597-599
in games played on a grass field52-69-15.5237-220-5.21220-1357-97.358-60231-2081223-1232
in night games39-42-0.5164-137+15.8841-916-32.137-42151-138805-869
against right-handed starters41-44-0.8181-154+12.4946-1063-60.440-43171-150930-979
after a loss28-40-9.3110-107-2.8662-773-57.434-32110-96658-712
when playing against a team with a winning record21-36-11.499-103-0.5546-696-39.923-3386-107565-630
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season6-6+3.244-45+0.5245-356-51.12-1034-50275-302
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
8/2/2013ARROYO(R)ST LOUISMILLER(R)3-13L-1058 unO6501490
8/3/2013CINGRANI(L)ST LOUISWESTBROOK(R)8-3W-1658.5 unO9100461
8/4/2013LEAKE(R)ST LOUISLYNN(R)2-15L-1308.5 unO4321970
8/6/2013LATOS(R)OAKLANDSTRAILY(R)3-1W-1508 unU851581
8/7/2013BAILEY(R)OAKLANDCOLON(R)6-5W-1257.5 unO10901170
8/9/2013ARROYO(R)SAN DIEGOCASHNER(R)7-2W-1708.5 unO1080662
8/10/2013CINGRANI(L)SAN DIEGOROSS(R)1-3L-1858 unU454460
8/11/2013LEAKE(R)SAN DIEGOKENNEDY(R)3-2W-1858.5 unU57211150
8/12/2013LATOS(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSWOOD(L)2-0W-1407.5 unU410660
8/13/2013BAILEY(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSSAMARDZIJA(R)6-4W-1407 ovO8100751
8/14/2013ARROYO(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSRUSIN(L)5-0W-1408 unU740221
8/15/2013CINGRANI(L)@ MILWAUKEELOHSE(R)2-1W-1307.5 unU650631
8/16/2013LEAKE(R)@ MILWAUKEEGORZELANNY(L) 
8/17/2013LATOS(R)@ MILWAUKEEGALLARDO(R) 
8/18/2013BAILEY(R)@ MILWAUKEEPERALTA(R) 
8/19/2013ARROYO(R)ARIZONADELGADO(R) 
8/20/2013CINGRANI(L)ARIZONACORBIN(L) 
8/21/2013LEAKE(R)ARIZONAMCCARTHY(R) 
8/22/2013LATOS(R)ARIZONACAHILL(R) 
8/23/2013 MILWAUKEE  

MILWAUKEE - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
8/2/2013GORZELANNY(L)WASHINGTONZIMMERMANN(R)1-4L+1308 unU5921271
8/3/2013HAND(R)WASHINGTONHAREN(R)0-3L+1259 unU450750
8/4/2013LOHSE(R)WASHINGTONJORDAN(R)8-5W-1158 unO831851
8/5/2013THORNBURG(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOGAUDIN(R)2-4L1557 unU762890
8/6/2013PERALTA(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOCAIN(R)3-1W1607 unU520682
8/7/2013ESTRADA(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOBUMGARNER(L)6-1W1856.5 unO1050341
8/8/2013HAND(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOLINCECUM(R)1-4L1607 unU3301090
8/9/2013LOHSE(R)@ SEATTLESAUNDERS(L)10-5W1207.5 unO1153763
8/10/2013GORZELANNY(L)@ SEATTLEIWAKUMA(R)10-0W1607 unO1671470
8/11/2013PERALTA(R)@ SEATTLEHERNANDEZ(R)0-2L1857 unU540410
8/13/2013ESTRADA(R)@ TEXASOGANDO(R)5-1W1829 unU741970
8/14/2013THORNBURG(R)@ TEXASGARZA(R)4-5L2108.5 unO961760
8/15/2013LOHSE(R)CINCINNATICINGRANI(L)1-2L+1207.5 unU631650
8/16/2013GORZELANNY(L)CINCINNATILEAKE(R) 
8/17/2013GALLARDO(R)CINCINNATILATOS(R) 
8/18/2013PERALTA(R)CINCINNATIBAILEY(R) 
8/19/2013ESTRADA(R)ST LOUISMILLER(R) 
8/20/2013THORNBURG(R)ST LOUISLYNN(R) 
8/21/2013LOHSE(R)ST LOUISWESTBROOK(R) 
8/23/2013 @ CINCINNATI  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games69-52+356-614.30.2470.3183.60.2350.291
Road Games32-31-2.327-334.00.2430.3153.40.2380.291
vs Left-handed Starters22-19+0.614-253.70.2400.3063.20.2210.274
Past 7 Games6-1+4.22-53.70.1880.2751.70.1740.219
Grass Games69-52+356-614.30.2470.3183.60.2350.291
Night Games41-31+2.332-394.00.2480.3163.30.2320.288
Division30-21+2.423-274.10.2350.3133.90.2440.302
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.30.2470.318121410210123431150.0349342994538884116608451
Road Games4.00.2430.315632148523173550.032442234712245772314431
Lefty Starters3.70.2400.306411396335120390.03143133318830237153214
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.421.1933421381302753913337619-19341175.6%
Road Games3.341.209156.3615812914601447-1118772%

MILWAUKEE - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games52-69-15.558-603.90.2520.3014.30.2550.313
Home Games27-32-9.729-293.90.2560.3084.60.2670.322
vs Right-handed Starters41-44-0.840-434.10.2520.3044.20.2540.307
Past 7 Games3-4+0.63-44.40.2420.2812.70.2180.290
Grass Games52-69-15.558-603.90.2520.3014.30.2550.313
Night Games39-42-0.537-424.00.2590.3094.00.2500.308
Division17-28-10.418-253.60.2450.2974.50.2560.316
MILWAUKEE - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.90.2520.301121412310403391200.034522858971097881049210775
Home Games3.90.2560.308591967504167650.032261484115838947406839
Righty Starters4.10.2520.304852864723244870.033302106058955166658048
MILWAUKEE - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.921.188407.31501323483913636519-19281565.1%
Home Games2.921.172225.37873195246919411-714477.8%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
MIKE LEAKE recent results and season statistics
MIKE LEAKE - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.861.20510-523147.76.4534714115379014-9+2.912-11
Road Starts1.941.1957-11278.76.6211774320418-4+3.75-7
Last 3 Starts3.791.3160-13196.3981817121-2-1.71-2
MIKE LEAKE - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/11/2013SAN DIEGO3-2-1858.5Win,Under 7216034KENNEDY(R)
8/4/2013ST LOUIS2-15-1308.5Loss,OverL5778123LYNN(R)
7/29/2013at SAN DIEGO1-2-1357.5Loss,Under 7004025O'SULLIVAN(R)

TOM GORZELANNY recent results and season statistics
TOM GORZELANNY - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Games2.511.0743-43971.7-24205172668---
All Starts2.571.0862-37355.014103137333-4-0.72-5
Home Starts3.241.3200-2416.74.2861923181-3-2.40-4
Last 3 Starts2.700.9752-0313.34.4441013122-1+1.82-1
TOM GORZELANNY - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/10/2013at SEATTLE10-0+1607Win,OverW7003027IWAKUMA(R)
8/2/2013WASHINGTON1-4+1308Loss,Under 1001001ZIMMERMANN(R)
7/27/2013at COLORADO7-5+11510Win,OverW5.3446114MCHUGH(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 24-17 (+5.3 Units) against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
23 of 37 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+7.2 Units)
Games this season
CINCINNATI is 7-3 (+2.7 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
9 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+7.8 Units)

All games at MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 10-7 (+3.0 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
10 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.9 Units)
Games played at MILWAUKEE this season.
MILWAUKEE is 2-2 (+0.4 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
8/15/2013CINCINNATI2-130  61150CINGRANI(L)W6.3141
 MILWAUKEE1+1207.5 unUnder61131LOHSE(R)L7154
7/10/2013CINCINNATI6-165  90080LEAKE(R)W8.3244
 MILWAUKEE2+1559 unUnder41141HELLWEG(R)L4.3445
7/9/2013CINCINNATI0-135 Under30040CINGRANI(L)L7232
 MILWAUKEE2+1259 evWin41040PERALTA(R)W9034
7/8/2013CINCINNATI3-125 Under111091BAILEY(R)L5.74103
 MILWAUKEE4+1158 ovWin111290LOHSE(R)W6.7391
6/16/2013MILWAUKEE1+190 Under71061PERALTA(R)L5.3472
 CINCINNATI5-2108.5 unWin91070CUETO(R)W6150
6/15/2013MILWAUKEE6+160  81130GALLARDO(R)W6032
 CINCINNATI0-1708 ovUnder70070BAILEY(R)L7681
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
MIKE LEAKE vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
LEAKE is 1-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.05 and a WHIP of 1.125.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.2 units)
MIKE LEAKE recent starts vs. MILWAUKEE
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/10/2013at MILWAUKEE6-2-1659Win,UnderW8.3224142HELLWEG(R)
7/8/2011at MILWAUKEE7-8+1258Loss,Over 5.3557213GREINKE(R)
6/1/2011MILWAUKEE4-3+1008Win,Under 6337103MARCUM(R)

TOM GORZELANNY vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
GORZELANNY is 3-5 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 5.30 and a WHIP of 1.472.
His team's record is 3-7 (-4.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-6. (-3.7 units)
TOM GORZELANNY recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/27/2010at CINCINNATI1-7+1508.5Loss,UnderL5667321CUETO(R)
8/6/2010CINCINNATI0-3+1108.5Loss,UnderL7334145ARROYO(R)
5/8/2010at CINCINNATI2-14-1058.5Loss,OverL6339119HARANG(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1116, -105.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 49.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (184-191, -27.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 53.6% of the time since 1997. (1168-1013, +60.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 55.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (210-169, +20.3 units)
No Edge.
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.4% of the time since 1997. (875-796, -30.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 53.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (148-130, +2.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 50.3% of the time since 1997. (825-815, -99.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 49.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (135-137, -20.1 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CINCINNATI
[C] 08/10/2013 - Corky Miller 15-day DL (8/10) ( Quad )
[P] 06/28/2013 - Johnny Cueto 15-day DL (6/29) ( Side )
[P] 05/24/2013 - Sean Marshall 15-day DL (5/21) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Nick Masset 60-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
MILWAUKEE
[CF] 08/16/2013 - Carlos Gomez is downgraded to expected to miss Friday vs. Cincinnati Reds ( Knee )
[2B] 08/09/2013 - Rickie Weeks 15-day DL (8/8); out for season ( Hamstring )
[P] 07/31/2013 - Yovani Gallardo 15-day DL (7/30) ( Hamstring )
[LF] 07/22/2013 - Ryan Braun out for season ( Suspension )
[P] 07/05/2013 - Miguel De Los Santos is on the restricted list ( Shoulder )
[1B] 06/28/2013 - Corey Hart 60-day DL (3/22); out for season ( Knee )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Mark Rogers 60-day DL (3/25) ( Shoulder )
[1B] 03/31/2013 - Mat Gamel 60-day DL (3/20), out for season ( Knee )
[3B] 03/31/2013 - Taylor Green 60-day DL (3/22), out for season ( Hip )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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