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Page last updated on Sat May 23 00:06:06 EDT 2015
Matchup Reports

Saturday at 7:05 PM
CINCINNATI (19-21) AT PHILADELPHIA (17-22) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
957: CINCINNATI
958: PHILADELPHIA
7.0
-140
19-21
17-22
15-23-2
20-16-3
3.6 / 3.4
3.7 / 4.6
(R) H BAILEY
(L) C HAMELS
3-2
0-2
4.72
5.32
1.51
1.73
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Partly Cloudy   Temperature: 55.0 °
Humidity: 42   Wind: South at 8.1 MPH (7 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
CINCINNATIBAILEY-121 
PHILADELPHIAHAMELS +121 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games20-21-2.6209-162+7.21381-1428-33.715-24156-1931309-1345
when the total is 7 or less12-10+1.248-36+967-81-10.19-1136-3960-67
as a road underdog of +100 to +1253-3+0.423-23+2.3200-195+31.41-519-26173-203
in road games9-11-2.299-86+5.7665-737+53.67-1277-99625-702
on the road when the total is 7 or less5-8-3.836-30+3.954-71-12.36-630-2952-55
in May games7-6+0.843-25+15.6252-243+4.63-929-36231-240
when playing on Saturday1-5-4.934-26+1.6230-228+3.24-228-29223-209
in games played on a grass field20-21-2.6209-162+7.21150-1214-2415-24156-1931089-1140
in night games9-14-6125-107-7890-924-30.29-1295-123846-875
against left-handed starters3-4-1.263-49+6.4385-398-16.23-445-62356-389
after shutting out their opponent3-2+1.218-17-2.967-75-10.21-417-1656-81
after a win8-12-5.6110-99-17.4670-712-51.49-1187-106625-674
when playing against a team with a losing record10-10-1.5117-76+9.1721-636-12.36-1380-104632-647

PHILADELPHIA team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games17-22-4.1171-192-421468-1370-68.520-16186-1631382-1330
when the total is 7 or less8-5+4.551-59-19.6140-12006-554-49117-125
at home with a money line of -100 to -1253-3-0.420-24-7.9142-161-43.95-123-15145-136
in home games6-12-7.589-91-24.9767-652-769-893-77694-660
at home when the total is 7 or less2-3-1.220-29-21.256-53-20.42-222-2248-50
in May games4-9-5.834-36-7.4258-229+8.67-640-29238-226
when playing on Saturday5-1+4.223-35-16223-227-27.54-231-25232-203
in games played on a grass field17-20-2.1171-187-371114-1017-33.218-16183-1611034-1005
in night games9-18-9.3123-134-25.21010-936-39.715-9132-115946-910
against right-handed starters12-16-4.2122-135-29.51084-993-37.618-9138-1091035-949
after getting shut out1-3-2.211-13-2.168-62+2.72-213-1072-52
after a loss8-13-4.984-103-27.1691-674-4812-998-84678-637
after 3 or more consecutive losses2-3-1.226-25-1.3164-165-4.33-226-24155-162
when playing against a team with a losing record8-8+0.182-78-12.2678-580-67.68-777-78594-613
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/3/2014CUETO(R)MILWAUKEEGALLARDO(R)6-2W-1457 unO1180321
5/4/2014SIMON(R)MILWAUKEELOHSE(R)4-3W-1057.5 unU1180640
5/6/2014BAILEY(R)@ BOSTONDOUBRONT(L)3-4L1158.5 unU1010011131
5/7/2014LEAKE(R)@ BOSTONPEAVY(R)3-4L1458.5 unU4301090
5/9/2014CUETO(R)COLORADOCHACIN(R)4-3W-1657 ovP630650
5/10/2014SIMON(R)COLORADOLYLES(R)2-11L-1158 unO5701672
5/11/2014BAILEY(R)COLORADONICASIO(R)4-1W-1257.5 evU640452
5/13/2014LEAKE(R)SAN DIEGOCASHNER(R)1-2L-1107.5 unU780341
5/15/2014CUETO(R)SAN DIEGOKENNEDY(R)5-0W-1406.5 unU14100320
5/15/2014FRANCIS(L)SAN DIEGOROSS(R)1-6L+1057.5 unU370960
5/16/2014SIMON(R)@ PHILADELPHIAKENDRICK(R)3-0W1258 unU541690
5/17/2014BAILEY(R)@ PHILADELPHIAHAMELS(L) 
5/18/2014CINGRANI(L)@ PHILADELPHIALEE(L) 
5/19/2014LEAKE(R)@ WASHINGTONSTRASBURG(R) 
5/20/2014CUETO(R)@ WASHINGTONFISTER(R) 
5/21/2014SIMON(R)@ WASHINGTONROARK(R) 
5/23/2014BAILEY(R)ST LOUISMILLER(R) 
5/24/2014 ST LOUIS  

PHILADELPHIA - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/3/2014BURNETT(R)WASHINGTONROARK(R)7-2W-1057.5 unO1281460
5/4/2014HERNANDEZ(R)WASHINGTONGONZALEZ(L)1-0W+1157.5 evU451590
5/5/2014KENDRICK(R)TORONTOHAPP(L)0-3L+1008.5 unU7110771
5/6/2014HAMELS(L)TORONTOHUTCHISON(R)5-6L-1157.5 unO10501260
5/7/2014LEE(L)@ TORONTOBUEHRLE(L)0-10L1008 unO3501130
5/8/2014BURNETT(R)@ TORONTODICKEY(R)6-12L1309 unO10811331
5/9/2014HERNANDEZ(R)@ NY METSMEJIA(R)3-2W1157 unU917110150
5/10/2014KENDRICK(R)@ NY METSGEE(R)5-4W1207 evO1190780
5/11/2014HAMELS(L)@ NY METSNIESE(L)4-5L1156.5 unO912116170
5/13/2014LEE(L)LA ANGELSSHOEMAKER(R)3-4L-1707.5 unU443781
5/14/2014BURNETT(R)LA ANGELSRICHARDS(R)0-3L+1057.5 unU560890
5/16/2014KENDRICK(R)CINCINNATISIMON(R)0-3L-1358 unU690541
5/17/2014HAMELS(L)CINCINNATIBAILEY(R) 
5/18/2014LEE(L)CINCINNATICINGRANI(L) 
5/20/2014BURNETT(R)@ MIAMIDESCLAFANI(R) 
5/21/2014KENDRICK(R)@ MIAMIEOVALDI(R) 
5/22/2014HAMELS(L)@ MIAMIALVAREZ(R) 
5/23/2014LEE(L)LA DODGERSKERSHAW(L) 
5/24/2014 LA DODGERS  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games19-21-3.615-233.60.2430.3093.30.2240.292
Road Games8-11-3.27-113.50.2400.3013.30.2400.314
vs Left-handed Starters3-4-1.23-44.90.2560.3283.60.2330.304
Past 7 Games4-3+11-52.90.2120.2723.30.2050.260
Grass Games19-21-3.615-233.60.2430.3093.30.2240.292
Night Games9-14-69-123.50.2320.3044.00.2420.305
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.60.2430.309401324322108340.031381262963328628132912
Road Games3.50.2400.301196461554580.01615615018133158166
Lefty Starters4.90.2560.3287242622290.043326524534022
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.771.59088.74947901351853-98657.1%
Road Games4.911.71140.3222247422360-65455.6%

PHILADELPHIA - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games17-22-4.120-163.70.2440.3064.60.2680.329
Home Games6-12-7.59-82.90.2310.2964.30.2500.316
vs Right-handed Starters12-16-4.218-94.10.2490.3125.20.2800.339
Past 7 Games2-5-3.73-43.00.2180.2974.70.2590.332
Grass Games17-20-2.118-163.70.2470.3094.30.2640.325
Night Games9-18-9.215-93.40.2320.2924.90.2720.329
PHILADELPHIA - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.70.2440.306391352330105250.021351213202529929232529
Home Games2.90.2310.2961858813645110.025054146612415151515
Righty Starters4.10.2490.3122898024479190.02108902342121418181720
PHILADELPHIA - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.591.361111.76057106174611110-711857.9%
Home Games4.361.08153.7272642816554-44357.1%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
HOMER BAILEY recent results and season statistics
HOMER BAILEY - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.721.5113-2847.76.0252556816443-5-2.26-2
Road Starts4.701.6961-14235.7121229210221-3-23-1
Last 3 Starts2.951.1722-0321.37.1771718152-1+11-2
HOMER BAILEY - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/11/2014COLORADO4-1-1257.5Win,UnderW7.3114126NICASIO(R)
5/6/2014at BOSTON3-4+1158.5Loss,Under 6335055DOUBRONT(L)
5/1/2014MILWAUKEE8-3-1157Win,OverW8338014ESTRADA(R)

COLE HAMELS recent results and season statistics
COLE HAMELS - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts5.321.7320-2423.75.9141431210240-4-4.53-0
Home Starts9.282.2490-1210.75.31111182690-2-2.51-0
Last 3 Starts6.111.9240-1317.75.912122529190-3-3.52-0
COLE HAMELS - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/11/2014at NY METS4-5+1156.5Loss,Over 71170310NIESE(L)
5/6/2014TORONTO5-6-1157.5Loss,Over 65510216HUTCHISON(R)
4/29/2014NY METS1-6-1357LossL4.7668053NIESE(L)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 8-6 (+1.2 Units) against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.5 Units)
Games this season
CINCINNATI is 1-0 (+1.3 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

All games at PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 4-4 (+0.2 Units) against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.9 Units)
Games played at PHILADELPHIA this season.
CINCINNATI is 1-0 (+1.3 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
5/16/2014CINCINNATI3+125  51041SIMON(R)W7.7051
 PHILADELPHIA0-1358 unUnder60090KENDRICK(R)L7341
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
HOMER BAILEY vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
BAILEY is 0-3 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.61 and a WHIP of 1.078.
His team's record is 2-6 (-4.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-3. (+1.8 units)
HOMER BAILEY recent starts vs. PHILADELPHIA
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/19/2013at PHILADELPHIA2-3-1508Loss,Under 7005013PETTIBONE(R)
4/16/2013PHILADELPHIA1-0-1558Win,Under 80020010KENDRICK(R)
8/21/2012at PHILADELPHIA5-4+1457.5Win,Over 6.3327006LEE(L)

COLE HAMELS vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
HAMELS is 8-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 1.51 and a WHIP of 0.888.
His team's record is 11-0 (+11.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-7. (-4.7 units)
COLE HAMELS recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/23/2012CINCINNATI4-3-1057Win 6336034CUETO(R)
8/29/2011at CINCINNATI3-2-1408Win,Under 6112007BAILEY(R)
5/23/2011CINCINNATI10-3-1657.5Win,OverW6335124ARROYO(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1146, -97.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 53.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (166-144, +5.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PHILADELPHIA games 51.3% of the time since 1997. (1187-1126, -50.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PHILADELPHIA games 52.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (167-152, -14.4 units)
No Edge.
 
The betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.3% of the time since 1997. (913-832, -33.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 53.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (140-123, -0.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PHILADELPHIA games 50.4% of the time since 1997. (911-897, -115.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PHILADELPHIA games 54.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (146-121, +8.2 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CINCINNATI
[1B] 05/16/2014 - Joey Votto expected to miss Saturday vs. Philadelphia Phillies ( Quad )
[P] 05/15/2014 - Tony Cingrani 15-day DL (5/1), expected to start Sunday vs. Philadelphia ( Shoulder )
[RF] 05/05/2014 - Jay Bruce 15-day DL (5/5) ( Knee )
[P] 04/09/2014 - Trevor Bell 15-day DL (4/08) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/02/2014 - Brett Marshall 60-day DL (3/30) ( Finger )
[3B] 03/28/2014 - Jack Hannahan 60-day DL (3/30) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/28/2014 - Mat Latos 60-day DL (3/21) ( Knee )
PHILADELPHIA
[2B] 05/13/2014 - Freddy Galvis out 6-8 weeks ( Collarbone )
[P] 03/28/2014 - Ethan Martin 15-day DL (3/21) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/28/2014 - Miguel Gonzalez 60-day DL (3/21) ( Shoulder )
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