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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 7:05 PM
CINCINNATI (5-5) AT PITTSBURGH (4-6) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
907: CINCINNATI
908: PITTSBURGH
7.0
+129
5-5
4-6
8-2-0
4-6-0
5.7 / 4.6
2.7 / 3.9
(R) J CUETO
(L) J LOCKE
1-0
0-1
2.77
6.00
1.15
1.50
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Partly Cloudy   Temperature: 57.0 °
Humidity: 30   Wind: Southwest at 11.5 MPH (10 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
CINCINNATICUETO-341
PITTSBURGHLOCKE +341 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games5-5-0.5184-156+1.21276-1339-25.58-2155-1611225-1244
when the total is 7 or less1-0+125-23+1.537-59-161-020-2238-43
as a road favorite of -125 to -1500-0027-16+5.667-46+5.80-017-2446-61
as a road favorite of -150 to -1750-006-2+2.914-15-9.80-01-611-15
in road games1-3-2.287-81+4.7616-688+58.83-171-89580-653
on the road when the total is 7 or less0-0022-21+134-53-12.60-017-2133-40
in April games5-5-0.529-29-4.6196-200+6.28-233-24199-180
when playing on Saturday0-1-1.331-24+3.4214-213+5.81-027-24207-195
against division opponents1-3-2.292-70+6.7610-611+7.33-171-78574-568
in games played on a grass field5-5-0.5182-155-0.61045-1125-15.88-2155-1591005-1039
in night games2-20115-101-3.8828-866-19.53-193-108794-813
against left-handed starters2-1+0.854-42+5.5357-369-10.53-047-43336-355
after a loss2-2-0.290-62+19.6654-675+10.64-077-69647-614
after 3 or more consecutive losses0-0011-10-1.6152-186-24.90-012-9180-142
when playing against a team with a losing record0-2-2100-77-1.6660-596-14.21-177-86587-592

PITTSBURGH team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games4-6-2.1155-179-5.61119-1477-135.84-6151-1671219-1246
when the total is 7 or less1-4-3.721-39-14.946-83-22.80-521-3253-60
as a home underdog of +125 to +1500-0011-15-0.4113-152+0.50-011-13121-132
in home games2-2-0.783-83-5.2635-660+3.31-371-90612-620
at home when the total is 7 or less1-2-1.711-17-7.719-33-13.90-36-1920-26
in April games4-6-2.126-33+0.9169-222-15.44-617-40167-205
when playing on Saturday0-1-130-24+10.2193-224+0.90-120-31205-192
against division opponents2-2-0.780-85+2.4526-686-541-378-80562-579
in games played on a grass field4-6-2.1153-178-7.2904-1244-130.34-6150-165989-1047
in night games4-2+2.6100-118-7.1769-974-56.52-495-113807-843
against right-handed starters4-2+2.4110-134-6.6830-1097-93.42-4111-120921-903
after a win1-2-1.266-87-17489-632-64.62-170-73525-541
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/1/2013CUETO(R)LA ANGELSWEAVER(R)1-3L-1157.5 unU31016123
4/3/2013LATOS(R)LA ANGELSWILSON(L)5-4W-1207.5 unO691962
4/4/2013ARROYO(R)LA ANGELSBLANTON(R)5-4W+1058 unO7301191
4/5/2013BAILEY(R)WASHINGTONHAREN(R)15-0W-1258 unO1960582
4/6/2013LEAKE(R)WASHINGTONDETWILER(L)6-7L-1308.5 unO131101063
4/7/2013CUETO(R)WASHINGTONSTRASBURG(R)6-3W-1107 unO11130871
4/8/2013LATOS(R)@ ST LOUISGARCIA(L)13-4W1057.5 unO14112431
4/9/2013ARROYO(R)@ ST LOUISLYNN(R)1-5L1058.5 unU540940
4/10/2013BAILEY(R)@ ST LOUISWESTBROOK(R)0-10L-1208.5 unO5801470
4/12/2013LEAKE(R)@ PITTSBURGHBURNETT(R)5-6L1007.5 unO8801280
4/13/2013CUETO(R)@ PITTSBURGHLOCKE(L) 
4/14/2013LATOS(R)@ PITTSBURGH  
4/15/2013 PHILADELPHIALEE(L) 
4/16/2013 PHILADELPHIAKENDRICK(R) 
4/17/2013 PHILADELPHIA  
4/18/2013 MIAMI  
4/19/2013 MIAMI  
4/20/2013 MIAMI  

PITTSBURGH - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/1/2013BURNETT(R)CHICAGO CUBSSAMARDZIJA(R)1-3L-1257 unU361651
4/3/2013RODRIGUEZ(L)CHICAGO CUBSJACKSON(R)3-0W-1306.5 ovU660251
4/4/2013MCDONALD(R)CHICAGO CUBSWOOD(L)2-3L-1457 evU440331
4/5/2013SANCHEZ(L)@ LA DODGERSGREINKE(R)0-3L1857 ovU221740
4/6/2013BURNETT(R)@ LA DODGERSKERSHAW(L)0-1L1826 ovU2308100
4/7/2013LOCKE(L)@ LA DODGERSRYU(L)2-6L1257.5 unO4501171
4/8/2013RODRIGUEZ(L)@ ARIZONACAHILL(R)5-3W1308.5 unU561650
4/9/2013MCDONALD(R)@ ARIZONAMCCARTHY(R)6-5W1308.5 ovO1170672
4/10/2013SANCHEZ(L)@ ARIZONAMILEY(L)2-10L1709 unO5721080
4/12/2013BURNETT(R)CINCINNATILEAKE(R)6-5W-1107.5 unO1280880
4/13/2013LOCKE(L)CINCINNATICUETO(R) 
4/14/2013 CINCINNATILATOS(R) 
4/15/2013 ST LOUISLYNN(R) 
4/16/2013 ST LOUISWESTBROOK(R) 
4/17/2013 ST LOUIS  
4/18/2013 ATLANTA  
4/19/2013 ATLANTA  
4/20/2013 ATLANTA  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games5-5-0.58-25.70.2510.3234.60.2480.310
Road Games1-3-2.23-14.70.2350.3256.20.2930.343
vs Left-handed Starters2-1+0.83-08.00.2800.3665.00.2130.274
Past 7 Games3-4-1.46-16.60.2880.3555.00.2580.318
Grass Games5-5-0.58-25.70.2510.3234.60.2480.310
Night Games2-203-16.50.2750.3383.70.2690.326
Division1-3-2.23-14.70.2350.3256.20.2930.343
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games5.70.2510.323103639132140.045439943835491
Road Games4.70.2350.325413632930.021918410312241
Lefty Starters8.00.2800.3663118331230.032216301312340
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.061.17532.3121127511332-32166.7%
Road Games4.501.4001055112391-100100%

PITTSBURGH - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games4-6-2.14-62.70.1750.2463.90.2150.297
Home Games2-2-0.71-33.00.2030.2692.70.1510.213
vs Right-handed Starters4-2+2.42-43.50.2070.2733.20.1860.250
Past 7 Games3-4-0.44-33.00.1880.2594.70.2550.347
Grass Games4-6-2.14-62.70.1750.2463.90.2150.297
Night Games4-2+2.62-43.30.2070.2742.80.2000.278
Division2-2-0.71-33.00.2030.2692.70.1510.213
PITTSBURGH - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games2.70.1750.24610308541530.012729878547589
Home Games3.00.2030.269412325610.011211295244103
Righty Starters3.50.2070.2736188391120.012117516354343
PITTSBURGH - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.411.01033.79919315282-04180%
Home Games3.380.56310.744323141-02166.7%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
JOHNNY CUETO recent results and season statistics
JOHNNY CUETO - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.771.1541-02136.5441025151-1-0.11-1
Road Starts0.000.0000-00010000000-000-0
Last 3 Starts2.771.1541-02136.5441025151-1-0.11-1
JOHNNY CUETO - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/7/2013WASHINGTON6-3-1107Win,OverW6337136STRASBURG(R)
4/1/2013LA ANGELS1-3-1157.5Loss,Under 7113129WEAVER(R)
10/6/2012at SAN FRANCISCO5-2+1156.5Win,Over 0.3000001CAIN(R)

JEFF LOCKE recent results and season statistics
JEFF LOCKE - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts6.001.5000-1166.04480130-1-11-0
Home Starts0.000.0000-00010000000-000-0
Last 3 Starts6.001.5000-1166.04480130-1-11-0
JEFF LOCKE - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/7/2013at LA DODGERS2-6+1257.5Loss,OverL6448013RYU(L)
10/1/2012ATLANTA2-1+1257.5Win,UnderW6112056MAHOLM(L)
9/26/2012at NY METS0-6+1008Loss,UnderL3.7559015HEFNER(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 18-16 (+6.2 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
19 of 29 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+7.4 Units)
Games this season
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

All games at PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 10-9 (+1.4 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
13 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+8.5 Units)
Games played at PITTSBURGH this season.
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
4/12/2013CINCINNATI5+100 Over82080LEAKE(R) 65102
 PITTSBURGH6-1107.5 unWin121180BURNETT(R) 6363
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
JOHNNY CUETO vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
CUETO is 12-4 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 2.54 and a WHIP of 1.077.
His team's record is 13-6 (+3.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-6. (+4.6 units)
JOHNNY CUETO recent starts vs. PITTSBURGH
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/30/2012at PITTSBURGH4-3-1507.5Win,Under 7316116RODRIGUEZ(L)
6/6/2012PITTSBURGH5-4-1807.5Win,OverW7.7336016LINCOLN(R)
5/30/2012at PITTSBURGH1-2-1207Loss,UnderL7225045BURNETT(R)

JEFF LOCKE vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
LOCKE is 0-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 1.93 and a WHIP of 1.713.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)
JEFF LOCKE recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/23/2011CINCINNATI4-3+1259Win,Under 4.7116021VOLQUEZ(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring CINCINNATI in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1075, -104.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 47.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (135-150, -26.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PITTSBURGH games 52.1% of the time since 1997. (1105-1016, +2.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PITTSBURGH games 50.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (140-137, -10.7 units)
Edge=PITTSBURGH
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.2% of the time since 1997. (822-752, -33.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (95-86, -0.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PITTSBURGH games 50.4% of the time since 1997. (781-770, -99.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PITTSBURGH games 50% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (73-73, -7.6 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CINCINNATI
[LF] 04/03/2013 - Ryan Ludwick 15-day DL (4/2) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Nick Masset 15-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/10/2013 - Sean Marshall 15-day DL (4/8) ( Undisclosed )
PITTSBURGH
[2B] 03/31/2013 - Chase d'Arnaud 60-day DL (3/20) ( Thumb )
[3B] 04/02/2013 - Brandon Inge 15-day DL (3/26) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Charlie Morton 15-day DL (3/22) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Francisco Liriano 15-day DL (3/22) ( Arm )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Jeff Karstens 15-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/10/2013 - Wandy Rodriguez injured last game, doubtful next scheduled start Sunday vs. Cincinnati Reds ( Hamstring )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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