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Matchup Reports

Friday at 7:05 PM
CINCINNATI (87-66) AT PITTSBURGH (88-65) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
907: CINCINNATI
908: PITTSBURGH
6.5
-119
87-66
88-65
73-73-7
67-80-6
4.4 / 3.6
3.9 / 3.6
(R) M LATOS
(L) F LIRIANO
14-6
16-7
3.14
2.92
1.21
1.23
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Partly Cloudy   Temperature: 57.0 °
Humidity: 30   Wind: Southwest at 11.5 MPH (10 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
CINCINNATILATOS-111 
PITTSBURGHLIRIANO +111 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games87-66+0.9266-217+2.71358-1400-24.173-73220-2321290-1315
when the total is 7 or less17-9+6.841-32+7.453-68-10.211-1130-3348-54
as a road underdog of +100 to +1259-11-1.131-31+3.1195-190+30.99-1026-34169-197
in road games39-39-5.4125-117+1.5654-724+55.638-37106-125615-689
on the road when the total is 7 or less13-8+435-29+547-61-8.610-827-2943-48
in September games11-6+1.838-31-2.8227-214+17.18-824-37185-216
when playing on Friday10-14-8.536-38-10.9221-214+9.513-1134-35202-209
when playing with a day off9-8-0.825-27-10.4141-161-17.711-625-26142-145
against division opponents38-32-5.9129-99+2.9647-640+3.534-34102-111605-601
in games played on a grass field87-66+0.9264-216+0.91127-1186-14.473-73220-2301070-1110
in night games53-42-1.7166-141-5.6879-906-21.244-47134-154835-859
against left-handed starters25-24-377-65+1.7380-392-14.317-2961-72350-384
after a win45-41-10.8134-132-30.8660-698-45.144-37117-126615-660
after 3 or more consecutive wins9-13-10.736-33-9.7159-171-19.510-1226-38142-170
when playing against a team with a winning record33-33-4.8102-104-7.4575-704-15.829-3092-97582-623
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season18-13+446-43+0.5260-350-24.913-1340-39277-289

PITTSBURGH team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games88-65+21.2239-238+17.71203-1536-112.567-80214-2411282-1320
when the total is 7 or less34-25+7.254-60-4.179-104-1223-3244-5976-87
at home with a money line of -100 to -1255-5-0.728-27-2.7177-152+5.54-622-31156-156
in home games49-29+12.2130-110+7.6682-687+16.230-44100-131641-661
at home when the total is 7 or less19-15-0.429-30-6.437-46-12.611-2017-3631-43
in September games9-9-2.626-46-23.8175-269-62.68-932-34217-199
when playing on Friday14-10+2.333-40-5.7186-251-36.111-1332-39196-218
against division opponents39-28+11.1117-111+14.2563-712-42.229-35106-112590-611
in games played on a grass field88-65+21.2237-237+16.1988-1303-10767-80213-2391052-1121
in night games59-39+15.8155-155+6.2824-1011-43.339-54132-163844-893
against right-handed starters71-52+19.2177-184+10.2897-1147-76.652-67161-183971-966
after a win50-37+11.9115-122-4538-667-51.642-43110-115565-583
when playing against a team with a winning record32-30+6.896-111+11.4563-799-49.635-25102-95638-656
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season13-13+0.140-55-6.1253-402-52.114-1148-43301-320
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/6/2013LEAKE(R)LA DODGERSCAPUANO(L)3-2W-1209 unU760520
9/7/2013LATOS(R)LA DODGERSGREINKE(R)4-3W-1207.5 ovU111111090
9/8/2013BAILEY(R)LA DODGERSKERSHAW(L)3-2W+1156.5 ovU671640
9/9/2013ARROYO(R)CHICAGO CUBSWOOD(L)0-2L-1757.5 ovU790760
9/10/2013CINGRANI(L)CHICAGO CUBSJACKSON(R)1-9L-2508 ovO10911380
9/11/2013LEAKE(R)CHICAGO CUBSSAMARDZIJA(R)6-0W-1708.5 unU860670
9/13/2013LATOS(R)@ MILWAUKEELOHSE(R)1-5L-1457.5 unU441980
9/14/2013BAILEY(R)@ MILWAUKEEHELLWEG(R)7-3W-1908 ovO10906102
9/15/2013ARROYO(R)@ MILWAUKEEGALLARDO(R)5-6L-1308 unO880531
9/16/2013CUETO(R)@ HOUSTONBEDARD(L)6-1W-1758 ovU770761
9/17/2013LEAKE(R)@ HOUSTONLYLES(R)10-0W-1758.5 unO1251561
9/18/2013REYNOLDS(R)@ HOUSTONPEACOCK(R)6-5W-1459 evO915013161
9/20/2013LATOS(R)@ PITTSBURGHLIRIANO(L) 
9/21/2013BAILEY(R)@ PITTSBURGHBURNETT(R) 
9/22/2013ARROYO(R)@ PITTSBURGHLOCKE(L) 
9/23/2013CUETO(R)NY METSWHEELER(R) 
9/24/2013LEAKE(R)NY METSHARANG(R) 
9/25/2013LATOS(R)NY METSNIESE(L) 
9/27/2013 PITTSBURGH  

PITTSBURGH - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/6/2013BURNETT(R)@ ST LOUISKELLY(R)8-12L-1107.5 unO131211652
9/7/2013LOCKE(L)@ ST LOUISWAINWRIGHT(R)0-5L1507.5 ovU341680
9/8/2013MORTON(R)@ ST LOUISWACHA(R)2-9L1207.5 evO4411282
9/9/2013COLE(R)@ TEXASDARVISH(R)1-0W1557.5 unU640450
9/10/2013LIRIANO(L)@ TEXASPEREZ(L)5-4W1158 ovO121001392
9/11/2013BURNETT(R)@ TEXASGARZA(R)7-5W1208 ovO1280960
9/12/2013LOCKE(L)CHICAGO CUBSRUSIN(L)3-1W-1707.5 unU650450
9/13/2013MORTON(R)CHICAGO CUBSARRIETA(R)4-5L-1707 unO971981
9/14/2013COLE(R)CHICAGO CUBSBAKER(R)2-1W-1857 unU540560
9/15/2013LIRIANO(L)CHICAGO CUBSWOOD(L)3-2W-1756.5 unU760350
9/16/2013BURNETT(R)SAN DIEGOCASHNER(R)0-2L-1706.5 unU1008100
9/17/2013LOCKE(L)SAN DIEGOSTULTS(L)2-5L-1807 unP77014101
9/18/2013MORTON(R)SAN DIEGOROSS(R)2-3L-1657 unU300660
9/19/2013COLE(R)SAN DIEGOKENNEDY(R)10-1W-1857 unO14100581
9/20/2013LIRIANO(L)CINCINNATILATOS(R) 
9/21/2013BURNETT(R)CINCINNATIBAILEY(R) 
9/22/2013LOCKE(L)CINCINNATIARROYO(R) 
9/23/2013MORTON(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSSAMARDZIJA(R) 
9/24/2013COLE(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSRUSIN(L) 
9/25/2013LIRIANO(L)@ CHICAGO CUBSARRIETA(R) 
9/27/2013 @ CINCINNATI  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games87-66+0.973-734.40.2510.3223.60.2360.292
Road Games39-39-5.438-374.30.2480.3223.60.2430.298
vs Left-handed Starters25-24-317-293.70.2390.3053.40.2280.278
Past 7 Games5-2+2.24-35.90.2370.3302.90.2260.327
Grass Games87-66+0.973-734.40.2510.3223.60.2360.292
Night Games53-42-1.744-474.20.2510.3183.50.2360.291
Division38-32-5.934-344.20.2400.3163.90.2390.300
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.40.2510.322153519713024281500.0363655111825811261427311865
Road Games4.30.2480.322782674664210690.033262895753457187366342
Lefty Starters3.70.2390.305491655395143480.031741593841135643173515
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.471.201435.31781683515317245722-24421573.7%
Road Games3.591.262195.7817816619811788-14201164.5%

PITTSBURGH - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games88-65+21.267-803.90.2450.3053.60.2370.303
Home Games49-29+12.230-443.80.2490.3063.20.2310.291
vs Right-handed Starters71-52+19.152-673.80.2420.3013.50.2340.299
Past 7 Games3-4-3.82-43.30.2100.2542.70.2160.293
Grass Games88-65+21.267-803.90.2450.3053.60.2370.303
Night Games59-39+15.839-543.80.2470.3023.40.2410.303
Division39-28+11.129-353.90.2450.3073.70.2290.293
PITTSBURGH - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.90.2450.305153518212724411440.03563440126589106413210114189
Home Games3.80.2490.306782593646211640.022822125794953769497541
Righty Starters3.80.2420.30112341319983551170.034463501018718351098011574
PITTSBURGH - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.881.153515.91701654303516542928-19511379.7%
Home Games2.371.066273747221597622717-825680.6%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
MAT LATOS recent results and season statistics
MAT LATOS - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.141.20914-630197.76.67769185125417919-11+3.114-15
Road Starts3.341.2605-517110.46.547411114281028-9-3.48-8
Last 3 Starts3.971.1031-1322.77.61010201592-1+0.61-2
MAT LATOS - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/13/2013at MILWAUKEE1-5-1457.5Loss,UnderL6.7557034LOHSE(R)
9/7/2013LA DODGERS4-3-1207.5Win,Under 7339113GREINKE(R)
9/2/2013ST LOUIS7-2-1207.5Win,OverW9224012WAINWRIGHT(R)

FRANCISCO LIRIANO recent results and season statistics
FRANCISCO LIRIANO - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.921.23016-7241486.2484812375914817-7+9.210-12
Home Starts1.370.9908-11065.76.6101042123659-1+7.82-6
Last 3 Starts6.001.6001-13155.010101628132-1+0.62-1
FRANCISCO LIRIANO - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/15/2013CHICAGO CUBS3-2-1756.5Win,Under 6223144WOOD(L)
9/10/2013at TEXAS5-4+1158Win,OverW6116025PEREZ(L)
9/4/2013at MILWAUKEE3-9-1507.5Loss,OverL3777124PERALTA(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 24-22 (+8.5 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
26 of 40 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+9.7 Units)
Games this season
PITTSBURGH is 7-6 (+3.4 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.1 Units)

All games at PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 13-11 (+3.0 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
16 of 22 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+9.2 Units)
Games played at PITTSBURGH this season.
PITTSBURGH is 4-2 (+2.6 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
7/21/2013PITTSBURGH3+125  71070LOCKE(L)W6114
 CINCINNATI2-1358 unUnder30060BAILEY(R)L6.3371
7/20/2013PITTSBURGH4+125 Over820121BURNETT(R)L5.72102
 CINCINNATI5-1358 unWin100093LATOS(R)W5244
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
MAT LATOS vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
LATOS is 5-1 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 2.66 and a WHIP of 1.148.
His team's record is 7-3 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-6. (-3.0 units)
MAT LATOS recent starts vs. PITTSBURGH
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/20/2013PITTSBURGH5-4-1358Win,OverW5324245BURNETT(R)
6/18/2013PITTSBURGH0-4-1908.5Loss,UnderL5333039MORTON(R)
6/2/2013at PITTSBURGH4-5-1157.5Loss,Over 6212127GOMEZ(R)

FRANCISCO LIRIANO vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
LIRIANO is 0-3 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.41 and a WHIP of 1.286.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)
FRANCISCO LIRIANO recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/19/2013at CINCINNATI3-5-1107.5Loss,OverL4.3555144LEAKE(R)
6/17/2013at CINCINNATI1-4+1108Loss,UnderL6225226LEAKE(R)
6/1/2013CINCINNATI0-2-1257.5Loss,UnderL61140111LEAKE(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring CINCINNATI in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1127, -99.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 50% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (202-202, -21.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PITTSBURGH games 52% of the time since 1997. (1170-1079, -9.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PITTSBURGH games 50.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (205-200, -22.5 units)
Edge=PITTSBURGH
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.2% of the time since 1997. (888-812, -35.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (161-146, -3.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PITTSBURGH games 50.5% of the time since 1997. (848-832, -103.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PITTSBURGH games 50.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (140-135, -11.9 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CINCINNATI
[P] 09/17/2013 - Tony Cingrani "?" for next scheduled start ( Back )
[P] 08/22/2013 - Jonathan Broxton 60-day DL (8/21) ( Elbow )
[C] 08/10/2013 - Corky Miller 15-day DL (8/10) ( Quad )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Nick Masset 60-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
PITTSBURGH
[LF] 09/19/2013 - Starling Marte "?" Friday vs. Cincinnati Reds ( Personal )
[C] 07/29/2013 - Michael McKenry 15-day DL (7/29), out for season ( Knee )
[P] 07/12/2013 - James McDonald 60-day DL (5/1) ( Shoulder )
[P] 06/11/2013 - Wandy Rodriguez 60-day DL (6/6) ( Forearm )
[P] 06/08/2013 - Jared Hughes 15-day DL (6/6) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/29/2013 - Jose Contreras 15-day DL (5/28) ( Back )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Jeff Karstens 60-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
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