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Matchup Reports

Friday at 7:05 PM
CINCINNATI (5-4) AT PITTSBURGH (3-6) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
953: CINCINNATI
954: PITTSBURGH
7.5
-110
5-4
3-6
7-2-0
3-6-0
5.8 / 4.4
2.3 / 3.8
(R) M LEAKE
(R) A BURNETT
0-0
0-2
6.00
3.27
1.67
1.36
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Partly Cloudy   Temperature: 57.0 °
Humidity: 30   Wind: Southwest at 11.5 MPH (10 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
CINCINNATILEAKE-119 
PITTSBURGHBURNETT +119 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games5-4+0.5184-155+2.21276-1338-24.57-2154-1611224-1244
as a road underdog of +100 to +1251-1+0.123-21+4.3187-180+32.11-118-25161-188
in road games1-2-1.287-80+5.7616-687+59.82-170-89579-653
in April games5-4+0.529-28-3.6196-199+7.27-232-24198-180
when playing on Friday1-0+127-24-1.4212-200+191-022-24190-198
when playing with a day off1-0+117-19-8.6133-153-161-015-20132-139
against division opponents1-2-1.292-69+7.7610-610+8.32-170-78573-568
in games played on a grass field5-4+0.5182-154+0.41045-1124-14.87-2154-1591004-1039
in night games2-1+1115-100-2.8828-865-18.52-192-108793-813
against right-handed starters3-3-0.3130-113-3.3919-969-144-2107-118888-889
after allowing 10 runs or more0-0011-6+6.1117-115+13.30-07-9112-110
after getting shut out0-006-6057-68-5.70-06-553-60
after a loss2-1+0.890-61+20.6654-674+11.63-076-69646-614
when playing against a team with a losing record0-1-1100-76-0.6660-595-13.20-176-86586-592

PITTSBURGH team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games3-6-3.1154-179-6.61118-1477-136.83-6150-1671218-1246
at home with a money line of -100 to -1250-1-1.223-23-3.3172-148+4.90-118-26152-151
in home games1-2-1.782-83-6.2634-660+2.30-370-90611-620
in April games3-6-3.125-33-0.1168-222-16.43-616-40166-205
when playing on Friday0-1-119-31-9172-242-39.40-121-27185-206
when playing with a day off1-0+117-16+2.4139-151+15.90-118-14133-140
against division opponents1-2-1.779-85+1.4525-686-550-377-80561-579
in games played on a grass field3-6-3.1152-178-8.2903-1244-131.33-6149-165988-1047
in night games3-2+1.699-118-8.1768-974-57.51-494-113806-843
against right-handed starters3-2+1.4109-134-7.6829-1097-94.41-4110-120920-903
after allowing 10 runs or more0-008-12-3107-128+0.90-09-10116-109
after a loss2-3-0.787-90+11.1623-843-78.81-479-92689-701
when playing against a team with a winning record2-2+0.666-83+5.2533-771-55.83-170-71606-632
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/1/2013CUETO(R)LA ANGELSWEAVER(R)1-3L-1157.5 unU31016123
4/3/2013LATOS(R)LA ANGELSWILSON(L)5-4W-1207.5 unO691962
4/4/2013ARROYO(R)LA ANGELSBLANTON(R)5-4W+1058 unO7301191
4/5/2013BAILEY(R)WASHINGTONHAREN(R)15-0W-1258 unO1960582
4/6/2013LEAKE(R)WASHINGTONDETWILER(L)6-7L-1308.5 unO131101063
4/7/2013CUETO(R)WASHINGTONSTRASBURG(R)6-3W-1107 unO11130871
4/8/2013LATOS(R)@ ST LOUISGARCIA(L)13-4W1057.5 unO14112431
4/9/2013ARROYO(R)@ ST LOUISLYNN(R)1-5L1058.5 unU540940
4/10/2013BAILEY(R)@ ST LOUISWESTBROOK(R)0-10L-1208.5 unO5801470
4/12/2013LEAKE(R)@ PITTSBURGHBURNETT(R) 
4/13/2013CUETO(R)@ PITTSBURGHLOCKE(L) 
4/14/2013 @ PITTSBURGH  
4/15/2013 PHILADELPHIA  
4/16/2013 PHILADELPHIA  
4/17/2013 PHILADELPHIA  
4/18/2013 MIAMI  
4/19/2013 MIAMI  

PITTSBURGH - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/1/2013BURNETT(R)CHICAGO CUBSSAMARDZIJA(R)1-3L-1257 unU361651
4/3/2013RODRIGUEZ(L)CHICAGO CUBSJACKSON(R)3-0W-1306.5 ovU660251
4/4/2013MCDONALD(R)CHICAGO CUBSWOOD(L)2-3L-1457 evU440331
4/5/2013SANCHEZ(L)@ LA DODGERSGREINKE(R)0-3L1857 ovU221740
4/6/2013BURNETT(R)@ LA DODGERSKERSHAW(L)0-1L1826 ovU2308100
4/7/2013LOCKE(L)@ LA DODGERSRYU(L)2-6L1257.5 unO4501171
4/8/2013RODRIGUEZ(L)@ ARIZONACAHILL(R)5-3W1308.5 unU561650
4/9/2013MCDONALD(R)@ ARIZONAMCCARTHY(R)6-5W1308.5 ovO1170672
4/10/2013SANCHEZ(L)@ ARIZONAMILEY(L)2-10L1709 unO5721080
4/12/2013BURNETT(R)CINCINNATILEAKE(R) 
4/13/2013LOCKE(L)CINCINNATICUETO(R) 
4/14/2013 CINCINNATI  
4/15/2013 ST LOUIS  
4/16/2013 ST LOUIS  
4/17/2013 ST LOUIS  
4/18/2013 ATLANTA  
4/19/2013 ATLANTA  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games5-4+0.57-25.80.2530.3234.40.2360.299
Road Games1-2-1.22-14.70.2380.3256.30.2700.318
vs Right-handed Starters3-3-0.34-24.70.2380.2984.20.2480.312
Past 7 Games4-3+0.66-16.60.2900.3494.70.2510.305
Grass Games5-4+0.57-25.80.2530.3234.40.2360.299
Night Games2-1+12-17.00.2910.3423.00.2370.295
Division1-2-1.22-14.70.2380.3256.30.2700.318
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games5.80.2530.32393288329120.044934823755470
Road Games4.70.2380.325310124610.011413290232220
Righty Starters4.70.2380.2986210501790.042718522443130
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.971.15430.3111025410312-22166.7%
Road Games4.501.37584491271-000100%

PITTSBURGH - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games3-6-3.13-62.30.1530.2263.80.2140.293
Home Games1-2-1.70-32.00.1440.2142.00.1210.167
vs Right-handed Starters3-2+1.41-43.00.1740.2432.80.1760.232
Past 7 Games2-5-2.93-42.40.1530.2294.40.2370.328
Grass Games3-6-3.13-62.30.1530.2263.80.2140.293
Night Games3-2+1.61-42.80.1720.2422.40.1930.267
Division1-2-1.70-32.00.1440.2142.00.1210.167
PITTSBURGH - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games2.30.1530.2269275421320.012126837465589
Home Games2.00.1440.21439013400.0068254162103
Righty Starters3.00.1740.243515527910.011514475272343
PITTSBURGH - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.050.97830.77717213241-030100%
Home Games2.350.2617.722111100-010100%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
MIKE LEAKE recent results and season statistics
MIKE LEAKE - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts6.001.6670-0166.04462440-1-1.31-0
Road Starts0.000.0000-00010000000-000-0
Last 3 Starts6.001.6670-0166.04462440-1-1.31-0
MIKE LEAKE - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/6/2013WASHINGTON6-7-1308.5Loss,Over 6446244DETWILER(L)
10/10/2012SAN FRANCISCO3-8-1458Loss,OverL4.3556221ZITO(L)
9/29/2012at PITTSBURGH1-2-1258.5Loss,Under 6004033MCPHERSON(R)

A.J. BURNETT recent results and season statistics
A.J. BURNETT - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.271.3640-22115.5441015190-2-2.20-2
Home Starts4.761.2350-115.75.733611100-1-1.20-1
Last 3 Starts3.271.3640-22115.5441015190-2-2.20-2
A.J. BURNETT - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/6/2013at LA DODGERS0-1+1826Loss,UnderL5.3114049KERSHAW(L)
4/1/2013CHICAGO CUBS1-3-1257Loss,UnderL5.73361110SAMARDZIJA(R)
10/3/2012ATLANTA0-4-1357Loss,UnderL5.7448023SHEETS(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 17-16 (+5.2 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
19 of 28 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+8.6 Units)
Games this season
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

All games at PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 9-9 (+0.4 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
13 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+9.7 Units)
Games played at PITTSBURGH this season.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Pitcher Versus Team Past History
MIKE LEAKE vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
LEAKE is 2-3 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.97 and a WHIP of 1.251.
His team's record is 4-7 (-5.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-4. (+1.4 units)
MIKE LEAKE recent starts vs. PITTSBURGH
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/29/2012at PITTSBURGH1-2-1258.5Loss,Under 6004033MCPHERSON(R)
9/11/2012PITTSBURGH5-3-1508.5Win,UnderW7339213CORREIA(R)
8/4/2012PITTSBURGH5-4-1209Win 6446217MCDONALD(R)

A.J. BURNETT vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
BURNETT is 5-5 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.06 and a WHIP of 1.301.
His team's record is 7-5 (+2.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-5. (+0.7 units)
A.J. BURNETT recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/28/2012CINCINNATI0-1+1057Loss,UnderL8117015BAILEY(R)
9/12/2012at CINCINNATI1-2+1257.5Loss,UnderL6225028BAILEY(R)
8/5/2012at CINCINNATI6-2+1008WinW8.7223137BAILEY(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring PITTSBURGH in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1075, -105.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 47.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (134-150, -27.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PITTSBURGH games 52.1% of the time since 1997. (1104-1016, +1.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PITTSBURGH games 50.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (139-137, -11.7 units)
Edge=CINCINNATI
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.3% of the time since 1997. (822-751, -32.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (95-85, +0.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PITTSBURGH games 50.4% of the time since 1997. (781-769, -98.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PITTSBURGH games 50.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (73-72, -6.4 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CINCINNATI
[LF] 04/03/2013 - Ryan Ludwick 15-day DL (4/2) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Nick Masset 15-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/10/2013 - Sean Marshall 15-day DL (4/8) ( Undisclosed )
PITTSBURGH
[2B] 03/31/2013 - Chase d'Arnaud 60-day DL (3/20) ( Thumb )
[3B] 04/02/2013 - Brandon Inge 15-day DL (3/26) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Charlie Morton 15-day DL (3/22) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Francisco Liriano 15-day DL (3/22) ( Arm )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Jeff Karstens 15-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/10/2013 - Wandy Rodriguez injured last game, doubtful next scheduled start Sunday vs. Cincinnati Reds ( Hamstring )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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