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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 9:35 PM
CINCINNATI (97-65) AT SAN FRANCISCO (94-68) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
905: CINCINNATI
906: SAN FRANCISCO
6.5
-126
97-65
94-68
60-89-13
86-70-6
4.1 / 3.6
4.4 / 4.0
(R) J CUETO
(R) M CAIN
19-9
16-5
2.78
2.79
1.17
1.04
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 71.0 °
Humidity: 61   Wind: Calm
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
CINCINNATICUETO-102 
SAN FRANCISCOCAIN +102 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games97-65+17.4269-222+15.81269-1331-23.460-89220-2331213-1241
when the total is 7 or less15-13+0.826-31-4.934-58-18.310-1521-2534-43
as a road underdog of +100 to +1258-7+1.833-31+5.9185-179+30.95-1030-32159-187
in road games47-34+10.6126-119+8.4613-685+58.527-49104-125575-652
on the road when the total is 7 or less14-12+1.124-29-4.632-53-15.19-1419-2431-40
in October games1-2-1.23-6-3.88-22-16.20-32-78-22
when playing on Saturday17-10+4.447-33+9.9213-212+610-1536-36205-195
in games played on a grass field97-65+17.4267-221+141038-1117-13.760-89220-231993-1036
in night games59-47+1.3173-147+5.8824-864-2238-60147-153789-812
against right-handed starters65-47+6.1184-159+2.9915-964-12.240-61155-159882-886
in playoff games0-000-3-30-3-30-01-21-2
after getting shut out2-1+1.613-12+156-68-6.82-110-1252-60
after a loss42-22+16.8128-90+31.6651-671+12.328-34108-97640-614
when playing against a team with a winning record37-29+6.793-107-12.6540-668-9.422-3989-93549-592
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season13-8+3.938-51-13.2240-334-27.35-1339-41260-275

SAN FRANCISCO team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games94-68+19.2284-220+35.21416-1218+107.486-70237-2461263-1244
when the total is 7 or less52-39+4.8149-110+15.7225-164+43.748-39116-127178-186
at home with a money line of -100 to -12510-7+2.333-25+4.2158-135+1.59-821-35133-145
in home games48-33+5.5149-102+13.4768-548+72.636-41103-135602-648
at home when the total is 7 or less35-26+0101-67+10.9144-90+26.528-2969-88102-115
in October games1-2-0.412-8+5.736-30+6.40-37-1232-33
when playing on Saturday16-10+545-36+7.1213-214-1613-1236-43192-220
in games played on a grass field94-68+19.2283-218+36.41353-1160+101.886-70236-2441193-1196
in night games60-37+20193-135+40.8909-740+127.453-42155-160778-787
against right-handed starters54-49-2.8190-163+2.31036-893+64.154-45168-169941-896
in playoff games0-0011-4+9.523-20+4.30-06-821-21
after a loss43-25+17.3126-91+25.8647-573+47.833-31103-107592-565
when playing against a team with a winning record31-31+1.2119-111+9619-618+28.832-28107-116600-581
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season16-16+0.666-57+11.1322-314+27.717-1456-64309-302
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/22/2012LATOS(R)LA DODGERSFIFE(R)6-0W-1808 evU880651
9/23/2012BAILEY(R)LA DODGERSKERSHAW(L)3-5L+1357.5 unO6101851
9/25/2012CUETO(R)MILWAUKEEFIERS(R)4-2W-1457.5 ovU960510
9/26/2012ARROYO(R)MILWAUKEEMARCUM(R)1-8L-1308.5 evO6901390
9/27/2012LATOS(R)MILWAUKEEPERALTA(R)2-1W-1658 evU650550
9/28/2012BAILEY(R)@ PITTSBURGHBURNETT(R)1-0W-1157 unU741010
9/29/2012LEAKE(R)@ PITTSBURGHMCPHERSON(R)1-2L-1258.5 evU7928120
9/30/2012CUETO(R)@ PITTSBURGHRODRIGUEZ(L)4-3W-1507.5 unU1073770
10/1/2012ARROYO(R)@ ST LOUISGARCIA(L)2-4L1307.5 unU650961
10/2/2012LATOS(R)@ ST LOUISCARPENTER(R)3-1W1157 ovU870660
10/3/2012BAILEY(R)@ ST LOUISMILLER(R)0-1L-1407.5 unU350991
10/6/2012CUETO(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOCAIN(R) 
10/7/2012ARROYO(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOBUMGARNER(L) 
10/9/2012LATOS(R)SAN FRANCISCOLINCECUM(R) 

SAN FRANCISCO - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/22/2012BUMGARNER(L)SAN DIEGOWERNER(L)8-4W-1757 unO1161741
9/23/2012PETIT(R)SAN DIEGOSTULTS(L)4-6L+1457.5 unO9721181
9/25/2012LINCECUM(R)ARIZONACOLLMENTER(R)2-7L-1407 ovO440640
9/26/2012CAIN(R)ARIZONAMILEY(L)6-0W-1556.5 ovU12123792
9/27/2012ZITO(L)ARIZONACORBIN(L)7-3W-1057.5 evO1240770
9/28/2012VOGELSONG(R)@ SAN DIEGOWERNER(L)3-1W-1157 evU10102771
9/29/2012BUMGARNER(L)@ SAN DIEGOSTULTS(L)3-7L-1257 unO761950
9/30/2012LINCECUM(R)@ SAN DIEGOVOLQUEZ(R)7-5W1107.5 evO1281640
10/1/2012CAIN(R)@ LA DODGERSHARANG(R)2-3L-1107 unU650980
10/2/2012ZITO(L)@ LA DODGERSCAPUANO(L)4-3W1707.5 ovU10401071
10/3/2012VOGELSONG(R)@ LA DODGERSKERSHAW(L)1-5L1806.5 unU351840
10/6/2012CAIN(R)CINCINNATICUETO(R) 
10/7/2012BUMGARNER(L)CINCINNATIARROYO(R) 
10/9/2012LINCECUM(R)@ CINCINNATILATOS(R) 
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games97-65+17.460-894.10.2510.3123.60.2470.301
Road Games47-34+10.627-493.90.2470.3023.40.2440.301
vs Right-handed Starters65-47+640-614.00.2500.3113.60.2450.298
Past 7 Games4-3+0.50-71.90.2110.2541.70.2020.260
Grass Games97-65+17.460-894.10.2510.3123.60.2470.301
Night Games59-47+1.238-603.90.2490.3093.60.2470.304
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.10.2510.312162547713774981720.0363648112668711351258911378
Road Games3.90.2470.302812829698245690.023042246284558268524832
Righty Starters4.00.2500.31111237459363371090.034183338636777984597653
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.651.220434.31441283493318147831-22561776.7%
Road Games3.131.4211907466179139121111-14321076.2%

SAN FRANCISCO - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games94-68+19.286-704.40.2690.3274.00.2480.309
Home Games48-33+5.536-413.80.2670.3293.40.2340.296
vs Right-handed Starters54-49-2.854-454.30.2670.3324.10.2450.306
Past 7 Games4-3+1.53-43.90.2600.3243.90.2470.299
Grass Games94-68+19.286-704.40.2690.3274.00.2480.309
Night Games60-37+2053-424.60.2800.3393.90.2470.307
SAN FRANCISCO - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.40.2690.327162555814954471030.0267548310971181171133115134129
Home Games3.80.2670.329812665711201310.012862465115459468486772
Righty Starters4.30.2670.3321033508936270530.024163427188677072717583
SAN FRANCISCO - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.561.341452.72061794463816138323-19531380.3%
Home Games3.111.2162178375192177218011-824680%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
JOHNNY CUETO recent results and season statistics
JOHNNY CUETO - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.781.17119-9332176.67367205154917022-11+7.18-23
Road Starts2.771.2499-619123.36.544381196359011-8+2.74-13
Last 3 Starts1.351.0502-03206.7531625133-0+30-3
JOHNNY CUETO - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/30/2012at PITTSBURGH4-3-1507.5Win,Under 7316116RODRIGUEZ(L)
9/25/2012MILWAUKEE4-2-1457.5Win,UnderW7225105FIERS(R)
9/20/2012at CHICAGO CUBS5-3-1458.5Win,UnderW6005042BERKEN(R)

MATT CAIN recent results and season statistics
MATT CAIN - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Games2.791.04016-535219.3-73681772151193---
All Starts2.791.04016-532219.36.97368177215119321-11+617-15
Home Starts2.030.9048-315110.77.426258171910110-5+26-9
Last 3 Starts1.350.9002-03206.7331216162-1+0.91-2
MATT CAIN - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
10/1/2012at LA DODGERS2-3-1107Loss,Under 5224112HARANG(R)
9/26/2012ARIZONA6-0-1556.5Win,UnderW7004016MILEY(L)
9/19/2012COLORADO7-1-2257Win,OverW8114048CHATWOOD(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 12-9 (+3.4 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
11 of 20 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.6 Units)
Games this season
CINCINNATI is 4-3 (+1.4 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)

All games at SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 6-5 (-0.3 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.6 Units)
Games played at SAN FRANCISCO this season.
CINCINNATI is 2-2 (+0.5 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

Pitcher Versus Team Past History
JOHNNY CUETO vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
CUETO is 2-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 1.93 and a WHIP of 1.107.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)
JOHNNY CUETO recent starts vs. SAN FRANCISCO
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/28/2012at SAN FRANCISCO0-5+1056Loss,UnderL6326043BUMGARNER(L)
7/31/2011SAN FRANCISCO9-0-1558Win,OverW9003016ZITO(L)
6/9/2011at SAN FRANCISCO3-0-1057Win,UnderW7004028BUMGARNER(L)

MATT CAIN vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
CAIN is 4-5 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.54 and a WHIP of 1.325.
His team's record is 4-6 (-4.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-4. (+1.2 units)
MATT CAIN recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/29/2012CINCINNATI1-5-1606.5Loss,UnderL6.75511217LEAKE(R)
4/24/2012at CINCINNATI2-9-1057.5Loss,OverL6.3335227LATOS(R)
8/23/2010CINCINNATI11-2-1408Win,OverW8225017VOLQUEZ(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring SAN FRANCISCO in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1067, -99.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 48.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (199-214, -30.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SAN FRANCISCO games 51.6% of the time since 1997. (1106-1037, -26.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SAN FRANCISCO games 50.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (217-209, -15.0 units)
Edge=CINCINNATI
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.4% of the time since 1997. (819-743, -25.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 51.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (133-124, -4.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in SAN FRANCISCO games 51.4% of the time since 1997. (784-740, -64.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in SAN FRANCISCO games 47.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (101-110, -20.5 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CINCINNATI
[P] 04/27/2012 - Ryan Madson 60-day DL (3/24), out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 06/15/2012 - Nick Masset 60-day DL (3/26) ( Shoulder )
[P] 08/01/2012 - Bill Bray 15-day DL (7/31) ( Back )
SAN FRANCISCO
[1B] 04/08/2012 - Angel Villalona on restricted list ( Disciplinary )
[2B] 03/31/2012 - Freddy Sanchez 60-day DL (3/26), out for season ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/15/2012 - Brian Wilson 60-day DL (4/13), out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 06/29/2012 - Eric Surkamp 60-day DL (3/26) ( Elbow )
[LF] 08/15/2012 - Melky Cabrera suspended 50 games; out for season ( Suspension )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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